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Probability distributions or point predictions? Survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation. (2014). Clements, Michael.
In: International Journal of Forecasting.
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:1:p:99-117.

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  1. Consumption categories, household attention, and inflation expectations: Implications for optimal monetary policy. (2023). Dietrich, Alexander M.
    In: University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics.
    RePEc:zbw:tuewef:157.

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  2. Internal consistency of household inflation expectations: Point forecasts vs. density forecasts. (2023). Zhao, Yongchen.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:39:y:2023:i:4:p:1713-1735.

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  3. .

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  4. Greater Than the Sum of the Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations. (2022). Rich, Robert ; Knotek, Edward ; Ove, Kristian ; Dietrich, Alexander ; Weber, Michael ; Schoenle, Raphael.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedcwq:94364.

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  5. .

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  6. A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area. (2021). Rich, Robert ; Tracy, Joseph.
    In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
    RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:233-253.

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  7. From Fixed-event to Fixed-horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts. (2020). Sekhposyan, Tatevik ; Rossi, Barbara ; Ganics, Gergely.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14267.

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  8. From Fixed-Event to Fixed-Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-Horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts. (2020). Sekhposyan, Tatevik ; Rossi, Barbara ; Ganics, Gergely.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bge:wpaper:1142.

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  9. Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A U.S. and Euro Area Comparison. (2019). Renne, Jean-Paul ; Mouabbi, Sarah ; Grishchenko, Olesya.
    In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
    RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:51:y:2019:i:5:p:1053-1096.

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  10. From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts. (2019). Sekhposyan, Tatevik ; Ganics, Gergely ; Rossi, Barbara.
    In: Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:upf:upfgen:1689.

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  11. Assessing reliability of aggregated inflation views in the European Commission consumer survey. (2019). Stanisławska, Ewa ; Łyziak, Tomasz ; Paloviita, Maritta ; Stanisawska, Ewa.
    In: Research Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:bof:bofrdp:2019_010.

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  12. From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts. (2019). Sekhposyan, Tatevik ; Rossi, Barbara ; Ganics, Gergely.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bde:wpaper:1947.

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  13. Inattention, Disagreement and Internal (In)Consistency of Inflation Forecasts. (2018). Borraz, Fernando ; Zacheo, Laura.
    In: Documentos de trabajo.
    RePEc:bku:doctra:2018007.

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  14. Model and survey estimates of the term structure of US macroeconomic uncertainty. (2017). Galvão, Ana ; Clements, Michael ; Galvo, Ana Beatriz.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:3:p:591-604.

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  15. Are Macroeconomic Density Forecasts Informative?. (2016). Clements, Michael.
    In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
    RePEc:rdg:icmadp:icma-dp2016-02.

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  16. Are Professional Macroeconomic Forecasters Able To Do Better Than Forecasting Trends?. (2015). Clements, Michael.
    In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
    RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:47:y:2015:i:2-3:p:349-382.

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  17. Quantifying differential interpretation of public information using financial analysts’ earnings forecasts. (2015). Sheng, Xuguang ; Thevenot, Maya .
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:2:p:515-530.

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References

References cited by this document

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  5. Clements, M. P. (2009). Internal consistency of survey respondents’ forecasts: evidence based on the survey of professional forecasters. In J. L. Castle & N. Shephard (Eds.), The methodology and practice of econometrics. A festschrift in honour of David F. Hendry (Chapter 8, pp. 206–226). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
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  6. Clements, M.P. Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents’ forecasts. 2010 European Economic Review. 54 536-549

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  24. Zarnowitz, V., & Braun, P. (1993). Twenty-two years of the NBER-ASA quarterly economic outlook surveys: aspects and comparisons of forecasting performance. In J. Stock & M. Watson (Eds.), Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting (pp. 11–84). Chicago: University of Chicago Press, NBER.

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