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Internal consistency of household inflation expectations: Point forecasts vs. density forecasts. (2023). Zhao, Yongchen.
In: International Journal of Forecasting.
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:39:y:2023:i:4:p:1713-1735.

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Cited: 4

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Cites: 29

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Cocites: 50

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Coauthors: 0

Authors who have wrote about the same topic

Citations

Citations received by this document

  1. Uncertainty of household inflation expectations: Reconciling point and density forecasts. (2024). Zhao, Yongchen.
    In: Economics Letters.
    RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:234:y:2024:i:c:s0165176523005128.

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  2. Households probabilistic inflation expectations in high-inflation regimes. (2023). Glas, Alexander ; Dürsch, Peter ; Eife, Thomas A ; Dursch, Peter ; Becker, Christoph.
    In: ZEW Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:zewdip:283596.

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References

References cited by this document

  1. Armantier, O. ; de Bruin, W.B. ; Potter, S. ; Topa, G. ; van der Klaauw, W. ; Zafar, B. Measuring inflation expectations. 2013 Annual Review of Economics. 5 273-301

  2. Armantier, O. ; Filippin, A. ; Neubauer, M. ; Nunziata, L. The expected price of keeping up with the Joneses. 2020 Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization. -
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  3. Armantier, O. ; Koşar, G. ; Pomerantz, R. ; Skandalis, D. ; Smith, K. ; Topa, G. ; van der Klaauw, W. How economic crises affect inflation beliefs. 2021 Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization. 189 443-469

  4. Armantier, O. ; Topa, G. ; van der Klaauw, W. ; Zafar, B. An overview of the survey of consumer expectations. 2017 Economic Policy Review. 51-72

  5. Binder, C.C. Inflation expectations and the price at the pump. 2018 Journal of Macroeconomics. 58 1-18

  6. Binder, C.C. Measuring uncertainty based on rounding. 2017 Journal of Monetary Economics. 90 1-12
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  7. Cavallo, A. ; Cruces, G. ; Perez-Truglia, R. Inflation expectations, learning, and supermarket prices. 2017 American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. 9 1-35

  8. Clements, M.P. An empirical investigation of the effects of rounding on the SPF probabilities of decline and output growth histograms. 2011 Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. 43 207-220

  9. Clements, M.P. Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents’ forecasts. 2010 European Economic Review. 54 536-549

  10. Clements, M.P. Internal consistency of survey respondents’ forecasts. 2009 En : The methodology and practice of econometrics. A festschrift in honour of David F. Hendry. :
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  11. Clements, M.P. Probability distributions or point predictions? Survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation. 2014 International Journal of Forecasting. 30 99-117

  12. Clements, M.P. Rounding behaviour of professional macro-forecasters. 2021 International Journal of Forecasting. 37 1614-1631

  13. Clements, M.P. US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968-2010. 2014 Journal of Forecasting. 33 1-14

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  15. Curtin, R. Consumer expectations: A new paradigm. 2019 Business Economics. 54 199-210

  16. Curtin, R. Consumer expectations: Micro foundations and macro impact. 2019 Cambridge University Press:
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  18. D’Acunto, F. ; Malmendier, U. ; Ospina, J. ; Weber, M. Exposure to grocery prices and inflation expectations. 2021 Journal of Political Economy. 129 1615-1639

  19. Das, A. ; Lahiri, K. ; Zhao, Y. Inflation expectations in India. 2019 International Journal of Forecasting. 35 980-993
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  20. de Bruin, W.B. ; Manski, C.F. ; Topa, G. ; van der Klaauw, W. Measuring consumer uncertainty about future inflation. 2011 Journal of Applied Econometrics. 26 454-478

  21. Engelberg, J. ; Manski, C.F. ; Williams, J. Comparing the point predictions and subjective probability distributions of professional forecasters. 2009 Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. 27 30-41

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  23. Kim, G. ; Binder, C.C. Learning-through-survey in inflation expectations. 2022 American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. 1-49
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  24. Malmendier, U. ; Nagel, S. Learning from inflation experiences. 2016 Quarterly Journal of Economics. 131 53-87

  25. Manski, C.F. Survey measurement of probabilistic macroeconomic expectations. 2018 NBER Macroeconomics Annual. 32 411-471

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  27. Rich, R. ; Tracy, J. The relationships among expected inflation, disagreement, and uncertainty. 2010 The Review of Economics and Statistics. 92 200-207
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  28. Rumler, F. ; Valderrama, M.T. Inflation literacy and inflation expectations. 2020 Economic Modelling. 87 8-23
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  29. Ryngaert, J. (2021). Balance of risks and the anchoring of consumer inflation expectations: Working paper, (pp. 1–22).
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Cocites

Documents in RePEc which have cited the same bibliography

  1. The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications. (2022). Coibion, Olivier ; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy ; Dacunto, Francesco ; Weber, Michael.
    In: IZA Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:iza:izadps:dp15391.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations. (2022). Sheng, Xuguang Simon ; Prescott, Brian ; Meyer, Brent H.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:38:y:2022:i:2:p:529-544.

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  3. Incentives, search engines, and the elicitation of subjective beliefs: Evidence from representative online survey experiments. (2022). Woessmann, Ludger ; Werner, Katharina ; Lergetporer, Philipp ; Grewenig, Elisabeth.
    In: Journal of Econometrics.
    RePEc:eee:econom:v:231:y:2022:i:1:p:304-326.

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  4. Tail and center rounding of probabilistic expectations in the Health and Retirement Study. (2022). Molinari, Francesca ; Manski, Charles F ; Giustinelli, Pamela.
    In: Journal of Econometrics.
    RePEc:eee:econom:v:231:y:2022:i:1:p:265-281.

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  5. What Do the Data Tell Us about Inflation Expectations?. (2022). Weber, Michael ; Malmendier, Ulrike M ; D'Acunto, Francesco.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_9602.

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  6. Managing households expectations with unconventional policies. (2021). Weber, Michael ; Hoang, Daniel ; D'Acunto, Francesco.
    In: Working Paper Series in Economics.
    RePEc:zbw:kitwps:148.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  7. Rationality and anchoring of inflation expectations: An assessment from survey?based and market?based measures. (2021). de Mendonça, Helder ; deMendona, Helder Ferreira ; Machado, Jose Valentim ; Garcia, Pedro Mendes ; de Mendona, Helder Ferreira.
    In: Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:wly:jforec:v:40:y:2021:i:6:p:1027-1053.

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  8. Consumer inflation expectations, income changes and economic downturns. (2021). Tsiaplias, Sarantis.
    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
    RePEc:wly:japmet:v:36:y:2021:i:6:p:784-807.

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  9. Measuring Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: The Effect of Guided vs Non-Guided Inflation Questions. (2021). Méon, Pierre-Guillaume ; Hayo, Bernd.
    In: MAGKS Papers on Economics.
    RePEc:mar:magkse:202127.

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  10. Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms Perspectives on Inflation. (2021). Sheng, Xuguang ; Parker, Nicholas B ; Meyer, Brent H.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-002.

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  11. Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms Perspectives on Inflation. (2021). Sheng, Xuguang ; Meyer, Brent ; Parker, Nicholas B.
    In: FRB Atlanta Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedawp:90556.

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  12. Revisiting the inflation perception conundrum. (2021). Abildgren, Kim ; Kuchler, Andreas.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:67:y:2021:i:c:s0164070420301889.

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  13. Belief elicitation with multiple point predictions. (2021). Schmidt, Patrick ; Eyting, Markus.
    In: European Economic Review.
    RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:135:y:2021:i:c:s0014292121000532.

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  14. The reaction of inflation forecasts to news about the Fed. (2021). Mazumder, Sandeep.
    In: Economic Modelling.
    RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:94:y:2021:i:c:p:256-264.

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  15. Does the central banker type affect inflation expectations?. (2021). de Mendonça, Helder ; Garcia, Pedro Mendes ; de Mendona, Helder Ferreira ; deMendona, Helder Ferreira .
    In: Economics Bulletin.
    RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-00225.

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  16. A time-varying expectations formation mechanism. (2020). Bovi, Maurizio.
    In: Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics.
    RePEc:spr:epolit:v:37:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s40888-019-00171-7.

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  17. Measuring public inflation perceptions and expectations in the UK. (2020). Murasawa, Yasutomo.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:59:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-019-01675-8.

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  18. Managing Households Expectations with Unconventional Policies. (2020). Weber, Michael ; Hoang, Daniel ; Dacunto, Francesco.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:27399.

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  19. Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap. (2020). Weber, Michael ; Malmendier, Ulrike ; Dacunto, Francesco.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:26837.

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  20. The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Business Expectations. (2020). Meyer, Brent.
    In: FRB Atlanta Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedawp:89448.

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  21. Inflation expectations as a policy tool?. (2020). Gorodnichenko, Yuriy ; Coibion, Olivier ; Pedemonte, Mathieu ; Kumar, Saten.
    In: Journal of International Economics.
    RePEc:eee:inecon:v:124:y:2020:i:c:s0022199620300167.

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  22. Time-Varying Consumer Disagreement and Future Inflation. (2020). Tsiaplias, Sarantis.
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:116:y:2020:i:c:s0165188920300713.

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  23. Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap. (2020). Weber, Michael ; Malmendier, Ulrike M ; D'Acunto, Francesco.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14932.

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  24. Exposure to Grocery Prices and Inflation Expectations. (2020). Malmendier, Ulrike M.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14930.

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  25. Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap. (2020). Weber, Michael ; D'Acunto, Francesco ; Malmendier, Ulrike M.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8158.

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  26. Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap. (2020). Weber, Michael ; Malmendier, Ulrike ; D'Acunto, Francesco.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bfi:wpaper:2020-11.

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  27. Economic Uncertainty and Subjective Inflation Expectations. (2019). Rossmann, Tobias.
    In: Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series.
    RePEc:rco:dpaper:160.

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  28. A Time-Varying Expectations Formation Mechanism. (2019). Bovi, Maurizio.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:97624.

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  29. Survey Data and Subjective Beliefs in Business Cycle Models. (2019). Borovička, Jaroslav ; Horvitz, Paul M ; Bhandari, Anmol.
    In: Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedrwp:19-14.

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  30. Managing Households Expectations with Salient Economic Policies. (2019). Weber, Michael ; Hoang, Daniel ; D'Acunto, Francesco.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7793.

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  31. How do expectations about the macroeconomy affect personal expectations and behavior?. (2018). Wohlfart, Johannes ; Roth, Christopher.
    In: IMFS Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:zbw:imfswp:128.

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  32. Tail and Center Rounding of Probabilistic Expectations in the Health and Retirement Study. (2018). Molinari, Francesca ; Manski, Charles ; Giustinelli, Pamela.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:24559.

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  33. How Do Expectations About the Macroeconomy Affect Personal Expectations and Behavior?. (2018). Wohlfart, Johannes ; Roth, Christopher.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7154.

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  34. Measuring the Distributions of Public Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in the UK. (2017). Murasawa, Yasutomo.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:76244.

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  35. Measuring uncertainty based on rounding: New method and application to inflation expectations. (2017). Binder, Carola.
    In: Journal of Monetary Economics.
    RePEc:eee:moneco:v:90:y:2017:i:c:p:1-12.

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  36. Measuring expectations of inflation: Effects of survey mode, wording, and opportunities to revise. (2017). van Rooij, Maarten ; van der Klaauw, Wilbert ; de Vos, Klaas ; Teppa, Federica ; de Bruin, Wandi Bruine.
    In: Journal of Economic Psychology.
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  37. Economic policy uncertainty and household inflation uncertainty. (2017). Binder, Carola ; Conces, Binder Carola .
    In: The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:bpj:bejmac:v:17:y:2017:i:2:p:20:n:10.

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  38. Forecasting macroeconomic fundamentals in economic crises. (2016). Cerqueti, Roy ; Bovi, Maurizio.
    In: Annals of Operations Research.
    RePEc:spr:annopr:v:247:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s10479-015-1879-4.

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  39. Learning from Potentially-Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina. (2016). Perez-Truglia, Ricardo ; Cruces, Guillermo ; Cavallo, Alberto.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
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  40. An overview of the Survey of Consumer Expectations. (2016). Zafar, Basit ; van der Klaauw, Wilbert ; topa, giorgio ; armantier, olivier.
    In: Staff Reports.
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  41. Inflation Expectations, Learning and Supermarket Prices: Evidence from Survey Experiments. (2016). Perez-Truglia, Ricardo ; Cruces, Guillermo ; Cavallo, Alberto.
    In: Artefactual Field Experiments.
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  42. Modeling heterogeneous inflation expectations: empirical evidence from demographic data?. (2016). Lobon, Oana-Ramona ; Xu, Yingying ; Chang, Hsu-Ling ; Su, Chi-Wei.
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  43. Individual inflation expectations in a declining-inflation environment: Evidence from survey data. (2016). de Castro Campos, Malka ; Teppa, Federica.
    In: DNB Working Papers.
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  44. Inflation in the euro area and why it matters. (2016). Hoeberichts, Marco ; de Haan, Jakob ; Maas, Renske ; Teppa, Federica.
    In: DNB Occasional Studies.
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  45. Measuring expectations from household surveys: new results on subjective probabilities of future house prices. (2015). Bover, Olympia.
    In: SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association.
    RePEc:spr:series:v:6:y:2015:i:4:p:361-405.

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  46. Measuring expectations from household surveys: New results on subjective probabilities of future house prices. (2015). Bover, Olympia.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:10946.

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  47. Measuring expectations from household surveys: new results on subjective probabilities of future house prices. (2015). Bover, Olympia.
    In: Working Papers.
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  48. Inflation Expectations, Learning and Supermarket Prices. (2014). Perez-Truglia, Ricardo ; Cruces, Guillermo ; Cavallo, Alberto.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:20576.

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  49. A boost in the paycheck: survey evidence on workers’ response to the 2011 payroll tax cuts. (2013). Zafar, Basit ; van der Klaauw, Wilbert ; Graziani, Grant .
    In: Staff Reports.
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