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Macroeconomic Effects of Credit Deepening in Latin America

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Viana de Carvalho

    (Department of Economics PUC-Rio)

  • Eduardo Zilberman

    (Department of Economics PUC-Rio)

  • Laura Candido de Souza

    (Department of Economics PUC-Rio)

  • Nilda Mercedes Cabrera Pasca

    (Department of Economics PUC-Rio)

Abstract
This paper augments a relatively standard dynamic general equilibrium model with financial frictions in order to quantify the macroeconomic effects of the credit deepening process observed in many Latin American (LA) countries in the last decade, most notably in Brazil. In the model, a stylized banking sector intermediates credit from patient households to impatient households and firms. The key novelty of the paper, motivated by the Brazilian experience, is to model the credit constraint faced by (impatient) households as a function of future labor income. In the calibrated model, credit deepening generates only modest abovetrend growth in consumption, investment, and GDP. Since Brazil has experienced one of the most intense credit deepening processes in Latin America, it is argued that the quantitative effects for other LA economies are unlikely to be sizeable.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Viana de Carvalho & Eduardo Zilberman & Laura Candido de Souza & Nilda Mercedes Cabrera Pasca, 2014. "Macroeconomic Effects of Credit Deepening in Latin America," Textos para discussão 629, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    • Handle: RePEc:rio:texdis:629
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Arruda Gustavo & Lima Daniela & Teles Vladimir Kühl, 2020. "Household borrowing constraints and monetary policy in emerging economies," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-21, January.
    2. Jeremy Greenwood & Juan Sanchez & Cheng Wang, 2013. "Quantifying the Impact of Financial Development on Economic Development," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(1), pages 194-215, January.
    3. Mark Hallerberg & Carlos Scartascini, 2015. "Explaining Changes in Tax Burdens in Latin America: Does Politics Trump Economics?," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 90997, Inter-American Development Bank.
    4. Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan, 2019. "Financial development, unemployment volatility, and sectoral dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 82-102.
    5. Chunping Liu & Zhirong Ou, 2021. "What determines China's housing price dynamics? New evidence from a DSGE‐VAR," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3269-3305, July.
    6. Chunping Liu & Zhirong Ou, 2017. "What determines China's housing price dynamics? New evidence from a DSGE-VAR," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2017/04, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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