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The effect of foreign-owned large plant closures on nearby firms

Author

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  • Marta Bisztray

    (Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungarian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract
I estimate the impact of foreign-owned large plant closures on local firms. I identify 41 such events in Hungary and assign comparable control cities with foreign-owned large plants operating in the same industry and not closing. I use a firm-level panel database of Hungarian firms between 1992 and 2012. I do a difference-in-differences estimation comparing outcomes of firms in the treated and control areas, before and after the plant closure. I find that after the foreign-owned large plant closures sales of nearby firms decreased by 6 percentage points and employment decreased by 3 percentage points on average. Firms operating in local services were hurt even more, suggesting that reduced local purchasing power due to the layoffs is a significant channel of the local plant closure effect. Firms operating in the supplier industry of the closing plant also decreased employment more than average, suggesting that input-output linkages play an important role in the propagation of negative shocks. In contrast, firms in the industry of the closing plant increased their employment, suggesting that they could benefit from the increased local labor supply. I also find that low-productivity firms were hurt more by the plant closures than high-productivity firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Marta Bisztray, 2016. "The effect of foreign-owned large plant closures on nearby firms," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1623, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:has:discpr:1623
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Viviana Celli & Augusto Cerqua & Guido Pellegrini, 2023. "The long-term effects of mass layoffs: do local economies (ever) recover?," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 1121-1144.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    plant closure; agglomeration; local labor market; demand effect; input-output links; propagation of shocks; FDI;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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