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Credit Shocks and Equilibrium Dynamics in Consumer Durable Goods Markets

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  • Gavazza, Alessandro
  • Lanteri, Andrea
Abstract
This paper studies equilibrium dynamics in consumer durable goods markets after aggregate credit shocks. We introduce two novel features into a general-equilibrium model of durable consumption with heterogeneous households facing idiosyncratic income risk and borrowing constraints: (i) indivisible durable goods are vertically differentiated in their quality and (ii) trade on secondary markets at market-clearing prices, with households endogenously choosing when to trade or scrap their durables. The model highlights a new transmission mechanism for macroeconomic shocks and successfully matches several empirical patterns that we document using data on U.S. car markets around the Great Recession. After a tightening of the borrowing limit, debt-constrained households postpone the decision to scrap and upgrade their low-quality cars, which depresses mid-quality car prices. In turn, this effect reduces wealthy households' incentives to replace their mid-quality cars with high-quality ones, thereby decreasing new-car sales. We further use our framework to evaluate targeted fiscal stimulus policies such as the Car Allowance Rebate System in 2009 (``Cash for Clunkers'').

Suggested Citation

  • Gavazza, Alessandro & Lanteri, Andrea, 2018. "Credit Shocks and Equilibrium Dynamics in Consumer Durable Goods Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 13229, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13229
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    Cited by:

    1. Harmenberg, Karl & Öberg, Erik, 2021. "Consumption dynamics under time-varying unemployment risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 350-365.
    2. Fabio Bertolotti & Alessandro Gavazza & Andrea Lanteri, 2023. "Dynamics of Expenditures on Durable Goods: The Role of New-Product Quality," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(652), pages 1641-1656.
    3. Boris Chafwehe, 2023. "Unemployment Risk, Consumption Dynamics, and the Secondary Market for Durable Goods," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 202-243, April.
    4. Dr. Gabriel Züllig & Valentin Grob, 2024. "Corporate leverage and the effects of monetary policy on investment: a reconciliation of micro and macro elasticities," Working Papers 2024-08, Swiss National Bank.
    5. Francesca Vinci & Omar Licandro, 2020. "Switching-track after the Great Recession," Discussion Papers 2020/02, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    6. Hyunseung Oh, 2019. "The Role of Durables Replacement and Second‐Hand Markets in a Business‐Cycle Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(4), pages 761-786, June.
    7. Andrea Lanteri & Adriano A. Rampini, 2023. "Constrained-Efficient Capital Reallocation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 113(2), pages 354-395, February.
    8. Keaton S. Miller & Wesley W. Wilson & Nicholas G. Wood, 2020. "Environmentalism, Stimulus, And Inequality Reduction Through Industrial Policy: Did Cash For Clunkers Achieve The Trifecta?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1109-1128, July.
    9. Giuseppe Fiori & Filippo Scoccianti, 2021. "Aggregate dynamics and microeconomic heterogeneity: the role of vintage technology," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 651, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Orazio Attanasio & Kieran Larkin & Morten O. Ravn & Mario Padula, 2022. "(S)Cars and the Great Recession," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(5), pages 2319-2356, September.
    11. Francesca Parodi, 2024. "Consumption Tax Cuts In A Recession," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(1), pages 117-148, February.
    12. Bill Dupor & Rong Li & M. Saif Mehkari & Yi-Chan Tsai, 2018. "The 2008 U.S. Auto Market Collapse," Working Papers 2018-19, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Durable goods; Credit constraints;

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • L62 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Automobiles; Other Transportation Equipment; Related Parts and Equipment

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