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The Good, the Bad and the Uncertain: Bioenergy Use in the European Union

Author

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  • George Philippidis

    (Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 41092 Seville, Spain
    Aragonese Agency for Research and Development (ARAID), Centre for Agro-Food Research and Technology (CITA), Government of Aragón, 50059 Zaragoza, Spain)

  • Heleen Bartelings

    (Wageningen Economic Research, Wageningen University and Research, Alexanderveld 5, 2585 The Hague, The Netherlands)

  • John Helming

    (Wageningen Economic Research, Wageningen University and Research, Alexanderveld 5, 2585 The Hague, The Netherlands)

  • Robert M’barek

    (Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 41092 Seville, Spain)

  • Edward Smeets

    (Wageningen Economic Research, Wageningen University and Research, Alexanderveld 5, 2585 The Hague, The Netherlands)

  • Hans Van Meijl

    (Wageningen Economic Research, Wageningen University and Research, Alexanderveld 5, 2585 The Hague, The Netherlands)

Abstract
As the EU is moving towards a low carbon economy and seeks to further develop its renewable energy policy, this paper quantitatively investigates the impact of plausible energy market reforms from the perspective of bio-renewables. Employing a state-of-the-art biobased variant of a computable general equilibrium model, this study assesses the perceived medium-term benefits, risks and trade-offs which arise from an advanced biofuels plan, two exploratory scenarios of a more ‘sustainable’ conventional biofuels plan and a ‘no-mandate’ scenario. Consistent with more recent studies, none of the scenarios considered present significant challenges to EU food-security or agricultural land usage. An illustrative advanced biofuels plan simulation requires non-trivial public support to implement whilst a degree of competition for biomass with (high-value) advanced biomass material industries is observed. On the other hand, it significantly alleviates land use pressures, whilst lignocellulose biomass prices are not expected to increase to unsustainable levels. Clearly, these observations are subject to assumptions on technological change, sustainable biomass limits, expected trends in fossil fuel prices and EU access to third-country trade. With these same caveats in mind, the switch to increased bioethanol production does not result in significant market tensions in biomass markets.

Suggested Citation

  • George Philippidis & Heleen Bartelings & John Helming & Robert M’barek & Edward Smeets & Hans Van Meijl, 2018. "The Good, the Bad and the Uncertain: Bioenergy Use in the European Union," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:10:p:2703-:d:174796
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Schünemann, Franziska & Heimann, Tobias & Delzeit, Ruth & Söder, Mareike, 2021. "Yet Another Reform of EU Biofuel Policies: Impacts of the Latest Reform of the European Union’s Renewable Energy Directive," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315399, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
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