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The Financing of Ideas and the Great Deviation

Author

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  • Mr. Daniel Garcia-Macia
Abstract
Why did the Great Recession lead to such a slow recovery? I build a model where heterogeneous firms invest in physical and intangible capital, and can default on their debt. In case of default, intangible assets are harder to seize by creditors. Hence, intangible capital faces higher financing costs. This differential is exacerbated in a financial crisis, when default is more likely and aggregate risk bears a higher premium. The resulting fall in intangible investment amplifies the crisis, and gradual intangible spillovers to other firms contribute to its persistence. Using panel data on Spanish manufacturing firms, I estimate the model matching firm-level moments regarding intangibles and financing. The model captures the extent and components of the Great Recession in Spanish manufacturing, whereas a standard model without endogenous intangible investment would miss more than half of the GDP fall. A policy of transfers conditional on firm age could speed up the recovery, as young firms tend to be more financially constrained, particularly regarding intangible investment. Conditioning transfers on firm size or subsidizing credit (as in current E.U. policy) appears to be less effective.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Daniel Garcia-Macia, 2017. "The Financing of Ideas and the Great Deviation," IMF Working Papers 2017/176, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/176
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Luis Araujo & Qingqing Cao & Raoul Minetti & Pierluigi Murro, 2019. "Credit Crunches, Asset Prices and Technological Change," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 153-179, April.
    2. Garga, Vaishali & Singh, Sanjay R., 2021. "Output hysteresis and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 871-886.
    3. Sylvain Catherine & Thomas Chaney & Zongbo Huang & David Sraer & David Thesmar, 2022. "Quantifying Reduced‐Form Evidence on Collateral Constraints," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(4), pages 2143-2181, August.
    4. Besley, T. & Roland, I. & Van Reenen, J., 2019. "The Aggregate Consequences of Default Risk: Evidence from Firm-level Data," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2061, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Eran Hoffmann, 2018. "The Cyclical Composition of Startups," 2018 Meeting Papers 553, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Clemens Possnig & Andreea Rotu{a}rescu & Kyungchul Song, 2022. "Estimating Dynamic Spillover Effects along Multiple Networks in a Linear Panel Model," Papers 2211.08995, arXiv.org.
    7. Michael Redmond & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2016. "The Lasting Damage from the Financial Crisis to U.S. Productivity," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-3, March.
    8. Gianluca Benigno & Luca Fornaro, 2018. "Stagnation Traps," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(3), pages 1425-1470.
    9. Teplova, T. & Sokolova, T. & Teplov, A., 2017. "Intellectual Capital of Russian Companies as a Driver of Reducing the Cost of Debt," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 36(4), pages 107-134.
    10. de Ridder, Maarten, 2016. "Investment in productivity and the long-run effect of financial crises on output," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86180, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Diego Anzoategui & Diego Comin & Mark Gertler & Joseba Martinez, 2019. "Endogenous Technology Adoption and R&D as Sources of Business Cycle Persistence," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 67-110, July.
    12. Mehmet Furkan Karaca, Mehmet Furkan Karaca & Minetti, Raoul & Murro, Pierluigi, 2022. "Credit Reallocation and Technological Change," Working Papers 2022-6, Michigan State University, Department of Economics.
    13. Alexis Derviz, 2016. "Credit Constraints and Creditless Recoveries: An Unsteady State Approach," Working Papers 2016/10, Czech National Bank.
    14. Bianchi, Francesco & Kung, Howard & Morales, Gonzalo, 2019. "Growth, slowdowns, and recoveries," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 47-63.
    15. Francesco Manaresi & Nicola Pierri, 2017. "Credit Constraints and Firm Productivity: Evidence from Italy," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 137, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    16. Minjie Deng & Chang Liu, 2021. "Sovereign Risk and Intangible Investment," Discussion Papers dp21-16, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
    17. Haozhou Tang, 2018. "Asset Price Bubbles and the Distribution of Firms," 2018 Meeting Papers 362, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Panagiotis Barkas & Mauro Pisu, 2018. "Boosting investment in Greece," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1506, OECD Publishing.
    19. Luis Araujo & Qingqing Cao & Raoul Minetti & Pierluigi Murro, 2019. "Credit Crunches, Asset Prices and Technological Change," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 153-179, April.
    20. Aubhik Khan & Julia Thomas & Tatsuro Senga, 2018. "The Persistent Effects of Entry and Exit," 2018 Meeting Papers 707, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    21. Edoardo Palombo, 2020. "Uncertainty, Intangible Capital, and Productivity Dynamics," Working Papers 909, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    22. Matthew Knowles, 2023. "Capital Deaccumulation and the Large Persistent Effects of Financial Crises," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 218, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    23. Aubhik Khan & Julia Thomas & Tatsuro Senga, 2019. "Business Formation and Economic Growth Beyond the Great Recession," 2019 Meeting Papers 1453, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    24. Bańbura, Marta & Albani, Maria & Ambrocio, Gene & Bursian, Dirk & Buss, Ginters & de Winter, Jasper & Gavura, Miroslav & Giordano, Claire & Júlio, Paulo & Le Roux, Julien & Lozej, Matija & Malthe-Thag, 2018. "Business investment in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 215, European Central Bank.

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