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Capital market response to emission allowance prices: a multivariate GARCH approach

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  • Frank Venmans
Abstract
This study assesses the impact of European emission allowances (EUA) prices on stock prices of all companies in the StoxxEurope Total Market Index belonging to sectors regulated by the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS). The effect of allowance prices on stock prices is found to be firm specific. For most companies, EUA prices are found to be positively correlated to stock prices of regulated companies. This is the case for all sectors. Different multivariate GARCH models, generalised least squares panel models and aggregated models are compared. We show that models which ignore covariances of the regression errors between firms are inefficient and that imposing a common carbon effect for all firms creates aggregation bias. Copyright Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies and Springer Japan 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Frank Venmans, 2015. "Capital market response to emission allowance prices: a multivariate GARCH approach," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 17(4), pages 577-620, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:envpol:v:17:y:2015:i:4:p:577-620
    DOI: 10.1007/s10018-015-0105-6
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    4. Parisa Pakrooh & Matteo Manera, 2024. "Causality, Connectedness, and Volatility Pass-through among Energy-Metal-Stock-Carbon Markets: New Evidence from the EU," Working Papers 2024.22, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    5. Tao, Miaomiao & Poletti, Stephen & Sheng, Mingyue Selena & Wen, Le, 2024. "Nexus between carbon, stock, and energy markets in New Zealand: An analysis of causal domains," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    6. Ajay K. Dhamija & Surendra S. Yadav & PK Jain, 2018. "Volatility spillover of energy markets into EUA markets under EU ETS: a multi-phase study," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 20(3), pages 561-591, July.
    7. Sun, Xiaotian & Fang, Wei & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Liu, Siyao & Wu, Tao, 2022. "Complex causalities between the carbon market and the stock markets for energy intensive industries in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 404-417.
    8. Zhang, Chen & Yang, Yu & Yun, Po, 2020. "Risk measurement of international carbon market based on multiple risk factors heterogeneous dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    9. Brouwers, Roel & Schoubben, Frederiek & Van Hulle, Cynthia & Van Uytbergen, Steve, 2016. "The initial impact of EU ETS verification events on stock prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 138-149.

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