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Analisis de Consistencia1.0

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ESTACIÓN CHETILLA:Precipitación (mm/me

AÑO ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO


1963 46.4 115.8 78.5 65.7 31.5 16.2
1964 101.2 134.3 115.3 84 31.5 15.4
1965 65.7 99.3 102.8 58 16.5 14.9
1966 98.5 102.9 82.8 59.8 21.5 4
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972 84.1 69.4 146.9 91.2 48.6 7.2
1973 65.9 42 94.8 40.2 19.4 8.4
1974 114.5 75.5 87.9 73 37.4 15
1975 110.4 113.4 84.6 71.9 33.2 10.8
1976 77.2 118 63.3 54.3 37.9 11.7
1977 74.2 81.4 68 50.5 13.3 6.7
1978 16.8 49.8 60 34.7 67.3 5.2
1979 50 108.8 145.5 41.2 24.8 1.6
1980 37 24.9 74.4 20.2 8 8.3
1981 69.2 206.2 109.7 46.3 25 8.4
1982
1983 93 69.4 181.9 91.7 39.4 10.7
1984 45 257.9 125.8 61.5 65.7 19.1
1985 15.8 50.3 37.8 49.9 56.9 1.8
1986 108.1 34.2 92.4 106.6 15.3 0.3
1987 145 82.2 38.7 58.3 9.4 9.1
1988 124.1 127.5 51.5 109.1 16.6 8.6
1989 62.4 176.5 156.2 114.2 27.6 26.4
1990 99.4 64.5 79.1 62.1 53.2 25.3
1991 65.6 88 189.7 99.4 3.6 1.6
1992 73.6 37.1 61.2 69.1 18.6 11.4

PRECIPITACIÓN ANUAL
Año (litros/s) m3/s
1963 592.1 2131.56
1964 711.1 2559.96
1965 546.8 1968.48
1966 650.2 2340.72
1972 734.1 2642.76
1973 494.8 1781.28
1974 622.1 2239.56
1975 628.2 2261.52
1976 616.7 2220.12
1977 441.1 1587.96
1978 404.9 1457.64
1979 516.4 1859.04
1980 531.8 1914.48
1981 735 2646
1983 738.8 2659.68
1984 887 3193.2
1985 363.7 1309.32
1986 542.9 1954.44
1987 569.6 2050.56
1988 685.9 2469.24
1989 844.5 3040.2
1990 719.3 2589.48
1991 632.5 2277
1992 478 1720.8
LLA:Precipitación (mm/mes)

JULIO AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE


5.3 10.3 14.8 64.4 56.5 86.7
10.2 8.7 36.9 35.3 71.1 67.2
10.5 7.2 23.1 15.5 56 77.3
2.9 5.8 29.4 80.2 85.6 76.8

3.7 13.1 37.1 97.2 52.4 83.2


4.7 16.7 20.9 50 71 60.8
12.2 14.3 25.3 55.8 56.5 54.7
10.6 16.3 26.5 41.8 55.6 53.1
8.3 7.4 24.7 88.7 55.7 69.5
10.8 2.2 19.8 34.7 22.2 57.3
15.4 6 24.3 29.9 35.9 59.6
12.5 18.9 35.2 6.4 29.7 41.8
3.5 4.9 1.8 126.5 91.7 130.6
8.9 15.8 22.7 95.8 29.9 97.1

11.1 8.9 16.9 77.3 49.2 89.3


11.1 22.2 38.3 86.3 68.7 85.4
1.1 13 45.6 33.3 16.5 41.7
9.2 19.5 1.3 27 50.1 78.9
17.2 14.9 38.6 36.9 58.7 60.6
0 1.2 24.8 63.6 83.1 75.8
0.5 3.8 53.5 110.9 28 84.5
2 12 11 129.7 110.2 70.8
0.4 1.3 41.5 22.2 55 64.2
3.4 6 36.1 31.2 66.4 63.9

1) ANALISIS VISUAL

3500

3000

2500
ción(m3/s)

2000
Precipitación(m3/s)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000

196
3
196
4
196
ESTACIÓN CHETILLA:Precipitación anual
3500

3000

2500
ción(m3/s)

2000
Precipitación(m3/s)

0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000

196
3
196
4
196
5
196
6
197
2
197
3
197
4
197
5
197
6
197
7
197
8
197
Año

9
198
0
198
1
198
3
198
4
198
5
198
6
198
7
198
8
198
9
199
0
199
1
199
2
ESTACIÓN WEBERBAUER:Precipitación (mm/m

AÑO ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO


1963 35.8 851 70.3 52.1 13.3 3.9
1964 30.3 50.4 357.3 56.2 12.3 6.6
1965 121.1 81.4 121.1 41.7 12.1 11.1
1966 62.7 45.9 54.5 41.9 44 0
1967 120.9 139.5 109.1 32.3 44.1 3.9
1968 58 81 67.7 26.2 14.9 1.6
1969 42 73.7 83.5 85.7 1.5 19.6
1970 71 41.8 79.9 54.5 33.8 19.9
1971 58.4 97.8 275.7 54.7 8 12.2
1972 55.5 67.6 11.8 76.2 18.1 4.4
1973 95.3 70.7 91.6 98.4 27.9 28.7
1974 76.8 128.2 95.2 58.5 4.6 17.3
1975 137.6 181.8 238.5 70.7 66.8 10
1976 130.4 62.9 81.3 55.2 43 23
1977 129.9 146.4 141.9 42.6 25.5 8
1978 12.7 34.4 48.8 37 65.6 3.9
1979 84.1 81.6 159.7 37.1 16.3 1.8
1980 34.9 42.4 65 29.3 6.9 15.1
1981 78.2 186.5 105.7 33.7 14.7 6.6
1982 71.8 102.9 75.7 88.7 38.2 7.8
1983 116.6 75.7 152.8 105.7 31.1 10.1
1984 24.7 233.6 123.8 80 69.5 25.1
1985 24.6 42.4 37.2 41.9 53 0.4
1986 84.4 47.7 96.8 120.2 16 0.6
1987 98 95.2 39.2 52.2 11.2 4
1988 109.7 105.5 44.8 95.6 10.6 5.4
1989 87 158.8 113.5 85.4 18.8 16.7
1990 101 95.3 101.8 62 28 10.7
1991 43.8 90 133.7 55.2 17.9 0.7
1992 36.5 90 96 93.8 61.1 3.3

PRECIPITACIÓN ANUAL
Año (litros/s) m3/s
1963 1410.9 5079.24
1964 777.7 2799.72
1965 605.9 2181.24
1966 428.5 1542.6
1972 437.6 1575.36
1973 673.5 2424.6
1974 663.9 2390.04
1975 923.2 3323.52
1976 560.8 2018.88
1977 694.4 2499.84
1978 358.8 1291.68
1979 534.7 1924.92
1980 553.9 1994.04
1981 736.1 2649.96
1982 717.2 2581.92
1983 756.9 2724.84
1984 905.8 3260.88
1985 374.1 1346.76
1986 544.4 1959.84
1987 535.4 1927.44
1988 602.9 2170.44
1989 699.2 2517.12
1990 643.3 2315.88
1991 507.4 1826.64
1992 642 2311.2
AUER:Precipitación (mm/mes)

JULIO AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE


10.2 32.6 42.9 79.7 47 172.1
1.6 23.8 12.6 52.6 58.8 115.2
2.9 28 13.4 98 40.7 34.4
7.5 0.7 13.1 76.8 62.7 18.7
28.4 5.8 24.9 101 17.8 36.7
1.6 16.2 50 66.4 54.6 70.8
0.3 7.8 18.4 73.8 106.4 162
3.2 2.5 18.2 103 51.5 54.1
17.6 17.2 28.1 89.8 45.8 66.5
3.4 20.6 31.9 31.4 66.5 50.2
8.4 19.3 87.2 5.5 68.2 72.3
6.5 26.4 39.7 71 55.1 84.6
7.2 19.3 45.1 80.2 65.1 0.9
0.1 4.4 12.3 32.2 71.6 44.4
7.5 0.1 16.1 53.4 54.8 68.2
4.4 3.8 25 24.4 54 44.8
7.5 15.7 33.6 24.4 26.3 46.6
3.2 6.7 2.3 130.4 111 106.7
7.2 12.7 22 111.9 45.6 111.3
2.1 6.6 43.9 124.8 67.3 87.4
9.6 2.7 19.2 86.9 28.1 118.4
23.4 18.7 36.7 68.6 97.6 104.1
4.8 18.3 37.3 50 23.9 40.3
1.2 14.6 1.3 43.6 66.2 51.8
10.8 12.3 39.5 37.2 74.3 61.5
0 0.4 32.9 69.4 65.2 63.4
3.2 5.9 53.5 106.6 47.1 2.7
6.8 10.3 28.7 73.3 61.2 64.2
0.4 0.3 10.2 28.2 55.1 71.9
3.9 15.1 27 20.7 48.3 146.3

1) ANALISIS VISUAL

ESTACIÓN CHETILLA:Precipitac
1600

1400

1200

1000
Precipitación(m3/s)
1000
1200
1400

0
200
400
600
800

196
3

196
4

196
5

196
6

197
2

197
3

197
4

197
5

197
6

197
7

197
8

197
9
Año

198
0

198
1
CIÓN CHETILLA:Precipitación anual
6

197
7

197
8

197
9

Año
198
0

198
1

198
2

198
3

198
4

198
5

198
6

198
7

198
8

198
9

199
0

199
1

199
2
2) ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA

Precipitacion anual
CHETILLA
AÑO
PP PP acum.
1963 592.10 592.10
1964 711.10 1303.20
1965 546.80 1850.00
1966 650.20 2500.20
1972 734.10 3234.30
1973 494.80 3729.10
1974 622.10 4351.20
1975 628.20 4979.40
1976 616.70 5596.10
1977 441.10 6037.20
1978 404.90 6442.10
1979 516.40 6958.50
1980 531.80 7490.30
1981 735.00 8225.30
1983 738.80 8964.10
1984 887.00 9851.10
1985 363.70 10214.80
1986 542.90 10757.70
1987 569.60 11327.30
1988 685.90 12013.20
1989 844.50 12857.70
1990 719.30 13577.00
1991 632.50 14209.50
1992 478.00 14687.50

2) ANALISIS DOBLE MASA

ANALISIS VISUAL GRÁFICO


2500.00

2000.00

1500.00
Año

1000.00

500.00

0.00
19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
63 964 965 966 972 973 974 975 976 977 978 979 980 981 983 984 985 986 987 988 989 990 991

1000.00

500.00

0.00
19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
63 964 965 966 972 973 974 975 976 977 978 979 980 981 983 984 985 986 987 988 989 990 991

CHETILLA WEBERBAUER
pitacion anual
CHETILLA
WEBERBAUER
16000.00
PP PP acum. 14000.00
f(x) = 605.420913043478 x + 5.10942028985763
1410.90 1410.90 12000.00
R² = 0.998179317190311
10000.00
777.70 2188.60

Axis Title
8000.00
605.90 2794.50 6000.00
4000.00
428.50 3223.00 2000.00
437.60 3660.60 0.00

1963
1964
1965
1966
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
673.50 4334.10
663.90 4998.00
923.20 5921.20 Axis Title
560.80 6482.00
694.40 7176.40
358.80 7535.20 WEBERBAUER
534.70 8069.90
18000.00
553.90 8623.80 16000.00
736.10 9359.90 14000.00 f(x) = 616.917695652174 x + 809.874637681158
12000.00 R² = 0.998972050368334
756.90 10116.80
10000.00
Axis Title

905.80 11022.60 8000.00


374.10 11396.70 6000.00
4000.00
544.40 11941.10 2000.00
535.40 12476.50 0.00
602.90 13079.40
1963
1964
1965
1966
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
699.20 13778.60
643.30 14421.90 Axis Title
507.40 14929.30
642.00 15571.30

CHETILLA
ICO
16000.00

14000.00 f(x) = 605.420913043478 x + 5.10942028985763


R² = 0.998179317190311
12000.00

10000.00

8000.00
Axis Title

6000.00

4000.00

2000.00

0.00
141

218

279

322

366

433

499

592

648

717

753

806

862

935
0.9

8.6

4.5

0.6

4.1

8.0

1. 2

2.0

6.4

5.2

9.9

9.9
3.0

3.8

19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0

0
0

83 984 985 986 987 988 989 990 991 992


0
9. 9
935
0
3.8
862
Axis Title

0
9. 9
806
0
5. 2
753
0
6.4
717
0
2. 0
648
0
1. 2
592
0
8. 0
499
0
4.1
433
0
0. 6
366
0
3.0
322
0
4.5
279
0
8. 6
218
0
0. 9
141
0.00
4000.00

2000.00

Ax
83 984 985 986 987 988 989 990 991 992
19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Linear (CHETILLA)
CHETILLA
30
71.
155
30
29.
149
90
21.
144
60
78.
137

Linear (WEBERBAUER)
40
Linear (CHETILLA)

79.
130

WEBERBAUER
50
76.
124
CHETILLA

10
41.
119
70
96.
113
60
22.
110
80
16.
101

CHETILLA
1992 9.9
0
1991 1992 935
1990 1991 0
1989 1990 3.8
1989 862
1988

WEBERBAUER
0

3478 x + 5.10942028985763
1987 1988 9.9
806

CHETILLA
1987

4 x + 809.874637681158
1986
1985 1986 5.2
0
1984 1985 753
1983 1984 0
1981 1983 6.4
717

Axis Title
1980 1981 0
1979 1980 2.0
648

985763
is Title
1978 1979

0311
0
1977 1978 1. 2

4
Linear (CHETILLA)

30
71.
155
30
29.
149
90
21.
144
60
78.
137
40
79.
130
50
76.
124
10
41.
119
70
96.
113
60
22.
110
80
16.
101
0
9. 9
935
0
3.8
862
Axis Title
0
9. 9
806
0
5. 2
753
0
6.4
717
0
2. 0
648
0
1. 2
Precipitacion anual
AÑO CHETILLA WEBERBAUER
0 PP PP
1963 592.1 1410.9
1964 711.1 777.7
1965 546.8 605.9
1966 650.2 428.5
1967 0 664.4
1968 0 509
1969 0 674.7
1970 0 533.4
1971 0 771.8
1972 734.1 437.6
1973 494.8 673.5
1974 622.1 663.9
1975 628.2 923.2
1976 616.7 560.8
1977 441.1 694.4
1978 404.9 358.8
1979 516.4 534.7
1980 531.8 553.9
1981 735 736.1
1982 0 717.2
1983 738.8 756.9
1984 887 905.8
1985 363.7 374.1
1986 542.9 544.4
1987 569.6 535.4
1988 685.9 602.9
1989 844.5 699.2
1990 719.3 643.3
1991 632.5 507.4
1992 478 642
Columna1

Media 648.06 Resumen


Error típico 36.3148750751553
Mediana 642.65 Estadísticas de la regresión
Moda #N/A Coeficiente de correlación múltiple
Desviación estándar 198.904762516447 Coeficiente de determinación R^2
Varianza de la muestra 39563.104551724 R^2 ajustado
Curtosis 6.63516548920976 Error típico
Coeficiente de asimetría 1.93056266251726 Observaciones
Rango 1052.1
Mínimo 358.8 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Máximo 1410.9 Grados de libertad
Suma 19441.8 Regresión
Cuenta 30 Residuos
Total

Intercepción
Variable X 1

Análisis de los residuales

Observación
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Gráfico de probab
1000
800
600
400

Y
200
a regresión 0
0.14513219 0 20 40
0.02106335 Muestra
-0.01389867
277.008933
30

Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
1 46229.4243 46229.4243 0.60246377 0.44414696
28 2148550.58 76733.9492
29 2194780

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
359.497418 175.06104 2.05355468 0.0494651 0.90113282 718.093703 0.90113282 718.093703
0.20073128 0.25861255 0.7761854 0.44414696 -0.32901251 0.73047508 -0.32901251 0.73047508

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Pronóstico para YResiduos Percentil Y


642.709186 -50.6091857 1.66666667 0
515.606137 195.493863 5 0
481.120502 65.6794976 8.33333333 0
445.510773 204.689227 11.6666667 0
492.863283 -492.863283 15 0
461.669641 -461.669641 18.3333333 0
494.930815 -494.930815 21.6666667 363.7
466.567484 -466.567484 25 404.9
514.421822 -514.421822 28.3333333 441.1
447.337427 286.762573 31.6666667 478
494.689937 0.11006281 35 494.8
492.762917 129.337083 38.3333333 516.4
544.812539 83.3874613 41.6666667 531.8
472.067522 144.632478 45 542.9
498.885221 -57.785221 48.3333333 546.8
431.519802 -26.6198022 51.6666667 569.6
466.828435 49.571565 55 592.1
470.682476 61.1175243 58.3333333 616.7
507.255716 227.744284 61.6666667 622.1
503.461894 -503.461894 65 628.2
511.430926 227.369074 68.3333333 632.5
541.319814 345.680186 71.6666667 650.2
434.590991 -70.8909909 75 685.9
468.775528 74.1244715 78.3333333 711.1
466.968947 102.631053 81.6666667 719.3
480.518309 205.381691 85 734.1
499.848731 344.651269 88.3333333 735
488.627852 230.672148 91.6666667 738.8
461.348471 171.151529 95 844.5
488.366902 -10.3669018 98.3333333 887
Gráfico de probabilidad normal
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil

perior 95.0%

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