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Obesity Prediction with EHR Data: A Deep Learning Approach with Interpretable Elements

Published: 07 April 2022 Publication History

Abstract

Childhood obesity is a major public health challenge. Early prediction and identification of the children at an elevated risk of developing childhood obesity may help in engaging earlier and more effective interventions to prevent and manage obesity. Most existing predictive tools for childhood obesity primarily rely on traditional regression-type methods using only a few hand-picked features and without exploiting longitudinal patterns of children’s data. Deep learning methods allow the use of high-dimensional longitudinal datasets. In this article, we present a deep learning model designed for predicting future obesity patterns from generally available items on children’s medical history. To do this, we use a large unaugmented electronic health records dataset from a large pediatric health system in the United States. We adopt a general LSTM network architecture and train our proposed model using both static and dynamic EHR data. To add interpretability, we have additionally included an attention layer to calculate the attention scores for the timestamps and rank features of each timestamp. Our model is used to predict obesity for ages between 3 and 20 years using the data from 1 to 3 years in advance. We compare the performance of our LSTM model with a series of existing studies in the literature and show it outperforms their performance in most age ranges.

Supplementary Material

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Supplementary material

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      cover image ACM Transactions on Computing for Healthcare
      ACM Transactions on Computing for Healthcare  Volume 3, Issue 3
      July 2022
      251 pages
      EISSN:2637-8051
      DOI:10.1145/3514183
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      Association for Computing Machinery

      New York, NY, United States

      Publication History

      Published: 07 April 2022
      Accepted: 01 December 2021
      Revised: 01 November 2021
      Received: 01 January 2020
      Published in HEALTH Volume 3, Issue 3

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      Author Tags

      1. Childhood obesity
      2. electronic health records
      3. temporal data
      4. deep learning
      5. long short-term memory
      6. transfer learning

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