Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2024

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2022
Florida's 21st Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 26, 2024
Primary: August 20, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Florida
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Florida's 21st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th
Florida elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 21st Congressional District of Florida, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was August 20, 2024. The filing deadline was April 26, 2024. All 435 U.S. House seats were up for election in 2024. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] Forty-five members of the U.S. House did not run for re-election. To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 63.5%-36.5%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 54.4%-45.0%.[2]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Brian Mast defeated Thomas Witkop and Elizabeth Felton in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 21 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Mast
Brian Mast (R)
 
61.5
 
276,685
Image of Thomas Witkop
Thomas Witkop (D) Candidate Connection
 
38.5
 
173,515
Image of Elizabeth Felton
Elizabeth Felton (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
0

Total votes: 450,200
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Thomas Witkop advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Brian Mast defeated Rick Wiles in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 20, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Mast
Brian Mast
 
85.8
 
60,395
Image of Rick Wiles
Rick Wiles Candidate Connection
 
14.2
 
9,957

Total votes: 70,352
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Thomas Witkop

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Growing up in Montgomery County, Maryland, I developed an appreciation for the U.S. Constitution and American democracy. My mother, a local activist for the environment and fair public school policy, and my father, a criminal defense attorney, bestowed in me a drive to give voice to those most vulnerable and a willingness to listen to all viewpoints. They taught me that participating in our democracy is our most powerful tool to effect change and support solutions. I believe strongly in the American Dream and understand our democracy is a central component of that Dream. While I understand that many feel disillusioned with our current system and its ability to solve problems, I believe we cannot give up on the oldest existing democracy in the world. Instead of addressing pressing issues like infrastructure repair and creating new jobs for the American people, our current leadership stokes partisan division and encourages distrust in our democracy by rejecting compromise, supporting election fraud claims, and blindly following party demagogues. If elected, I pledge to certify our free and fair elections, protect reproductive rights and address climate change at the national level."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Florida’s waterways, reefs, and woods are like no other. I pledge to preserve our natural resources and address harmful discharges into our waterways. While my opponent votes against protecting critical waterways such as Lake Okeechobee and the St. Lucie Estuary, I promise to uphold our environmental laws and refuse special interests who lobby on behalf of major polluters.


I stand in support of women’s access to contraception, IVF, and medical procedures including abortion. These interventions are crucial for women who may lose their life to pregnancy as well as women who wish to expand their family. The decision to undergo pregnancy belongs to women and their doctors, not politicians.


American workers should be the primary beneficiaries of economic growth. As your representative, I will vote for higher wages, affordable housing, and fully funding Social Security and Medicare. It is beyond time to put working families first, and stop writing our tax code to cater to hedge funds and billionaires.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 21 in 2024.

Image of Elizabeth Felton

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: No Party Affiliation

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Elizabeth Felton"


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


The United States Constitution is Supreme Law of the Land


Return of power to the people and State's Rights


Break the duopoly and defund the oligarchy.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 21 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Florida

Election information in Florida: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 24, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 24, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 24, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 26, 2024 to Nov. 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

The United States Constitution is Supreme Law of the Land

Return of power to the people and State's Rights

Break the duopoly and defund the oligarchy.
Florida’s waterways, reefs, and woods are like no other. I pledge to preserve our natural resources and address harmful discharges into our waterways. While my opponent votes against protecting critical waterways such as Lake Okeechobee and the St. Lucie Estuary, I promise to uphold our environmental laws and refuse special interests who lobby on behalf of major polluters.

I stand in support of women’s access to contraception, IVF, and medical procedures including abortion. These interventions are crucial for women who may lose their life to pregnancy as well as women who wish to expand their family. The decision to undergo pregnancy belongs to women and their doctors, not politicians.

American workers should be the primary beneficiaries of economic growth. As your representative, I will vote for higher wages, affordable housing, and fully funding Social Security and Medicare. It is beyond time to put working families first, and stop writing our tax code to cater to hedge funds and billionaires.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/80182230_74680704_10221649745095580_719228312785780736_n.jpg

Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

Protection of children, personal freedoms, property rights.
I have worked with heavily immigrant communities and appreciate the sacrifice they made to come to our country. Unfortunately, we penalize people for seeking the American Dream. I believe that at the same time, we can protect our borders, while also fully funding a legal immigration system.

We must unite in advocating for civil rights, demonstrating our dedication to equal opportunity for every individual.


Also, our Treasure Coast is uniquely vulnerable to ongoing climate change. Increased floods, heat waves, and major hurricanes threaten our security and way of life. By funding clean energy, we will prevent countless catastrophes and make our nation energy independent.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

Jesus. I do not require anyone else to hold my personal beliefs and believe all religions are but spokes to a wheel, with God (Good vibes) a the center, everything else around the rim and spokes as multiple paths between the two. I strive to lean more into turning the other cheek but acknowledge sometimes you've break out the whip and flip tables.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

"Wag the dog" and "The Distinguished Gentleman" Encompass my understanding of the State of politics in America.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

Integrity, honesty and a strong sense of moral justice.
An elected official has three main tasks that they must ensure they complete while in office.

1. Become the voice of their district, if a district chooses an elected official, that means they are putting the trust of their future into the representative’s hands.

2. Inform their constituents. When voted into office, it isn't the job of an official to take their liberty with the sides of the argument they are sharing. They must get the full truth to the voters of their district.

3. Plan for the future with their district in mind. Washington DC is a slow moving machine, even if an elected official is only there for two years, it is incumbent upon them to fight for their district with the future in mind.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

Strong sense of justice, compassion for others and I don't take myself too seriously. I believe the US Constitution is supreme law of the land and will not give a yes vote to anything that violates it.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

Primary responsibility is to hear constitute concerns in order to represent, not lead. The interstate commerce clause is the most abused piece of Federal legislation causing corruption in business, property rights and personal freedoms. My goal is to redact far more laws than I vote to pass.
The core responsibilities of an elected official are to remain loyal to their constituents and refuse to get bogged down in the political polarization of our Congress. An elected official is there to do one thing: serve the people, not their own interests, and certainly not the interests of millionaires and billionaires. Serving their district by properly informing their constituents and making decisions aware of their district's opinion of them is crucial to our representative democracy.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

A path for everyday citizens, without excessive funds or fame, to become representaives.
e
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

Baby sitting in my teens until I was 17.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

"Much Ado About Nothing." It made me laugh.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

At 53, I'm, still working on myself, I have no aspirations to be anyone but me.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

The ability to hear the will of the people, unfortunately we seem to be led by the will of corperations.
Unlike Senators who are tasked with representing their entire state, representatives have the unique and important responsibility of representing individual districts. Given this responsibility it is crucial each representative has a tight knit relationship with their district and an understanding of the most pressing issues their district faces. As a representative of Florida’s 21st district I will work to protect Lake Okeechobee and the St. Lucie Estuary and ensure our communities are not burdened by the lofty repair costs of natural disasters and floods.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

Bars often hire people with no experience because they do not yet know how to steal. The same can be said for politicians.
The bottom line is that representatives need to reflect the beliefs and needs of their constituents. There isn't necessarily always a correlation between previous government or political experience and fair representation. Many elected officials have a wide breadth of previous experience but continually vote against or simply leave the needs of their constituents unaddressed. I pledge to remain loyal to our community and not cave into the financial or bureaucratic pressures that may come with holding office.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

Greedy politicians who are lead by "party over people."
America faces issues on many fronts, however, I find that our most pressing issue is polarization. Working together is how tasks are solved and I would work together with reasonable republican colleagues. There is no place in America for the growing and flourishing contempt for our processes and systems that is currently in place on the other side of the aisle. Winning back trust of the people and securing, while expanding democratic rights is key to challenging our struggles to come.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

I signed the term limits pledge in 2020 and promise to self limit after 2 terms.
Term limits should be implemented for all roles in government. We have a duty to properly represent our constituents, a healthy democracy has changes in leadership and voices to be heard. Now, implementing term limits would be a difficult task, but I am confident that in Congress, I can work with the team to properly design a just and reasonable term limit system for all of America's positions, whether appointed like Judges or elected like Representatives.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

I've often said Ron Paul was the greatest president that never was.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

The stories of Epstiens victims are gut wrenching. We have been told it was the Federal Government who pushed to allow him out during the day, where he allegedly reoffened while serving time. According to PBSO's Candidate Gauger during a candidate forum, they (PBSO) were too intimidated to push back.
When I was working at El Sol, I met an amazing student who would come to the homework club. She was a bright student that worked very hard and got good grades. She had plans to go to community college and then get a bachelor's degree. She came to the homework club to help students struggling with English so that they did not feel so alone and could catch up academically. She came in one day noticeably sad. Her mom had been let go of her job and could no longer afford the rent in the school district. They had to move further south into a worse neighborhood where she wouldn't be permitted to go to the same school. She asked me if I had any resources for helping her family and I did not. This student was a leader for her friends, she was making such a great effort to integrate them into the community and culture and yet she would soon be forced to leave them. This was one of many moments that made me realize I wanted to do more for our community.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

So, John wanted to be a lion tamer -- he admired the nerve, courage, feats of the lion tamers he saw at the circus when he was a little boy, and he didn't miss any opportunity to see them in action. Then he got the nerve himself, to go up to the greatest lion tamer of all, Mario the Magnificent, and say to him, "Tell me the secrets, of how to go into the cage full of lions, who are pacing up and down, who are snarling and baring their fangs, who are swinging their dangerous paws at you. Please tell me, so that I can go into that cage and not be clawed at, torn apart, and eaten alive."

"Well," Mario said, "are you sure that you want to do this? It is SO dangerous, and one mistake, only one, and you will be destroyed in a matter of minutes."

"Yes, I'm sure. Please, tell me your secrets -- I want to do this."

"Okay," Mario replied. 'First, I go into the cage, and I crack my whip, loudly and strongly, to let them know that I am here, and I am in charge. The lions will snarl, and bare their fangs, but that whip keeps them away."

John is impressed, but then he hesitates, and then says, "What if they swing their paws and knock the whip out of your hand -- what do you do then?"

Mario the Magnificent answers, "I have to very quickly pick up the chair that is in the cage, and lift it and point it at them. They don't like that chair, and will back away for a while... but then will start becoming angry again, and start their growling and pacing again."

"What if they knock the chair away?", John asks.

"Then, then, I pull my pistol out of my holster, and fire it into the air. The lions don't like that loud noise, and will back away."

"But, but what if the pistol jams, and no shot is fired?", John nervously asks.

Mario answers, "Then, as they are coming at you, you must reach back and throw some shit in their faces".

"But, but, how can you be sure -- what if there is no shit there?"

"Reach back. I promise, it will be there!"
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

I believe there are some subjects that are negotiable and other that are not.
In a time where our politics and representative bodies seem so polarized it is vital to listen to varying perspectives. I believe in compromise and will work with reasonable colleagues across the aisle to find common ground on legislation instead of allowing promising and important bills to be left on the back burner due to political gridlock.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

I'd love to let the people know what kind of silly things they are paying for with their taxes.
We need to redesign our tax structure. There is no reason working class Americans should struggle to put food on the table while uber-wealthy billionaires continue to rack up wealth without paying their fair share of taxes. I’m committed to raising taxes on the 1% and closing loopholes used by this subset of the population to avoid contributing to the greater good of the country.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

The alphabet agencies need a complete investigation by an impartial OIG to restore the Constitution and the Republic to its proper balance.
The House must use its investigative powers to look into government spending. As representatives it’s our responsibility to ensure citizens know what and where their money is going towards. No government institution should be failing audits, especially not our armed forces.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

The only endorsement I need is your vote.
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

None, the Federal Government needs to allow States to address their own issues.
Education and the Workforce

Homeland Security

Environment and Public Works
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Elizabeth Felton (No Affiliation)

All money in and out should be trackable by every person paying taxers via an internet search.
Government and Elected Officials must be held in account for where and when their money moves.

We cannot have a Defense Department that fails audits. Also, we should properly fund every asset of the government that helps people, including the IRS, the FEC, and the EDA. Government bureaucracy isn't inherently an issue but when you create a system that under-funds the help and over funds the harm to our American constituents, they grow resentful.

We can change that and fix our monetary standard.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Brian Mast Republican Party $3,685,806 $3,953,168 $1,846,312 As of October 16, 2024
Thomas Witkop Democratic Party $226,373 $113,712 $112,511 As of October 16, 2024
Elizabeth Felton No Party Affiliation $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]

Race ratings: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Noteworthy ballot measures

See also: Florida 2024 ballot measures

Two notable ballot measures were on the November 5, 2024, ballot in Florida. One would legalize marijuana possession under three ounces (Amendment 3), and the other would establish a constitutional right to abortion before fetal viability (Amendment 4). A 60% supermajority vote is required for the approval of both amendments.

Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would increase turnout statewide.

  • Wendy Sartory Link, the Supervisor of Elections for Palm Beach County, said: “A presidential election gets people excited and brings people out. But you might have folks who may not have cared as much or been as motivated to get out to vote for a president or all of the other races. Now, these amendments might just drive them out.”[7]
  • Brad Coker, the CEO of the Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy firm, said of Amendment 4: "It'll bring out younger voters of all kinds and more white, female voters, both groups which lean heavy Democratic... It’ll definitely help turn out voters in what for many was looking like a lackluster choice in the presidential race between Biden and Trump.”[8]
  • Florida House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell (D) said: “With voters paying more attention to down-ballot races, I’m optimistic we can have a reverse coattails effect where we start to drive turnout and help improve the numbers at the presidential level.”[9]
  • Republican pollster Ryan Tyson disputed the idea that the amendments would increase turnout for Democrats, saying of Amendment 4: "Nobody is trying to say that abortion doesn’t animate their base to turn out — we’ve seen that everywhere... However, we haven’t seen them turn out voters that wouldn’t have already turned out, like in a presidential year."[10]
  • Sen. Marco Rubio (R) said of Amendment 4: “People are going to vote, they’re going to come out and vote and I don’t think [the abortion rights measure] is going to change any turnout patterns.”[11]

Amendment 3

See also: Florida Amendment 3, Marijuana Legalization Initiative (2024)

A "yes" vote supported legalizing marijuana for adults 21 years old and older and allowing individuals to possess up to three ounces of marijuana.

A "no" vote opposed legalizing marijuana for adult use in Florida.

To read more about supporters and opponents of Amendment 3, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Amendment 4

See also: Florida Amendment 4, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024)

A "yes" vote supported adding the following language to the Florida Constitution’s Declaration of Rights: “… no law shall prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider.” Amendment 4 maintained the existing constitutional provision that permitted a law requiring parents to be notified before a minor can receive an abortion.

A "no" vote opposed amending the Florida Constitution's Declaration of Rights to provide that the state cannot "... prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider."


To read more about supporters and opponents of Amendment 4, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Florida in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Florida U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 5,181[14] $10,440.00 4/26/2024 Source
Florida U.S. House Unaffiliated 5,181[15] $6,960.00 4/26/2024 Source

==District analysis==

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_fl_congressional_district_021.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Florida.

Florida U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 28 28 1 101 56 9 21 53.6% 15 55.6%
2022 28 28 6 151 56 14 24 67.9% 17 73.9%
2020 27 27 2 114 54 10 19 53.7% 10 40.0%
2018 27 27 4 104 54 19 12 57.4% 11 47.8%
2016 27 27 7 100 54 11 13 44.4% 9 47.4%
2014 27 27 0 75 54 5 10 27.8% 8 29.6%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Florida in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

One hundred three candidates ran for Florida’s 28 U.S. House districts, including 42 Democrats and 61 Republicans. That’s 3.68 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.43 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.86 in 2018.

The 8th Congressional District was the only open district, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That’s the fewest open seats in Florida since 2014 when no seats were open. Incumbent Rep. Bill Posey (R-8th) did not run for re-election because he is retired from public office.

Seven candidates—incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-23rd) and six Republicans—ran for the 23rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.

Thirty primaries—nine Democratic and 21 Republican—were contested in 2024. Thirty-eight primaries were contested in 2022, 29 primaries were contested in 2020, and 31 primaries were contested in 2018.

Fifteen incumbents—two Democrats and 13 Republicans—were in contested primaries in Florida in 2024. That’s less than the 17 incumbents in contested primaries in 2022 but more than the 10 incumbents in contested primaries in 2020.

The 20th Congressional District is guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans will appear on the ballot. Democrats filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none are guaranteed to Republicans.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 21st the 179th most Republican district nationally.[16]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Florida's 21st based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
45.0% 54.4%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[17] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
42.1 57.0 D+14.8

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Florida, 2020

Florida presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 17 Democratic wins
  • 14 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R R D R R D R R R R D R R D D R R
See also: Party control of Florida state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Florida's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Florida
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 8 8
Republican 2 19 21
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 1 1
Total 2 28 30

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Florida's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Florida, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Ron DeSantis
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Jeanette Nuñez
Secretary of State Republican Party Cord Byrd
Attorney General Republican Party Ashley B. Moody

State legislature

Florida State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 12
     Republican Party 28
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 40

Florida House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 36
     Republican Party 84
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twenty-five years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R I R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Brian Mast defeated Corinna Robinson in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 21 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Mast
Brian Mast (R)
 
63.5
 
208,614
Image of Corinna Robinson
Corinna Robinson (D)
 
36.5
 
119,891

Total votes: 328,505
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Corinna Robinson advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Brian Mast defeated Jeffrey Buongiorno, Melissa Martz, and Ljubo Skrbic in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 23, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Mast
Brian Mast
 
78.1
 
56,535
Image of Jeffrey Buongiorno
Jeffrey Buongiorno Candidate Connection
 
12.2
 
8,850
Image of Melissa Martz
Melissa Martz Candidate Connection
 
8.5
 
6,186
Image of Ljubo Skrbic
Ljubo Skrbic Candidate Connection
 
1.2
 
853

Total votes: 72,424
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Lois Frankel defeated Laura Loomer, Charleston Malkemus, Sylvia Caravetta, and Piotr Blass in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 21 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel (D)
 
59.0
 
237,925
Image of Laura Loomer
Laura Loomer (R)
 
39.1
 
157,612
Image of Charleston Malkemus
Charleston Malkemus (No Party Affiliation) Candidate Connection
 
1.9
 
7,544
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Sylvia Caravetta (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
8
Image of Piotr Blass
Piotr Blass (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
4

Total votes: 403,093
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Lois Frankel defeated Guido Weiss in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 18, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel
 
86.0
 
75,504
Image of Guido Weiss
Guido Weiss Candidate Connection
 
14.0
 
12,308

Total votes: 87,812
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 18, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Laura Loomer
Laura Loomer
 
42.5
 
14,526
Image of Christian Acosta
Christian Acosta
 
25.5
 
8,724
Image of Michael Vilardi
Michael Vilardi Candidate Connection
 
12.3
 
4,194
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Aaron Scanlan
 
9.4
 
3,221
Image of Elizabeth Felton
Elizabeth Felton Candidate Connection
 
7.1
 
2,421
Image of Reba Sherrill
Reba Sherrill Candidate Connection
 
3.1
 
1,070

Total votes: 34,156
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Florida's 21st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Lois Frankel won election in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 21 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel (D)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21

Incumbent Lois Frankel advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 21 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

No Republican candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates



See also

Florida 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  3. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  7. ABC 33/40, "Abortion, marijuana ballot measures may boost Florida voter turnout" accessed June 17, 2024
  8. USA Today, "Abortion, marijuana measures raise hope for Democrats in Trump's home state" accessed June 17, 2024
  9. WCJB, "Florida Democrats optimistic about election with abortion measure on November ballot" accessed June 17, 2024
  10. The New York Times, "Democrats See Glimmers of Hope in Florida. Are They Seeing Things?" accessed June 17, 2024
  11. NOTUS, "Republicans Think Abortion Rights Supporters Will Vote for Them Too" accessed June 21, 2024
  12. Floridians Protecting Freedom, "Home," accessed May 17, 2023
  13. Florida Voice for the Unborn, "Home," accessed December 21, 2023
  14. Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  15. Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  16. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  17. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


Senators
Representatives
District 1
Vacant
District 2
Neal Dunn (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Anna Luna (R)
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
Republican Party (21)
Democratic Party (8)
Vacancies (1)