MEAN - Stats and Probability
MEAN - Stats and Probability
MEAN - Stats and Probability
AND PROBABILITY
Module 2
LESSON 1:
Mean of Discrete Random Variables
RECALL:
• What is a random variable?
Random Variables is a set whose elements are the numbers assigned to the outcomes of an experiment. It is a
variable whose values are determined by chance.
• What is a discrete random variables?
Discrete Random Variables is a random variable which takes only finitely many or
countably infinitely many different values. It is obtained by counting values for which
there are no in-between values, such as the integers 0, 1, 2,3,4,5……
should be able to:
Illustrate the mean of a discrete random variable;
Calculate the mean of a discrete random variable;
Interpret the mean of a discrete random variable; and
Solve problems on expected values.
LOOKING BACK
The importance of probability distribution is to help us to calculates various
probabilities connected with the different values expected in the random
variables, and the summary measures of a random variables, and
this summary includes the mean.
1. A: Number of odd number outcomes in a roll of a die. {1,3,5}
2. B: Scores of a Grade 11 student in a 5 - item quiz. {0,1,2,3,4,5}
3. C: Height (in cm) of a child that does not exceed 98 cm. ≤98 cm; {98, 97,96,95,94....}
4. Find your final grade in Statistics class at the
end of the quarter if you obtained the following data:
Weight Raw Score Weight*RS Weighted Score
Final Grade:______
88
BRIEF INTRODUCTION
Mean is one of the most important probabilistic concepts
in statistics. The mean of the discrete random variable X,
denoted by X and µ, it is the weighted average of all possible
values of X. It does not have to be a value of discrete random
variable can assume.
E(X) = µ = ΣxP(x)
E(X) is the mean of the outcomes x
µ is the mean
ΣxP(x) is the sum of each random variable value x multiplied by i
ts own probability P(x)
Example 1
Let X be the number of cakes sold in a certain store during Valentine’s day, along with its
corresponding probabilities is given in the table below. Solve the mean of X.
X 10 15 20 25 30 35
SOLUTION:
Step 1: Identify all Step 2: Determine the Step 3: Multiply each Step 4: Find the sum of the products.
possible outcomes. probability of each outcome value with
possible outcome. its respective Σ X· P(X) = 23.95
probability.
Step 5: Interpret the result. The value obtained
Number of Cakes Probability P(X) X· P(X) is called the mean of the random variable X or the
Sold (X) Mean of the probability distribution of X. The
10 0.05 0.5 mean tells us that the average number cakes sold
15 0.10 1.5 By a certain store during valentine’s day is 23.95.
20 0.24 4.8 Since we are referring to a number of cakes, thus
25 0.35 8.75 ,
30 0.14 4.20 the mean is approximately 24 cakes.
35 0.12 4.20
Note: The mean of random variable X is also referred
to as the expected value, denoted by µx = E[X].
Example 2
Calculate the mean of a discrete random variable. Below is the probability for the artist visits
nearby beauty clinic in a one-month period.
X 0 1 3 5 7
P(X) 3/10 3/10 2/10 1/10 1/10
Solution:
Following the steps above, the answers are as follows:
X P(X) X· P(X)
0 3/10 0
5 1/10 5/10
7 1/10 7/10
Σ X· P( X) = 21/10 = 2.10
Example 3
Let X be the number of children in a certain family and their corresponding
probabilities. Compute for the expected value.
Number of children 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Solution:
We can find the mean of the given probability distribution by multiplying X to its corresponding
P(X) in decimal or fraction and adding the products. We therefore have:
X 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
E[X] =
P(X) 0.2450 0.3280 0.1020 0.0750 0.0875 0.0725 0.0900 Σ X· P(X)
X· P(X) 0.2450 0.6560 0.3060 0.3000 0.4375 0.4350 0.6300 = 3.0095
Interpretation:
The computed mean is 3.0095, we only consider an approximated value of 3 since we refer to a person
. Hence, the average size is 3 for each family.
Example 4
The doctor is interested
in the number of times a patient’s coughing wakes them after taking a medicine.
For a random sample of 40 patients, the following information was obtained.
Solution:
Let X = the number of times a patient’s coughing wakes them after taking a medicine.
X P(X) X· P(X)
1 9/40 9/40or 0.225
Σ X· P(X) = 59/20 =2.95
Example 5
In a game of tossing two coins, you will receive Php50 if two tails appear; otherwise, you
pay Php15. Is this game fair? Why?
Solution:
Let X be the random variable for the gain in this game. The probability distribution is shown
below.
The table shows that a gain of Php50 (denoted by 50) is a winning
X 50 -15
amount when exactly two tails appear in tossing two coins, while a
P(X=x) 1/4 3/4 loss of Php15 (denoted by -15) when getting at most 1 tail. The
expected value is:
E[X] = Σ Xi · P( X i ) = X1 · P(X1) + X2 · P(X2)
= 50 (1/4 ) + (—15)(3/4 )
Thus, thisgame is not fair because the expected value = 1.25
of the gain is 1.25 and not zero. (Note that the game
is fair if the expected value of the gain or loss equal t
o zero). It means that if you play this game several
times, the average gain is Php1.25
Activity 2
1. Let X be the number of typographical errors found per page in certain books. The table
below shows a probability distribution of X.
X 0 1 2 3 4
P(X) 0.65 0.15 0.10 0.09 0.01
Find the mean of X.
CHECKING YOUR UNDERSTANDING
A. Assume that X is the discrete random variable with the probability shown on table below.
The µ. .
1. X P(X) X· P(X)
1 0.20
2 0.25
3 0.15
4 0.10
5 0.30
B. Solve the following problems.
1.Below is probability distribution of the number of condominiums sold per month. X is the
number of units sold. Calculate the µ. X P(x)
X 2 3 4 5
P(X) 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7
2.Find the missing probability and calculate the mean.
Student A has a synchronous 4-days a week. He attends classes 4 days a week
85% of the time, 3 days 7% of the time, 2 days 5% of the time and 1 day 3% of th
e time, and a week is
randomly chosen. Let X = the number of days Student A attends his asynchronous
class per week. Solve the mean.
REMEMBER
In computing the mean of the discrete random variable,
we should follow the steps such as: (1) identifying all possible outcomes; (2) determining the probability for
each possible outcome; (3) computing the product of the
random variable and its corresponding probabilities; (4) getting the sum of all the
products; and (5) interpreting the results.