Management Information Syste1
Management Information Syste1
Management Information Syste1
SECTION A
QUESTION 1
Answer.
It should be able to make forecasts and estimates, and generate advanced information,
thus providing a competitive advantage. Decision makers can take actions on the
basis of such predictions.
It should create linkage between all sub-systems within the organization, so that the
decision makers can take the right decision based on an integrated view.
It should allow easy flow of information through various sub-systems, thus avoiding
redundancy and duplicity of data. It should simplify the operations with as much
practicability as possible.
Although the MIS is an integrated, complete system, it should be made in such a
flexible way that it could be easily split into smaller sub-systems as and when
required.
A central database is the backbone of a well-built MIS.
Characteristics of Computerized MIS
Following are the characteristics of a well-designed computerized MIS:
It should be able to process data accurately and with high speed, using various
techniques like operations research, simulation and heuristics.
It should be able to collect, organize, manipulate, and update large amount of raw
data of both related and unrelated nature, coming from various internal and external
sources at different periods of time.
It should provide real time information on on-going events without any delay.
It should support various output formats and follow latest rules and regulations in
practice.
It should provide organized and relevant information for all levels of management:
strategic, operational, and tactical.
It should aim at extreme flexibility in data storage and retrieval.
SECTION A
QUESTION 2
Answer
Processing
Outputs
External data
Summarising
Summary reports
Internal files
Simulation
Forecasts
Pre-defined models
Drilling down
Graphs/plots
Market reports
Confidential information about the competitors
Government policies
Speculative information like market conditions
Technical reports from consultants
Financial reports and information
External data bases
Technology reports like patents
Expert System
Expert systems are computer applications that combine computer equipment, software, and
specialized information to imitate expert human reasoning and advice. Prof. Edward
Feigenbaum from Stanford University, a famous researcher on ES defines ES as: "an
intelligent computer programme that uses knowledge and reasoning procedures to solve
difficult problems that need certain expertise to solve the problems. As a branch of artificial
intelligence, expert systems provide discipline-specific advice and explanation to their users.
While artificial intelligence is a broad field covering many aspects of computer-generated
thought, expert systems are more narrowly focused. Typically, expert systems function best
with specific activities or problems and a discrete database of digitized facts, rules, cases, and
models. Expert systems are used widely in commercial and industrial settings, including
medicine, finance, manufacturing, and sales. Some of the examples of expert system
applications are: An Expert System that helps bank managers in making decisions on granting loans. An Expert System that advises bank managers in giving housing loans.
An Expert System that advises insurance companies on the risks involved in insuring
a customer or a company.
An Expert System that helps banks decides on whether a customer is entitled for a
credit card or not.
As a software program, the expert system integrates a searching and sorting program with a
knowledge database. The specific searching and sorting program for an expert system is
known as the inference engine. The inference engine contains all the systematic processing
rules and logic associated with the problem or task at hand. Mathematical probabilities
often serve as the basis for many expert systems. The second component, the knowledge
database, stores necessary factual, procedural, and experiential information representing
expert knowledge. Through a procedure known as knowledge transfer, expertise (or those
skills and knowledge that sustain a much better than average performance) passes from
human expert to knowledge engineer. The knowledge engineer actually creates and structures
the knowledge database by completing certain logical, physical, and psychosocial tasks. For
this reason, expert systems are often referred to as knowledge-based information systems. By
widely distributing human expertise through expert systems, businesses can realize benefits
in consistency, accuracy, and reliability in problem-solving activities.
An expert system is usually designed to have the following characteristics: The Highest Level of Expertise. This characteristic is most useful. This expertise in an
ES comes from the knowledge and problem solving steps provided by the best experts
in their own domains. This will lead towards efficiency, accuracy and imaginative
problem solving.
Right on Time Reaction. An Expert System must function and interact in a very
reasonable period of time with the user. The total time must be less than the time
taken by an expert to solve the same problem.
Accepting Incorrect Reasoning. This type of application is used when the information
used for the solution is unclear, vague or cannot be obtained and not in a domain that
is very clear.
Good Reliability. The expert system must be reliable and it must be improbable for
the system to make a mistake.
Easily Understood. The Expert System must be able to explain the reasoning steps
during the execution or the inference process for the user to better understand what is
happening. An ES must be able to explain why such actions are taken the same way
an expert would explain the decision he made.
Advantages
Consistency. One of the advantages of an ES is that the results given are consistent.
This might be due to the fact that there are no elements such as exhaustion and
emotions as experienced by humans.
Hazardous Working Environment. Through an ES, we can avoid exposing ourselves
to a toxic or radioactive environment. An ES can take over the place of an expert to
handle problems in a high-risk area such as a nuclear power plant.
Ability to Solve Complex and Difficult Problems. A very difficult problem
encountered by an organisation, if not taken seriously, can cause an adverse impact
such as losses or cancellation of a business deal. Sometimes, the problems need to be
attended to quickly. The problems can become more complicated when individuals or
experts involved in solving them are absent or cannot be contacted. Thus, an ES
serves as an alternative to experts.
Combination of Knowledge and Expertise from Various Sources. ( Rich knowledge
base) This component contains the accumulated knowledge and acquired or
transferred expertise from many experts. Thus, an ES is sometimes more superior
than an expert because its knowledge and expertise have come from many sources.
Training Tool for Trainees. An ES can be used by trainees to learn about the
knowledge-based system. Trainee who uses an ES would be able to observe how an
expert solves a problem.
Disadvantages
Not Widely Used. ES is not widely used in business firms or organisations. Due to
limited usage, firms are still in doubt about the capability and, most definitely, the
high cost involved in investing in an ES.
Difficult to Use. Using an ES is very difficult and learning and mastering it requires a
long time. This discourages managers from using ES. In one aspect, developing an
ES that is user-friendly is the biggest challenge for ES developer.
Limited Scope. This is the most obvious weakness in an ES, its scope is very limited
to its field only. In the development aspect, the ES built is best developed because of
its high accuracy. However, usage-wise decision makers face constantly changing
problems which involve different fields that are inter-related.
Probable Decision Error. The main source of the knowledge is experts. Humans make
mistakes. If the experts input wrong information into the Expert system, this will
have a negative impact on the results produced.
Difficult to Maintain. The information in ES must be constantly updated to solve new
problems. Every new problem that occurs needs new knowledge and expertise. This
means that there must be an on-going relationship between the domain experts and
the ES developer. This situation requires the domain experts update the source of
knowledge and expertise to suit the current situation.
Costly Development. The cost to consult a group of experts is not cheap, what if ES
was built traditionally without involving the use of an Expert System shell? On the
other hand, programming cost is high because the artificial intelligence technique is
difficult to master and needs a very skilful programmer.
Legal and Ethical Dilemma. We must be responsible for our actions and decisions.
An expert has to take responsibility for the information he or she provides. . The
difficult question here is who should shoulder the responsibility if a decision
suggested by ES results in a negative outcome.
Processing
Modelling
Simulation
Analysis
Summarising
Outputs
Summary reports
Forecasts
Graphs/ Plots