MJ Harry Article
MJ Harry Article
MJ Harry Article
for Profitability
A
Making
strides
along the road
to defect-free
work
Consequently, as sigma increases, product reliability improves, the need for testing and inspection
diminishes, work in progress declines, costs go
down, cycle time goes down, and customer satisfaction goes up.
Figure 1 displays the short-term understanding
of six sigma for a single critical-to-quality (CTQ)
characteristic; in other words, when the process is
centered. Figure 2 illustrates the long-term perspective after the influence of process factors,
which tend to process centering. From these figures, one can readily see that the short-term definition will produce 0.002 parts per million (ppm)
defective. However, the long-term perspective
reveals a defect rate of 3.4 ppm.
(This degradation in the short-term performance
of the process is largely due to the adverse effect of
long-term influences such as tool wear, material
change, and machine setup, just to mention a few.
It is these types of factors that tend to upset process
centering over many cycles of manufacturing. In
fact, research has shown that a typical process is
likely to deviate from its natural centering condition by approximately 1.5 standard deviations at
by
Mikel J. Harry
60
-7.5st
+4.5st
-3st
+3st
Scale
Process Width
Design Width
Scale
LSL
0 ppm LSL
USL
+1.5
Scale
LSL
USL
(Source: The Vision of Six Sigma: A Roadmap for Breakthrough, Fifth Edition)
any given moment in time. With this principle in hand, one can
make a rational estimate of the long-term process capability
with knowledge of only the short-term performance. For example, if the capability of a CTQ characteristic is 6.0 in the
short term, the long-term capability may be approximated as
6.0 1.5 = 4.5, or 3.4 ppm in terms of a defect rate.)
It should be pointed out that the sigma capability of a
process may be estimated via an array of analytical means. Of
course, the specific means selected depends upon factors such
as the type of data one is presented with, production volume,
time duration over which the data were collected, and a host of
other factors. However, one factor common to all statistically
based approaches is the idea of opportunities for defects,
which is the sum of all CTQs. The principal aim is to statistically reduce quality problems to a metric called defects per opportunity (DPO). In turn, the DPO is scaled to DPMO, or defects
per million opportunities. From here, the DPMO metric can be
transformed into an equivalent Z value, also known as sigma
capability.
For a better understanding of this idea, Table 1 presents various levels of sigma capability and the implications of each
Table 1.
Sigma
6 sigma
5 sigma
4 sigma
3 sigma
2 sigma
1 sigma
Black belts
61
1,000,000
Restaurant Bills
Doctor Prescription Writing
100,000
Payroll Processing
10,000
Order Writeup
Average
Company
1,000
Journal Vouchers
Wire Transfers
Airline Baggage Handling
Purchased Material
Lot Reject Rate
100
10
Best-in-Class
1
2
(Source: The Vision of Six Sigma: A Roadmap for Breakthrough, Fourth Edition)
Product Benchmarking
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Breakthrough Cookbook
Application Projects
B C D E
F
Analyze
Control
Improve
Reference
1. The ter ms Breakthrough Strategy,
Champion, Master Black Belt, Black Belt, and
Green Belt are federally registered trademarks
of Sigma Consultants, L.L.C., d/b/a Six Sigma
Academy.
63
ever undertaken. In 1995, Welch mandated that each GE operationfrom credit card services to aircraft engine plants to
NBC-TVwork toward achieving six sigma. GE averaged
three sigma when it introduced the program. Within 22 months,
the company improved to 3.5 sigma (22,700 defects per million), and earnings grew significantly13% in 1996 and 14%
in 1997. Welch expects GE to reach six sigma by the year 2000,
improving its operations by more than 90% per year.3 Although
spending on six sigma training and projects will reach $450
million in 1998, profits will increase to $1.2 billion and earnings per share will increase by 25 cents.
Jennifer Pokrzywinski, an analyst with Morgan Stanley, Dean
Witter, Discover & Co., writes Six sigma companies typically
achieve faster working capital turns; lower capital spending as
capacity is freed up; more productive R&D spending; faster new
product development; and greater customer satisfaction.4
Pokrzywinski estimates that by the year 2000, GEs gross annual
benefit from six sigma could be $6.6 billion, or 5.5% of sales.
Bombardier Chairman Laurent Beaudoin, another executive
adverse to fads, adopted six sigma in April 1997. The company
first implemented the program in its aerospace group, followed
by the train manufacturing group, the Sea-Doo and Ski-Doo
groups, the capital group, and the services group. By the end of
1998, there will be more than 100 full-time six-sigma-certified
employees dedicated to aerospace qualitymaking
Bombardier the highest-proile Canadian company to adopt six
sigma.5
Scorecard applications
As companies around the world adopt the six sigma breakthrough strategy, many employees are even applying it to their
personal lives. One Polaroid executive responsible for overseeing the implementation of the breakthrough strategy claims
there is a direct correlation between the sigma capability of his
golf game and his handicap. He boasts that the application of
six sigma measurements has trimmed at least 35 strokes off his
game.
References
1. Six sigma is a federally registered trademark of Motorola.
2. The terms Breakthrough Strategy, Champion, Master Black
Belt, Black Belt, and Green Belt are federally registered trademarks
of Sigma Consultants, L.L.C., d/b/a Six Sigma Academy.
3. The Globe and Mail Report on Business Magazines, The Six
Sigma Ensigns, October 1997, p. 62.
4. Morgan Stanley, Dean Witter, Discover & Co., company update,
June 6, 1996.
5. The Six Sigma Ensigns, p. 64.
Mikel J. Harry is the founder and CEO of the Six Sigma Academy
in Scottsdale, AZ. He has a doctorate from Arizona State University
in Tempe.
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