sourcesofcapital_report1103
sourcesofcapital_report1103
sourcesofcapital_report1103
ECONOMIC GROWTH:
Interconnected and Diverse Markets Driving U.S. Competitiveness
Spring 2011
By Anjan Thakor, John E. Simon Professor, Finance and Director, PhD Program
Washington University in St. Louis and European Corporate Governance Institute
Since its inception, the U.S. Chamber’s Center for Capital Markets Competitiveness (CCMC) has led a
bipartisan effort to modernize and strengthen the outmoded regulatory systems that have governed our
capital markets. Ensuring an effective and robust capital formation system is essential to every business
from the smallest start-up to the largest enterprise.
Copyright © 2011 by the United States Chamber of Commerce. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form—
print, electronic, or otherwise—without the express written permission of the publisher.
Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY................................................................................................................................. 2
I. INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................................................... 4
V. CONCLUSION...................................................................................................................................... 30
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 1
Executive Summary
This paper provides a broad overview of sources include family and friends, credit cards,
the U.S. financial system. It describes the variety home equity loans, and other types of bank loans.
of financing sources available to both individual Consumer credit provided through these diverse
consumers and businesses, and the considerations sources is a large segment of our economy. The
that lead a consumer or a business to choose a major providers of consumer credit—commercial
specific financing source. It then discusses how banks, finance companies, credit unions, the federal
this variety of financing sources provides benefits government, savings institutions, and nonfinancial
to the economy. Five main conclusions emerge businesses—provided over $2.4 trillion of consumer
from this analysis. credit as of year-end 2010. The efficient availability
of this credit is critical in an economy so dependent
First, a robust, efficient, and diverse on domestic consumption. It is important to note
financial system facilitates economic growth. that for many smaller businesses, especially start-
Research has shown that the level of financial devel- ups, these consumer credit products are often the
opment is a strong predictor of economic growth. only available sources of new or even working capi-
This research is based on a study of a large number tal. Entrepreneurs often rely on access to personal
of countries. Even with the unprecedented economic credit, including credit cards and home equity loans,
crisis, the growth in the U.S. financial services indus- to launch their new businesses.
try has been accompanied by a robust growth in our
economy, as measured by growth in gross domestic Third, as businesses grow they can
product (GDP). The financial system facilitates eco- access both debt and equity financing, and the
nomic growth by providing four basic services: mix of these two, called the “capital structure”
• facilitating trade; decision, is an important choice every business
• facilitating risk management for various indi- makes. Three broad categories of financing sources
viduals and businesses; are available to businesses for either debt or equity
• mobilizing resources; and capital. One source of capital involves raising funds
• obtaining information, evaluating businesses without using any intermediaries like banks or going
and individuals based on this information, to the public capital market. Included in this cat-
and allocating capital. egory are family and friends, employee ownership,
It is through the provision of these services that the retained earnings generated by the operating prof-
financial system ensures that investment capital is its of the business, customers and suppliers, and
channeled most efficiently from the providers of cap- angel investors. A second category is intermediated
ital to the users of capital, so that both the economy finance that does not involve going to the capital
and employment grow. market. Included in this are loans from intermediar-
ies like banks and insurance companies, funding by
Second, in terms of their financing private-equity firms and venture capitalists, small
choices, individuals are largely limited to debt business investment companies that provide Small-
financing for raising capital. For individuals, these Business-Administration-sponsored financing, and
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 3
I. Introduction
In the early 1980s, the financial services liquidity-imbalance, an easy-money monetary policy,
industry accounted for about 10% of total corpo- a political desire for widespread home ownership,
rate profits in the United States. In 2007, it was 40%. and various developments in the financial sector.
Some have used statistics like this to argue that finan- All of these factors need attention if we are to have
cial services are becoming excessively important at a well-regulated, transparent, efficient, and robust
the expense of other parts of the economy, such as financial system consisting of a diversity of financ-
manufacturing and services that produce obviously ing sources. Thus, financial reform must go hand
tangible economic value. However, nothing could be in hand with a strong financial services sector. The
further from the truth. Given the economic crisis we recently passed Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and
have witnessed over the past three years, it is easy to Consumer Protection Act tackles a variety of financial
forget that growth in financial services over the past reform issues, but many of the specific regulations
two decades was also accompanied by some of the have yet to be written, so time will tell about how
most spectacular economic growth we have ever wit- effectively the Act will deal with the causes of the
nessed. In the 1980s, U.S. gross domestic product crisis. Nonetheless, an important point to remember
(GDP), the most commonly used measure of the size is that the data show a strong correlation between
of the economy, stood at under $3 trillion. In 2007, economic growth and strength of financial services.
when the share of total corporate profits accounted
for by financial services was four times as large as
Financial markets and the
in the 1980s, it was around $14 trillion. Today the financial service firms that
U.S. financial services industry employs more than
5.77 million people, about 6% of total private non-
operate in those markets help
farm employment, and this number is projected to individuals and businesses raise
grow to 12% by 2018. The wealth generated by the
financial services industry contributed nearly 6%
capital of various sorts, as they
($828 billion) to U.S. GDP in 2009.1 channel money from savers to
In the wake of the recent financial crisis, some
those with investment ideas.
have argued that the economic growth we witnessed It was not a coincidence that the U.S. econ-
was merely an unsustainable bubble, and that when omy grew so rapidly during a time that financial
the bubble burst, the economy came crashing down. services grew in importance. Financial markets and
While the causes of this crisis are not the topic of the financial service firms that operate in those mar-
this paper, it is worth noting that the crisis was a kets help individuals and businesses raise capital of
consequence of a variety of factors in the United various sorts, as they channel money from savers to
States: an excess supply of liquidity due to a global those with investment ideas. The more well developed
the financial system, the better lubricated this chan-
1 U.S. Financial Services Industry: Contributing to a More Com-
petitive U.S. Economy, SIFMA, http://www.ita.doc.gov/td/finance/ nel, and the lower the transactions costs and other
publications/U.S.%20Financial%20Services%20Industry.pdf, impediments to investment and economic growth.
(July 2010).
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 5
II. The Role of the Financial System in
Promoting Economic Growth
There is a rich body of research on the role of hand, is patient and would not mind giving her money
the financial system in promoting economic growth, to someone now in exchange for a larger payment in
much of it from comparisons of different countries. the future. However, she does not know Peter well and
For example, in a study of 56 developing countries, is concerned that he might be a crook who will simply
the level of financial development in 1960 was a abscond with her money if she lends it to him.
strong predictor of economic growth over the next
30 years, after controlling for a variety of economic Without a financial system in this community,
and political factors. This and other studies provide
2
Peter will be limited to planting whatever apple trees
ample evidence that robust financial development is he can using his own seeds and labor, but without any
followed by healthy economic growth. This section fertilizer or farm equipment. Suppose he can plant a
will discuss this research to develop an understand- few trees and harvest 500 apples a year. That then
ing of what the facts say and why they say what they defines his economic output.
say. But first, it is useful to understand the basic eco-
nomics behind how the financial system promotes Now suppose the community’s financial sys-
economic growth. tem includes a bank and a financial market where
financial securities are traded. Now Peter can go to
The Conceptual Link Between the the bank and request a loan that would be repaid from
future sales of apples. The bank will conduct a credit
Financial System and Economic
analysis and determine whether Peter is a good credit
Growth risk. The bank will also monitor Peter to make sure
A simple example illustrates this link. Sup- that he is not a crook who absconds with the bank
pose we have a community in which four people own loan. With the assurances provided, Mary will be will-
productive resources: Mary, Peter, Paul, and Sally. ing to deposit her money in the bank. This is better
Mary has saved some money that she keeps in a for her than keeping the money idle in a safe in her
safe in her house. Peter owns an orchard and some house and earning zero interest. With the bank loan,
apple seeds that he can plant to grow trees and har- Peter will buy some fertilizer from Paul and some farm
vest apples. Paul has a farm on which he naturally equipment from Sally on a cash-on-purchase basis.
produces fertilizer. Sally owns some farm equipment He can now plant more trees to produce more apples,
that can be used for tilling the land and digging holes so he ends up with 10,000 apples rather than 500. The
for planting trees. economic output of this economy has gone up due to
the financial market. A further increase in economic
Neither Paul nor Sally is willing to sell any output may arise from the fact that Paul and Sally
goods or services for the promise of a future return. may use the money Peter pays them to produce more
They will sell only if they get paid now. But Peter has fertilizer and farm equipment. This output may have
no money to pay anyone now. Mary, on the other uses in other parts of the economy, leading to further
increases in economic output, and so on (see figure 1).
2 See Levine (1996).
Increases Rate of
Capital Accumulation
Paul
Pays for
fertilizer
Delivers
fertilizer Produces more
BANK
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The Services the Financial System to move money from one party to the other and often
Provides and How They Help across national boundaries. Without these systems,
companies would be greatly impeded in their abil-
Economic Growth ity to do business with each other, and economic
There are four basic services provided by growth would suffer.
financial systems that help spur economic growth 3
Facilitates Trade
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Mobilizes Resources
need for barter trade, thereby increasing commercial crop. If it does not rain as much as Peter expects, he
transactions and trade. In modern economies, it is not may have a lean harvest and be unable to fully repay
enough to have money to facilitate transactions—this his bank loan. This may cause him to lose his farm
money needs to be moved around. Financial systems, to the bank. Or there may be enough rain, but new
with the appropriate hubs and spokes for recording apple orchards may spring up in neighboring com-
and clearing multilateral financial transactions, help munities and the market may be flooded with apples,
pushing the price of apples well below normal. These
3 See Levine (1996). risks may cause Peter to cut back on how much
A financial system, by
The Financial System Obtains and
facilitating improved risk Processes Information and Allocates Capi-
management for both tal: Individual savers, like Mary, may not have the
resources or expertise to evaluate firms, projects,
borrowers and savers, spurs and managers before deciding whether to invest in
long-run investments that fuel them. Financial intermediaries, like banks and invest-
ment banks, have a cost and expertise advantage in
economic growth. collecting and processing such information, and then
helping the capital-allocation process based on that
information.5 This, in turn, encourages investors to
The Financial System Mobilizes Resources: As our
supply capital to these intermediaries, which channel
example shows, without a financial system, Mary’s
the capital to businesses that make investments that
savings would have stayed locked up in her safe. It
fuel economic growth.
took a financial system to mobilize those resources
and get them to Peter, who could put them to pro-
For example, imagine that someone comes
ductive use. Almost 150 years ago, the famous
to you and asks for a loan to finance a new restaurant.
economist Walter Bagehot described how the finan-
While you have the money to lend, you are not sure
cial system helps to mobilizes resources and spur
this is a good investment for you. But if your friend
economic growth:4
goes to a bank for the loan, the bank can gather the
4 See Bagehot (1873), reprinted 1962, as noted by Levine (1996). 5 See Greenbaum and Thakor (2007).
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 9
necessary information about potential future income In summary, the financial system provides
and the assets purchased with the loan that can four key services—facilitates trade, facilitates risk
be used as collateral, conduct the necessary credit management, mobilizes resources, and acquires and
analysis with this information, and decide whether to processes information that helps in the allocation of
lend and how to structure the loan. Such expertise capital. These key services help to increase the flow
is part of the bank’s business skill set. Knowing that of goods and services, increase the rate of physical
the bank will do this, you may be willing to deposit capital accumulation, and increase the efficiency of
your money so that the bank can, in turn, use it to combining capital and labor in production. The result
make loans. is more economic growth.
Family and
Friends
Credit Cards
Individuals/ Banks
Home Equity
Consumers Loans
Bank and Other
Loans
Nonbank Loans
Angel Investors
Corporate Parents
Pension Funds,
Venture Endowments, Insurance
Capitalist Companies, Individuals
and Families
Private and Government
Venture Investors Provising
Small-Business
Capitalist Administration (SBA)-
Sponsored Financing
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Figure 5: The U.S. Financial System: Businesses Raising Debt Financing
Depositors (Individuals
Businesses: Commercial and Businesses) and
Banks Those Who Buy Bank
Debt Financing Equity
Factoring Companies
That Provide Factoring Companies’
Financing Against Investors
Accounts
U.S. Small
Business
Administration Taxpayers
(SBA) Loans
Suppliers
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 13
so they are unlikely to withhold the supply of produc- Of course, once you take the loan, you will be faced
tive inputs like labor. with additional monthly payments on the loan.
and 30%. In 2004, there were 15,000 pawnbrokers remain with the borrower while the loan is outstand-
in the United States. 7
ing and repossess it only upon default.
Payday lenders represent another source Attention will be turned next to business
of nonbank credit. They provide unsecured, short- financing. While for purposes of discussion, it is use-
term loans to customers. The loan arises in one of ful to create a clean separation between consumer
two ways. The first is a “traditional” payday loan, in and business financing, in practice this dividing line
which the borrower writes a post-dated (or undated) is often fuzzy. In particular, many individuals will use
personal check to the lender, and the lender makes their access to consumer financing to raise the money
a loan equal to the check amount minus a finance they need to invest in their businesses. For example,
charge. The lender usually deposits the check and someone may charge a business purchase to a per-
gets paid the day the borrower receives his pay. The sonal credit card or use a home equity loan to make
second involves the lender directly debiting the bor- the investment needed to expand the business.
rower’s bank checking account on a future date for
the amount of the loan plus the finance charge. The Business Financing: Equity
typical loan has a two-week maturity. Payday lending
Businesses can raise equity financing from a
is legal and regulated in many states, but is illegal or
richly diverse set of sources (see figure 4).
infeasible given the law in some states.
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 15
provide start-up financing to a group of individuals growth prospects and some synergies with their
who had operating experience in the industry but no own businesses, and operate in an industry that the
private-equity experience. Similarly, Facebook was individuals have successfully worked in or are bull-
launched from a Harvard dorm room and eventually ish about. Angel financing is quite often tapped by
expanded with family and friends financing. Typically, early-stage companies that have yet to establish
family and friends will invest up to $100,000 each. a track record of revenues or earnings that would
enable them to obtain institutional financing from
Employee ownership is another way in venture capital firms or banks. In our apple-orchard
which firms can raise equity financing. Employee example, if Peter cannot get a bank loan to buy fer-
stock ownership plans (ESOPs) give employees the tilizer and farm equipment, he might seek out angel
opportunity to become shareholders in the company. investors (typically investors who, unlike Mary, know
As shareholders, employees can experience increased him and something about his business) to provide
pride and security, and may become more productive. the financing in exchange for an (equity) ownership
Employees can participate via stock purchases, by stake in the business.
receiving a portion of their compensation as stock
rather than cash, and sometimes by providing per- Angel financing is quite
sonal assets to the business. There are more than
often tapped by early-stage
11,500 ESOPs in place in the United States, cover-
ing 10 million employees (10% of the private-sector companies that have yet to
workforce). The total assets owned by U.S. ESOPs
establish a track record of
were estimated at $901 billion at end of 2007.8
revenues or earnings that
Retained earnings represent a vital source
would enable them to obtain
of internal equity financing for businesses. When a
firm makes a profit at the end of a year after settling institutional financing from
all its expenses, paying creditors, and paying taxes, it
venture capital firms or banks.
will typically pay out a portion of the profits as a divi-
dend to its shareholders. The amount remaining after Angel financing is often quite expensive.
the dividend payment is called retained earnings, and Capital from angel investors can cost the entrepre-
it augments the firm’s equity. Retained earnings may neur anywhere from 10% to 50% of the ownership
be viewed as a “sacrifice” made by the shareholders in the business. In addition, many angel investors
in the sense that they forgo some dividends in order charge a monthly management fee.
to build up the firm’s equity. Companies generally
retain 30% to 80% of their after-tax profit every year. Businesses can sometimes raise equity
financing from customers, suppliers, and sales
representatives. These parties may be motivated to
External Equity Financing
provide financing because they believe that the busi-
Angel financing involves raising equity
ness has growth potential that may not be realized
capital from individual investors, known as “angels.”
without the financial support provided by the equity
These individuals look for companies that have high
input, and also that the equity position may become
8 The ESOP Association Industry Statistics, http://www.esopas- a profitable investment down the road. For example,
sociation.org/media/media_statistics.asp (March 2011).
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 17
Over time, the cash flows generated by the acquired the successful launch of so many new companies in
firm help to pay off the debt used for the acquisition. the United States. Numerous famous firms, such as
Apple, Google, and Microsoft, were launched with
Venture capital will be discussed shortly as the help of VC financing.
a distinct source of equity capital because there are
also specialized venture capitalists that do not do VC-backed companies account for 21% of
private equity deals. Growth capital refers to equity U.S. GDP and thus play a vital role in job creation
investments, quite frequently minority investments, in our knowledge economy. Two million new busi-
made by PE firms in mature companies that are nesses are created every year in the United States,
seeking capital to expand or restructure operations of which about 600 to 800 get VC funding.10
or fund some other major investment. By obtaining
this capital from a PE firm, the firm that acquires VC financing is provided by both govern-
the capital avoids the dilution in the capital market ment-sponsored and private entities. In fact, an initial
that would occur if it were to issue equity. There step in the development of this industry was the pas-
is ownership dilution with a PE firm as well, but sage of the Small Business Investment Act of 1958,
the minority ownership of the PE firm represents a which allowed the SBA to license private “Small Busi-
(monolithic) block ownership as opposed to a more ness Investment Companies” (SBICs) to help fill the
diffused dilution in the capital market. gap between the availability of VC and the needs of
small businesses in start-up and growth situations.
Distressed investments are investments The structure of the program is unique in that SBICs
(either debt or equity) that PE firms undertake in are privately owned and managed investment funds,
financially distressed companies. Occasionally, PE licensed and regulated by SBA, that use their own
firms will take more senior positions than equity in capital plus funds borrowed at favorable rates with
either distressed or healthy firms. These may be sub- an SBA guarantee to make equity and debt invest-
ordinated debt or preferred stock (which has seniority ments in qualifying small businesses.
over common equity but is junior to debt). The objec-
tive in taking such positions would be to reduce the There is also a substantial institutional VC
PE firm’s risk exposure. industry in the United States. These privately owned
financial intermediaries typically invest in high-growth
Mezzanine capital refers to a subordinated companies that are capable of reaching sales of at
debt or preferred equity claim on the firm’s assets least $25 million in five years. According to recent
that is senior to the firm’s common equity, but junior estimates based on surveys from the National Ven-
to other claims. Such capital has a lower return but ture Capital Association, U.S. venture capital firms
less risk for the PE firm providing the financing. invest between $5 billion and $10 billion per year.
Since 1970, VC firms have reportedly invested in
Venture capital (VC) is an enormously more than 27,000 start-ups to the tune of $456 bil-
important source of finance for start-up companies. lion. Some of the major VC firms include Sequoia
The fact that the United States has the most well- Capital, Benchmark Capital, Mitsubishi UFJ Capital,
developed VC market in the world—with Silicon and Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers.
Valley setting the “gold standard” for a VC commu-
10 Venture Impact: The Economic Importance of Venture Backed
nity—has often been singled out as a key reason for Companies to the U.S. Economy, (National Venture Capital Associa-
tion) (2009).
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 19
A number of large IPOs have been in the
Apart from a short rebound of
news. AT&T Wireless did a $10.6 billion IPO in 2000,
and in 2010 General Motors re-emerged from post a couple of years before the
bankruptcy privatization with a $23.1 billion IPO. We
subprime crisis, IPO volume has
all remember Google’s IPO in 2004, which turned
its 1,000 employees (who were shareholders) into been declining since 2004.
instant millionaires, and its founders, Sergey Brin and
Larry Page, into billionaires. Moreover, with its pub-
licly traded stock from the IPO serving as currency, equity capital after they have already gone public.
Google was able to acquire video-sharing service Companies rely on these secondary equity offer-
YouTube in 2006 for $1.6 billion. ings (SEOs) when they need equity capital beyond
what is provided by retained earnings. For example,
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Source: Letter by James Angel, dated January 14, 2011, to the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Apart from a short rebound of a couple of in 2009 many U.S. banks made secondary equity
years before the subprime crisis, IPO volume has offerings to raise equity capital to satisfy regula-
been declining since 2004. There was also a decline tory capital requirements, because their equity was
prior to 2004, in part due to the more stringent and depleted during the crisis.
costly corporate governance stipulation contained in
the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. IPOs are one of many indi- IPOs and SEOs allow publicly traded compa-
cators of the competitiveness of U.S. capital markets. nies to raise capital, grow, and increase employment.
The number of publicly traded companies and the
In addition to IPOs, investment banks also amount of capital that they raise are both good indi-
help publicly traded companies raise additional cators of the health of the economy and the prospects
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 21
Insurance companies are interested in making long-maturity
loans because they need to balance the risk of their long-maturity
liabilities, like life insurance policies.
Institutional lenders, such as commercial- long-term investments in manufacturing plants (such
finance companies like GE Capital and insurance as Ford or Caterpillar), networks (such as AT&T), and
companies, have been a major source of long-term so on. These investments produce cash flows over
debt financing for U.S. businesses. Institutional lend- a long time horizon. The risks in these investments
ers make loans that may be more than 10 years in are best managed by financing them with relatively
maturity and thus fill a need at the longer end of the long-maturity liabilities, such as loans from insurance
debt maturity spectrum (term loans are typically less companies. Absent such loans, the management of
than 10 years in maturity). Insurance companies are risks inherent in long-term investments would not be
interested in making long-maturity loans because as efficient.
they need to balance the risk of their long-maturity
liabilities, like life insurance policies. By making such The factoring of accounts receivables is
long-term loans available to companies, insurance another source of debt financing that is available
companies help their borrowers improve their risk to businesses. Every business that sells to custom-
management. For example, many companies make ers on credit—the customer purchases the good or
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 23
the announcement.12 More recently, when the credit In both cases, commercial paper as well as
market experienced stress during the subprime cri- long-term debt, investment banks help firms with the
sis, the commercial paper market was one of the first process of issuing debt to capital market investors.
to dry up.
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 25
find that relying solely on internally generated equity These employees understand that if they work hard
is not enough to support their growth. Such firms and provide the best customer service, Starbucks’
will wish to use external equity financing. And in this stock price will go up. Such employee stock owner-
respect, the more diverse the sources of external ship is valued more by employees when they can sell
equity finance, the better. For example, a firm may be their stock in a liquid public market than when it is
seeking equity to help finance its growth in a market privately held.
in which it is selling a product for which it has devel-
oped a proprietary technology. Such a firm may not Diversity of financing sources is also
wish to issue equity in the public market because it important for businesses seeking debt financing.
would have to disclose sensitive information about Sometimes firms have short-term borrowing needs.
its technology, due to the information disclosure They would tend to satisfy these needs through
requirements of the securities exchange. While the accounts payable financing, accounts receivable fac-
information is disclosed primarily for investors, it is toring, or bank loan commitments. Larger firms with
also necessarily revealed to competitors at the same impeccable credit ratings may choose to augment
time. To avoid this, the firm may wish to use a private these short-term financing sources with commercial
placement of equity to raise external equity capital. paper financing. The availability of diverse short-term
If the private placement option were not available, financing sources permits firms to match quite pre-
the firm might prefer to forgo issuing equity and cisely their specific needs to the financing source.
expanding in order to protect the confidentiality The result is that more short-term financing needs
of its proprietary technology. It is easy to think of are met than would be possible with fewer financing
examples. Facebook raised private equity at a time sources. Consequently, firms invest more.
when it would have found it difficult to raise pub-
lic equity. Similarly, Intel raised private equity from At other times, firms have longer-term debt
IBM, a customer, rather than issuing public equity. financing needs. A firm may be investing in a new fac-
Although IBM has divested most of its holdings in tory that has an anticipated economic life of 20 years.
Intel, at one time it owned 20% of the company. For such a long-term investment, it will seek a long-term
loan. If only short-term debt financing were available,
By contrast, other firms might be more inter- the firm might pass up the investment opportunity.
ested in a public sale of equity—either through an
IPO or an SEO—because publicly traded equity Firms sometimes finance acquisitions with
provides greater liquidity and typically has a lower debt. For example, InBev’s purchase of Anheuser
cost of capital associated with it than private equity. Busch, the largest U.S. beer manufacturer, was
Moreover, public equity also helps with employee financed predominantly with debt. In such cases, the
motivation and retention. For example, having pub- firm may wish to match the maturity structure of its
licly traded equity allows companies like Microsoft debt with the pattern of cash flows it anticipates gen-
and Starbucks to compensate their employees with erating after the acquisition. This, too, typically calls
shares of stock. When Microsoft’s stock price was for long-term debt financing.
rising rapidly in the 1990s, this was very attractive to
its employees and it allowed Microsoft to attract and A diverse set of financing sources also
retain high-quality talent. Starbucks takes stock own- enables firms to strike the appropriate balance
ership right down to the employees in its retail stores. between the cost of debt financing and liquidity
financing and liquidity risk. “exit option” provided by the public equity market,
PE and VC firms would view their investments as
risk. Since long-term debt financing is usually more lacking the potential to be “liquefied” in the future
expensive than short-term debt financing, pure cost via an IPO, and would therefore scale back on their
considerations would push the firm in the direction investments. Clearly, some capital market regulation
of short-term debt like commercial paper or a short- is necessary to ensure transparency and integrity,
term bank loan. But short-maturity debt also exposes and this improves the efficiency and attractiveness
the firm to liquidity risk because it may not be able to of the market. But when it becomes excessive, it can
roll over its short-term debt. A recent example of this drive firms away. Thus, more onerous capital market
is Bear Stearns, the investment bank. It was financing regulation might reduce investment in small and mid-
itself with debt of one-month maturity that was rolled sized companies and lower aggregate employment.
over every 30 days. When concerns about its hedge-
fund losses became sufficiently grave, this 30-day Similarly, good public equity and debt mar-
debt financing evaporated, and the bank was on the kets allow banks to raise debt and equity capital to
brink of insolvency before its government-assisted support their own growth. This, in turn, enables banks
takeover by JPMorgan Chase. Firms are constantly to extend loans that support the financing needs and
trying to balance the cost of borrowing against liquid- growth plans of individuals and businesses. If bur-
ity risk, and a diverse set of financing sources helps densome new regulatory requirements made bank
them to achieve the right balance. capital more expensive, bank lending would decline.
The consequence would be lower GDP growth and
A greater diversity of financing sources employment.
helps individuals and businesses to:
Indeed, given the interdependence between
• improve their management of risk and achieve banks, markets, and among the different compo-
a better balance between the cost of financing nents of the market, if one financing source were to
and risk; and disappear, it would have potentially devastating con-
• increase investments, and thus employment sequences for other parts of the financial system.14
in the economy. This can be seen most vividly in emerging markets.
When Romania converted from a centrally planned,
It is useful to note that the different parts of Communist-run economy to a free-market economy,
the financial system are intimately interconnected. the housing market was underdeveloped. It was
For example, venture capital and private equity are difficult to jump-start this market even in the new
available in part because we have such deep and free-market economy because banks were reluctant
relatively efficient capital markets. PE and VC firms to lend to consumers to buy houses. This reluctance
make their investments with the expectation that
14 See Song and Thakor (2010).
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 27
arose from the inability of banks to securitize home in about defaults on home mortgages, and many of
mortgages because the securitization market did not the securities being used as collateral in repos were
exist in Romania the 1990s. 15
Thus, the absence of mortgage-backed securities. Thus, what happened
the securitization market stunted the growth of the in home mortgages affected short-term credit avail-
home mortgage market. ability to financial firms, which then spilled over into a
general decline in the credit available to businesses
Even within the United States, we have seen and individuals.
numerous examples of this. Many U.S. corporations,
especially non-depository financial companies, rely Imagine what would happen to U.S. credit
on the repo market for their short-term funding needs. card lending if the market for credit card securitiza-
The repo market, whose precrisis size is estimated at tion were to disappear. Millions of consumers would
between $10 trillion and $20 trillion, involves a firm find themselves without access to credit cards. Simi-
taking a short-term loan (typically overnight loans) larly, imagine what would happen to entrepreneurs
from another firm under a repurchase agreement in if venture capital were to disappear. Scores of new
which eligible securities are used as collateral. So, businesses would fail to be launched.
I might have $100 worth of marketable securities
against which I might borrow $100 from you for, say, When the components of
a day. When I repay the loan, I get my securities back the financial system are so
(I “repurchase” them). If I default, you keep the secu-
rities. Repos have “haircuts” associated with them. If interconnected, even small
I can borrow $100 against $100 worth of securities, initial changes in one part of
the haircut on the repo is 0. If I can borrow only $90
against $100 worth of securities, the haircut is 10%, the system can reverberate
and so on. It is estimated that between early 2008 and through the entire system
early 2009, the haircut on repos went from 0 to 45%.16
If one takes the simple average of these two numbers and manifest as big
as the average haircut during this period, then one eventual changes.
can estimate that about $2.25 trillion in short-term
borrowing capacity vanished fairly quickly from the The “theory of unintended consequences”
market as companies were now able to borrow that says that it is difficult to predict how the financial
much less using the same collateral as before. This system will react if one of its components is tinkered
led to a significant decline in lending to individuals with via regulatory changes. When the components
and businesses, as a major part of our financial sys- of the financial system are so interconnected, even
tem found itself to be liquidity constrained. small initial changes in one part of the system can
reverberate through the entire system and manifest
This example illustrates both interconnect- as big eventual changes. For example, when the
edness and the danger in making changes in one Federal Reserve injected substantial liquidity into
part of the financial system. One reason that repo the economy from 1995 through 2005, it was hard to
haircuts went up is that bad news began to trickle imagine that this would contribute to a housing price
bubble and crisis. Such unintended consequences
15 See Meyendorff and Thakor (2002). are also encountered in other parts of the economy.
16 See Gorton and Metrick (2010).
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 29
V. Conclusion
This paper has surveyed the U.S. financial access includes going directly to the capital market
system from the standpoint of the various types to raise money, such as through a commercial paper
of financing sources available to individuals and or public debt issue.
businesses and the different types of financing
arrangements (contracts) by which capital is raised. Fourth, a rich variety of debt and equity
The main messages emerging from this discussion financing sources is available in the United
are as follows. States. This diversity is crucial for helping our econ-
omy to keep its competitive edge because it enables
First, the financial system helps economic businesses to improve their management of risk and
growth. This is achieved through the provision of lower their cost of capital, so that both investment
four basic services: facilitating trade; facilitating risk and employment increase.
management for various individuals and businesses;
mobilizing resources; and processing information Finally, the U.S. financial system is highly
about individuals and businesses and allocating interconnected. This interconnectedness means
resources. that any changes in one part of the financial sys-
tem—either through a shock like a crisis or through
Second, individuals (consumers) are regulatory intervention—can reverberate throughout
largely limited to debt financing for raising capital. the entire system, often in unpredictable ways. As a
Nonetheless, consumers can use a large number result, well-intentioned initiatives may produce more
of sources to raise this financing, including banks, harm than good.
finance companies, and the federal government.
This paper has not addressed some ques-
Third, businesses regularly access both tions. What does the future hold for financial
debt and equity capital, and the appropriate services? What effect will the Dodd-Frank Act have
mix of debt and equity, called the “capital struc- on the financial services industry? Will the industry
ture” decision, is a key strategic choice for any experience an increase or decrease in the diversity of
company. Businesses have three basic sources of financing sources in the future? How will the regula-
capital: private, intermediated sources, and public tory structure evolve? These are interesting questions
markets. These three categories exist for both debt to ponder, and the answers will not only influence how
and equity capital. In private non-intermediated we deal with global challenges but also determine the
sources, the firm raises financing outside the public magnitude of future economic growth because of the
capital market without using a financial intermediary close relationship between financial system develop-
like a bank. Included in this are sources like friends ment and economic growth, discussed in this paper.
and family, cash generated from the firm’s operating The world’s population is growing and is likely to hit
profits, customers, and suppliers. Private interme- 9 billion in this century. This growth will put substan-
diated sources include bank loans, borrowing from tially greater stress on the natural resources needed
finance companies and insurance companies, and to support this population—food, water, and energy.
loans from the parent company. Public market Innovations of all sorts will be needed to optimize the
www.centerforcapitalmarkets.com 31
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