RSPB 2013 2397
RSPB 2013 2397
RSPB 2013 2397
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& 2014 The Author(s) Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved.
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overlap [9,11,12], morphological matches among species [14] or the canopy were considered only when their flowers were visible 2
the phylogenetic relationship, which ultimately influences the from the ground. For mass-flowering species with hundreds of
flowers per individual (e.g. Erythrina speciosa), we estimated the
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traits of the species [15]. In this sense, species traits affect the
possibility of interactions by creating forbidden links in the com- mean number of flowers per inflorescence, and then multiplied
this by the number of inflorescences per individual. The total
munity, although their importance seems to be secondary in
number of flowers produced was considered as the abundance
comparison with species abundance.
of each plant species after verifying a strong and linear corre-
Despite the increasing consensus on the major role of species
lation between the total number of flowers produced and the
abundance in structuring different ecological networks, poss- number of individuals for each plant species in our data (see
ible limitations can be highlighted before achieving broader the electronic supplementary material, figure S2).
generalizations. Sampling insufficiency can pose misleading
interpretations, making difficult to discriminate unobserved
interactions owing to undersampling from truly forbidden (c) Phenology and abundance of hummingbirds
(f ) Determinants of the network: constructing (g) Comparing the ability of probability matrices to 3
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To evaluate the contribution of distinct determinants to the To evaluate whether abundance, phenological overlap and mor-
plant–pollinator network structure, we followed the conceptual phological match can predict detailed structure of the observed
framework developed by Vázquez et al. [9]. To assess whether fre- interaction matrix, we used a likelihood approach. If a probability
quency of interactions can be predicted by species abundance, matrix can predict the observed interactions, then cells with
morphology and phenology, the observed interaction matrix was higher probability in our models (probability matrices A, F, M,
compared with interaction probability matrices. These probability AF, AM, FM, AFM, NULL) would also have a higher number of
matrices were constructed from data on abundance, morphology interactions in the observed matrix (O). We used the Akaike infor-
and phenology of species, or a combination of them. In the follow- mation criteria (AIC) to evaluate the prediction ability of each
ing, we present a brief description of the analyses, detailing some model and DAIC to compare them. DAIC is the value obtained
modifications in relation to Vázquez et al. [9]. by subtracting the AIC of the best-fitting model from the AIC of
probability matrices (A, F, M, AF, AM, FM, AFM, NULL). The ran- was similar to A (which used an independent measure of 4
domization algorithm generated matrices of the same size as the abundance for both hummingbirds and plants).
observed one and distributed the interactions (1231 in our case)
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In general, abundance, phenology and morphology were
in the cells according to the probability of each interaction. A con- unable to predict nestedness, connectance, specialization, even-
straint was determined such that each species in randomized
ness nor interaction asymmetry (figure 4). Exceptions were
matrices received at least one interaction. The observed metrics
interaction asymmetry for the pollinators, which could be pre-
values (calculated from matrix O) were compared with values
dicted by the complete model, including all matrices (A, F and
from randomized networks and considered as predicted by prob-
abilistic matrices when we found overlap (95% confidence M) and nestedness predicted by the ‘NULL’ model with equal
interval, calculated with function confint in bipartite). probabilities for all interactions (figure 4). Although not accu-
rate for predicting most of the metrics, models including
abundance generated the closest results to the observed ones
for connectance, evenness and asymmetries of interaction.
Stephanoxis 5
1
lalandi — S.l.
2
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3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 1 Alstroemeria inodora — A.i.
13
14 2 Aphelandra colorata — A.c.
Phaethornis 3 Vriesea sp.1 — V.sp1
15
eurynome — P.e. 16 4 Siphocampylus sp. — S.sp
17 5 Nidularium procerum — N.p.
18
Leucochloris
albicollis — L.a. 45
46
Florisuga 47
fusca — F.f.
Figure 1. Hummingbird – plant mutualistic network in the Atlantic rainforest of the Santa Virgı́nia Field Station, Serra do Mar State Park, SE Brazil. Hummingbirds
(right) and plants (left). Grey lines represent species interaction and line thickness indicates frequency of interaction.
If a large proportion of unobserved interactions in the net- metrics of interaction networks [1,7,9,12], studies have only
works with robust sampling is in fact forbidden [13], then recently started to evaluate this limitation [30,38 –40]. Non-
sampling insufficiency might underestimate the importance detection of interactions owing to sampling insufficiency is
of forbidden links in structuring the networks. Although probably a widespread problem in plant –pollinator net-
undersampling potentially influences the structure and works [39], and estimating the sampling sufficiency as done
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6
bp*M
FM
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Bp*M
M
bp
F
Bp*F*M
probabilistic models
NULL Bp
A
bp*F
AFM F*M
probabilistic models
M
AF
F
0 1000 2000 3000 4000
DAIC NULL
Figure 2. DAIC values of the probabilistic models ( probabilistic matrices)
resulting from species abundance (A), phenology (F) and morphology (M) bP*M
and all possible combinations among them in relation to the best model
(FM); NULL is the model in which all pairwise interactions have the same bP
probability. Shorter bars indicate better fit of a given model in relation to
the FM model, which presented the best fit to the observed network. A*M
(a) (b) 7
NULL
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A
F
M
A*F
A*M
F*M
A*F*M
0 0.5 1.0 0 25 50 75 100
connectance weighted NODF
(c) (d)
the observed matrix. Instead, models including abundance frequency of interaction as a proxy for abundance (when
often showed the closest values to observed metrics. This there is no correlation) might overestimate the relative impor-
result contradicts the mechanisms influencing interaction tance of abundance in structuring ecological networks, and
frequencies and the metrics of network structure, which rep- this procedure should be avoided. In addition, even the best
resent distinct attributes of the network. The frequency of predictor models of network structures failed in reproducing
pairwise interactions represents the structure of the network the observed values of network metrics. This might suggest
because it describes each interaction individually, and ulti- that, although useful in capturing some specific properties,
mately this is used for the calculation of the metrics. In this network metrics could be failing in synthesizing the complex-
sense, it seems that although networks metrics are useful for ity of the whole network. In sum, our findings suggest that
investigating patterns on specific network attributes [7,41], species abundance is not always the most important driver
they might be losing some of the data complexity in the process of species interactions in communities.
of synthesizing a single number. Thus, we suggest that net-
work metrics should be chosen carefully when the point is Acknowledgements. We thank ‘Ecological Networks Course’ professors:
to investigate different mechanisms generating the network Diego Vázquez, Luciano Cagnolo and Natasha Chacoff, as well as col-
structure as a whole. leagues, especially Marı́a Soledad Tarantelli and Mónica Nime, for
diverse assistance and suggestions on network analyses. Andrew
In summary, to the best of our knowledge, this study MacDonald, Bo Dalsgaard, Diego Vázquez, Elsa Canard, Jesper Sonne,
reports, for the first time, that forbidden links are of higher Leonardo R. Jorge, Mário Almeida-Neto, Vinicius A. G. Bastazini,
importance than species abundance in structuring an ecologi- Wesley R. Silva and an anonymous reviewer contributed with valuable
cal network. More studies will be required to reveal whether suggestions on the manuscript. We also thank Instituto Florestal and
our result is an exception or not. It would be necessary for Santa Virgı́nia Field Station staff for permission and facilities to carry
out the study and the botanists Maria das Graças L. Wanderley, Cintia
this purpose to investigate different kinds of plant–pollinator Kameyama, Andréa O. Araujo, Silvana Godoy, Milena V. Martins, Mar-
systems and interactions (other than mutualisms) in distinct cela Firens, Maria Fernanda Calió, João Semir and Gustavo Shimizu for
ecosystems. We also provided evidence that using the the help with plant identification.
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Funding statement. Financial support was provided by CNPq through Additional support was provided by CAPES through the Graduate 8
scholarships to J.V.B and P.K.M., and a researcher grant to M.S. programme in Ecology and Faepex-Unicamp.
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