National Interest or Transnational Allia
National Interest or Transnational Allia
National Interest or Transnational Allia
National Interest or
Transnational Alliances? Japanese Policy
on the Comfort Women Issue
Yangmo Ku
When and why does a perpetrator state take a contrite stance on its
past wrongs? More specifically, why do Japanese behaviors differ over
time in addressing apology and compensation with regard to the com-
fort women issue? In this article I address these questions by testing two
hypotheses, utilizing an instrumentalist approach and a transnational-
political activism model. The former posits a perpetrator state is more
likely to take a contrite stance on its past misdeeds when it calculates
such action is in its security and/or economic interests. The latter hy-
pothesizes that when transnational activism is powerful and a perpe-
trator state is led by a progressive ruling coalition, the state is more
likely to adopt conciliatory policies toward historical issues. I find that
the transnational-political activism model possesses more explanatory
power than instrumentalism for within-case variations in Japanese be-
havior toward the comfort women issue. The two approaches are not,
however, mutually exclusive and are complementary in some regards.
The effect of transnational activism is heightened when the target state
is faced with other geopolitical incentives and/or when the target state
is led by a progressive ruling coalition and has weak conservative reac-
tion. KEYWORDS: instrumentalism, transnational-political activism model,
comfort women, apology and compensation, postwar Japanese history
policy
243
lence in order to fulfill the statements; or, instead of direct state compen-
sation, the state pays victim survivors only indirectly through a non-
governmental fund. When a perpetrator state shows no contrition, the
state issues official statements that justify, deny, or glorify its past mis-
deeds. The state does not mention past violence at all. It does not speak
of or design any compensation scheme for surviving victims either. The
state may also overlook its past (somewhat) apologetic statements and
policies, regressing to more unapologetic attitudes regarding apology and
compensation issues.
Instrumentalism
As an interest-based approach, instrumentalism means here that a perpe-
trator state's behavior is shaped by calculations of national interests." As
rational actors, perpetrator states should choose history policies that best
serve their overall security and/or economic interests (Berger 2012). For
perpetrator states, coming to terms with their past wrongs can be used as
a means of improving their diplomatic relations with former victim states,
which can help avoid diplomatic isolation and thus promote their own se-
curity. Perpetrator states also can take a more conciliatory stance on their
past misdeeds in order to strengthen their economic ties with former vic-
tim states and to gain more economic benefits by doing that. In this re-
gard, it would be important whether or not a perpetrator state has security
and/or economic incentives to seek closer ties with its neighboring coun-
tries-particularly with former victim states. Given this logic, the fol-
lowing hypothesis is inferred: a perpetrator state is more likely to take a
contrite stance on its past misdeeds when it calculates such action is in
its security and/or economic interests. The presence of both security and
economic incentives will prompt a perpetrator state to take a deeply con-
trite stance on historical issues, whereas the absence of both incentives
will lead it to the level of no contrition. The presence of either security
or economic incentives will bring about its reaching the level of shallow
contrition.
Since the early 1950s, Japan's ultimate security interest-national
survival-has been largely dependent upon the US-Japan Alliance, which
has formed the bedrock of Japan's postwar foreign policy (He 2009, 295).
The conclusion of the US-Japan Security Treaty in 1951 ensured Japan's
internal and external security by guaranteeing the presence of US troops
in Japan (Seraphim 2006, 18-19). This alliance agreement did not re-
quire Japan's reconciliation with war-shattered Korea or Communist
China. Responding to US pressure, Japan did normalize its relationship
with South Korea in 1965. But up until the late 1980s, it was not neces-
sary for Japan to accommodate South Korea, because Japan was pro-
tected by the United States.
The US-Japan Alliance significantly weakened between 1991 and
1995 due to the disappearance of the common enemy, the Soviet Union,
and intensified trade disputes between the United States and Japan. As
Victor Cha (1999) posits, the fear of US abandonment would compel
Japan to improve its relationship with South Korea. However, the period
from the mid-1990s witnessed the notable strengthening of the alliance,
which was aimed at checking and balancing North Korea's provocative
actions and the rising Chinese threat at the time. US war on terrorism
after September 11, 2001, also played a key role in invigorating the US-
Japan security alliance, as Japan became an indispensable supporter of
the US policy on terrorism.
In terms of economic interests, Japan did not have to put great value
on its Asian neighbors, especially South Korea, until the end ofthe 1960s.
As an advanced and powerful economy in the region, Japan was largely
dependent on US and European markets. In the 1970s, however, Japan
started to expand its interest in East Asia, and Japan's economic interests
in the region increased significantly in the 1980s. Not only did South
Korea and Taiwan emerge as economic competitors to Japan, but China
also began to focus on economic development after Deng Xiaoping came
to power in 1978 (Berger 2012, 165-166). Under these changed circum-
stances, Japan had to pay more attention to Asia's huge economic poten-
tial, especially as US and European markets were turning increasingly
protectionist. In this regard, an instrumentalist focus on security and eco-
nomic incentives enables the following predictions: (1) Japan will take
unapologetic attitudes toward historical issues until the late 1960s (in the
absence of both security and economic incentives); (2) Japan will take
shallowly contrite attitudes toward historical problems in the 1970s-
1980s and after the mid-1990s (in the presence of economic incentives
but no security incentives); and (3) Japan will take deeply contrite atti-
tudes toward the issues during the period between 1991 and 1995 (in the
presence of both security and economic incentives).
tional activist networks on the basis of two factors: (1) network density
and cohesiveness; and (2) external support from the media, international
institutions, and foreign governments. A strong transnational network
will engage in regular exchanges between NGOs in a dense, unified net-
work and enjoy a high degree of external support from the media, inter-
national organizations, and other governments. A weak transnational
network, however, does not have regular exchanges between NGOs
within a sparse network. It not only suffers a sharp division among net-
work actors in terms of movement tactics or goals but also shows a low
degree of support from the media, international organizations, and
governments.
Hence, the transnational-political activism model deduces the fol-
lowing hypothesis, which can be summarized in Figure 1. The combi-
nation of the two independent variables-the power of transnational
activism and the nature of a ruling coalition-yields four possible out-
comes for a perpetrator state's behavior in grappling with historical
problems.
First, when strong transnational activism aligns with a progressive
ruling coalition in a perpetrator state, the state will take deeply contrite
attitudes toward historical problems (quadrant I). The combination of a
sympathetic government and strong networks incentivizes NGOs to de-
velop suitable strategies through exchanges like holding conferences and
workshops. Drawing attention from the media, international organiza-
tions, and other governments, transnational networks are more likely to
achieve issue resonance in the international community. In this process,
Progressive Conservative
violence. Furthermore, the state may overlook its past apologetic state-
ments and policies, reverting to a more unapologetic stance on the
issues.
The subsequent sections test the two analytical frameworks against
historical facts with regard to the comfort women issue. During the first
phase, from 1945 to 1990, neither model would predict contrition, al-
though instrumentalism expects shallow contrition in the 1970s-1980s
with the rise of Japan's economic incentives. An actual outcome during
this first phase was marked by no contrition: Japan showed little care or
remorse toward the historical matter. During the second phase, from 1991
to 1995, instrumentalism predicts deep contrition as both Japan's secu-
rity and economic incentives are strong, while the transnational-political
activism model expects shallow contrition. But this period actually con-
sisted of shallow contrition: the Japanese state issued somewhat apolo-
getic statements and established a nongovernmental fund to compensate
former comfort women. During the third phase, between 1996 and the
mid-2000s, instrumentalism predicts shallow contrition with Japan's se-
curity interests significantly weakened, whereas the activism model ex-
pects no contrition. As an actual outcome, the Japanese state largely
maintained a state of shallow contrition in addressing the comfort women
issue, but showed frequent regression to no contrition.
suing the issue ofwho bore responsibility for the war and wartime atroc-
ities. Under the longtime conservative LDP rule, therefore, the Japanese
government had no stake in voluntarily addressing the comfort women
issue, which could have caused serious damage to its political standing
and national pride.
Additionally, the main victim state-Korea-did not initially have
the wherewithal to take the comfort women issue into account during
this period given the political and social turmoil produced by the unex-
pected division into the two Koreas after liberation and the ensuing Ko-
rean War between 1950 and 1953 (Soh 2008, 168). Korean authoritarian
leaders such as Park Jung-hee and Chun Doo-whan were engrossed in ac-
celerating economic development in order to strengthen their weak po-
liticallegitimacy, including through improving relations with Japan. For
instance, President Park did not seriously address historical issues in re-
turn for receiving economic assistance from Japan in making the Korea-
Japan Normalization Treaty in 1965. Moreover, the patriarchal social
atmosphere in Korea, which made sex victims feel ashamed while the
assailants were generally tacitly tolerated, also helped prevent former
comfort women from publicizing the issue. Hence, this period exactly
falls into quadrant IV (weak transnational activism with conservative rul-
ing coalition results in no contrition), as shown in Figure 1.
2007). Immediately after World War II, the United States planned to im-
plement a strict reparation policy toward Japan.' This harsh reparation
plan, however, was rolled back significantly for three reasons. First, as
the Cold War intensified, the US government came to recognize Japan's
elevated strategic value in preventing the spread of communism in East
Asia. Second, the United States desired to reduce its huge occupational
expenses and became concerned that Japan's excessive reparations
scheme could further aggravate the US financial condition. Indeed, dur-
ing the occupation (1945-1952), the US government had to provide
Japan with more than $2 billion in economic aid. Third, the United States
reflected fruitfully on the lessons learned following the excessive repa-
rations regime applied to Germany following World War I, and how it
contributed to the emergence of the Nazi regime and the subsequent out-
break of World War II.
With these relaxed conditions, the major Western powers-includ-
ing the United Kingdom and Australia-renounced their reparation
claims following the US example. China and Korea, the nations most se-
verely damaged by Japan's aggressive war and colonial rule, were ex-
cluded from the forty-nine official signatories of the San Francisco Peace
Treaty. Only Indonesia and a few other Southeast Asian countries re-
quested and received reparations for war damages (Seraphim 2006, 320).
In a series of bilateral negotiations with those countries, Japanese nego-
tiators "were able to hammer out ambiguously worded agreements in
which they offered economic development assistance that could be inter-
preted as reparations, without officially having to acknowledge them as
such" (Berger 2007, 190). In this process, consequently, Japan was able
to avoid directly addressing its past atrocities in Asia, including the com-
fort women issue.
Japan Alliance in the early 1990s, which had been the bedrock of Japan's
postwar foreign policy, can be construed as a clear motive for Japan's
seeking closer ties with other Asian countries (Mochizuki 2007, 4). The
1990-1991 Gulf War first caused a rupture in the US-Japan Alliance. As
the United States led efforts against Iraq to liberate Kuwait, Washington
demanded a military contribution from Japan commensurate with their
alliance partnership. Despite this request, Japan provided a large sum of
financial support ($13 billion) rather than dispatching its Self-Defense
Forces (SDF) and cited the Peace Constitution that prevented the move-
ment of troops overseas. Despite the hefty financial contribution, Japan
received little gratitude and recognition from the United States or Kuwait
following the Gulf War (Park 2004, 177).
The US-Japan Alliance faced other challenges in the early 1990s.
Given the disappearance of a common adversary, the Bush administra-
tion began to place increased weight on economic issues while it deem-
phasized Japan's strategic importance (Park 2007, 187-188). At the end
of Bush's presidency, the US Department of Defense issued a strategic
report that took into account the reduction of the US military presence in
Asia. President Clinton, who was inaugurated in 1993, also focused on
economic diplomacy and strove to rectify the trade imbalance between
the United States and Japan. Thus the US trade representative and the
National Economic Council officials were much more influential than
the security experts who had enjoyed greater influence when maintain-
ing a containment policy had been a critical driver to US-Japan relations.
Moreover, Japanese concerns were further aroused when the United
States labeled China a strategic partner. To Japan, this action signaled a
significant devaluation of the US-Japan Alliance. With the emergence of
Asia's huge economic potential, Japan also faced another economic chal-
lenge: "the rise of economic regionalism, such as the formation of a uni-
fied European market and the North American Free Trade Agreement,
which could hamper Japan's access to lucrative markets in the advanced
industrial world" (Mochizuki 2007, 4). Japan thus needed to better inte-
grate itself with Asia by mending bridges that had remained in disrepair
long after the conclusion of World War II-era hostilities. Facing these
new concerns and challenges, Japanese leaders recognized the US-Japan
Alliance was no longer sufficient and that Japan needed to take proactive
steps to nurture a favorable environment in Asia to protect its long-term
security and economic interests. 15
Accordingly, instrumentalism can provide a plausible explanation
of the positive changes in Japan's dealings with the comfort women issue
during this second phase. Instrumentalism is not sufficient, however, to
account for why Japan did not go further toward a deep contrition, given
the geostrategic gains. Rather the answers are to be found in the interac-
tion of transnational networks and domestic politics. As described above,
Japan refused to accept full state responsibility for the issue as evidenced
by its establishment of a nongovernmental fund. A reason for the Japan-
ese government's wan response was that despite strong networks, the
rule of a progressive non-LDP coalition was short. And, even during that
period, the still-influential conservative LDP prevented a progressive
Prime Minister Murayama from adopting deeply contrite measures to-
ward the historical matter.
the comfort women issue (Yoon 2007, 29). In the wake of this forum,
there was an upsurge of cooperation among groups in the countries of
victims and groups in Japan.
These newly networked groups actively sought to raise the comfort
women issue in international conferences sponsored by the UN. During
the 1993 World Conference on Human Rights in Vienna, the Asian
Women's Forum was launched and adopted a resolution demanding the
UN investigate the Japanese army's sexual slavery system.'? Represen-
tatives from the Asian groups frequently participated in preliminary
meetings for the 1995 World Conference on Women in Beijing and
worked as lobbyists publicizing the seriousness of suffering inflicted on
former comfort women. 18 As a result of their efforts, the Vienna Confer-
ence clearly included "sexual slavery" as a violation of women's human
rights under armed conflict in the Vienna Declaration. In its code of con-
duct, the Beijing Conference stipulated that as sexual slavery was a war
crime, perpetrator states should investigate allegations, punish the per-
sons in charge, and compensate surviving victims. Consequently, this
mobilized transnational activism significantly increased issue resonance
in the international community, thus pushing the Japanese government to
move toward a more contrite stance on the comfort women issue.
In contrast to this strong transnational activism, Japan's conserva-
tive groups were caught off guard and unprepared for mounting a de-
fense during this second phase. As Sarah Soh (2008, 66) notes,
"Conservatives regarded the comfort women redress activism through a
small number ofNGOs as noise that over time would fade away." Japan-
ese nationalists just expressed their negative opinions of the transnational
comfort women movement and the somewhat apologetic stance of the
Japanese government regarding the issue. In an editorial, the Sankei
Shimbun lamented that Japan had to take the blame in the sense that
countries like Britain also employed foreign prostitutes throughout its
empire (Seaton 2006, 110). Japanese conservative figures usually as-
serted that the military comfort women issue was not only a necessary
evil at the time but also an effective system aimed at protecting women
in Japan's occupied territories (Chung 2001,175).
dispatch the SDF to Iraq. In contrast to the prior phase, therefore, it was
not necessary-for security reasons at least-for Japan to actively ad-
dress its past wrongs with other Asian nations, as the notably strength-
ened US-Japan Alliance settled the security concerns that Japan had held
in the early 1990s.
fluence of groups that had supported the AWF was weakened in Japan
and abroad. The anti-AWF groups continued to lobby the Japanese Diet
for reparation laws (Mitsui 2007, 46). A variety of legal groups and the
Campaign for Completing Postwar Compensation prepared reparation
bills for the Japanese Diet. After organizing a citizen convention, more-
over, a number of groups such as the Violence Against Women in War
Network, Japan (VAWW-NET Japan) sought to constitute a fact-finding
bill to demand the Japanese Diet's research regarding Japan's compre-
hensive war responsibility, including the comfort women issue. These
legal approaches were not successful, but transnational groups, including
the Postwar Compensation Network, continuously lobbied Japanese
politicians, particularly Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) Diet members,
to enact reparation laws."
Conclusion
To examine the variations in Japan's choice ofhistory policy, I have tested
two competing approaches-instrumentalism and the transnational-
political activism model-against the comfort women issue. The former
posits that when geopolitical incentives are strong, a perpetrator state is
more likely to take contrite attitudes toward historical issues. The latter hy-
pothesizes that when the power of transnational activism is strong and a
perpetrator state is led by a progressive ruling coalition, the state is more
likely to adopt contrite policies toward historical issues. Table 1 illustrates
the results of theory tests regarding Japan's dealings with the comfort
women issue.
Predictions
Notes
This research was supported by the Korea Foundation and Norwich University.
1. The term comfort women is a euphemism for women drafted for military
sexual slavery by Japan during the Asia Pacific War. I use the term in this arti-
cle, because scholars have commonly used it in their works.
2. In this article, transnational activism is defined as "voluntary collective
action across state borders that self-organized advocacy groups undertake in pur-
suit of what they deem to be the wider public interest" (Price 2003). A ruling
coalition is equal to ruling parties (or a ruling party) that constitute(s) and lead(s)
a national government.
3. The concept of contrition in this article is narrower than one adopted in
previous studies, as the scope of this research is limited to apology/compensation
issues. To measure degrees of contrition reflected in official historical narratives
(or policies ofremembrance), Thomas Berger (2012) and Jennifer Lind (2008) in-
corporated three more indicators-legal trials, commemoration, and history edu-
cation-in addition to the official statements and compensation measures.
4. Both realism and neoliberalism can fall into the category of instrumen-
talism in that those theories endorse the following assumption: as key actors in
world politics, states rationally act in accordance with self-interest under the an-
archic international system (Katzenstein, Keohane, and Krasner 1998).
5. It was necessary for Japan to soothe Koreans' strong anti-Japanese sen-
timent that had consistently prevented the making of the Korea-Japan Normal-
ization Treaty. To this end, Japanese foreign minister Shiina issued a somewhat
apologetic statement about Japan's colonial rule over Korea when he visited
Seoul in January 1965. However, he did not mention any ofJapan's past wrongs
such as the comfort women issue (Lee 1996, 26-63).
6. Personal interview, Seoul, October 7, 2008.
7. This planned policy intended (1) to transfer to the Allies capital facilities
that could make Japan remilitarized; (2) to collect the reparations in kind to the
extent that they did not obstruct the subsistence level of the Japanese people or
the maintenance of the Allied occupation; and (3) to transfer Japan's overseas
property to the Allies (Lee 2007).
8. Seoul Shinmun, January 18, 1992.
9. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan (1992), "Statement by ChiefCabi-
net Secretary Koichi Kato on the Issue of the So-Called 'Wartime Comfort
Women' from the Korean Peninsula." www.mofa.go.jp/policy/postwar/state
9207.html (accessed January 5, 2009).
10. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan (1993), "Statement by the Chief
Cabinet Secretary Yohei Kono on the Result of the Study on the Issue of 'Com-
fort Women. '" www.mofa.go.jp/policy/women/fund/state9308.html (accessed
January 5,2009).
11. Personal interview, Tokyo, October 25, 2008. A Japanese civil activist
states, "The report was not fully apologetic because it did not clearly present
who had established the system."
12. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan (1995), "Statement by Prime Min-
ister Tomiichi Murayama on the Occasion of the Establishment of the 'Asian
Women's Fund. '" www.mofa.go.jp/policy/women/fund/state9507.html (ac-
cessed January 5, 2009).
13. To implement this atonement project, the AWF contained the following
three major elements: (1) to provide "atonement money" (2 million yen per per-
son) donated by the Japanese people to former comfort women; (2) to send a
letter from the Japanese prime minister to surviving victims; and (3) to disburse
"about 830 million yen from government funds over a five-year period for vic-
tims' medical care and welfare" (AWF 2007, 125).
14. Personal interview, Tokyo, October 16, 2008.
15. For instance, "Powerful factional leaders such as Ozawa Ichiro recog-
nized that Japan needed to address the history question more clearly and directly
than it had been willing to do in the past if it were to become more engaged in
world affairs" (Berger 2007, 195).
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Will This Be
China's Century?
A Skeptic's View
M EL GURTOV
Mel Gurtov takes issue with the widespread view that China is on
the way to rivaling or even displacing the United States as the
dominant world power.
Arguing that China's economic rise has exacerbated problems
of social inequality, environmental degradation, official corruption,
and more-and that its military capabilities and ambitions are far
more limited than many observers have suggested-he makes a
strong case that the most productive US policy will be one of
engagement on issues of common concern, rather than confronta-
tion or containment.