Breaker
Breaker
Breaker
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1. In this example, let’s pretend we’re in a bullish trend, but that we’re reaching a level
of strong resistance, such as a higher time frame orderblock, FVG, High/Low, etc.
2. Then, the down close candles form a bullish orderblock. (Bearish orderblocks would
be the up close candles)
a. When the expansion upwards occurs and a bullish orderblock is formed, the
expansion should ideally at least travel 1:1 of the orderblock size.
i. What I mean by this is, If you place your fibonacci on the high and low of
the orderblock, it should at least travel to the 2 or -1 fib level, whichever
level shows as an extension to the upside.
ii. This extension is crucial for the formation of an orderblock and the breaker.
a. The market here should now reject and rip through the orderblock, which fails to
hold. Hence the name “failed orderblock”
b. When the market rips through the orderblock, ideally we want to see at least
one FVG form.
c. Once this occurs, the bullish orderblock is now a bearish breaker, and the
market structure can be confirmed as truly broken and now shifted to a bearish
structure.
a. A retest of the FVG is not necessary, however, a retest and rejection of the
FVG can be additional confirmation and give you more confidence that you
are on the right side of the market.
b. When retesting the breaker, ideally you want to see a sharp rejection after
retesting it.
i. If the market retests the 50% of the breaker but starts showing strength
past it, the breaker no longer is high probability.
ii. However, this is not to say that there isn’t times when market wicks past
the breaker, but shows respect using the bodies of the candles for
example.
iii. In these kind of scenarios, the breaker may still act as a point of
interest, however it’s better to wait for another confirmation, such as a
market structure break followed by an FVG retest.
In this example, you can see we wicked right outside the breaker, and continued to
reject off of it.
By the way, if you couldn’t tell already, this was Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe!
The point of interest for resistance was the previous All Time High.
Now that we’ve covered the Introduction to Breakers, lets discuss the theory behind
breakers.
1. While the orderblock is being formed, this is big money accumulating their longs. (In
an example where we have a bullish orderblock)
2. Once the market makers are in, the market starts to expand higher, then rejects at a
point of interest.
3. The market then runs for sell side liquidity (in a bearish breaker example) in a rapid
fashion, putting the market makers who longed at the orderblock in a losing position
and not giving them the chance to consider closing their position.
a. Keep in mind that due to the market makers’ sheer volume, they do not have
the ability to use stop losses the same way we do.
b. Therefore, when we make the run for the opposing sides liquidity, the market
makers will now be looking to exit at a fair price (which would be a level close to
their entry)
4. The market then returns to the now breaker block, and the market makers exit their
longs for a loss; the buy stops then becomes fuel for the market to go lower.
a. The longs being closed for a loss is the equivalent of opening shorts, which in
turn brings price lower.
That is the theory behind the breaker block and why they play out the way they do. Now
that we understand that, lets go through how to select your orderblock.
Choosing an orderblock can be tricky, however, with the right parameters set, you won’t
be questioning whether or not the block you’re looking at is an orderblock or not.
There is a few pieces of criteria that I have for a high probability orderblock:
Sweep of liquidity
Use the fib on the high and low and measure either the -1 or 2 on Fibonaccci
Retracement Tool
Sizable body
Up to 4 consecutive candles
Keep in mind that the orderblock you want to choose is the origin of the move that
generated the market structure break.
💡 You are buying where the limit orders that were unfilled are left behind.
This is important to keep in mind when choosing your orderblock as you don’t want to
choose the candles that were formed already on the way up.
The ideal orderblock used for your breaker block is NOT a propulsion block.
The difference between a propulsion block and an orderblock you’d use for a breaker is
like so:
Therefore, we’d use the bullish orderblock formed as our Bearish Breaker POI.
Let’s go through the different ways in which we can measure the breaker block.
First things first, we’ll discuss the initial orderblock formation, and a method in which you
can even anticipate the breaker block to be formed.
When our orderblock is formed, there are two ways to measure it.
Using the extensions (Standard Deviations) (1.5, 2, 2.5, -0.5, -1, -1.5, etc)
To find expansion levels to take profit / use as a draw on liquidity for your
breaker
Mean Threshold
Using the mean threshold in a breaker scenario can be useful to further refine your point
of interest, especially if the breaker you have marked out is wide.
If you are actively watching price action trade into the breaker, and the market trades
into the 50% of the breaker and shows a strong reaction, that can be a place to start
looking for an entry.
For example:
Another thing to note is the candle closes. When we are seeing the market trade
around the EQ and there is a push through it, the candle bodies can tell a different
story. If you are seeing the bodies respect the 50% level, that can also be an indication
that the market is going to reject soon.
Breaker Expansions
When a breaker forms, the standard deviation of breakers always align with some sort
of liquidity, imbalance, or gaps. This is when standard deviations, measurements of
breakers becomes useful.
We can view this as the market algorithm measuring its movements, expanding
to an objective in one direction or the other.
Standard deviation levels of a breaker adds more confluence to our bias and the
draw on liquidity that we have already established.
For Example:
For the entire daily ranges, we will be measuring 5 minute or 15 minute breakers,
measurements of 5 minute or 15 minute breakers gives the daily high/low.
For the weekly ranges, we will be measuring hourly or four hour breakers, the
measurements of these breakers gives the high/low of the week.
One thing to keep in mind here is that if market creates a midweek reversal
weekly profile, this usually causes a new hourly breaker to form. Then and only
then we will measure the opposite breaker to see how much of a pullback can it
give for the rest of the week.
For Example:
Remember how we discussed that the orderblock chosen should have a 1:1 expansion?
Well, if you are confident in your bias, what you can do is pull your fib and see if the
market expands to a standard deviation level that aligns with your support or resistance
level.
If it does, after the market taps your level, you can start building your position by
entering in 1/4 or 1/2 of your usual risk. Then after the breaker is confirmed, you can
pyramid (add on to your position) at the retest to complete the risk.