Managerial Finance Revision Notes August 2021 26 7 2021
Managerial Finance Revision Notes August 2021 26 7 2021
Managerial Finance Revision Notes August 2021 26 7 2021
In general, the term “Finance” is understood as the provision of funds, as and when needed.
Finance is the essential requirement—sine qua non—of every organization.
Efficient Utilization—More Important: Finance function is the most important function of all
business activities. The efficient management of business enterprise is, closely, linked with the
efficient management of its finances. The need of finance starts with the setting up of business.
Its growth and expansion require more funds. Funds have to be raised from various sources.
Such sources have to be selected keeping in view their relation to the implications, in
particular, its risks attached. Receiving money, alone, is not important. Terms and conditions,
while receiving money are more important. Cost of funds is an important element. Its
utilization is rather more important. If funds are utilized properly, repayment would be
possible and easier, too. Care has to be exercised to match the inflow and outflow of funds.
Needless to say, profitability of any firm is dependent on its cost as well as its efficient
utilization
Financial Management is not an independent area, but an integral part of overall management.
Financial Management is a wide subject that brings together much of the material that are
found in other subjects and uses other disciplines as its tools. Despite this, it is an interesting
course that brings the best out of an average student. Financial Management involves the use
of accounting knowledge, economic models, mathematical rules, systems analysis and
behavioral science for the specific purpose of assisting management in its functions of
financial planning and control.
The general meaning of finance refers to the provision of funds, as and when needed.
However, as management function, the term ‘Financial Management’ has a distinct meaning.
Financial management deals with the study of procuring funds and its effective and judicious
utilization, in terms of the overall objectives of the firm, and expectations of the providers of
funds. The basic objective is to maximize the value of the firm. The purpose is to achieve
maximization of share value to the owners, i.e. equity shareholders. The objective of every
company is to create value for its shareholders. Market price of equity share is the barometer
for showing the real ‘Value’. The basic objective of financial management is to maximize the
shareholders’ wealth, represented by the market value of equity shares.
Financial Management is concerned with three activities:
Anticipating financial needs, which means estimating requirements of the firm in terms
of long-term and short-term needs or investment in fixed and current assets.
Acquiring financial resources from different sources to meet the financial needs.
Allocating funds to maximize shareholders’ wealth.
The term financial management has been defined differently by various authors. Some of the
authoritative definitions -are given below:
1. “Financial Management is concerned with the efficient use of an important economic
resource, namely, Capital Funds.” – Solomon
2. “Financial Management is concerned with the managerial decisions that result in the
acquisition and financing of short-term and long-term credits for the firm.” – Phillioppatus
3. “Financial Management is concerned with the acquisition, financing and management of
assets with some overall goal in mind.”– James C. Van Horne
4. “Financial Management deals with procurement of funds and their effective utilization in
the business.” – S.C. Kuchhal From the above definitions, two basic aspects of financial
management emerge. A. Procurement of funds. B. Effective and judicious utilization of funds.
Financial management has become so important that it has given birth to Financial
Management as a separate subject.
1.6 NATURE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Financial management refers to that part of management activity, which is concerned with the
planning and controlling of firm’s financial resources. Financial management is a part of
overall management. All business decisions involve finance. Where finance is needed, role of
finance manager is inevitable. Financial management deals with raising of funds from various
sources, dependent on the availability and existing capital structure of the organization. The
sources must be suitable and economical to the organization. Emphasis of financial
management is more on its efficient utilization, rather than raising of funds alone. The scope
and complexity of financial management has been widening with the growth of business in
different diverse directions. As business competition increases, with a greater pace, more
support of financial management is needed, in a more innovative way to make the business
grow, ahead of others.
1.7 IMPORTANCE—FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
The main importance of financial management can be listed as under:
1. It is necessary for the smooth running of the organization.
2. It facilitates to evaluate the profitability of operational activities of the organization.
3. From the view point of profitability, decision-making is geared at all functional levels.
Over the years notable changes have occurred in financial management both in its scope and
areas of coverage. Study of changes that have taken place, over the years, is known as “Scope
of Financial Management”. For easy understanding of changes, it is necessary to divide the
scope of financial management into two approaches. Broadly, the two approaches and their
emphasis are:
Traditional Approach—Procurement of Funds
Modern Approach—Effective Utilization of Funds
Traditional Approach
The scope of finance function was treated in the narrow sense as procurement or arrangement
of funds. A finance manager was treated as just provider of funds, when organization felt its
need. The utilization or administering resources was considered outside the purview of the
finance function. It was felt that the finance manager had no role to play in the decision-
making for its utilization. Others used to take decisions regarding its application in the
organization, without the involvement of finance personnel. Finance manager had been
treated, in fact, as an outsider with a very specific and limited function, supplier of funds, to
perform when the need of funds was felt by the organization. As per this approach, the
following aspects only were included in the scope of financial management:
(i) Estimation of requirements of finance.
(ii) Arrangement of funds from financial institutions.
(iii) Arrangement of funds through diverse financial instruments such as shares,
debentures, bonds and loans.
(iv) Looking after the accounting and legal work connected with the raising of
funds,
(v) Preparation of financial statements and managing cash levels needed to pay
day-to-day maturing obligations.
Limitations
The traditional approach was evolved during the 1920s and 1930s period and continued till
1950. The approach had been discarded due to the following limitations: (i) No Involvement in
Application of Funds: The finance manager had not been involved in decision-making of the
allocation of funds. He had been ignored in internal decision-making process and treated as an
outsider. (ii) No Involvement in Day-to-day Management: The focus was on providing long-
term funds from a combination of sources. This process was more of one time happening. The
finance manager was not involved in day-to-day administration of working capital
management. Smooth functioning of the firm depends on working capital management, where
the finance manager was not involved and allowed to play any role. (iii) Not Associated in
Decision-making–Allocation of Funds: The issue of allocation of funds was kept outside his
functioning. He had not been involved in decision making for its judicious utilization.
(iv) Outsider-looking-in Approach: The subject of finance has moved around the suppliers of
funds (investors, financial institutions, banks, etc.) who are outsiders. The approach has been
outsider-looking-in approach, since finance manager has never been involved in internal
decision-making process. Raising finance was an infrequent event. Its natural implication was
that the issues involved in working capital management were not in the purview of the finance
function. In nutshell, during the traditional phase, the finance manager was called upon, in
particular, when his speciality was required to locate new sources of funds, as and when the
requirement of funds was felt.
The following issues, as pointed by Solomon, were ignored in the scope of financial
management, under this approach:
(A) Should an enterprise commit capital funds to a certain purpose?
(B) Do the expected returns meet financial standards of performance?
(C) How should these standards be set and what is the cost of capital funds to the enterprise?
(D) How does the cost vary with the mixture of financing methods used? The traditional
approach has failed to provide answers to the above questions due to narrow scope. Traditional
approach has outlived its utility in the changed business situation. The scope of finance
function has undergone a sea change, with the emergence of different capital instruments.
Modern approach has started during mid-1950s. The approach and utility of financial
management has started changing in a revolutionary manner. Modern approach provides
answers to those questions which traditional approach has failed to provide. Financial
management is considered as vital and an integral part of overall management. Its scope is
wider, as it covers both procurement of funds and its efficient allocation. Allocation is not a
just haphazard process. Its effective utilization and allocation among various investments helps
to maximize shareholders’ wealth. The emphasis of Financial Management has been shifted
from raising funds to the effective and judicious utilization of funds. The modern approach is
analytical way of looking into the financial problems of the firm.
The main contents of this new approach are:
(A) What is the total volume of funds an enterprise should commit?
(B) What specific assets an enterprise should acquire?
(C) How should the funds required be financed?
d) Liquidity decision: The firm’s liquidity refers to its ability to meet its current obligations
as and when they fall due. It can also be referred to as current assets management. Investment
in current assets affects the firm’s liquidity, profitability and risk. The more current assets a
firm has, the more liquid it is. This implies that the firm has a lower risk of becoming
insolvent but since current assets are non-earning assets the profitability of the firm will be
low.
For the effective execution of the managerial finance functions, routine functions have to be
performed. These decisions concern procedures and systems and involve a lot of paper work
and time. In most cases these decisions are delegated to junior staff in the organization. Some
of the important routine functions are:
a) Supervision of cash receipts and payments
b) Safeguarding of cash balance
c) Custody and safeguarding of important documents
d) Record keeping and reporting
The finance manager will be involved with the managerial functions while the routine
functions will be carried out by junior staff in the firm. He must however, supervise the
activities of these junior staff.
1.11. The objectives/goals of a business
*FINANCIAL GOALS
1. Profit maximization – This is a traditional and a cardinal objective of a business. This is
so for the following reasons:
To earn acceptable returns to its owners. (i.e. Must not be less than bank rates +
inflation + risk)
So as to survive (through plough backs)
To meet its day to day obligations.
2. To maximize the net worth/Wealth maximization i.e. the difference between total assets
and total liabilities. This is important because:
It influences company’s share prices.
It facilitates growth (plough backs).
It boosts the company’s credit rating.
This is what owners claim from the company.
**NON-FINANCIAL GOALS
1. To maximize welfare of employees – Happy employees will contribute to the profitability.
This includes the reasonable salaries, the transport facilities, the medical facilities for the
employee and his family and the recreation facilities (sporting facilities).
2. Interests of customers – the company has to provide quality goods at fair prices and have
honest dealings with customers.
3. Welfare of the society (Corporate social responsibility) – the company has to maintain
sound industrial relations with the society like to avoid pollution and contribution to social
causes e.g. Pension & Health contributions, etc.
4. Fair dealing with suppliers. A company must meet its obligations on time and avoid
dishonor of obligations.
5. Duty to the government: A company should pay taxes promptly, go by government plans
and operate within legal framework.
There is little agreement in the literature as to what the objectives of firms are or even what
they ought to be. However, most writers on financial management make the assumption that
the primary objective of a firm is to maximize the wealth of its shareholders i.e. to maximize
the market value of the company’s equities. Although it is generally agreed that the financial
objective of the firm should be the maximization of owner’s economic welfare, however, there
is disagreement as to how the economic welfare of owners can be maximized. Two well-
known and widely discussed criteria which are put forth for this purpose are:
Profit maximization and
Wealth maximization
Related to the issue of social responsibility is the question of business ethics. Ethics are
defined as the “standards of conduct or moral behavior”. It can be thought of as the
company’s attitude toward its stakeholders, that is, its employees, customers, suppliers,
community in general creditors, and shareholders. High standards of ethical behavior demand
that a firm treat each of these constituents in a fair and honest manner. A firm’s commitment
to business ethics can be measured by the tendency of the firm and its employees to adhere to
laws and regulations relating to:
Product safety and quality
Fair employment practices
Fair marketing and selling practices
The use of confidential information for personal gain
Illegal political involvement
Bribery or illegal payments to obtain business.
1.12. The finance manager
The finance Manager is a key personnel who is responsible for the day to day financial
services and record keeping of the organization. He must have proper understanding of those
aspects of legislation which impact upon corporate organizations. Such legislation will include
Companies Acts, health and safety regulations, laws relating to consumer protection and
consumer rights to contrast and agency, employment law and laws relating to protection of the
environment.
A Finance Management will need to familiarize himself with taxation law as well as establish
the reasons why all aspects of Business Taxation are relevant to Finance Strategy.
Additionally he must be conversant with the section on corporation tax which impinges both
on policy formulation and decision-making, this topic being important for investment
appraisal.Other aspects of taxation to be recalled include the tax shield relating to the taking on
of debt in a company’s capital structure, while he should be aware of foreign tax credits
relating to double taxation agreements, whereby most countries give credits in respect of
income remitted to other countries which has already been taxed in the host country.
The Finance Manager should know the workings and implication of tax havens, which are
used by large organizations-usually multinational corporations – to defer payment of tax on
funds earned prior to them being remitted to the parents company’s host country or used for
investment purposes. Such havens will be expected to impose only low rates of tax on income
earned by resident subsidiaries or low withholding taxes on dividends remitted, to have
satisfactory financial services able to provide adequate support facilities and to possess
political and currency stability.
1.13. Stakeholders
Stakeholders are individuals or groups who are affected by the activities of the firm. They can
be classified as internal, connected and external.
The various stakeholder groups in a firm can be classified as follows.
Stakeholder groups
Internal Employees and pensioners
Managers
Directors
Connected Shareholders
Debt holders (bondholders)
Customers
Bankers
Suppliers
Competitors
External Government
Pressure groups
Local and national communities
Professional and regulatory bodies
1.13.1. Objectives of stakeholder groups
The various groups of stakeholders in a firm will have different goals which will depend in
part on the particular situation of the enterprise. Some of the more important aspects of these
different goals are as follows:
Ordinary (equity) shareholders: Ordinary (equity) shareholders are the providers of
the risk capital of a company. Usually their goal will be to maximize the wealth which
they have as a result of the ownership of the shares in the company.
Trade payables (creditors): Trade payables have supplied goods or services to the
firm. Trade payables will generally be profit-maximizing firms themselves and have
the objective of being paid the full amount due by the date agreed.
Long-term payables (creditors): Long-term payables, which will often be banks,
have the objective of receiving payments of interest and capital on the loan by the due
date for the repayments. Where the loan is secured on assets of the company, the lender
will be able to appoint a receiver to dispose of the company's assets if the company
defaults on the repayments. To avoid the possibility that this may result in a loss to the
lender if the assets are not sufficient to cover the loan, the lender will wish to minimise
the risk of default and will not wish to lend more than is prudent.
Employees: Employees will usually want to maximize their rewards paid to them in
salaries and benefits, according to the particular skills and the rewards available in
alternative employment. Most employees will also want continuity of employment.
Government: Government has objectives which can be formulated in political terms.
Government agencies impinge on the firm's activities in different ways including
through taxation of the firm's profits, the provision of grants, health and safety
legislation, training initiatives and so on. Government policies will often be related to
macroeconomic objectives such as sustained economic growth and high levels of
employment.
Management: Management has, like other employees (and managers who are not
directors will normally be employees), the objective of maximizing its own rewards.
Directors, and the managers to whom they delegate responsibilities, must manage the
company for the benefit of shareholders. The objective of reward maximization might
conflict with the exercise of this duty.
1.13.2. The agency theory and problem
An agency relationship arises where one or more parties called the principal contracts/hires
another called an agent to perform on his behalf some services and then delegates decision
making authority to that hired party (Agent). In the field of finance shareholders are the
owners of the firm. However, they cannot manage the firm because:
They may be too many to run a single firm.
They may not have technical skills and expertise to run the firm
They are geographically dispersed and may not have time.
Shareholders therefore employ managers who will act on their behalf. The managers are
therefore agents while shareholders are principal. Shareholders contribute capital which is
given to the directors which they utilize and at the end of each accounting year render an
explanation at the annual general meeting of how the financial resources were utilized. This is
called stewardship accounting.
In the light of the above shareholders are the principal while the management are the agents.
Agency problem arises due to the divergence or divorce of interest between the principal and
the agent. The conflict of interest between management and shareholders is called agency
problem in finance.
There are various types of agency relationship in finance exemplified as follows:
1. Shareholders and Management
2. Shareholders and Creditors
3. Shareholders and the Government
4. Shareholders and Auditors
5. Headquarter office and the Branch/subsidiary.
1. SHAREHOLDERS AND MANAGEMENT
There is near separation of ownership and management of the firm. Owners employ
professionals (managers) who have technical skills. Managers might take actions, which are
not in the best interest of shareholders. This is usually so when managers are not owners of
the firm i.e. they don’t have any shareholding. The actions of the managers will be in conflict
with the interest of the owners. The actions of the managers are in conflict with the interest of
shareholders will be caused by:
i)Incentive Problem
Managers may have fixed salary and they may have no incentive to work hard and maximize
shareholders wealth. This is because irrespective of the profits they make, their reward is
fixed. They will therefore maximize leisure and work less which is against the interest of the
shareholders.
ii)Consumption of “Perquisites”
Prerequisites refer to the high salaries and generous fringe benefits which the directors might
award themselves. This will constitute directors remuneration which will reduce the dividends
paid to the ordinary shareholders. Therefore, the consumption of perquisites is against the
interest of shareholders since it reduces their wealth.
iii)Different Risk-profile
Shareholders will usually prefer high-risk-high return investments since they are diversified
i.e. they have many investments and the collapse of one firm may have insignificant effects on
their overall wealth. Managers on the other hand, will prefer low risk-low return investment
since they have a personal fear of losing their jobs if the projects collapse. (Human capital is
not diversifiable). This difference in risk profile is a source of conflict of interest since
shareholders will forego some profits when low-return projects are undertaken.
iv) Different Evaluation Horizons
Managers might undertake projects which are profitable in short-run. Shareholders on the
other hand evaluate investments in long-run horizon which is consistent with the going
concern aspect of the firm. The conflict will therefore occur where management pursue short-
term profitability while shareholders prefer long term profitability.
v) Management Buy Out : The board of directors may attempt to acquire the business of the
principal. This is equivalent to the agent buying the firm which belongs to the shareholders.
This is inconsistent with the agency relationship and contract between the shareholders and the
managers.
vi) Pursuing power and self-esteem goals: This is called “empire building” to enlarge the
firm through mergers and acquisitions hence increase in the rewards of managers.
vii) Creative Accounting: This involves the use of accounting policies to report high profits
e.g stock valuation methods, depreciation methods recognizing profits immediately in long
term construction contracts etc.
This will involve restructuring the remuneration scheme of the firm in order to enhance the
alignments/harmonization of the interest of the shareholders with those of the management e.g.
managers may be given commissions, bonus etc. for superior performance of the firm.
2. Threat of firing: This is where there is a possibility of firing the entire management team
by the shareholders due to poor performance. Management of companies has been fired by the
shareholders who have the right to hire and fire the top executive officers.
3. The Threat of Hostile Takeover: If the shares of the firm are undervalued due to poor
performance and mismanagement. Shareholders can be threatened to sell their shares to
competitors. In this case the management team is fired and those who stay on can lose their
control and influence in the new firm. This threat is adequate to give incentive to management
to avoid conflict of interest.
In a share option scheme, selected employees can be given a number of share options, each of
which gives the holder the right after a certain date to subscribe for shares in the company at a
fixed price. The value of an option will increase if the company is successful and its share
price goes up. The theory is that this will encourage managers to pursue high NPV strategies
and investments, since them as shareholders will benefit personally from the increase in the
share price that results from such investments.
However, although share option schemes can contribute to the achievement of goal
congruence, there are a number of reasons why the benefits may not be as great as might be
expected, as follows:
Managers are protected from the downside risk that is faced by shareholders. If the
share price falls, they do not have to take up the shares and will still receive their
standard remuneration, while shareholders will lose money.
Many other factors as well as the quality of the company’s performance influence share
price movements. If the market is rising strongly, managers will still benefit from
share options, even though the company may have been very successful. If the share
price falls, there is a downward stock market adjustment and the managers will not be
rewarded for their efforts in the way that was planned.
The scheme may encourage management to adopt ‘creative accounting’ methods that
will distort the reported performance of the company in the service of the managers’
own ends.
7. Incurring Agency Costs
Agency costs are incurred by the shareholders in order to monitor the activities of their agent.
The agency costs are broadly classified into 4.
a) The contracting cost. These are costs incurred in devising the contract between the
managers and shareholders. The contract is drawn to ensure management act in the best
interest of shareholders and the shareholders on the other hand undertake to compensate the
management for their effort. Examples of the costs are negotiation fees, legal costs of
drawing the contracts fees and costs of setting the performance standard.
b) Monitoring Costs
This is incurred to prevent undesirable managerial actions. They are meant to ensure that both
parties live to the spirit of agency contract. They ensure that management utilizes the financial
resources of the shareholders without undue transfer to themselves.
Examples are:
External audit fees
Legal compliance expenses e.g. Preparation of financial statement according to
international accounting standards, company law, capital market authority
requirement, stock exchange regulations etc.
Financial reporting and disclosure expenses
Investigation fees especially where the investigation is instituted by the
shareholders.
Cost of instituting a tight internal control system (ICS).
c) Opportunity Cost/Residual Loss This is the cost due to the failure of both parties to act
optimally.e.g.:
Lost opportunities due to inability to make fast decision due to tight internal control
system
Failure to undertake high risk high return projects by the manager leads to lost profits
when they undertake low risk, low return projects.
d) Restructuring Costs – e.g. new Internal Control System, business process reengineering
etc.
2. SHAREHOLDERS AND CREDITORS/BOND/DEBENTURE HOLDERS
Bondholders are providers or lenders of long term debt capital. They will usually give debt
capital to the firm on the strength of the following factors:
The existing asset structure of the firm
The expected asset structure of the firm
The existing capital structure or gearing level of the firm
The expected capital structure of gearing after borrowing the new
debt.
b) Assets/investment substitution
In this case, the shareholders and bond holders will agree on a specific low risk project.
However, this project may be substituted with a high risk project whose cash flows have high
standard deviation. This exposes the bondholders because should the project collapse, they
may not recover all the amount of money advanced.
c) Payment of High Dividends
Dividends may be paid from current net profit and the existing retained earnings. Retained
earnings are an internal source of finance. The payment of high dividends will lead to low
level of capital and investment thus reduction in the market value of the shares and the
bonds.A firm may also borrow debt capital to finance the payment of dividends from which no
returns are expected. This will reduce the value of the firm and bond.
d) Under investment
This is where the firm fails to undertake a particular project or fails to invest money/capital in
the entire project if there is expectation that most of the returns from the project will benefit
the bondholders. This will lead to reduction in the value of the firm and subsequently the
value of the bonds.
e) Borrowing more debt capital
A firm may borrow more debt using the same asset as a collateral for the new debt. The value
of the old bond or debt will be reduced if the new debt takes a priority on the collateral in case
the firm is liquidated. This exposes the first bondholders/lenders to more risk.
The government in this agency relationship is the principal while the company is the agent.
It becomes an agent when it has to collect tax on behalf of the government especially
withholding tax and PAYE. The company also carries on business on behalf of the government
because the government does not have adequate capital resources. It provides a conducive
investment environment for the company and share in the profits of the company in form of
taxes. The company and its shareholders as agents may take some actions that might prejudice
the position or interest of the government as the principal. These actions include:
Tax evasion: This involves the failure to give the accurate picture of the earnings or
profits of the firm to minimize tax liability.
Involvement in illegal business activities by the firm.
Lukewarm response to social responsibility calls by the government.
Lack of adequate interest in the safety of the employees and the products and services
of the company including lack of environmental awareness concerns by the firm.
Avoiding certain types and areas of investment coveted by the government.
Solutions to the agency problem
The government can take the following actions to protect itself and its interests.
1. Incur monitoring costs
E.g. the government incurs costs associated with:
Statutory audit
Investigations of companies under Company Law
Back duty investigation costs to recover tax evaded in the past
VAT refund audits
This category of organisation includes public sector bodies such as the National Health
Service or local councils, charitable bodies e.g., Oxfam, and other organisations whose
purpose is to serve the broader community interests, rather than the pursuit of profit. In broad
terms, such organisations seek to serve the interests of society as a whole, and so they give
non-financial objectives priority of place.
It is reasonable to argue that they best serve society's interests when the gap between the
benefits they provide, and the cost of that provision is greatest. This is commonly termed
value for money, and it is not dissimilar to the concept of profit maximisation, but for the fact
that public welfare is being maximised rather than profit.
In practice it is incredibly difficult to quantify, for example, the benefits from an operation
such as the UK's National Health Service. How does one put a value on a life which has been
prolonged by "x" number of years, or on the easing of pain which is brought about by the
replacement of an arthritic joint? The benefits extend beyond factors which can be measured
in purely financial terms. Nonetheless, financial criteria can be used to appraise the extent to
which such organisations offer value for money, and hence make good use of the funds
provided to them.
Value for money may be described as " getting the best possible combination of services
from the least resources." This means maximising the benefits for the lowest possible cost, and
is usually accepted as requiring the application of economy, effectiveness and efficiency.
Economy measures the inputs that are required to achieve a certain level of outputs.
Effectiveness measures the extent to which a service achieves its declared objectives/goals.
Efficiency combines the other two measures to show the ratio of inputs : outputs. When an
operation is efficient it will produce the maximum number of goods/services relative to the
inputs required for their production. The three "Es" are the fundamental prerequisite of
achieving Value For Money.
The major difficulty for public sector bodies lies in precisely how to measure the achievement
of the non-financial objectives. Value for money as a concept assumes that there is a yardstick
against which to measure success i.e., achievement of objectives. In reality, the indicators of
success are open to debate. For example, in the Health Service is success measured in terms of
fewer patient deaths per hospital admission, shorter waiting lists for operations, average speed
of patient recovery? etc., etc. As long as objectives are difficult to specify, so too will it
remain difficult to specify where there is value for money. Comparative performance
measures are useful, but care must be taken not to read too much into limited information.
TOPIC 2 SOURCES OF FINANCES, FINANCIAL MARKETS &VENTURE
CAPITAL
2.1.1. INTRODUCTION
Finance is the lifeblood of business concern, because it is interlinked with all activities performed by
the business concern. In a human body, if blood circulation is not proper, body function will stop.
Financial requirement of the business differs from firm to firm and the nature of the requirements on
the basis of terms or period of financial requirement may be broadly classified into two parts: Long
term and short-term financial requirements.
Long-term financial requirement means the finance needed to acquire land and building for business
concern, purchase of plant and machinery and other fixed expenditure. Long-term financial
requirement is also called as fixed capital requirements. Fixed capital is the capital, which is used to
purchase the fixed assets of the firms such as land and building, furniture and fittings, plant and
machinery, etc. Hence, it is also called a capital expenditure.
This kind of expenditure is to meet with the help of short-term financial requirements which will meet
the operational expenditure of the firms. Short-term financial requirements are popularly known as
working capital.
Sources of finance mean the ways for mobilizing various terms of finance to the industrial concern.
Sources of finance may be classified under various categories according to the following important
heads:
1. EQUITY FINANCE
For small companies, this is personal savings (contribution of owners to the company). For large
companies’ equity finance is made of ordinary share capital and reserves; (both revenue and capital
reserves). Equity finance is divided into the following classes:
a) ORDINARY SHARE CAPITAL – this is raised from the public from the sale of ordinary
shares to the shareholders. This finance is available to limited companies. It is a permanent
finance as the owner/shareholder cannot recall this money except under liquidation. It is thus a
base on which other finances are raised.
Ordinary share capital carries a return that is variable (ordinary dividends). These shares carry
voting rights and can influence the company’s decision making process at the AGM.
These shares carry the highest risk in the company (high securities – documentary claim to) because of:
a) Uncertainty of return
b) Cannot ensure refund
c) Have residual claims – claim last on profits, claim last on assets.
However, this investment grows through retention.
Rights of ordinary shareholders
1. Right to vote
a. elect BOD
b. Sales/purchase of assets
2. Influence decisions:
a) Right to residual assets claim
b) Right to amend company’s by-laws
c) Right to appoint another auditor
d) Right to approve merger acquisition
e) Right to approve payment of dividends
Reasons why ordinary share capital is attractive despite being risky
Shares are used as securities for loans (a compromise of the market price of a share).
Its value grows.
They are transferable at capital gain.
They influence the company’s decisions.
Carry variable returns – is good under high profit
Perpetual investment – thus a perpetual return
Such shares are used as guarantees for credibility.
Advantages of using ordinary share capital in financing.
They facilitate projects especially long-term projects because they are permanent..
Its cost is not a legal obligation.
It lowers gearing level – reduces chances of receivership/liquidation.
Used with flexibility – without preconditions.
Such finances boost the company’s credibility and credit rating.
Owners contribute valuable ideas to the company’s operations (during AGM by professionals).
Rights Issues:
A rights issue is a method of raising new share capital by inviting existing shareholders to pay cash for
new shares in proportion to their existing shareholding. For example, a rights issue on a one for four
basis at 300c per share is inviting shareholders to subscribe for one new share for every four shares
they currently hold at a price of Frw3 per new share.
A rights issue may be made by any type of company, public or private, listed or unlisted. We are
mainly concerned however, with listed companies. Advantages of rights issues include:
- Cheaper than offers for sale to the general public
- More beneficial to existing shareholders than an offer to the general public as it gives existing
shareholders a discount on the market price for new shares
- Shareholders voting rights will be unaffected if they take up the rights offer
The offer price of a rights issue will be lower than the current market price of shares; however it must
be above the nominal value of the shares. If current market price is below nominal value, then a rights
issue is not possible.
The theoretical ex rights price (market price after a rights issue):
When a rights issue is announced, all existing shareholders have the right to subscribe for new shares
and so there are rights attached to the existing shares. The shares are therefore described as being ‘cum
rights’ (with rights attached) and are traded cum rights. On the first day of dealings in the newly issues
shares, the rights no longer exist and the old shares are now ‘ex rights’ (without rights attached). In
theory, the new market price will be the consequence of an adjustment to allow for the discount price
of the new issue, and a theoretical ex rights price can be calculated.
Example:
F plc. has 1,000,000 ordinary shares of Frw1 in issue, which have a market price on 1/9/12 of Frw2.10
per share. The co makes a rights issue and offers its shareholders the right to subscribe for one new
share at Frw1.50 each for every four shares held. After the announcement of the issue, the share price
fell to Frw1.95 but just prior to the issue being made it had recovered to Frw2 per share.
Required: Calculate the theoretical ex rights price.
Solution:
1,000,000 shares at cum rights value of Frw2 = Frw2,000,000
250,000 shares issued at Frw1.50 = Frw375,000
---------------
Theoretical value of 1,250,000 shares = Frw2,375,000
The theoretical ex rights price is Frw2,375,000 / 1,250,000 = Frw1.90 per share.
The value of a right:
The value of rights is the theoretical gain a shareholder would make by exercising his rights.
In the above example, where the price offered in the rights issue is Frw1.50 per share and the market
price is expected to be Frw1.90 then the value of a right can be calculated as Frw1.90 - Frw1.50 = 40c.
A shareholder would then expect to gain 40 cent for each new share he buys.
The value of rights attaching to old shares is calculated in the same way. If the value of rights on a new
share is 40 cent and there is a one in four rights issue, the value of rights attaching to each existing
share is 40 / 4 = 10 cent.
To calculate the value of a right attaching to an old share the following formula can be used:
Value of a right: Ex rights price – issue price
-----------------------------------
N
Where N = number of old shares held for every one share
Using the formula on the above example:
1.90 – 1.50
-------------- = .10
4
The theoretical gain or loss to shareholders:
The possible courses of action open to shareholders are;
- To exercise their rights i.e. buy the new shares at the rights price. This will maintain their
proportion of total equity in the company
- To renounce the rights and sell them on the market. This will reduce their percentage of equity
in the company.
- To renounce part of the rights and take up the remainder. This strategy is often adopted by
shareholders who want to take up the offer but do not have the necessary cash. If the
shareholder sells some of his rights he will raise cash and can use that to purchase the
remaining rights shares.
- To do nothing at all. In this case the rights not taken up may be sold on the shareholders behalf,
however the shareholder could also lose wealth and it is up to the shareholder to take effective
action to maintain his existing wealth.
PRACTICE QUESTIONS
QN
A local supermarket chain wishes to increase the number of its retail outlets in the country. The board
of directors of the company have decided to finance the acquisition by raising funds from the existing
shareholders through a one for four rights issue. The recently published income statement of the
company for the year ended 31 October 2002 has the following information:
Frw’000’
Turnover 246,750
Profit before interest and tax 18,900
Interest 8,300
Profit before taxation 9,600
Corporate tax 2,850
Profit after taxation 6,750
Ordinary dividends 3,000
Retained profit for the year 3,750
The share capital of the company consists of 12 million ordinary shares with a par value of Frw5 per
share. The shares of the company are currently being traded on the Stock Exchange with a
price/earnings ratio of 22 times. The board of directors has decided to issue the shares at a discount of
20 per cent on the current market value.
Required:
a) The theoretical ex-rights price of an ordinary share of the company.
b) The price at which the rights in the company are likely to be traded.
c) Assuming an investor held 4,000 ordinary shares of the company before the rights issue
announcement, evaluate the following options and identify the best option to the investor.
i) Exercise the rights.
ii) Sell the rights
iii) Do nothing.
ANSWER:
a) Since the current MPS is not given, compute the MPS from Earnings Per Share (EPS) and P/E
ratio.
EPS = Profits after tax = 6.75 M = 0.56
No. of Ord. Shares 12 M shares
MPS = EPS x P/E Ratio
= 0.56 x 22 =
= Frw12.32
The subscriptions/issue price for a rights issue is 90% of MPS (at 10% discount)
Use price = 90% x 12.32 = 11.09
Before rights issue, 4 shares @ MPS 12.32 = 49.28
On rights issue 1 share @ Frw11.09 = 11.09
Total 5 shares 60.37
60.37
Theoretical ex-right MPS = Sh.12.07
5
b) Value of a right = MPS – Ex-right
= 12.32 – 12.07 = 0.25
c) i) Exercise the right and buy new shares @ Frw11.09 each.
- Current number of shares 4000
- New shares ¼ x 4000 1000
5000 shares
After rights issue 5000 shares x 12.07 = 60,350
Cost of buying new 1000 shares @ 11.09 each (11,090)
49,260*
ii) Sell the rights
She has 4000 rights/shares to enable her to buy 1000 new shares therefore
4000 shares @ Frw12.07 ex-right MPS = 48,280
and cash from sale of 4000 rights @ Frw0.25 = 1,000
Net wealth 49,280
iii) Do nothing
She will have 4000 shares each valued at ex-right MPS of 12.07 = Frw48,280
Note: If she exercises the right or sells the rights, the wealth does not change. The difference in the
above figures is due to approximation error.
QN
The Moon Company Ltd. has issued 10,000,000, Frw 10 par equity shares which are at present selling
for Frw 30 per share. It has also issued 5,000,000 warrants, each entitling the holder to buy one equity
share. The warrants are protected against dilution.
(a) The company has plans to issue rights to purchase one new equity share at a price of Frw 20
per share for every four shares held.
Required:
(i) Calculate the theoretical ex-rights price of Moon Company Ltd.’s equity shares.
(ii) The theoretical value of a right of the Moon Company Ltd. before the shares sell
ex-rights.
(b) The chairman of the company receives a phone call from an angry shareholder who owns
100,000 shares. The shareholder argues that he will suffer a loss in his personal wealth due to
this rights issue, because the new shares are being offered at a price lower than the current
market value.
The chairman assures him that his wealth will not be reduced because of the rights issue, as
long as the shareholder takes appropriate action.
Required:
(i) Explain whether the chairman is correct. What should the shareholder do?
(ii) A statement showing the effect of the rights issue on this particular shareholder’s
wealth, assuming:
He sells all the rights.
He exercises one half of the rights and sells the other half.
He does nothing at all.
(iii) Are there any real circumstances which might lend support to the shareholder’s
claim?
ASNWER
(a) (i) The firm will make a one for four rights issue
140
Ex – right M.P.S = Frw = Frw 28
5
(ii) Value of right = cum – right ex – right
M.P.S M.P.S
= 30 – 28 = Frw 2.00
(b) (i) The chairman is right. If the market is efficient, there is no dilution in wealth if the
shareholder either exercises the rights or sells the rights.
Wealth is diluted if the rights issue is ignored.
(ii) Wealth before rights issued = 100,000 shares x 30 = Frw 3,000,000
The investor has 100,000 rights attached to 100,000 shares and priced at Frw 2.00 per right.
After the rights issue, shares will sell at Frw 28.00
Exercise one – half of the rights and sell the other half
NOTE
100 000
New shares bought given a 1 for 4 rights issue = x 50% = 12,500 shares at Frw 20.
4
QN
Madawa Company Limited, a public quoted company, intends to raise additional share capital through
a rights issue. The number of issued ordinary shares currently stands at 100 million shares. Each
shareholder will have a right to purchase one share for every five shares currently held. The current
market price per share is Frw60 while the rights price has been fixed at Frw50 per share.
Required:
i) Calculate the theoretical value of a right in Madawa Company Limited
ii) Determine the theoretical ex-rights price of a share in the company
ANSWER
QN :
The Clifford Corporation has announced a rights offer to raise Frw30 million for a new journal, the Journal
of Financial Excess. This journal will review potential articles after the author pays a nonrefundable
reviewing fee of Frw3,000 per page. The stock currently sells for Frw40 per share, and there are 3.6 million
shares outstanding.
a. What is the maximum possible subscription price? What is the minimum?
b. If the subscription price is set at Frw32 per share, how many shares must be sold? How many rights will it
take to buy one share?
c. What is the ex-rights price? What is the value of a right?
d. A shareholder with 2,000 shares before the offering has no desire (or money) to buy additional shares
offered as rights. What is his portfolio value before and after the rights offer?
Rights:
To avoid dilution of shareholders, as well as to save money on flotation costs(Flotation cost is the
total cost incurred by a company in offering its securities to the public. They arise
from expenses such as underwriting fees, legal fees and registration fees), many companies offer
their current shareholders the right to buy new shares before these shares are issued to the public. The rights
price is typically lower than the current stock price.
a. Maximum price = Frw40, the current stock price.
Minimum price = Frw0. When the price is Frw0, this is equivalent to a stock dividend.
b. Shares sold = Funds needed / Share price = 30 mil / 32 = 937,500.
Rights needed to buy one new share = 3.6 mil / 937,000 = 3.84 rights
c. Value of company after it raises Frw30 mil = 3.6 mil * Frw40 + Frw30 mil = Frw174 mil
New shares issued = 937,500 (see above).
Total shares = 3.6 mil + 937,500 = 4,537,500
New share price = Value / number of shares = 174,000,000 / 4,537,500 = Frw38.35
Value of one right = Old price - New price = 40 - 38.35 = Frw1.65
d. Assuming, rights cannot be detached and sold to other investors,
Value before offer = 2,000 * 40 = 80,000
Value after offer = 2,000 * 38.35 = 76,700
b) RETAINED EARNINGS
i) Revenue Reserves
These are undistributed earnings. Such reserves are retained for the following reasons:
To make up for the fall in profits so as to sustain acceptable risks.
To sustain growth through plough backs. They are cheap source of finance.
They are used to boost the company’s credit rating so they enable further finance to be
obtained.
It lowers the company’s gearing ratio – reduces chances of receivership/liquidation.
2. DEBT FINANCE
Debt finance is a fixed return finance as the cost (interest) is fixed on the par value (face value of debt).
It is ideal to use if there’s a strong equity base. It is raised from external sources to qualifying
companies and is available in limited quantities. It is limited to:
i) Value of security.
ii) Liquidity situation in a given country. It is ideal for companies where gearing allows
them to raise more debt and thus gearing level.
Classification of Debt Finance
Loan finance – this is a common type of debt and is available in different terms usually short term.
Medium term loans vary from 2 - 5 years. Long-term loans vary from 6 years and above
The terms are relative and depend on the borrower. This finance is used on the basis of Matching
approach i.e. matching the economic life of the project to the term of the loan. It is prudent to use
short-term loans for short-term ventures i.e. if a venture is to last 4 years generating returns, it is
prudent to raise a loan of 4 years maturity period.
Conditions under Which Loans Are Ideal
a) When the company’s gearing level is low (the level of outstanding loans is low.
b) The company’s future cash flows (inflows and their stability) must be assured. The company
must be able to repay the principal and the interest.
c) Economic conditions prevailing. The company must have a long-term forecast of the
prevailing economic condition. Boom conditions are ideal for debt.
d) When the company’s market share guarantees stable sales.
e) When the company’s anticipated future expansion programs, justify such borrowing.
4 Lease Finance
Leasing is a contract between one party called lessor (owner of asset) and another called lessee where
the lessee is given the right to use the asset (without legal ownership) and undertakes to pay the lessor
periodic lease rental charges due to generation of economic benefits from use of the assets. Leases can
be short term (operating leases) in which case the lessor incurs the operating and maintenance costs of
the assets or long term (finance leases) in which the lessee maintains and insure the assets.
5. Overdraft Finance
This finance is ideal to use as bridging finance in sense that it should be used to solve the company’s
short term liquidity problems in particular those of financing working capital . It is usually a secured
finance unless otherwise mentioned. Overdraft finance is an expensive source of finance and the over-
reliance on it is a sign of financial imprudence as it indicates the inability to plan or forecast financial
needs.
Venture capitalists are therefore investment specialists who raise pools of capital to fund new
ventures which are likely to become public corporations in return for an ownership interest.
They buy part of the stock of the company at a low price in anticipation that when the
company goes public, they would sell the shares at a higher price and therefore make a
considerably high profit.
Venture capitalists seek to invest cash in return for shares in private companies with high
growth
potential. They seek a high return, which is often realised through a stock market listing.
Venture capital may be invested in young start-up companies, but is more commonly invested
in small companies that already have a track record of business development and which need
additional finance to grow. These companies may have borrowed as much money as their
banks are prepared to lend, and do not have enough equity capital (from the existing owners or
retained profits) to expand at the rate or scale required.
Venture capital organisations have been operating for many years. There are now quite a large
number of such organisations. For example:
(a) The British Venture Capital Association is a regulatory body for all the institutions that
have joined it as members.
(b) Investors in Industry plc, or the 3i group as it is more commonly known, is the biggest and
oldest of the venture capital organisations. It is involved in many venture capital schemes in
Europe, Singapore, Japan and the US.
Venture capitalists want to invest in companies that will be successful. The 3i group's publicity
material states that successful investments have certain common characteristics:
Highly motivated individuals with a strong management team in place
A well -defined strategy
A clearly defined target market
Current revenue between $1m and $100m
A proven ability to outperform your competitors
Innovation
The types of venture that capitalists might invest will involve:
a) Business start-ups – When a business has been set up by someone who has already
put time and money into getting it started, the group may be willing to provide finance
to enable it to get off the ground. With start-ups, venture capital often prefers to be one
of several financial institutions putting in venture capital.
b) Business development – The group may be willing to provide development capital for
a company which wants to invest in new products or new markets or to make a
business acquisition, and so which so needs a major capital injection.
c) Management buyout – A management buyout is the purchase of all or parts of a
business from its owners by its managers.
d) Helping a company where one of its owners wants to realize all or part of his
investment. The venture capital may be prepared to buy some of the company’s
equity.
a) Business start-ups – When a business has been set up by someone who has already
put time and money into getting it started, the group may be willing to provide finance
to enable it to get off the ground. With start-ups, venture capital often prefers to be one
of several financial institutions putting in venture capital.
b) Business development – The group may be willing to provide development capital for
a company which wants to invest in new products or new markets or to make a
business acquisition, and so which so needs a major capital injection.
c) Management buyout – A management buyout is the purchase of all or parts of a
business from its owners by its managers.
d) Helping a company where one of its owners wants to realize all or part of his
investment. The venture capital may be prepared to buy some of the company’s
equity.
When a company's directors look for help from a venture capital institution, they must
recognise that:
(a) The institution will want an equity stake in the company.
(b) It will need convincing that the company can be successful (management buyouts of
companies which already have a record of successful trading have been increasingly favoured
by venture capitalists in recent years).
(c) It may want to have a representative appointed to the company's board, to look after its
interests, or an independent director (the 3i group runs an Independent Director Scheme).
The directors of the company must then contact venture capital organisations, to try to find one
or more which would be willing to offer finance. Typically, a venture capitalist will consider
offering finance of $500,000 upwards. A venture capital organisation will only give funds to a
company that it believes can succeed.
A venture capitalist may also agree to invest in some redeemable preference shares as well as
equity, but will want a suitable proportion of the company’s equity as part of the financing
arrangement. When a venture capitalist invests in new equity for a company, the company’s
bank may also be prepared to lend more, because the company is now seen as a lower credit
risk. A survey has indicated that around 75% of requests for venture capital are rejected on an
initial screening, and only about 3% of all requests survive both this screening and further
investigation and result in actual investments.
The venture capital organisation (‘VC' below) will take account of various factors in deciding
whether or not to invest.
CAPITAL MARKET
These are markets for long term funds with maturity period of more than one year. E.g of
Financial instruments used here are debentures, terms, loans, bonds, warrants, preference
shares, ordinary shares etc.
The capital market serves as a way of allocating the available capital to the most efficient
users. Capital market financial institution includes:
1. Stock exchange
2. Development bank
3. Hire purchase companies
4. Building societies
5. Leasing firms
Money/discount markets
Are discount and acceptance financial institutions
This is a market for S.T funds maturing in one year. Money market works through
financial institutions. It facilitates transfer of capital between savers and users.
The transfer can be direct (from saver to investor) and indirectly through an intermediary).
Foreign exchange market is also part of money market.
The money market or discount market is the market for short term loans.
These instruments are sold by commercial banks, merchant banks, discounting houses,
acceptance houses, and government.
Primary Markets
These are markets that deal with securities that have been issued for the first time. The money
flows directly from transferor (saver of money) to transferee (investing person). They
facilitate capital formation.
Economic Advantage of Primary Markets
1. Raising capital for business.
2. Mobilizing savings
3. Government can raise capital through sale of Treasury bonds
4. Open market operation to effect monetary policy of the government i.e control of
excess liquidity in the economy
5. It is a vehicle for direct foreign investment.
1. First of all, these shares are irredeemable, meaning that once it has sold them, the
company can never be compelled by the shareholder to take back its shares and give
back a cash refund, unless and until the company is winding up and liquidates.
2. The second characteristic is that these shares are, however, very transferable and can be
bought and resold by other individuals and organizations, freely, the only requirement
being the filling and signing of a document known as a share transfer form by the
previous shareholder. The document will then facilitate the updating of the issuing
companies. shareholders register.
5. Availability of Investment Advice: An investor can still benefit from trading in shares
even though he may not be having the technical expertise relevant to the stock market.
6. Participating in Company Decisions: By buying shares and therefore becoming a part-
owner in an enterprise, a shareholder gets the right to participate in making decisions about
how the company is managed.
STOCK MARKET TERMINOLOGY
1. BROKER
A dealer at the market who buys and sells securities on behalf of the public investors.
He is an agent of investors
He is the only authorized person to deal with the quoted securities. He is authorized by
BNR
He obtains the suitable deal for his clients/investors, gives financial advice and charges
commission for his services.
He doesn’t buy or sell shares in his own right hence he cannot be a market marker.
He must maintain standards set by the stock exchange.
2. JOBBERS/SPECULATORS
This is a dealer who trades in securities in his own right as a principal.
He can set prices and activate the market through his own buying and selling hence he
is a market maker.
He engages in speculation and earns profit called Jobbers’ turn (selling price – buying
price).
He does not deal with members of the public unlike brokers. However, brokers can
buy and sell shares through jobbers.
a) Bulls
A jobber buy shares when prices are low and hold them in anticipation that the price
will rise and sell them at gain.
When a market is dominated by bulls (buyers predominate sellers), it is said to be
bullish The share prices are generally rising.
Therefore the market is characterized by an upward trend in security prices.
It signifies investors confidence/optimism in the future of economy.
b) Bears
A speculator/jobber who sells security on expectation of decline in prices in future.
The intention is to buy same securities at lower prices in future thereby making a gain.
When market is dominated by bears (sellers predominate buyers) it is said to be bearish
It is characterized by general downward trend in share prices. It signifies investors
pessimism about the future prospects of the economy.
c) Stags
This is a jobber found in primary markets
He buys new securities offered to the public and believes that they are undervalued.
He believes the price will rise and sell them at a gain to the ultimate investors
Stags are vital because they ensure full subscription of the share issue.
3, Underwriting
This is the assumption of risk relating unsubscribed shares
When new shares are issued, they may be underwritten/unsubscribed. A merchant
banker agrees, under a commission to take up any shares not bought by the public.
They therefore ensure that all new issues are successful
Underwriters are very important in pry markets and play the following roles:
Advice firms on most suitable issue price
Ensure shares are fully subscribed by taking up all unsubscribed shares
Advice the firms on where to source funds to finance floatation costs.
4. Blue Chips
Are first class securities of firms which have sound share capital and are internationally
reputable.
They have very good dividend record and are highly demanded in the markets.
Individuals holding such securities are reluctant to sell them because of their high
value.
5. Going short or long on a share
This is the process of selling (going short) or buying (going long) on a share that one
does not have/own
The aim is to make gain from assumed change in the market value of shares
It is aided by brokers in countries where it is practiced
Investors going short or long are required to pay a premium called margin on the
transaction.
TRADING MECHANISM AT RSE
1. An investor approaches a broker who takes his bid/offer to the trading floor.
2. At the trading floor, the buying and selling brokers meet and seal the deal.
3. The investor is informed of what happened/transpired at the trading floor through a contract
note. The note is sent to buying and selling investors.
The note contains details such as:
Number of shares bought or sold
Buying/selling price
Charges/commission payable etc.
4. Settlement is made through the brokers.
5. Old share certificate is cancelled (for selling investor) and a new one is issued in the name of
buying investor.
Factors to Consider when Buying Shares of a Company
1. Economic conditions of the country and other non-economic factors e.g. unfavourable climatic
conditions and diseases which may lead to low productivity and poor earnings.
2. State of management of the company e.g are the B.O.D. and key management personnel of
repute? They should be trusted and run the company honestly and successfully.
3. Nature of the product dealt in and its market share e.g is the product vulnerable to weather
conditions? Is it subject to restrictions?
4. Marketability of the shares – how fast or slowly can the shares of the firm be sold?
5. Diversification i.e does the company have a variety of operations e.g multi-products so that if
one line of business declines, the other increases and the overall position is profitable.
6. Company’s trading partners (local and abroad) and its competitors.
7. Prospects of growth of the firm due to expected growth in demand of products of the firm.
Operational Efficiency
These market prices transaction services and cost which are as low as possible given the efforts
associated with having these services provided.
Pricing efficiency (fair game)
These implies that the market prices security i.e security price reflect all the available information
security prices adjust quickly and in an unbias manner to incorporate any new information as it
becomes available. Since new information is not predictable the security prices will follow a random-
walk.
Allocation efficiency
These implies that the markets allocates fund to firms with the most promising real investments
opportunities. Allocation efficiency assumes operational and pricing efficiency.
The most important efficiency to F.M is the pricing efficiency to enable him to maximize shareholders
wealth.
n(term of maturity)
Theories – Term Structure theories
1. The expectation theory
This states that the shape of the yield curve depends on the markets expectations about future
interest rates. If future interest rates are expected to rise, the shape of the yield curve will be
upward sloping.
2. Liquidity preference theory
This states that investors normally prefer liquidity (cash) to other investments even the low
risky one like Treasury bills. Investors therefore expect to be paid a high premium for being
deprived of their liquidity for longer periods. The normal upward rising shape of the yield
curve can be explained by this theory.
3. Segmental Market Theory
This states that the market short term and long term debt instruments are separate and distinct.
The shape of the yield curve depends on the demand and supply forces in each market. There
is a ‘wiggle’ (form of disturbance) in the yield curve where the two markets meet.
The forces in each market are weakest where the wiggle occurs.
% yield
Kd
Wiggle
n (maturity period)
Implications
The current shape of the yield reflects ( ) the market expectation about future interest. There is need
to inspect current shape of the yield curve on designing lending and borrowing schemes.
e.g an upward rising yield curve indicates that interest rates are expected to rise. The firm should
therefore avoid long term on variable rates, instead it can borrow long term at fixed rate or short term
on variable rates.
TOPIC 3: COST OF CAPITAL AND CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Mende Nig plc has an authorized share capital of Frw50m of Frw1. 80% of the share capital
had been issued and each is currently valued at 3.20 Frw. dividend amounting to Frw16m was
recently paid. The estimated growth rate is 18%.
Required: calculate the cost of the equity.
Solution
i. Issued share capital = 80% of Frw50 i.e Frw40m
ii. DPS =16M /40m shares i.e 0.4 m
iii. Ke = (do( 1 + g) )/mve +g
Ke = (0.4 (1.18)/3.20) +0.18
Ke = 32,75%
Working:
Calculation of the growth rate
n Ld
g = √ − 1
Bd
5 6,158
g = √2,473 − 1
5
g = √2.4900 − 1
g = 20%
Note: where the question gives the number of years of dividend as in the above Example,
then the 5 year is used direct (number of growth); but where the dividend for the years are
given by year, then use n-1 (number of years data provided) as in the Example below.
Using Gordon’s growth model
g = r × b
62,858
r = × 100 =20%
315,000
𝟔𝟐,𝟖𝟓𝟖 − 𝟔,𝟏𝟓𝟖
b = =90%
𝟔𝟐,𝟖𝟓𝟖
g = 0.20 × 0,90 =18%
do ( 1 + g)
Ke = + g
mve
6,158 (1.18)
Ke = 20 + .18
150,000 × 𝑅𝑤𝑓3.42
Ke = 19.4%
Example 3.4
Oluoke Nig.plc is financed by Frw60m Frw1 ordinary shares currently valued at 156 Frw per
share.
The results of the last five financial years are as follows:
Yr Earnings Dividends
20×4 Frw 20m Frw 15.6m
20×3 Frw 18m Frw 15m
20×2 Frw 16m Frw 13.2m
20×1 Frw 15.4m Frw 12.3m
20×0 Frw 13.9m Frw 11.1m
Calculate the company’s cost of Equity
SOLUTION
𝐝𝐨 ( 𝟏 + 𝐠)
Ke = + 𝐠
𝐦𝐯𝐞
𝟐𝟔 ( 𝟏.𝟎𝟗)
Ke = + . 𝟎𝟗
𝟏𝟓𝟔
ke = 27.17%
working:
calculation of the growth rate
𝐧−𝟏 𝐋𝐝
g = √ − 𝟏
𝐄𝐝
𝟓−𝟏 𝟏𝟓,𝟔𝐦
g = √ − 𝟏
𝟏𝟏.𝟏𝐦
𝟓
g = √𝟐. 𝟒𝟗𝟎𝟎 − 𝟏
g = 9%
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) – CAPM is a technique that is used to establish the
required rate of return of an investment given a particular level of risk. According to CAPM,
the total business risk of the firm can be divided into 2:
Systematic Risk – This is the risk that affects all the firms in the market. This risk cannot
be eliminated/diversified. It is thus called undiversifiable risk. Since it affects all the firms
in the market, the share price and profitability of the firms will be moving in the same
direction i.e. systematically. Examples of systematic risk are political instability, inflation,
power crisis in the economy, power rationing, natural calamities – floods and earthquakes,
increase in corporate tax rates and personal tax rates, etc. Systematic risk is measured by a
Beta factor.
Unsystematic risk – This risk affects only one firm in the market but not other firms. It is
therefore unique to the firm thus unsystematic trend in profitability of the firm relative to the
profitability trend of other firms in the market. The risk is caused by factors unique to the firm
such as:
Labour strikes by employees of the firm;
Exit of a prominent corporate personality;
Collapse of marketing and advertising programs of the firm on launching of a new
product;
Failure to make a research and development breakthrough by the firm, etc
CAPM relates the expected return from an investment (Rs i.e. ke) to the degree of risk from the
investment. The required rate of return Is made up of two parts:
(i) Risk free return
(ii) Risk premium
CAPM is only concerned with systematic risk. According to the model, the required rate of
return will be highly influenced by the Beta factor of each investment.
The risk premium is calculated by applying the project’s beta factor (β) to the difference
between the market return and the risk free rate of the return;
RS=Rf + β (Rm – Rf)
Where:
RS = Minimum required rate of return / cost of equity capital.
Rf = Risk free of return
Rm = Market portfolio’s expected rate of return
β = Risk measurement
(Rm – Rf) = Market premium risk
β (Rm – Rf) = Risk premium
The estimation of the cost of fixed interest of fixed dividend capital is much easier than the
estimation of the cost of ordinary capital because the received by the holder of the security is
fixed by contract and will not fluctuate in amount.
𝐝
kp = × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝐌𝐯𝐩
where:
kp = Cost of preference share capital
d = Last / current dividend paid / payable
mvp =Market value of preference shares ex-div
This is the minimum rate of return required by debenture holders in order to maintain their
existing market value. Is it calculated as follows:
𝐅 (𝟏−𝐭)
Kd = × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝐌𝐯𝐝
Where:
Kd = Cost of debt capital
F = Latest / current interest paid / Payable
Mvd = Market value of debt ex-int
T = corporation tax rate
Example 3.11
ABC plc has in issue, 12% Frw500m irredeemable debentures currently valued at Frw84%.
Interest is due for payment within the next 2 weeks. Corporation tax rate is 35%.
Required: Calculate the cost of the debenture capital.
Solution
𝐅 (𝟏−𝐭)
Kd = × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝐌𝐯𝐝
𝟏𝟐 (𝟏−.𝟑𝟓)
Kd = × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝟖𝟒−𝟏𝟐
𝟏𝟐 (.𝟔𝟓)
Kd = × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝟕𝟐
𝟕.𝟖
Kd = × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝟕𝟐
Kd = 10.83%
The cost of debt capital already issued is the rate of interest (IRR) which equates the current
market value with the discounted future cash receipts of the security i.e
𝐹2 (1−𝑡) 𝐹3 (1−𝑡) 𝐹𝑛 (1−𝑡)
Mvd = 𝐹(1 − 𝑡) + 1+𝑘𝑑2 + +⋯ 𝐼𝑅𝑅
1+𝑘𝑑3 1+𝑘𝑑𝑛
Alternative method
The effective after tax cost of the redeemable debt can be calculated using the following
formula:
(𝑟+1) + √(1 + 𝑟)2 −4𝑟𝑡
ECCC= 2
Where:
ECC =Effective after tax interest rate
R =Normal / quoted pre-tax interest rate
T =corporation tax rate
Example 3.12
XYZ plc is financed by Frw10, 10% redeemable debentures currently quoted at Frw100 each.
The debentures would be redeemed in 10 years’ time at par. Corporation tax is at 30%.
Required: Calculate the cost of debentures.
Solution
Yr CF DF@5% PV DF@8% PV
0 (100) 1 (100) 1 (100)
1-10 10 7.7217 77 6.7101 67
1-10 (3) 7.7217 (23) 6.7101 (20)
10 100 0.6139 61 0.4632 46
15 (7)
Interpolation:
NPV
IRR = LR + LR-× (HR –LR)
NPVs
15
IRR = 5 + × (8 – 5)
22
IRR = 7.05%
Solution Using The Alternative Method
Formula:
(𝑟+1) + √(1 + 𝑟)2 −4𝑟𝑡
ECCC= 2
(0.10+1) + √(1 + 0.10)2 −4×.10×.30
ECCC= 2
−.90 + √1.21− .12
ECCC= 2
−.90 + √1.09
ECCC= 2
−.90 + 1.044
ECC= 2
=7.2%
WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (W.A.C.C.)
This is also called the overall or composite cost of capital. Since various capital components
have different percentage cost, it is important to determine a single average cost of capital
attributable to various costs of capital. This is determined on the basis of percentage cost of
each capital component.
Weighted average cost of capital is the average cost of the company's finance (equity, bonds,
bank loans) weighted according to the proportion each element bears to the total pool of
capital.
The weighted average cost of capital is calculated by weighting the costs of the individual
sources of finance according to their relative importance as sources of finance. We have
looked at the costs of individual sources of capital for a company. But how does this help us
to work out the cost of capital as a whole, or the discount rate to apply in DCF investment
appraisals?
In many cases it will be difficult to associate a particular project with a particular form of
finance. A company's funds may be viewed as a pool of resources. Money is withdrawn from
this pool of funds to invest in new projects and added to the pool as new finance is raised or
profits are retained. Under these circumstances it might seem appropriate to use an average
cost of capital as the discount rate.
The correct cost of capital to use in investment appraisal is the marginal cost of the funds
raised (or earnings retained) to finance the investment. The weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) might be considered the most reliable guide to the marginal cost of capital, but only
on the assumption that the company continues to invest in the future, in projects of a standard
level of business risk, by raising funds in the same proportions as its existing capital
structure.
Market value weight or proportion of each capital component.
E P D
W.A.C.C = K e K p K d 1 T
V V V
Where: Ke, Kp and Kd = Percentage cost of equity, preference share capital and debt capital
respectively
E, P and D = Market value of equity, preference share capital and debt capital respectively.
NB: Market value = Market price of a security x No. of securities.
V = Total market value of the firm = E + P + D.
Example 3.13
The following is the capital structure of XYZ Ltd as at 31/12/2002.
Shs.M
Ordinary share capital FRW10 par value 400
Retained earnings 200
10% preference share capital FRW20 par 100
value 200
12% debenture FRW100 par value 900
Additional information
1. Corporate tax rate is 30%
2. Preference shares were issued 10 years ago and are still selling at par value MPS = Par
value
3. The debenture has a 10 year maturity period. It is currently selling at FRW90 in the
market.
4. Currently the firm has been paying dividend per share of FRW5. The DPS is expected
to grow at 5% p.a. in future. The current MPS is FRW40.
Required
A) Determine the WACC of the firm.
B) What are the weaknesses associated with WACC when used as the discounting rate, in
project appraisal.
a)i)Compute the cost of each capital component
Cost of equity (Ke) – Since the growth rate in dividends is given, use the constant growth rate
dividend model to determine the cost of equity.
d0 = FRW5 P0 = FRW40 g = 5%
d0 1 g 51 0.05
Ke g 0.05 0.18125 18.13%
P0 40
Cost of perpetual preference share capital (Kp) – preference shares are still selling at par thus
MPS = par value. If this is the case, Kp = coupon rate = 10%.
MPS = Par value = FRW20
Dp = 10% x FRW20 = FRW2
DPS dp Sh.2
Kp 10%
MPS Pp Sh.20
Cost of debentures (Kd) – the debenture has a 10 year maturity period. It is thus a redeemable
fixed return security thus the cost of debt is equal to yield to maturity.
Redemption yield:
Interest charges p.a. = 12% x FRW100 par = FRW12
value = 10 years
Maturity period (n) = FRW100
Maturity value (m) = FRW90
Current market value (Vd) = 30%
Corporate tax rate (T)
Int1 T M Vd
1
K d YTM RY n
M Vd ½
1
Sh.12(1 0.3) (100 90)
= 10 9.9% 10%
(100 90)½
ii) Compute the market value of each capital component
Market value of Equity (E) = MPS x No. of ordinary shares
Sh.400 MDSC
= Sh.40 x = 1,600
Sh.10parvalue
Market value of preference share capital (P)
= Par value, since MPS = Par value per share = 100
Market value of debt (D) = Vd x No. of debentures
Sh.200 Mdebentures
= Sh.90 x = 180
Sh.100parvalue
E + P + D = V = total Market Value = 1,880
iii) Compute W.A.C.C using Ke = 18.13%, Kp = 10%, Kd(1-T) = 10%
a) Using weighted average cost method,, WACC =
E P D
= K e K p K d 1 T
V V V
1,600 100 180
= 18.13% 10% 10%
1,880 1,880 1,880
= 15.43 + 0.5319 + 0.9574
= 0.169193
≈ 16.92%
b) By using percentage method,
WACC = Total monetary cost
Total market value (V)
Where: Monetary cost = % cost x market value of capital
Monetary cost of E = 18.13% x 1,600= 290.08
Monetary cost of P = 10% x 100 = 10.00
Monetary cost of D = 10% x 180 = 18.00
318.08
Total market value (V) 1,880
318 .08
Therefore WACC = x100 = 16.92%
1,880
B) Weaknesses of WACC as a discounting rate
WACC/Overall cost of capital has the following problems as a discounting rate:
It can only be used as a discounting rate assuming that the risk of the project is equal to the
business risk of the firm. If the project has higher risk then a percentage premium will be
added to WACC to determine the appropriate discounting rate.
It assumes that capital structure is optimal which is not achievable in real world.
It is based on market values of capital which keep on changing thus WACC will change
over time but is assumed to remain constant throughout the economic life of the project.
It is based on past information especially when determining the cost of each component e.g
in determining the cost of equity (Ke) the past year’s DPS is used while the growth rate is
estimated from the past stream of dividends.
Required
a) Determine the total capital to raise net of floatation costs
b) Compute the marginal cost of capital
Solution
a) Frw’000’
Ordinary shares 200,000 shares @ Frw16 3,200,000
Less floatation costs 200,000 shares @ Frw1 200,000 3,000
Preference shares 75,000 shares @ Frw18 1,350,000
Less floatation cost (150,000) 1,200
Debentures 50,000 debentures @ Frw80 3,000,000
Floatation costs -____ 3,000
Loan 5,000,000
Less floatation costs (200,000) 4,800
Total capital raised 12,000
b) Marginal cost of equity Ke
d (1 g)
Ke 0 g
P0 f
d0 = 28% x Frw10 par = Frw2.80
g = 4%
f = Frw1.00
P0 = Frw16
2.80(1.04)
Therefore marginal = Ke 0.04 = 0.234 = 23.4%
16 1
Marginal cost of preference share capital Kp
Kp = dp
P0-f
dp = 12% x Frw20 par = Frw2.40
P0 = Frw18
f = Floatation cost per share = Frw150,000 = Frw2.00
75,000 shares
Kp = 2.40 = 0.15 = 15%
18 – 2
Marginal cost of debenture Kd:
Kd = Int (1-t)
Vd-f
f = 0
Vd = Frw80
Int = 18% x Frw100 par = Frw18
T = 30%
Kd = Int (1-t)
Vd-f
T = 30%
Vd = Frw5 million
f = Frw0.2 million
Int = 18% x Frw5M = Frw0.9M
Kd = 0.9 (1-0.3) = 0.13125 = 13.13%
5 – 0.2
Source Amount to raise % marginal cost Maturity cost
before f. costs
Frw’000’ Frw’000’
Ordinary shares 3,200 23.4% 748.8
Preference shares 1,350 15.0% 203.5
Debenture 3,000 15.75% 472.5
Loan 5,000 13.13% 656.5
12,550 2,080.3
Weighted marginal cost = 2,080.3 x 100 = 16.58%
12,550
PRACTICE QN
URWURI Investments Ltd. wishes to raise funds amounting to Frw.10 million to finance a project in
the following manner:
Frw.6 million from debt; and
Frw.4 million from floating new ordinary shares.
The present capital structure of the company is made up as follows:
1. 600,000 fully paid ordinary shares of Frw.10 each
2. Retained earnings of Frw.4 million
3. 200,000, 10% preference shares of Frw.20 each.
4. 40,000 6% long term debentures of Frw.150 each.
The current market value of the company’s ordinary shares is Sh.60 per share. The expected
ordinary share dividends in a year’s time is Frw.2.40 per share. The average growth rate in
both dividends and earnings has been 10% over the past ten years and this growth rate is
expected to be maintained in the foreseeable future.
The company’s long term debentures currently change hands for Frw.100 each. The
debentures will mature in 100 years. The preference shares were issued four years ago and still
change hands at face value.
Required:
(i) Compute the component cost of:
- Ordinary share capital;
- Debt capital
- Preference share capital.
(ii) Compute the company’s current weighted average cost of capital.
(iii) Compute the company’s marginal cost of capital if it raised the additional Frw.10
million as envisaged. (Assume a tax rate of 30%).
ANSWER:
(i) Cost of equity
do(1 g)
Ke = +g
Po
do(1+g) = Frw 2.40
Po = Frw 60
g = 10%
2.40
Ke = + 0.10 = 0.14 = 14%
60
Cost of debt capital (Kd)
Since the debenture has 100years maturity period then Kd = yield to maturity =
redemption.
1
Int(1 - T) (m - vd)
Kd = n
(m vd) 1
2
m = Maturity/per value = Frw 150
vd = market value = Frw. 100
n = number of years to maturity =100
Int = Interest = 6% x Sh. 150 = Frw.9 p.a
T = Tax rate = 30%
1
9(1 - 0.3) (150 - 100)
Kd = 100 6.8 x 100 = 5.441%
(150 100) 1 125
2
Cost of preference share capital Kp
Kp = Coupon rate = 10% since MPS = par value
(ii) WACC or overall cost of capital Ko
M.V of equity = 600,000 shares x Frw 60 MPS 36
M.V of debt = 40,000 debentures x Sh 100 4
4
M.V of preference shares = 200,000 shares x Frw 20
44
36 4 4
Ko = WACC = 14% + 5.44% +10% = 12.86%
44 44 44
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
The term financial structure is different from the capital structure. Financial structure shows
the pattern total financing. It measures the extent to which total funds are available to finance
the total assets of the business.
Financial Structure = Total liabilities
Financial Structure = Capital Structure + Current liabilities.
Financial Structures Capital Structures
1. It includes both long-term and short-term 1. It includes only the long-term sources of
sources of funds funds.
2. It means the entire liabilities side of the 2. It means only the long-term liabilities of the
balance sheet. company.
3. Financial structures consist of all sources 3. It consists of equity, preference and retained
of capital. earning capital.
4. It will not be more important while 4. It is one of the major determinations of the
determining the value of the firm. value of the firm.
Example 7.18
From the following information, calculate the capitalization, capital structure and financial
structures.
Statement of financial position
LIABILITIES ASSETS
Equity share capital 50,000 Fixed assets 25000
Preference share capital 5000 Goodwill 10000
Debentures 6000 Stock 15000
Retained earnings 4000 Bills receivables 5000
Bills payables 2000 Debtors 5000
Creditors 3000 Cash in hand/bank 10000
70,000 70,000
i)Calculation of Capitalization
Sources Amount
1 Equity share capital 50000
2 Preference share capital 5000
3 Debentures 6000
61000
ii)Calculation of Capital Structures
Sources Amount Proportion
1 Equity share capital 50000 76.92
2 Preference share capital 5000 7.69
3 Debentures 6000 9.23
4 Retained earnings 4000 6.16
65000 100%
iii) Calculation of Financial Structure
LIABILITIES Amount Proportion
Equity share capital 50,000 71.42
Preference share 5000 7.14
capital
Debentures 6000 8.58
Retained earnings 4000 5.72
Bills payables 2000 2.85
Creditors 3000 .29
70,000 100%
3. FACTORS AFFECTING THE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
1. Availability of securities – This influences the company’s use of debt finance which
means that if a company has sufficient securities, it can afford to use debt finance in
large capacities.
2. Cost of finance (both implicit and explicit) – If low, then a company can use more of
debt or equity finance.
3. Company gearing level – if high, the company may not be able to use more debt or
equity finance because potential investors would not be willing to invest in such a
company.
4. Sales stability – If a company has stable sales and thus profits, it can afford to use
various finances in particular debt in so far as it can service such finances.
5. Competitiveness of the industry in which the company operates – If the company
operates in a highly competitive industry, it may be risky to use high levels of debt
because chances of servicing this debt may be low and may lead a company into
receivership.
4. GEARING
Financial decision is one of the integral and important parts of financial management in any
kind of business concern. A sound financial decision must consider the board coverage of the
financial mix (Capital Structure), total amount of capital (capitalization) and cost of capital
(Ko). Capital structure is one of the significant things for the management, since it influences
the debt equity mix of the business concern, which affects the shareholder’s return and risk.
Hence, deciding the debt-equity mix plays a major role in the part of the value of the company
and market value of the shares. The debt equity mix of the company can be examined with the
help of leverage.
Firms with a high proportion of fixed costs in their cost structures are known as having “high
operating gearing”.
Hence, if the sales of a company vary:
- The greater the operating gearing the greater the EBIT variability.
- The level of operating gearing will be largely a result of the industry in which the firm
operates.
Example 7.19
Two firms have the following cost structures:
Firm A (FRW million) Firm B (FRW million)
Sales 5.0 5.0
Variable costs (3.0) (1.0)
Fixed costs (1.0) (3.0)
EBIT 1.0 1.0
What is the level of operating in each and what would be the impact on each of a 10% increase
in sales?
Answer:
• Operating gearing can be calculated as follows:
Fixed costs/variable costs Firm A: 1/3 = 0.33 Firm B: 3/1 = 3
Firm B carries a higher operating gearing because it has higher fixed costs.
• Its operating earnings will therefore be more volume-sensitive:
Note: Where two companies have the same level of variability in earnings, the company with
the higher level of financial gearing will have increased variability of returns to shareholders.
4.3. Combined leverage
When the company uses both financial and operating leverage to magnification of any change
in sales into a larger relative changes in earning per share. Combined leverage is also called as
composite leverage or total leverage. Combined leverage expresses the relationship between
the revenue in the account of sales and the taxable income.
Combined leverage can be calculated with the help of the following formulas:
CL = OL × FL
CL =C/OP×OP/PBT=C/PBT
Where,
CL = Combined Leverage
OL = Operating Leverage
FL = Financial Leverage
C = Contribution
OP = Operating Profit (EBIT)
PBT= Profit Before Tax
Degree of Combined Leverage
The percentage change in a firm’s earning per share (EPS) results from one percent change in
sales. This is also equal to the firm’s degree of operating leverage (DOL) times its degree of
financial leverage (DFL) at a particular level of sales.
Degree of contributed coverage =Percentage change in EPS/Percentage change in sales
Example 7.20
Kumar company has sales of Frw. 25,000,000. Variable cost of Frw. 12500,000 and fixed
cost of Frw 50,000 and debt of Frw 12,50,000 at 8% rate of interest. Calculate combined
leverage.
Sales 25,000,000
Less: Variable cost 15,000,000
Contribution 10,000,000
Less: Fixed costs 5,000,000
Operating profit 5,000,000
Calculation of financial leverage= Contribution /Operating Profit =
10000000/5000000=2
Calculation of operating leverage
Earnings before interest and Tax 5,000,000
Less: Interest on debenture(8%*12500000) 1,000,000
Earning before Tax 4,000,000
Operating leverage =Operating Profit/Earning Before Tax /=5,00,0004,00,000
=1.25
Combined leverage =Operating leverage* Financial leverage
Combined leverage = 2 × 1.25 = 2.5
4.4.PECKING ORDER THEORY
Pecking order theory has been developed as an alternative to traditional theory. This theory is
based on the view that companies will not seek to minimise their WACC. Instead they will
seek additional finance in an order of preference , or ‘pecking order’.
Pecking order theory states that firms will prefer retained earnings to any other source of
finance, and then will choose debt, and last of all equity. The order of preference will be:
1. Definition
Capital Budgeting Decisions refers to firm’s decision to invest its current funds most
efficiently in long-term assets in anticipation of expected flow of benefits over several years in
the future. It is the process of identifying, analyzing and selecting investment projects whose
returns are expected to extend beyond one year.
2. Types of capital budgeting investments
1. New projects (require investment in fixed assets)
2. Expansion projects (increasing existing capacity)
3. Diversification projects (spreading of risk across a number of investments)
4. Replacement and modernization projects (i.e. improving operating efficiency, reducing
costs, increasing quality).
5. Research and Development projects
6. Miscellaneous projects
7. Mutually Exclusive projects: These are alternative options, which serve the same
purpose and compete with one another. If one investment is undertaken others will
have to be excluded. Two or more projects that cannot be pursued simultaneously – the
acceptance of one prevents acceptance of the other.
8. Independent projects: These serve different purpose and do not compete with each
other and acceptance or rejection of one doesn’t directly eliminate the other. For
instance a company may want to introduce a new product line and at the same time
may want to replace a machine which is currently producing a different product
depending on the availability of funds and profitability of the two projects. These two
projects can be evaluated and considered independently from each other.
9. Contingent projects: A contingent project is one where acceptance or rejection of
which is dependent on decision to accept or reject one or more other projects.
Contingent projects may be complementary or substitutes whereby the choice of one
investment may necessitate that one or more projects should also be undertaken.
3. FACTORS TO CONSIDER WHILE ASSESSING INVESTMENT PROJECTS
1. Cost of investment project: Appraisers must have information regarding total
investment required for the project and the sources of funds to be used.
2. Estimated life of project: Information regarding the estimated life of the project and
the estimated scrap value of the project at the end of its useful life must also be known.
3. Estimated net cash inflows from project: The decision makers should be informed
not only about the amount of cash inflow, but also the expected time of receipt of all
cash flows.
4. Estimated residual value of project at the end of its life if applicable: Appraisers
seek to know the residual value of the project as it affects the current valuation based
on NPV and also the decision of investment.
5. Cost of capital: The cost of equity which is the equity shareholders expected return
and the cost of debt calculated on a weighted basis is the cost of capital.
6. Taxation implications on project: Tax forming a major porting of corporate cash
outflows need to be considered in detail. Companies may take their gearing decisions
based on tax liability.
7. Inflation rates and effect on project: Projects with long gestation periods need to be
very carefully analyzed. Inflation can give wrong projection of earnings affecting the
overall profitability of the firm.
4. IMPORTANCE OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
1. These decisions expose the company’s funds to risk and if not well made can lead the
company in liquidation.
2. They involve commitment of large amount of funds and can result in heavy losses to
the company if not carefully planned.
3. Impact on the value of the firm. Decisions resulting in profitable ventures increase the
value of the firm and add to the shareholder’s wealth.
4. Investment decisions are among the company’s most difficult decisions. They are an
assessment of future events, which are difficult to predict i.e. it is a complex problem
to correctly estimate future cash flows of an investment. Economic, political, social and
technological forces cause the cash flow uncertainty.
5. Any company will invest finance for the sake of deriving a return which is useful
6. Such decisions are importance because they will influence the company’s size (fixed
assets, sales, and retained earnings).
7. They increase the value of the company’s shares and thus its credibility.
8. The fact that they are irreversible means that they have to be made carefully to avoid
any mistake which can lead to the failure of such investment.
9. Any company will invest finance for the sake of deriving a return which is useful for
four main reasons:
a) To reward creditors by paying them regular return in form of interest and repayment
of their principal as and when it falls due.
b) To be able to retain part of their earnings for plough back purposes which facilitates
not only the company’s growth present and the future but also has the implication of
increasing the size of the company in sales and in assets.
c) For the increase in share prices and thus the credibility of the company and its ability
to raise further finance.
d) Such a return is necessary to keep the company’s operations moving smoothly and thus
allow the above objective to be achieved.
10. Due to heavy capital outlay, more attention is required to avoid loss of huge sums of
money which in the extreme may lead to the closure of such a company. However,
these decisions are influenced by:
i) Political factors – Under conditions of political uncertainty, such decisions cannot be
made as it will entail an element of risk of failure of such investment. Thus political
certainty has to be analysed before such decisions are made, such factors must be
taken into account such that the company forecasts the inflows and outflows within
given
limitations such as the degree of competition, performance of economy, changing
tastes etc. which influence ability to generate sufficient return from a venture which
will pay not only interest but principal on such funds invested.
ii) Technological factors – These influence the returns of the company because such
technology will affect the company’s ability to utilise its assets to the utmost ability in
particular if such assets become obsolete and cannot generate good returns or the
output of such machines may be low with time and may not meet planned expectations
which in most cases will have an impact on inflows from a venture.
5. CLASSIFICATION OF CAPITAL BUDGETING TECHNIQUES
These can be classified under 2 broad categories:
1. Techniques under certainty
There is perfect knowledge about the cash flows, their timings and magnitude.
a) Traditional methods
Payback period method
Accounting rate of return method
b) Modern methods (Discounted cash flow techniques)
NPV – Net present value method
IRR – Internal rate of return method
PI – Profitability index method
For the above two (a & b) methods to be used, they have to meet the following:
i) They should rank ventures available in the investment market according to their
viability i.e. they should identify which method is more viable than others.
ii) They should rank a venture first if the venture brings in return earlier and in large lump
sums than if a venture brought in late and less inflows over the same period.
iii) Should rank any other projects as and when it is available in the investment market.
Such methods should take into account that all returns (inflows), must be cash returns
as it is necessary to be able to finance the cost of the venture.
2. Techniques under uncertainty and risk
The decision maker does not have perfect knowledge about future outcomes but is able to
predict the outcomes and their associated probabilities
1. Decision trees/Theory models
2. Sensitivity analysis
3. Scenario analysis
4. Simulation analysis
5. Portfolio theory analysis
6. Capital Asset pricing model
7. Arbitrage Pricing model
6. INVESTMENT
Investment can be divided into capital expenditure and revenue expenditure and can be
made in non-current assets or working capital. Investment is any expenditure in the
expectation of future benefits.
We can divide such expenditure into two categories: capital expenditure and revenue
expenditure.
Capital expenditure is expenditure which results in the acquisition of non-current assets or
an improvement in their earning capacity. It is not charged as an expense in the income
statement; the expenditure appears as a non-current asset in the statement of financial position.
Revenue expenditure is charged to the income statement and is expenditure which is
incurred:
(a) For the purpose of the trade of the business - this includes expenditure classified as
selling and distribution expenses, administration expenses and finance charges
(b) To maintain the existing earning capacity of non-current assets
7. INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING PROCESS
A typical model for investment decision making has a number of distinct stages:
1 Origination of proposals
Investment opportunities do not just appear out of thin air. They must be created. An
organisation must therefore set up a mechanism that scans the environment for potential
opportunities and gives an early warning of future problems. A technological change that
might result in a drop in sales might be picked up by this scanning process, and steps should be
taken immediately to respond to such a threat. Ideas for investment might come from those
working in technical positions. A factory manager, for example, could be well placed to
identify ways in which expanded capacity or new machinery could increase output or the
efficiency of the manufacturing process. Innovative ideas, such as new product lines, are more
likely to come from those in higher levels of management, given their strategic view of the
organization’s direction and their knowledge of the competitive environment.
2 Project screening
Each proposal must be subject to detailed screening. So that a qualitative evaluation of a
proposal can be made, a number of key questions such as those below might be asked before
any financial analysis is undertaken. Only if the project passes this initial screening will more
detailed financial analysis begin.
What is the purpose of the project?
Does it 'fit' with the organisation's long-term objectives?
Is it a mandatory investment, for example to conform with safety legislation?
What resources are required and are they available, eg money, capacity, labour?
Do we have the necessary management expertise to guide the project to completion?
Does the project expose the organisation to unnecessary risk?
How long will the project last and what factors are key to its success?
Have all possible alternatives been considered?
3 Analysis and acceptance
The analysis stage can be broken down into a number of steps.
Step 1 Complete and submit standard format financial information as a formal investment
proposal.
Step 2 Classify the project by type (to separate projects into those that require more or less
rigorous financial appraisal, and those that must achieve a greater or lesser rate of return in
order to be deemed acceptable).
Step 3 Carry out financial analysis of the project.
Step 4 Compare the outcome of the financial analysis to predetermined acceptance criteria.
Step 5 Consider the project in the light of the capital budget for the current and future
operating periods.
Step 6 Make the decision (go/no go).
Step 7 Monitor the progress of the project.
4 Monitoring the progress of the project
During the project's progress, project controls should be applied to ensure the following:
Capital spending does not exceed the amount authorized.
The implementation of the project is not delayed.
The anticipated benefits are eventually obtained.
5.2. TECHNIQUES UNDER CERTAINTY
5.2. 1.NON-DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
A. NON-DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES (TRADITIONAL METHODS)
1. PAYBACK PERIOD METHOD
This method gauges the viability of a venture by taking the inflows and outflows over time to
ascertain how soon a venture can payback and for this reason PBP (or payout period or payoff)
is that period of time or duration it will take an investment venture to generate sufficient cash
inflows to payback the cost of such investment. This is a popular approach among the
traditional financial managers because it helps them ascertain the time it will take to recoup in
form of cash from operations the original cost of the venture.
This is also defined as the number of years required to recover the original cash outlay
invested in a project. Minimum period/time in which a project recoups/repays the initial
investment. It is the amount of time it takes for cash inflows equal to cash outflows.
Steps of calculating the PBP
1. Determine the initial investment
2. Determine the annual net cash flows (NCF)
3. Reduce the initial investment by the net cash inflows
4. The year in which the initial investment has been completely repaid is payback period
Methods of calculating the PBP
There are two methods:
1. Under uniform annual incremental cash inflows – If the project generates equal
constant cash inflows then the PBP can be computed by dividing cash outlay by annual
cash inflows then the payback period (PBP) will be given by:
PBP = Initial cost of the venture/Annual incremental cost
Example
If a venture costs 37,910/= and promises returns of 10,000/= per annum indefinitely then the
37,910
PBP = =3.79 years
10,000
The shorter the PBP the more viable the investment and thus the better the choice of such
investments
2. Discounted PBP
The discounted payback period is the number of periods taken in recovering the investment
outlay on the present value basis. The discounted payback period still fails to consider the
cash flows occurring after the payback period. Consider the example below:
Example
3 DISCOUNTED PAYBACK ILLUSTRATED
Cash Flows
(Rs) Simple Discounted NPV at
C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 PB PB 10%
P -4,000 3,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 2 yrs – –
PV of cash flows -4,000 2,727 826 751 683 2.6 yrs 987
Q -4,000 0 4,000 1,000 2,000 2 yrs – –
PV of cash flows -4,000 0 3,304 751 1,366 2.9 yrs 1,421
Under non-uniformity PBP computation will be in cumulative form and this means that the net
cash inflows are accumulated each year until initial investment is recovered.
Example
Assume a project costs Sh.80,000 and will generate the following cash inflows:
Cash inflows Accumulated inflows
Inflows year 1 = 10,000 10,000
Inflows year 2 = 30,000 40,000
Inflows year 3 = 15,000 55,000
Inflows year 4 = 20,000 75,000
Inflows year 5 = 30,000 105,000
The Sh.80,000 cost is recovered between year 4 and 5. During year 5 (after year 4) Sh.5,000 is
(80,000 – 75,000) is required out the total year 5 cash flows of 30,000.
5,000
Therefore the PBP = 4yrs = 4.17 years
30,000
Example
Cedes limited has the following details of two of the future production plans. Only one of
these machines will be purchased and the venture would be taken to be virtually exclusive.
The Standard model costs Frw50,000 and the Deluxe cost Frw88,000 payable immediately.
Both machines will require the input of the following:
i) Installation costs of Frw20,000 for Standard and Frw40,000 for the Deluxe
ii) A Frw10,000 working capital through their working lives.
Both machines have no expected scrap value at end of their expected working lives of 4 years
for the Standard machine and six years for the Deluxe. The operating pre-tax net cash flows
associated with the two machines are:
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6
Standard 28,500 25,860 24,210 23,410 - -
The deluxe machine has only been introduced in the market and has not been fully tested in the
operating conditions, because of the high risk involved the appropriate discount rate for the
deluxe machine is believed to be 14% per annum, 2% higher than the rate of the standard
machine. The company is proposing the purchase of either machine with a term loan at a fixed
rate of interest of 11% per annum, taxation at 30% is payable on operating cash-flows one year
in arrears and capital allowance are available at 25% per annum on a reducing balance basis.
Required: For both the Standard and the Deluxe machines, calculate the payback period.
Solution
Establish the cash flows as follows:
Pre-tax inflows (EBDT) XX
Less depreciation = capital allowance (XX)
Earnings before tax XX
Less tax (XX)
Earnings after tax XX
Add back capital allowance/depreciation XX
Operating cash flows XX
Note :Depreciation is a non-cash item thus when deducted for tax purposes, it should be
added back to eliminate the non-cash flow effects.
Cash flows for standard machine:
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Frw
Year 1 100,000
Year 2 120,000
Year 3 140,000
Year 4 160,000
Year 5 200,000
Let tax = 50% and depreciation straight line. Calculate the accounting rate of return.
Solution
Depreciation = 500,000 – 100,000 = Frw80, 000
5 years
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Book Value (BV): It is the value at which assets are shown in the balance sheet.
BV=Cost-Depreciation
Market Value (MV):This is the value at which the asset is currently trading in the market as
determined by interaction of demand and supply for that asset
Net Realizable Value (NRV):This is the value an asset can fetch in the market less cost
incurred in selling the asset.
Liquidation Value: It is the price an individual asset will fetch in the market if the business
operations are stopped and all assets sold. This value is likely to be less than all the other
value.
Intrinsic Value: It is the present value of all expected cash flows discounted at the investors
required rate of return. In an efficient market, the market value and the intrinsic value should
be equal.
This concept acknowledges the fact that a shilling losses value with time and as such if it is to
be compared with a shilling to be received in the N year then the two must be at the same
values. This means that an investor’s analytical power is increased by his/her ability to
compare cash inflows and outflows separated from each other by time. He/she should be able
to work in the reverse direction i.e. from future cash flows to their present values.
Example
Suppose that an investor can expect to receive:
40,000 at the end of year 2
70,000 at the end of year 6
100,000 at the end of year 8
Compute his present (value) if his time preference is 12%.
L 40,000 70,000 100,000
Pv _
1 K N
1.12 2
1.12 6
1.12 8
= Frw107,740.26
Using tables:
= 40,000(0.7992) + 70,000(0.5066) + 100,000(0.4039)
= 107,820
3. Present Value of an Annuity
An individual investor may not necessarily get a lumpsum after some years but rather get a
constant periodic amount i.e. an annuity for certain number of years. The present value of an
annuity receivable where the investor time preference is 10% equal to:
A
Pv (A) I = time preference rate
1 i
E.g. Pv of 1/= to be received after 1 year if time preference rate is 10%.
1
= 0.909
1 0.1
A 1
After 2 years it will be: 0.8264
1 i2
1.12
1st year - 0.9090
2nd year - 0.8264
3rd year - 0.7513
4th year - 0.6830
Total - 3.1697
A1 A2 A3 AN
Pv .....
1 K 1 1 K 2 1 K 3 1 K N
Equation
1 K
At
Pv
t
= 262,147.28
Therefore: NPV = 262,147.28 – 260,841.45
NPV = 1,305.83
The NPV is positive and I would advise the management to invest.
Example
RWAMO limited intends to purchase a machine worth Frw1,500,000 which will have a
residue value Frw200,000 after 5 years useful life. The saving in cost resulting from the use of
this machine are:
Frw
Year 1 800,000
Year 2 350,000
Year 3 -
Year 4 680,000
Year 5 775,000
Using NPV method, advice RWAMO Company whether this machine should be purchased if
the cut off rate is 14% and acceptable saving in cost is 12% of the cost of the investment.
Solution
Years 1 2 3 4 5
Saving 800,000 350,000 - 680,000 775,000
Scrap value - - - - 200,000
Total 800,000 350,000 - 680,000 975,000
amount
Disadvantages of NPV
1. NPV assumes that firms pursue an objective of maximizing the wealth of
their shareholders.
2. Determination of the correct discount rate can be difficult.
3. Non-financial managers may have difficulty understanding the concept.
4. The speed of repayment of the original investment is not highlighted.
5. The cash flow figures are estimates and may turn out to be incorrect.
6. NPV assumes cash flows occur at the beginning or end of the year, and is not
a technique that is easily used when complicated, mid-period cash flows are
present.
This method is a discounted cash flow technique which uses the principle of NPV. It is
defined as the rate which equates the investment outlay with the present value of cash inflow
received after a given period of time. This also implies that the rate of return is the discount
rate which makes NPV = 0.
IRR = Pv (cash inflows) = Pv(cash outflows) or IRR is the cost of capital when NPV = 0.
It is also called internal rate of return because it depends wholly on the outlay of investment
and proceeds associated with the project and not a rate determined outside the venture.
A1 A2 A3 AN
IRR C .....
1 r 1
1 r 2
1 r
3
1 r N
A = inflow for each period
C = Cost of investment
The value r can be found by:
i) Trial and error
ii) By interpolation
iii) By extrapolation
i) Trial and error method
a)
Select any rate of interest at random and use it to compute NPV of cash
inflows.
b) If rate chosen produces NPV lower than the cost, choose a lower rate.
c) If the rate chosen in (a) above gives NPV greater than the cost, choose a higher
rate. Continue the process until the NPV is equal to zero and that will be the
IRR.
Example :A project costs 16,200/= and is expected to generate the following inflows:
Frw
Year 1 8,000
Year 2 7,000
Year 3 6,000
Compute the IRR of this venture.
Solution
1st choice 10%
8,000 7,000 6,000
= 17,565.74 > cost, choose a higher rate.
1.11 1.12 1.13
2nd choice 14%
8,000 7,000 6,000
= 16,453.646
1.14 1
1.14 2
1.14 3
3rd choice 15%
8,000 7,000 6,000
= 16,194.625
1.15 1 1.152 1.153
IRR lies between 14% and 15%.
ii) Interpolation method
Difference
PV at rate of 14% = 16,453.646
253.646
PV required = 16,200.000
-5.375
PV at rate of 15% = 16,194.625
Weaknesses of IRR
IRR ignores the relative sizes of investments. It therefore does not measure the absolute
increase in company value, and therefore shareholder wealth, which will be created by an
investment.
Where cash flow patterns are non-conventional, for example cash flows change from
positive to negative during the life of the project, there may be several IRRs which
decision makers must be aware of to avoid making the wrong decision. When discount
rates are expected to differ over the life of the project, such variations can be
incorporated easily into NPV calculations, but not into IRR calculations.
Mutually exclusive projects are two or more projects from which only one can be chosen.
Examples include the choice of a factory location or the choice of just one of a number of
machines. The IRR and NPV methods can, however, give conflicting rankings as to
which project should be given priority. Where there is a conflict, NPV always offers the
technically correct investment advice.
Despite the advantages of the NPV method over the IRR method, the IRR method is
widely used in practice.
So far we have not considered the effect of inflation on the appraisal of capital investment
proposals. As the inflation rate increases so will the minimum return required by an investor.
For example, you might be happy with a return of 5% in an inflation-free world, but if
inflation were running at 15% you would expect a considerably greater yield.
The nominal interest rate incorporates inflation. When the nominal rate of interest is higher
than the rate of inflation, there is a positive real rate. When the rate of inflation is higher than
the nominal rate of interest, the real rate of interest will be negative.
The relationship between real and nominal rates of interest is given by the Fisher formula:
(1 + n) = (1 + r)(1 + i)
Where i = rate of inflation
r = real rate of interest
n = nominal rate of interest
Illustration
A company is considering investing in a project with the following cash flows.
Time Actual cash flows
Rwf
0 (15,000)
1 9,000
2 8,000
3 7,000
The company requires a minimum return of 20% under the present and anticipated conditions.
Inflation is currently running at 10% a year, and this rate of inflation is expected to continue
indefinitely. Should the company go ahead with the project?
Let us first look at the company's required rate of return. Suppose that it invested Rwf1,000
for one year on 1 January, then on 31 December it would require a minimum return of
Rwf200. With the initial investment of Rwf1,000, the total value of the investment by 31
December must therefore increase to Rwf1,200. During the course of the year the purchasing
value of the dollar would fall due to inflation. We can restate the amount received on 31
December in terms of the purchasing power of the dollar at 1 January as follows.
Amount received on 31 December in terms of the value of the pound at 1 January
= Rwf1, 200 = Rwf1, 091 (1.10)1
In terms of the value of the dollar at 1 January, the company would make a profit of Rwf91
which represents a rate of return of 9.1% in 'today's money' terms. This is the real rate of
return. The required rate of 20% is a nominal rate of return (sometimes called a money
rate of return). The nominal rate measures the return in terms of the dollar which is, of
course, falling in value. The real rate measures the return in constant price level terms.
The two rates of return and the inflation rate are linked by the equation, (1 + n) = (1 + r)(1 + i)
where all rates are expressed as proportions.
In our example, (1 + 0.2) = (1 + r)(1 + 0.1)
1.2
1+r = = 1.091
1.1
r = 9.1%
Do we use the real rate or the nominal rate?
The rule is as follows.
If the cash flows are expressed in terms of the actual number of dollars that will be
received or paid on the various future dates, we use the nominal rate for discounting.
If the cash flows are expressed in terms of the value of the dollar at time 0 (that is, in
constant price level terms), we use the real rate.
The cash flows given above are expressed in terms of the actual number of dollars that will
be received or paid at the relevant dates (nominal cash flows). We should, therefore, discount
them using the nominal rate of return.
A The advantages and misuses of real values and a real rate of return
Although generally companies should discount money values at the nominal cost of
capital, there are some advantages of using real values discounted at a real cost of capital.
When all costs and benefits rise at the same rate of price inflation, real values are
the same as current day values, so that no further adjustments need be made to
cash flows before discounting. In contrast, when nominal values are discounted at
the nominal cost of capital, the prices in future years must be calculated before
discounting can begin
The government might prefer to set a real return as a target for investments, as
being more suitable than a commercial money rate of return.
Assume: a) We are given the nominal cash flows and real discount rate
Option 1:
Use the given nominal cash flows
Convert real discount rate into nominal discount rate and thereafter discount
Option 2:
Convert nominal cash flows into real cash flows
Discount using the given real discount rate
Illustration 2.20
Year 0 1 2 4
Nominal cash flows (in (500) 250 300 400
millions Rwf)
Real discount rate given was 7% and the inflation rate was
Option 1:
Convert real discount rate into nominal discount rate and thereafter discount using
Fisher formula
(1 + n) = (1 + r)(1 + i)
n = (1 + r)(1 + i)-1
n = (1 + 7%)(1 + 9%)-1
n = (1 .07)(1 .09)-1
n = 1.663-1
n = 0.1663
n = 16.63%
Discount nominal cash flows using the obtained nominal discount rate
Year 0 1 2 3
Nominal cash (500) 250 300 400
flows
DF (16.63%)-n 1.000 0.857 0.735 0.630
PV (500) 214.3 220.5 252
NPV=186
Option 2:
Convert nominal cash flows into real cash flows
Year 0 1 2 3
Nominal cash (500) 250 300 400
flows
DF (1+9%)-n 1.000 0.857 0.735 0.630
PV (500) 229.25 252.6 308.8 Real cash
flows
Discount using the given real discount rate
Year 0 1 2 3
Real cash flows (500) 229.25 252.6 308.8
DF (1+7%)-n 1.000 0.857 0.735 0.630
PV (500) 214.3 220.5 252
NPV=186.8
Assume: b) We are given the real cash flows and nominal discount rate
Option 1:
Use the given real cash flows
Convert nominal discount rate into real discount rate and thereafter discount
Option 2:
Convert real cash flows into nominal cash flows
Discount using the given nominal discount rate
Illustration
Year 0 1 2 4
Nominal cash flows(in (600) 300 400 350
millions Rwf)
Nominal discount rate given was 19% and the inflation rate was 6%
STEPS
Option 1:
Convert nominal discount rate into real discount rate and thereafter discount
(1 n) (1 r )(1 i )
(1 n)
r 1
(1 i)
(1.19)
r 1
(1.06)
r 1.1265 1
r 0.1265
Discount using the given real discount rate
Year 0 1 2 3
Nominal cash flows (in millions Rwf) (600) 300 400 350
-n
Real DR (12.265) 1.000 0.891 0.794 0.707
PV (600) 267.3 317.6 247.5
NPV =232.4
Option 2:
Convert real cash flows into nominal cash flows
Year 0 1 2 3
Real cash flows (in millions (600) 300 400 350
Rwf)
Inflation factor (1.06)n 1.000 1.06 1.124 1.191
Nominal cash flows (in (600) 318 449.6 416.85
millions Rwf)
Discount Nominal cash flows using the given nominal discount rate
Year 0 1 2 3
Nominal cash flows (in (600) 318 449.6 416.85
millions Rwf)
Nominal DR(1.19)-n 1.000 0.840 0.706 0.593
PV (600) 267.1 317.4 247.2
NPV=231.7
Note:
To be realistic, impact of inflation should be considered. All cash flows are assumed to be
nominal, unless stated otherwise.
5.2.3. 2. ADJUSTMENTS WITH THE TAXATION
There are three additional considerations associated with including taxation:
Good – Any investment in a capital asset will give rise to a capital
allowance. The capital allowance will lead to a reduction in the amount of
tax subsequently paid – CASH INFLOW
Bad – We would expect the investment to generate additional profits, these
in turn would lead to additional tax payable – CASH OUTFLOW
Ugly – Sometimes the examiner may delay all cash flow associated with
taxation by one year, this is done to reflect the delays between tax arising
and being paid. Take care and read the question carefully.
Corporation tax charged on a company’s profits is a relevant cash flow for NPV purposes. It is
assumed, unless otherwise stated in the question, that:
Capital allowances/WDAs
For tax purposes, a business may not deduct the cost of an asset from its profits as depreciation
(in the way it does for financial accounting purposes). Instead the cost must be deducted from
taxable profits in the form of ‘capital allowances’ or WDAs. The basic rules are as follows:
WDAs are calculated on a reducing balance basis (usually at a rate of 25%
the total WDAs given over the life of an asset equate to its fall in value over the
period (i.e. the cost less any scrap proceeds)
WDAs are claimed as early as possible
WDAs are given for every year of ownership except the year of disposal
in the year of sale or scrap a balancing allowance (BA) or charge arises (CA).
Frw
Original cost of asset X
Cumulative capital allowances claimed (X)
___
Written down value of the asset X
Disposal value of the asset (X)
___
BA or BC X
___
EXAMPLE:
A company buys an asset on the last day of the accounting period for Frw26,000. It will be
used on a project for three years after which it will be disposed of on the final day of year 3.
Tax is payable at 30% one year in arrears, and capital allowances are available at 25%
reducing balance.
Required:
(a) Calculate the WDA and hence the tax savings for each year if the proceeds on disposal of
the asset are Frw12,500.
(b) If net trading income from the project is Frw16,000 pa and the cost of capital is 8%
calculate the NPV of the project.
Solution
(a) Time Tax saving Timing of
@ 30% tax relief
Frw Frw
T0 Initial investment 26,000
T0 WDA @ 25% (6,500) 1,950 T1
Written down value 19,500
T1 WDA @ 25% (4,875) 1,463 T2
__________
Written down value 14,625
T2 WDA @ 25% (3,656) 1,097 T3
Written down value 10,969
Sale proceeds (12,500)
T3 BC (1,531) (460) T4
Time T0 T1 T2 T3 T4
Frw Frw Frw Frw Frw
Net trading 16,000 16,000 16,000
inflows
Tax payable (30%) (4,800) (4,800) (4,800)
Initial (26,000)
investment
Scrap 12,500
proceeds
Tax relief on WDAs 1,950 1,463 1,097 (460)
___________________________________________________________
Net cash (26,000) 17,950 12,663 24.797 5,260
flows
____________________________________________________________
DF @ 8% 1.000 0.926 0.857 0.794 0.735
____________________________________________________________
EXAMPLE
A company anticipates sales for the latest venture to be Frw300,000 in the first year. Sales are
then expected to increase at a rate of 8% pa over the three-year life of the project. Working
capital equal to 10% of annual sales is required and needs to be in place at the start of each
year.Calculate the working capital flows?
Solution
T0 T1 T2 T3
Frw Frw Frw Frw
Sales 300,000 324,000 349,920
Working capital required 30,000 32,400 34,992
Step 2: Work out the incremental investment required each year, remembering to release all
the working capital at the end of the project
T0 T1 T2 T3
Frw Frw Frw Frw
Working 32,400-30,000 34,992-32,400
Capital investment (30,000) (2,400) (2,592) 34,992
Proforma
EXAMPLE
Ackbono Co is considering a potential project with the following forecasts:
Now T1 T2 T3
Initial investment (Frwmillion) (1,000)
Disposal proceeds (Frwmillion) 200
Demand (millions of units) 5 10 6
Further information provided:
The initial investment will be made on the first day of the new accounting period.
The selling price per unit is expected to be Frw100 and the variable cost Frw30 per
unit. Both of these figures are given in today’s terms.
Tax is paid at 30%, one year after the accounting period concerned.
WDA's are available at 25% reducing balance.
The company has a real required rate of return of 6.8%.
General inflation is predicted to be 3% pa but the selling price is expected to inflate at
4% and variable costs by 5% pa
Required: Determine the NPV of the project. N.B:Work in Frw millions.
Solution
Frw millions T0 T1 T2 T3 T4
Sales (W1) 520 1082 675
Variable costs (W1) (158) (331) (208)
_____ _____ _____
Net trading inflows 362 751 467
Tax payable (30%) (109) (225) (140)
Initial investment (1,000)
Scrap proceeds 200
Tax relief on WDAs (W2) 75 56 109
_____ _____ _____ _____ _____
Net cash flows (1,000) 362 717 498 (31)
DF @ 10% (W3) 1 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683
_____ _____ _____ _____ _____
PV (1,000) 329 592 374 (21)
NPV 274
_____
Then,
Time Frwm Tax saving Timing of
tax relief
Frwm
T0 Initial investment 1000
T1 WDA @ 25% (250) 75 T2
_____
Written down value 750
T2 WDA @ 25% (188) 56 T3
_____
Written down value 562
Sale proceeds (200)
_____
T3 BA 362 109 T4
Advantages of leasing:
Eg: Mallen and Mullins has decided to install a new milling machine. The machine costs
$20,000 and it would have a useful life of five years with a trade-in value of $4,000 at the end
of the fifth year. A decision has now to be taken on the method of financing the project.
(a) The company could purchase the machine for cash, using bank loan facilities on which the
current rate of interest is 13% before tax.
(b) The company could lease the machine under an agreement which would entail payment of
$4,800 at the end of each year for the next five years. The rate of tax is 30%. If the machine is
purchased, the company will be able to claim a tax depreciation allowance of 100% in Year 1.
Tax is payable with a year's delay.
Solution: Cash flows are discounted at the after-tax cost of borrowing, which is at 13% * 70%
= 9.1%, say 9%.
The cheapest option would be to purchase the machine.
An alternative method of making lease or buy decisions is to carry out a single financing calculation with the
payments for one method being negative and the receipts being positive, and vice versa for the other method.
The negative NPV indicates that the lease is unattractive and the purchasing decision is better, as the net savings
from not leasing outweigh the net costs of purchasing.
Illustration: ABC Ltd has decided to acquire a piece of equipment costing Frw 240 000 of
five years. The equipment is expected to have no salvage value ate the end and the company
uses straight-line depreciation method on all it Fixed Assets. The company has two financing
alternative methods available, leasing or borrowing. The loan has an interest rate of 15%
requiring equal-year-end installments to be paid. The lease would be set at a level that would
amortize the cost of equipment over the lease period and would provide the lessor with a 14%
return on capital. The company‘s tax rate is 40%.
Required:
o Compute the annual lease payments.
o Compute the PV of the cash out flow under lease financing
o Calculate the annual loan installment payment
o For each of the 5 years, calculate the interest and the principal component of
the loan repayment.
o Calculate the PV of after tax cash flow under the loan alternative
o Which alternative is better and why?
Solution:
240 000 = A + A PVAF 14%, 4 years
b) Year Lease payments Lease Rental Net Payments PVIF 14% PVs
Tax shield (40%)
DCF techniques can assist asset replacement decisions, to decide how frequently an asset should be
replaced. When an asset is being replaced with an identical asset, the equivalent annual cost method can
be used to calculate an optimum replacement cycle.
When an asset is newly purchased the asset’s efficiency and resale value will be very high
while the maintenance costs will be relatively low. However as the asset is ageing it may
become more expensive to operate and maintain. The longer replacement is deferred, the
more expensive will the operating and the affected asset. Equally, replacement of assets
involves an outlay of capital expenditure which would be deferred when the decision to
replace is postponed. The realizable value of an asset will decline as the asset gets older and
more worn.
Early replacement means that a higher resale value should be obtained for existing equipment.
When considering replacement certain items are of paramount importance.
TYPES OF REPLACEMENT
There are two types of replacement of an existing asset with a new, but identical asset. Two
assets are termed identical if they produce the same cash flows i.e. both the existing asset and
the replacing asset have the same financial characteristic. The problem is therefore simple one
of deciding on “how frequently the asset should be replaced” i.e what is the optimum
replacement cycle?
NON – IDENTICAL REPLACEMENT DECISION
When an asset is replaced or to be replaced by an asset of a different type, the two assets are
said to be non- identical once they produce different cash flows. The decision is now “when
should the existing asset be replaced “ i.e. what is the optimal replacement cycle?
There are basically three methods of deciding the optimum replacement cycle and each
method will give the same recommendation if well applied.
1. The annual equivalent value method (EAC)
2. The lowest common multiple method (LCM)
3. Finite horizon method
When there is no inflation, this is the quickest method of deciding the optimum replacement
cycle. To begin, it is necessary to calculate the present value of costs for each replacement
cycle but over one cycle only. The PV arrived at for each of the various years are not
comparable, because they refer to different time periods, whereas replacement is continuous.
The equivalent annual cost method of comparing these cash flows is to calculate, for each
length of replacement cycle an annuity (annual cost) which has the same present value,
discounted cost of capital, as the cost of repeated cycles of the various lengths under
consideration.
The lowest common multiple method is to estimate cash flows over a period of time which is
the lowest common multiple of all the replacement cycles under consideration.
Thus for replacement cycles of 1, 2, 3, 4yrs, the LCM of time in 12years.in twelve years there
would be :
(a) 12 complete replacement cycles of 1 year or
(b) 6 complete replacement cycles of 2 year or
(c) 4 complete replacement cycles of 3 year or
(d) 3 complete replacement cycles of 4 years.
We are to discount these cash flows over the lowest common multiple time period. The option
with the lowest present value of cost will be the optimum replacement cycle.
FINITE HORIZON
In practice when the maximum life of the asset is more than about 4 years, the lowest common
multiple method becomes a very long and tedious process thus giving rise to the finite horizon
method.
If the maximum life were say, the replacement options would be every 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 or
7years, and the LCM would be 420. The finite horizon method is to calculate the present value
of cost over a “ significant” time period (perhaps 15 or 20 years), because the present values of
cash flows beyond this period are unlikely to affect the relative costs of the replacement
options.
EXAMPLE
A new machine costs Frw120,000 and may be sold at the end of any year at the following
prices:
Year (end) 1 2 3 4 5
Selling price (Frw) 75,000 49,000 30,000 16,500 9,000
Studies of the machine’s performance indicate the maintenance costs are:
Year (end) 1 2 3 4 5
Maintenance costs (Frw) 15,000 18,000 22,500 30,000 45,000
How often should a new car with identical characteristic be bought if the average total cost per
period is to be minimized? Cost capital is 10%
Solution:
EVERY ONE YEAR
Yr CF DF@ 10% PV
0 (120,000) 1.000 (120,000)
12,000 2,000
b) Depreciation of new machine = = 1,000
10 yrs
5,000 0
Depreciation of old machine = = 500
10 yrs
Increamental depreciation 500
NB: The NBV of old machine after 5 years is Frw5,000. This NBV will be depreciated
over the remaining 10 years.
Determine operating cash flows:
Increamental sales = 11,000 – 10,000 1,000
Savings in labour costs = 5,000 – 7,000 2,000
Increamental EBDT 3,000
Less increamental depreciation (non-cash item) (500)
Increamental EBT 2,500
Less tax @ 40% 1,000
Increamental EAT 1,500
Add back increamental depreciation 500
Annual cash flow 2,000
Capital rationing is a situation in which a company has a limited amount of capital to invest
in potential projects, such that the different possible investments need to be compared with
one another in order to allocate the capital available most effectively. If an organisation is in a
capital rationing situation it will not be able to enter into all projects with positive NPVs
because there is not enough capital for all of the investments.
Soft capital rationing is brought about by internal factors; hard capital rationing is brought
about by external factors.
Soft capital rationing may arise for one of the following reasons.
(i) Management may be reluctant to issue additional share capital because of concern
that this may lead to outsiders gaining control of the business.
(ii) Management may be unwilling to issue additional share capital if it will lead to a
dilution of earnings per share.
(iii) Management may not want to raise additional debt capital because they do not
wish to be committed to large fixed interest payments.
(iv) Management may wish to limit investment to a level that can be financed solely
from retained earnings. They may not want to grow the company too quickly.
Hard capital rationing may arise for one of the following reasons.
(i) Raising money through the stock market may not be possible if share prices are
depressed.
(ii) There may be restrictions on bank lending due to government control.
(iii) Lending institutions may consider an organisation to be too risky (eg, too highly
geared, poor prospects) to be granted further loan facilities.
(iv) The costs associated with making small issues of capital may be too great.
SINGLE AND MULTI-PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING
a)Single –period capital rationing
There is a shortage of funds in the present period which will not arise in following periods.
Note that the rationing in this situation is very similar to the limiting factor decision that we
know from decision making. In that situation we maximize the contribution per unit of
limiting factor.
b)Multi-period capital rationing
A more complex environment where there is a shortage of funds in more than one period.
This makes the analysis more complicated because we have multiple constraints and
multiple outputs. Linear programming would have to be employed.
PRACTICAL METHODS OF DEALING WITH CAPITAL RATIONING
- Practical steps to deal with capital rationing include:
(a) Leasing
(b) Entering into a joint venture with a partner
(c) Delaying one of then projects to a later period
(d) Issuing new capital (if possible)
PROCEDURE OF MARGINAL COSTING EXTENDED TO CAPITAL RATIONING
1. Positive contribution
2. Contribution per limiting factor
3. Rank the projects in order of contribution per limiting factor
4. Select based on the ranking carried out.
743=10/40*3,801
By spending the balancing Frw10,000 0nproject C, one third of the full investment would be
made to earn one-third of the NPV. It is interesting to note that the discount rate of return
(IRR) for each of the four projects would be as follows:
Adjusted Present Value (APV) is used for the valuation of projects and companies. It takes the net
present value (NPV), plus the present value of debt financing costs, which include interest tax shields,
costs of debt issuance, costs of financial distress, financial subsidies, etc. So why do we use Adjusted
Present Value instead of NPV in evaluating projects with debt financing? To answer this, we first need
to understand how financing decisions (debt vs. equity) affect the value of a project.
The value of a project financed with debt may be higher than that of an all equity-financed one since
the cost of capital often decreases with leverage, turning some negative NPV projects into positive
ones. Thus, under the NPV rule, a project may be rejected if it’s financed with only equity, but may be
accepted if it’s financed with some debt. Moreover, the APV approach takes into consideration the
benefits of raising debts (e.g. interest tax shield), which NPV does not do. As such, APV analysis is
widely preferred in highly leveraged transactions.
The Adjusted Present Value approach takes into consideration the benefits of raising debts (e.g. interest
tax shield), which NPV does not do. As such, APV analysis can be preferred in highly leveraged
transactions. In financial modeling, it’s common practice to use Net Present Value with firm’s the
Weighted Average Cost of Capital as the discount rate, which determines the un-levered value of the
firm (its enterprise value) or the unlevered value of a project.The present value of net debt is deducted
to arrive at equity value, if that’s what is desired.
We make the following simplifying assumptions before using the APV approach in the valuation of a
project:
The project’s risk is equal to the average risks of other projects within the firm, which is also the risk
of the firm. In other words, the project in question is a “typical” project that the firm usually takes on.
In this case, the relevant discount rate for the project is based on the risk of the firm. Corporate taxes
are the only important market imperfection at the level of debt chosen. This means that we focus only
on the interest tax shields, and ignore the effects generated by the costs of debt issuance and financial
distress. All debt is perpetual.
Step 2
Calculate the net value of the debt financing (PVF), which is the sum of various effects, including:
PV(Interest tax shields) – our main focus
PV(Issuance costs)
PV(Financial distress costs)
PV(Other market imperfections)
Step 3
Sum up the value of the unlevered project and the net value of debt financing to find the adjusted
present value of the project. That is, VL = VU + PVF.
An alternative method of carrying out project appraisal is use of NPV method involving 2 stages:
Evaluate a project as if its an all equity financed to determine the base case NPV
Make adjustments to allow for the effect of the method of financing that has been used
QUESTION THREE
The managers of Strayer plc are investigating a potential Sh.25 million investment. The
investment would be a diversification away from existing mainstream activities and into the
printing industry. Sh.6 million of the investment would be financed by internal funds, Sh.10
million by a rights issue and Sh.9 million by long term loans. The investment is expected to
generate pre-tax net cash flows of approximately Sh.5 million per year, for a period of ten
years. The residual value at the end of year ten is forecast to be Sh.5 million after tax. As the
investment is in an area that the government wishes to develop, a subsidized loan of Sh.4
million out of the total Sh.9 million is available. This will cost 2% below the company’s
normal cost of long-term debt finance, which is 8%.
Strayer’s equity beta is 0.85, and its financial gearing is 60% equity, 40% debt by value. The
average equity beta in the printing industry is 1.2, and average gearing 50% equity, 50% debt
by market value.
The risk free rate is 5.5% per annum and the market return 12% per annum.
Issue costs are estimated to be 1% for debt financing (excluding the subsidized loan), and 4%
for equity financing. These costs are not tax allowable.
The corporate tax rate is 30%.
Required:
(a) Estimate the Adjusted Present Value (APV) of the proposed investment.
(b) Comment upon the circumstances under which APV might be a better method of
evaluating a capital investment than Net Present Value (NPV).
Solution
(a) Assuming the risk of companies in the printing industry is similar to that of Strayer’s
new investment, the beta of the printing industry will be used to estimate the discount
rate for the base case NPV. Ungearing the beta of the printing industry:
E 50
Asset beta = equity beta x 1.2x 0.706
E D(1 t) 50 50(1 0.30)
Financing side effects relate to the tax shield on interest payments, the subsidized loan, and
issue costs associated with external financing.
Tax relief:
Sh.5 million 8% loan. Interest payable is Sh.400,000 per year, tax relief is Sh.400,000 x 0.3 =
Sh.120,000 per year
Sh.4 million subsidized loan. Interest is Sh.240,000 per year, tax relief Sh.72,000 per year.
Total annual tax relief Sh.192,000 per year.
The present value of this tax relief, discounted at the risk free rate of 5.5% per year is:
Sh.192,000 x 7.541 = Sh.1,447,872
(The tax relief on interest payments allowed by government is assumed to be risk free. The
mid-point between 5% and 6% in annuity tables is used. N.B. discounting at a rate higher than
the risk free rate could be argued, especially if the company might be in a non taxpaying
position in some years.)
Subsidy:
The company saves 2% per year on Sh.4,000,000 or Sh.80,000, or Sh.80,000 x (1 – 0.30) =
Sh.56,000 after tax.
As this is a government subsidy it is assumed to be risk free and will be discounted at 5.5%
per year.
Sh.56,000 x 7.541 = Sh.422,296
If, however, no information can be provided about the probabilities of different the returns
from the project, we are faced with an uncertain situation. For example, we might estimate that
returns from an investment could be anything between Frw150,000 and Frw50,000, but we
can’t estimate probabilities. This would be uncertainty about the investment returns.
In general, risky projects are those whose predicted possible future cash flows, and hence the
project returns, are more variable. The greater the variability, the greater the risk.
The problem of risk is more acute with capital investment decisions than other decisions for
the following reasons.
(a) Estimates of capital expenditure might be for several years ahead, such as for major
construction projects. Actual costs may escalate well above budget as the work progresses.
(b) Estimates of benefits will be for several years ahead, sometimes 10, 15 or 20 years ahead
or even longer, and such long-term estimates can at best be approximations.
The basic approach of sensitivity analysis is to calculate the project's NPV under alternative
assumptions to determine how sensitive it is to changing conditions. An indication is thus
provided of those variables to which the NPV is most sensitive (critical variables) and the
extent to which those variables may change before the investment results in a negative NPV.
Sensitivity analysis therefore provides an indication of why a project might fail. Management
should review critical variables to assess whether or not there is a strong possibility of events
occurring which will lead to a negative NPV. Management should also pay particular attention
to controlling those variables to which the NPV is particularly sensitive, once the decision has
been taken to accept the investment.
Sensitivity =NPV *%
Present value of project variable
The lower the percentage, the more sensitive is NPV to that project variable as the variable
would need to change by a smaller amount to make the project non-viable.
As a guide, the percentage change in variables that will change our decision can be calculated
as follows depending on the variable under consideration:
1. Sensitivity to Outlay = (NPV of the project/PV of outlay) X 100%
2. Sensitivity to contribution = ( NPV of the project / PV of contribution) X 100%
3. Sensitivity to sales volume/ units = (NPV of the project / PV of sales volume (units) )
x 100%
4. Sensitivity to sales value = ( NPV of the project / PV of sales value) X 100%
5. Sensitivity to variable cost = (NPV of the project / PV of variable cost ) X 100%
6. Sensitivity to project’s life = ( Project’s life – BEP Project’s life / Project’s life)/ 100%
7. Sensitivity to Cost of capital = (( IRR – COC ))/ COC ) /100%
8. Sensitivity to incremental fixed cost = (NPV of the project / PV of incremental fixed
cost)/ 100%
Example:
Year Outlay Savings Running cost
0 (100,000) - -
1 42,000 14,000
2 56,000 24,500
3 84,000 35,000
4 105,000 42,000
The company’s cost of capital is 10%
You are required to calculate:
a. The project’s viability
b. (i) The project’s sensitivity to the outlay
(ii) The project’s sensitivity to the savings
(iii) The project’s sensitivity to the running cost.
Solution
a) First step is to calculate the NPV
Yr CF DF@10% PV
0 (100,000) 1.000 (100,000)
1 28,000 0.9091 25,455
2 31,500 0.8264 26,032
3 49,000 0.7513 36,814
4 63,000 0.6830 43,029
NPV 31,330
The project is viable, it has a + NPV of Frw 31,330
B) i) SM of the Outlay
Computation of PV of Outlay
SM = ( NPV/PV of Outlay ) X 100%
SM = (31,330/100,000) X 100%
SM = 31.33%
Interpretation
The outlay can rise i.e increase by a s much as 31.33% and the project will still be viable. Or if
the outlay increases by more than 31.33% the project becomes unviable
i) SM of Savings
Computation of PV of Savings
Yr CF DF@10% PV
1 42,000 0.9091 38,182
2 56,000 0.8264 46,278
3 84,000 0.7513 63,109
4 105,000 0.6830 71,715
Total Savings 219,284
SM = ( NPV / PV of Savings) X 100%
SM = ( 31,330 / 219,284) X 100%
SM = 14,29%
Interpretation
Savings should not fall / reduce by more than 14.29% or else the project becomes unviable.
ii) SM of running cost
Computation of PV of Running Costs
Yr CF DF@10% PV
1 14,000 0.9091 12,727
2 24,500 0.8264 20,247
3 35,000 0.7513 26,296
4 42,000 0.6830 28,686
Total of running cost 87,956
Example 2
Gbenga has just set up a company, Gbengashin Manufacturing Plc and estimates its cost of
capital to be 15%. His first project involves investing in Frw 150,000 of equipment with a life
of 15 years and a final scrap value of Frw 15,000
The equipment will be used to produce 15,000 deluxe pairs of rain boots per annum generating
a contribution of Frw 2,750 per pair. He estimates that annual fixed costs will be Frw 15,000
per annum
(a) Determine on the basis of the above figures, whether the project is worthwhile; and
(b) Calculate the sensitivity of your calculations to:
(i) Initial investment;
(ii) Annual sales volume;
(iii) Annual fixed costs
(iv) Scrap value; and
(v) Cost of capital
By finding what percentage changes in the above figures would cause your decision in (a) to
change.
Solution
a) Computation of the NPV
Yr Item CF DF@15% PV
0 Equip (150,000) 1.000 (150,000)
1-15 Contribution 41,250 5.8474 241,205
1-15 Annual FC (15,000) 5.8474 (87,711)
15 S. Value 15,000 0.1229 1,844
5,338
Decision: The project has a + NPV it is therefore worthwhile.
b) i) Initial Investment
SM = (NPV /PV of outlay) X 100%
SM = (5,338 / 150,000) X 100%
= 3.56%
iii) Annual Sales Volume
SM = ( NPV/ PV of Sales volume) X 100%
SM = (5,338/241,205) X 100%
SM = 2.21%
Yr Item CF DF@20% PV
0 Equip (150,000) 1.0000 (150,000)
1-15 Contribution 41,250 4.6755 192,864
1-15 Annual FC (15,000) 4.6755 (70,133)
15 SV 15,000 0.0649 974
(26,295)
Interpolation NPV1 =5,338; R1 =15%; R2 = 20% and NPV2 = (26,295).
Example: Sensitivity analysis
Kenney Co is considering a project with the following cash flows.
Cash flows arise from selling 650,000 units at Frw10 per unit. Kenney Co has a cost of capital
of 8%.
Required: Measure the sensitivity of the project to changes in variables.
Solution
The PVs of the cash flow are as follows.
The project has a positive NPV and would appear to be worthwhile. The sensitivity of each
project variable is as follows.
(a) Initial investment
In other words, the project will only just provide the required investment return if the cost of
the investment is 14.6% higher than estimated, assuming that the value of all the other cash
flows for the investment are as estimated.
(b) Sales volume
In other words, the project will only just provide the required investment return if sales
volume is
12.8% lower than estimated, assuming that the value of all the other cash flows for the
investment are as estimated.
(c) Selling price
(e) Cost of capital. We need to calculate the IRR of the project. Let us try discount rates of
15% and 20%. The cost of capital can therefore increase by 132% before the NPV becomes
negative.
The elements to which the NPV appears to be most sensitive are the selling price followed by
the sales volume. Management should thus pay particular attention to these factors so that they
can be carefully monitored.
Weaknesses of this approach to sensitivity analysis
These are as follows.
(a) The method requires that changes in each key variable are isolated, assuming that all other
values in the estimated cash flows are unchanged. However, management may be more
interested in the combination of the effects of changes in two or more key variables.
(b) Looking at factors in isolation is unrealistic since they are often interdependent.
(c) Sensitivity analysis is analysis when there is uncertainty. It does not examine the
probability that any particular variation in costs or revenues might occur.
(d) Critical factors may be those over which managers have no control.
(e) In itself it does not provide a decision rule. Parameters defining acceptability of an
investment project, given the uncertainty, must be laid down by managers.
Sensitivity analysis analyses the effect of changes made to variables in the problem in order to
determine their effect on the decision. First we calculate the NPV of the project on the basis of
the best estimates. Then we calculate what % change (or sensitivity) in each of the variables
would result in a NPV of zero (i.e. the breakeven position – any further change would change
the decision).By considering the sensitivity of each variable we can ascertain which variables
are the most critical and therefore perhaps need more work confirming our estimates.
Example 1
Daina has just set up a new company and estimates that the cost of capital is 15%. Her first
project involves investing in Frw150,000 of equipment with a life of 15 years and a final scrap
value of Frw15,000. The equipment will produce 15,000 units p.a. generating a contribution of
Frw2.75 each. She estimates that additional fixed costs will be Frw15,000 p.a..
(a) Determine, on the basis of the above figures, whether the project is worthwhile
(b) Calculate the sensitivity to change of:
i. the initial investment
ii. the sales volume p.a.
iii. the contribution p.u.
iv. the fixed costs p.a.
v. the scrap value
vi. the cost of capital
Solution
DF @15% PV
-
0 Cost -150,000 1
150,000
1-15 Contribution 41,250 p.a 5.847 241,189
1-15 Fixed costs (15,000) p.a 5.847 -87,705
15 scrap 15000 0.123 1,845
NPV 5,329
5,329
i)Sensitivity of initial investment * 100% 3.55%
150,000
5,329
ii) Sensitivity of sales volume * 100% 2.21%
241,189
5,329
iii)Sensitivity of contribution per unit * 100% 2.21%
241,189
5,329
iii)Sensitivity of fixed costs * 100% 6.08%
87,705
5,329
iv)Sensitivity of scrap value * 100% 289%
1,845
DF @20% PV
-
0 Cost -150,000 1
150,000
1-15 Contribution 41,250 p.a 4.675 192,844
1-15 Fixed costs (15,000) p.a 4.675 -70,125
15 scrap 15000 0.065 975
NPV (26,306)
5,329
IRR 15% * 5% 15.84%
(5,329 26,306)
0.84
iv)Sensitivity of cost of capital * 100% 5.6%
15
5.3.4. THE CERTAINTY-EQUIVALENT APPROACH
Another method is the certainty-equivalent approach. By this method, the expected cash
flows of the project are converted to riskless equivalent amounts. The greater the risk of an
expected cash flow, the smaller the certainty-equivalent value (for receipts) or the larger the
certainty-equivalent value (for payments). As the cash flows are reduced to supposedly certain
amounts, they should be discounted at a risk free rate. This concept will be covered in detail
later in this text, but the risk free rate is effectively the level of return that can be obtained
from undertaking no risk.
Example: Certainty-equivalent approach
Dark Ages Co, whose cost of capital is 10%, is considering a project with the following
expected cash flows.
The project seems to be worthwhile. However, because of the uncertainty about the future
cash receipts, the management decides to reduce them to 'certainty-equivalents' by taking only
70%, 60% and 50% of the years 1, 2 and 3 cash flows respectively. The risk-free rate is 5%.
On the basis of the information set out above, assess whether the project is worthwhile.
Solution
The risk-adjusted NPV of the project is as follows.
The project’s certainty-equivalent NPV is negative. This means that the project is too risky
and should be rejected. The disadvantage of the 'certainty-equivalent' approach is that the
amount of the adjustment to each cash flow is decided subjectively.
Eg.
Cost of Capital =10 %
Years Cfs DF at 10% Present value
0 (10,000) 1 (10,000)
1 7,000 0.909 6,363
2 5,000 0.826 4,130
3 5,000 0.751 3,733
NPV + 4,248
Management decided to reduce future cfs by taking only 70%, 60% and 50% for year1, year2
and year3 respectively
Required: On the basis of the information assess whether the project is worthwhile
Solution
Years Cfs DF at 10% PV
0 (10,000) 1 (10,000)
1 4,900 0.909 4454
2 3,000 0.826 2478
3 2,500 0.751 1877
NPV =(1,191)
The project is too risky.
Year two
The company's cost of capital for this type of project is 10% DCF. You are required to
calculate the expected value (EV) of the project's NPV and the probability that the NPV will
be negative.
Solution
Step 1 Calculate expected value of the NPV.
First we need to draw up a probability distribution of the expected cash flows. We begin by
calculating the present values of the cash flows.
And then,
0.25
272.7 = 300 x 0.909 0.25 165.2 = 200 x 0.826 272.7 + 165.2 = 437.9 0.0625 27.36875
247.8 = 300 x 0.826 272.7 + 347.8 = 520.5 0.125 65.0625
0.50 289.1 = 350 x 0.826 272.7 + 289.1 = 561.8 0.0625 35.1125
0.25
Simulation is a technique which allows more than one variable to change at the same time.
Simulation will overcome problems of having a very large number of possible outcomes, also
the correlation of cash flows (a project which is successful in its early years is more likely to
be successful in its later years).
Essentially, the stages are as follows:
identify the major variables
specify the relationship between the variables
attach probability distributions to each variable and assign random numbers to reflect
the distribution
simulate the environment by generating random numbers
record the outcome of each simulation
repeat the simulation many times to be able to obtain a probability distribution of the
possible outcomes
Example: Simulation model
The following probability estimates have been prepared for a proposed project.
The cost of capital is 12%. Assess how a simulation model might be used to assess the
project's NPV.
Solution
A simulation model could be constructed by assigning a range of random number digits to
each possible value for each of the uncertain variables. The random numbers must exactly
match their respective probabilities. This is achieved by working upwards cumulatively from
the lowest to the highest cash flow values and assigning numbers that will correspond to
probability groupings as follows.
A computer would calculate the NPV many times over using the values established in this way
with more random numbers, and the results would be analyzed to provide the following.
(a) An expected NPV for the project
(b) A statistical distribution pattern for the possible variation in the NPV above or below this
average.The decision whether to go ahead with the project would then be made on the basis of
expected return and risk.
An investor is considering introducing a new cheap ball pens into the market, this would
involve purchasing a plant costing Frw 30 DM with UEL of 5years depreciated on SLM
salvage is nil. Due to the market uncertainty, the sale price variable cost and sale volume
of the new ball pen is estimated probabilistically as follows,
selling price value probability
Frw
30 0.2
40 0.6
50 0.2
Variable value Cost Probability Sale value Volume probability
Frw 10 0.2 4M 0.2
Frw 20 0.5 6M 0.5
Frw 30 0.3 8M 0.3
Company cost of capital is 12% and corporate tax is 30%.
Required:
1. Expected NPV of the new product
2. Simulate NPV calculations using random numbers (76 20 55, 64 82 50, 02 74 29, 53
08 58, 16 01 51, 16 69 14, 55 36 86, 54 35 24, 23 52 39, 36 99 47)
3. The probability that the product simulation
Techniques that allows more than one variable to change art time. It considers Probability –
random numbers
Solution
1. Expected selling price = (30 x 0.2) + (40 x0.6) + (50x0.2) = 40
Expected Sale volume = (4M x 0.2) + (6Mx0.5) + (8Mx0.3) = 6.2M
Expected variable cost = (10x0.2) + (20x0.5) + (30x0.3) = 2 + 10 + 9 = 29
Depreciation
Initial cost = 300M
Scrap value = 0
UFL = 5years
300M
Depreciation expenses = 5 = 60M
Selling price 40
Sale volume 6.2M
Total sales (revenues) 248M
Less variable cost (21 x 6.2) (130.2M)
PBDT 117.8M
Less depreciation (60)
PBT 57.8M
Less taxation at 30% (17.34)
PAT 40.46
Add back depreciation 60M
Net cash flows 100.46
Random numbers
Random Range value Variable Variable Sale Sale PBDT CFs ∑NPV
numbers number cost cost volume volume (sales
Random value Random volume price –
Number Number variable
cost) x
sales
volume
1 76 40 20 20 55 6M 120M 102 67.71
2 64 40 82 30 50 6M 60M 60 (83.7)
3 02 30 74 30 29 6M 0M 18 (235,11)
4 53 40 08 10 58 6M 180M 144 219.12
5 16 30 01 10 51 6M 120M 102 67.71
6 16 30 69 20 14 4M 40M 46 (134.17)
7 55 40 36 20 86 8M 160M 130 168.65
8 54 40 35 20 24 6M 120M 102 67.71
9 23 40 52 20 39 6M 120M 102 67.71
10 36 40 99 30 47 6M 60m 60 (83.7)
cfs = PBDT (1 –t) + D
cfs = 120(1 -3%) + 60 =
Annuity factor at 12% is 3.605
Eg.
PBDT 120
(60)
PBT 60
tax 3% (18)
42
Add back 60
102
cfs = PBT(1 – t) + D = (120 – 60) x 0.7 + 60 = 102
∑NPV 67.71+(86.7)+ (235.11)+ 219.12+67071+(134.17)+ 168.65+67.71+67.71+(83.7)
Expected NPV = 10 = =
10
12.193
Number of places where we have positive NPV 6
Probability of success = = 10 ≈ 60%
number of random numbers
The discounted payback period (DPP) is the time it will take before a project's cumulative
NPV turns from being negative to being positive. The payback method of investment
appraisal, discussed in Chapter 7, recognizes uncertainty in investment decisions by focusing
on the near future. Short-term projects are preferred to long-term projects and liquidity is
emphasized.
The discounted payback period is the length of time before the cumulative PV of cash inflows
from the projects begins to exceed the initial outflow. It is similar to the payback method, but
uses discounted cash flows rather than non-discounted cash flows to measure the payback
period.
Discounted payback uses discounted cash flows. This is also known as adjusted payback.
For example if we have a cost of capital of 10% and a project with the cash flows shown
below, we can calculate a discounted payback period.
The DPP is early in year 4. It may be approximated as 3 years + [1,390/(1,390 + 19,100)] × 12
months = 3 years 0.8 months, say 3 years 1 month. A company can set a target DPP, and
choose not to undertake any projects with a DPP in excess of a certain number of years, say
five years.
Advantages and disadvantages of discounted payback period
The approach has all the perceived advantages of the payback period method of investment
appraisal: it is easy to understand and calculate, and it provides a focus on liquidity where this
is relevant. In addition, however, it also takes into account the time value of money. It
therefore bridges the gap between the theoretically superior NPV method and the regular
payback period method. However, it does differ from NPV in that the discount rate used is the
unadjusted cost of capital whereas NPV often uses an adjusted rate to reflect project risk
and uncertainty.
Because the DPP approach takes the time value of money into consideration, it produces a
longer payback period than the non-discounted payback approach, and takes into account
more of the project's cash flows.
Another advantage it has over traditional payback is that it has a clear accept-or-reject
criterion. Using payback, acceptance of a project depends on an arbitrarily determined cut-off
time. Using DPP, a project is acceptable if it pays back within its lifetime. DPP still shares one
disadvantage with the payback period method: cash flows which occur after the payback
period are ignored (although as the DPP is longer than the payback period, fewer of these is
ignored).
One way of dealing with risk is to shorten the payback period required. A maximum
payback period can be set to reflect the fact that risk increases the longer the time period
under consideration. However, the disadvantages of payback as an investment appraisal
method (discussed in Chapter 5) mean that discounted payback cannot be recommended as a
method of adjusting for risk.
PRACTICE QUESTIONS
QN 1.
Rainbow Co, a medium-sized company specialising in the manufacture and distribution of
equipment for babies and small children, is evaluating a new capital expenditure project. In a
joint venture with another separate company, it has invented a remote controlled pushchair,
one of the first of its kind on the market. It has been unable to obtain a patent for the invention,
but is sure that it will monopolise the market for the first three years. After this, it expects to
be faced with stiff competition.
The details are set out below.
(1) The project has an immediate cost of Frw2,100,000.
(2) Sales are expected to be Frw1,550,000 per annum for years 1 to 3, falling to Frw650,000
per annum for the two years after that. No further sales of the product are expected after
the end of this five-year period.
(3) Cost of sales is 40% of sales.
(4) Distribution costs represent 10% of sales.
(5) 20% of net profits are payable to the joint venture partner the year after the profits are
earned.
(6) The company's cost of capital is 5%.
Required
(a) Calculate the net present value of the project at the company's required rate of return.
Assume that all cash flows arise annually in arrears unless otherwise stated. Conclude
whether the project is financially viable.
(b) Calculate the project's internal rate of return (IRR) to the nearest percent.
(c) Calculate the project's simple payback period. Assume all cash flows arise at the end of
the year apart from the immediate investment costs.
QN 2
It is now June 2018. TUBURA Co manufactures bicycles for the UK and European markets,
and has made a bid of Frw150 million to take over HEZA Co, their main UK competitor,
which is also active in the German market. TUBURA currently supplies 24% of the UK
market and HEZA has a 10% share of the same market.
TUBURA anticipates labour savings of Frw700,000 per year, created by more efficient
production and distribution facilities, if the takeover is completed. In addition, the company
intends to sell off surplus land and buildings with a balance sheet value of Frw15 million,
acquired in the course of the takeover.
Total UK bicycle sales for 2017 were Frw400 million. For the year ended 31 December 2017,
HEZA reported an operating profit of Frw10 million, compared with a figure of Frw55 million
for TUBURA. In calculating profits, HEZA included a depreciation charge of Frw0.5 million.
Note. The takeover is regarded by TUBURA in the same way as any other investment, and is
appraised accordingly.
Required
(a) Despite the theoretical limitations of the payback method of investment appraisal, it is
the method most used in practice.' Discuss this statement briefly.
(b) Assuming that the bid is accepted by HEZA, calculate the payback period (pre-tax) for
the investment, if the land and buildings are immediately sold for Frw5 million less than
the balance sheet valuation, and HEZA's sales figures remain static.
(c) TUBURA has also appraised the investment in HEZA by calculating the present value of
the company's future expected cash flows. What additional information to that required
in (b) would have been necessary?
(d) Explain how and why the UK Government might seek to intervene in the takeover bid
for HEZA.
(e) Suggest four ratios, which TUBURA might usefully compute in order to compare the
financial performance of HEZA with that of companies in the same manufacturing
sector. You should include in your answer a justification of your choice of ratios. Briefly
explain why it is important to base a comparison on companies in the same sector.
QN 3
SHEZO Co is a wholesaler of specialist books which is keen to explore the financial
implications of making a significant investment in equipment and the development of a
website.
Due to the fast-changing nature of the equipment and the Internet software, SHEZO's
management has set a project lifetime of three years, ie the equipment will be replaced at the
end of 2016 and a new website designed. Frw60,000 would be paid for the new equipment on
31 December 2013. The supplier has agreed to pay Frw10,000 as a trade-in price in December
2016.
SHEZO's estimated final sales for the current accounting year (which ends on 31 December
2013) are Frw1,200,000. The company's costs behave in such a way that its contribution to
sales ratio for 2013 is expected to be 40% and its net margin 10%. A considerable proportion
of SHEZO's total fixed costs are marketing expenses. The proposed project will lead to
savings in this area. So, in 2014 fixed costs (at 31 December 2014 prices) will total
Frw316,800.
Sales estimates are shown
below.
Total sales if no Total sales with
investment (at 31 investment (at 31
December 2013 prices) December 2013 prices)
Frw Frw
Year to 31 December 2014 1,240,000 1,288,000
Year to 31 December 2015 1,265,000 1,325,000
Year to 31 December 2016 1,290,000 1,362,000
From 1 January 2014 inflation will have the following effects on SHEZO’s operations.
(i) Sales prices will increase by 5% per annum.
(ii) All costs (ie variable and fixed) will increase by 10% per annum.
The increase in sales will mean that SHEZO will carry an additional investment in working
capital as follows (all at 31 December 2013 prices).
2013 An initial Frw20,000
2014 Another Frw10,000
2015 Reduced to Frw15,000
2016 Reduced to Frw0
This investment will also be affected by inflation from 1 January 2014, at the same annual rate
as the variable and fixed costs, ie 10%.
The website would be designed and installed during the first four months of 2014. It will cost
Frw150,000 (at 2014 prices) payable at the end of 2014. The suppliers will be paid a
retaining/advisory fee of Frw10,000 in both 2015 and 2016. These are at 31 December 2014
prices and it is anticipated that, due to inflation, they will increase at the same rate as all other
costs. SHEZO has a nominal cost of capital of 10% and pays tax at an annual rate of 30% in
the year profits are earned. It can claim capital allowances on a 25% reducing balance basis.
Required
Advise the management of SHEZO whether it should proceed with the proposed investment.
Your recommendation should be supported by relevant workings and a calculation of NPV.
QN 4
NDIWANO Co, a software company, has developed a new game, 'Fingo', which it plans to
launch in the near future. Sales of the new game are expected to be very strong, following a
favourable review by a popular PC magazine. NDIWANO Co has been informed that the
review will give the game a 'Best Buy' recommendation. Sales volumes, production volumes
and selling prices for 'Fingo' over its four-year life are expected to be as follows
‘
Year 1 2 3 4
Sales and production (units) 150,000 70,000 60,000 60,000
Selling price (Frw per game) Frw25 Frw24 Frw23 Frw22
Financial information on 'Fingo' for the first year of production is as follows:
Advertising costs to stimulate demand are expected to be Frw650,000 in the first year of
production and Frw100,000 in the second year of production. No advertising costs are
expected in the third and fourth years of production. Fixed costs represent incremental cash
fixed production overheads. 'Fingo' will be produced on a new production machine costing
Frw800,000. Although this production machine is expected to have a useful life of up to ten
years, government legislation allows NDIWANO Co to claim the capital cost of the machine
against the manufacture of a single product. Capital allowances will therefore be claimed on a
straight-line basis over four years.
NDIWANO Co pays tax on profit at a rate of 30% per year and tax liabilities are settled in the
year in which they arise. NDIWANO Co uses an after-tax discount rate of 10% when
appraising new capital investments. Ignore inflation.
Required
(a) Calculate the net present value of the proposed investment and comment on your
findings.
(b) Calculate the internal rate of return of the proposed investment and comment on your
findings.
(c) Discuss the reasons why the net present value investment appraisal method is preferred
to other investment appraisal methods such as payback, return on capital employed and
internal rate of return.
QN 5
TEREZA Co plans to buy a new machine to meet expected demand for a new product,
Product T. This machine will cost Frw250,000 and last for four years, at the end of which time
it will be sold for Frw5,000. TEREZA Co expects demand for Product T to be as follows:
Year 1 2 3 4
Demand (units) 35,000 40,000 50,000 25,000
The selling price for Product T is expected to be Frw12.00 per unit and the variable cost of
production is expected to be Frw7.80 per unit. Incremental annual fixed production overheads
of Frw25,000 per year will be incurred. Selling price and costs are all in current price terms.
Selling price and costs are expected to increase as follows:
Increase
Selling price of Product T: 3% per year
Variable cost of production: 4% per year
Fixed production overheads: 6% per year
Other information
TEREZA Co has a real cost of capital of 5.7% and pays tax at an annual rate of 30% one year
in arrears. It can claim capital allowances on a 25% reducing balance basis. General inflation
is expected to be 5% per year.
TEREZA Co has a target return on capital employed of 20%. Depreciation is charged on a
straight-line basis over the life of an asset.
Required
(a) Calculate the net present value of buying the new machine and comment on your
findings (work to the nearest Frw1,000).
(b) Calculate the before-tax return on capital employed (accounting rate of return) based on
the average investment and comment on your findings.
Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of internal rate of return in appraising capital
investments.
QN 6
DATIVA Co needs to increase production capacity to meet increasing demand for an existing
product, ‘Quago’, which is used in food processing. A new machine, with a useful life of four
years and a maximum output of 600,000 kg of Quago per year, could be bought for
Frw800,000, payable immediately. The scrap value of the machine after four years would be
Frw30,000. Forecast demand and production of Quago over the next four years is as follows:
Year 1 2 3 4
Demand (kg) 1.4 million 1.5 million 1.6 million 1.7 million
Existing production capacity for Quago is limited to one million kilograms per year and the
new machine would only be used for demand additional to this.
The current selling price of Quago is Frw8·00 per kilogram and the variable cost of materials
is Frw5·00 per kilogram. Other variable costs of production are Frw1·90 per kilogram. Fixed
costs of production associated with the new machine would be Frw240,000 in the first year of
production, increasing by Frw20,000 per year in each subsequent year of operation.
DATIVA Co pays tax one year in arrears at an annual rate of 30% and can claim capital
allowances (tax-allowable depreciation) on a 25% reducing balance basis. A balancing
allowance is claimed in the final year of operation.
DATIVA Co uses its after-tax weighted average cost of capital when appraising investment
projects. It has a cost of equity of 11% and a before-tax cost of debt of 8·6%. The long-term
finance of the company, on a market-value basis, consists of 80% equity and 20% debt.
Required
(a) Calculate the net present value of buying the new machine and advise on the
acceptability of the proposed purchase (work to the nearest Frw1,000).
(b) Calculate the internal rate of return of buying the new machine and advise on the
acceptability of the proposed purchase (work to the nearest Frw1,000).
(c) Explain the difference between risk and uncertainty in the context of investment
appraisal, and describe how sensitivity analysis and probability analysis can be used to
incorporate risk into the investment appraisal process.
QN 7
SC Co is evaluating the purchase of a new machine to produce product P, which has a short
product life-cycle due to rapidly changing technology. The machine is expected to cost Frw1
million. Production and sales of product P are forecast to be as follows:
Year 1 2 3 4
Production and sales (units/year) 35,000 53,000 75,000 36,000
The selling price of product P (in current price terms) will be Frw20 per unit, while the
variable cost of the product (in current price terms) will be Frw12 per unit. Selling price
inflation is expected to be 4% per year and variable cost inflation is expected to be 5% per
year. No increase in existing fixed costs is expected since SC Co has spare capacity in both
space and labour terms.
Producing and selling product P will call for increased investment in working capital. Analysis
of historical levels of working capital within SC Co indicates that at the start of each year,
investment in working capital for product P will need to be 7% of sales revenue for that year.
SC Co pays tax of 30% per year in the year in which the taxable profit occurs. Liability to tax
is reduced by capital allowances on machinery (tax-allowable depreciation), which SC Co can
claim on a straight-line basis over the fouryear life of the proposed investment. The new
machine is expected to have no scrap value at the end of the fouryear period.
SC Co uses a nominal (money terms) after-tax cost of capital of 12% for investment appraisal
purposes.
Required
(a) Calculate the net present value of the proposed investment in product P.
(b) Calculate the internal rate of return of the proposed investment in product P.
(c) Advise on the acceptability of the proposed investment in product P and discuss the
limitations of the evaluations you have carried out.
Discuss how the net present value method of investment appraisal contributes towards the
objective of maximising the wealth of shareholders.
QN 8
RUHAPA Co is a manufacturing company that wishes to evaluate an investment in new
production machinery. The machinery would enable the company to satisfy increasing demand
for existing products and the investment is not expected to lead to any change in the existing
level of business risk of RUHAPA Co.
The machinery will cost Frw2.5 million, payable at the start of the first year of operation, and
is not expected to have any scrap value. Annual before-tax net cash flows of Frw680,000 per
year would be generated by the investment in each of the five years of its expected operating
life. These net cash inflows are before taking account of expected inflation of 3% per year.
Initial investment of Frw240,000 in working capital would also be required, followed by
incremental annual investment to maintain the purchasing power of working capital.
RUHAPA Co has in issue five million shares with a market value of Frw3.81 per share. The
equity beta of the company is 1·2. The yield on short-term government debt is 4.5% per year
and the equity risk premium is approximately 5% per year.
The debt finance of RUHAPA Co consists of bonds with a total book value of Frw2 million.
These bonds pay annual interest before tax of 7%. The par value and market value of each
bond is Frw100.
RUHAPA Co pays taxation one year in arrears at an annual rate of 25%. Capital allowances
(tax-allowable depreciation) on machinery are on a straight-line basis over the life of the asset.
Required
(a) Calculate the after-tax weighted average cost of capital of RUHAPA Co.
(b) Prepare a forecast of the annual after-tax cash flows of the investment in nominal terms,
and calculate and comment on its net present value.
Explain how the capital asset pricing model can be used to calculate a project-specific
discount rate and discuss the limitations of using the capital asset pricing model in investment
appraisal.
QN 9
PV Co is evaluating an investment proposal to manufacture Product W33, which has
performed well in test marketing trials conducted recently by the company’s research and
development division. The following information relating to this investment proposal has now
been prepared.
Initial investment Frw2 million
Selling price (current price terms) Frw20 per unit
Expected selling price inflation 3% per year
Variable operating costs (current priceFrw8 per unit
terms)
Fixed operating costs (current price terms) Frw170,000 per year
Expected operating cost inflation 4% per year
The research and development division has prepared the following demand forecast as a result
of its test marketing trials. The forecast reflects expected technological change and its effect
on the anticipated life-cycle of Product
W33.
Year 1 2 3 4
Demand (units) 60,000 70,000 120,000 45,000
It is expected that all units of Product W33 produced will be sold, in line with the company’s
policy of keeping no inventory of finished goods. No terminal value or machinery scrap value
is expected at the end of four years, when production of Product W33 is planned to end. For
investment appraisal purposes, PV Co uses a nominal (money) discount rate of 10% per year
and a target return on capital employed of 30% per year. Ignore taxation.
Required:
(a) Identify and explain the key stages in the capital investment decision-making process,
and the role of investment appraisal in this process.
(b) Calculate the following values for the investment proposal:
(i) net present value;
(ii) internal rate of return;
(iii) return on capital employed (accounting rate of return) based on average
investment; and
(iv) discounted payback period.
Discuss your findings in each section of (b) above and advise whether the investment proposal
is financially acceptable.
QN 10
AGD Co is a profitable company which is considering the purchase of a machine costing
Frw320,000. If purchased, AGD Co would incur annual maintenance costs of Frw25,000. The
machine would be used for three years and at the end of this period would be sold for
Frw50,000. Alternatively, the machine could be obtained under an operating lease for an
annual lease rental of Frw120,000 per year, payable in advance.
AGD Co can claim capital allowances on a 25% reducing balance basis. The company pays
tax on profits at an annual rate of 30% and all tax liabilities are paid one year in arrears. AGD
Co has an accounting year that ends on 31 December. If the machine is purchased, payment
will be made in January of the first year of operation. If leased, annual lease rentals will be
paid in January of each year of operation.
Required
(a) Using an after-tax borrowing rate of 7%, evaluate whether AGD Co should purchase or
lease the new machine.
(b) Explain and discuss the key differences between an operating lease and a finance lease.
(c) The after-tax borrowing rate of 7% was used in the evaluation because a bank had
offered to lend AGD Co Frw320,000 for a period of five years at a before-tax rate of
10% per year with interest payable every six months.
Required
Calculate the annual percentage rate (APR) implied by the bank's offer to lend at 10% per year
with interest payable every six months.
Calculate the amount to be repaid at the end of each six-month period if the offered loan is to
be repaid in equal instalments.
QN 11
Basril Co is reviewing investment proposals that have been submitted by divisional managers.
The investment funds of the company are limited to Frw800,000 in the current year. Details of
three possible investments, none of which can be delayed, are given below.
Project 1
An investment of Frw300,000 in work station assessments. Each assessment would be on an
individual employee basis and would lead to savings in labour costs from increased efficiency
and from reduced absenteeism due to work-related illness. Savings in labour costs from these
assessments in money terms are expected to be as follows:
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Cash flows (Frw'000) 85 90 95 100 95
Project 2
An investment of Frw450,000 in individual workstations for staff that is expected to reduce
administration costs by Frw140,800 per annum in money terms for the next five years.
Project 3
An investment of Frw400,000 in new ticket machines. Net cash savings of Frw120,000 per
annum are expected in current price terms and these are expected to increase by 3.6% per
annum due to inflation during the five-year life of the machines.
Basril Co has a money cost of capital of 12% and taxation should be ignored.
Required
(a) Determine the best way for Basril Co to invest the available funds and calculate the
resultant NPV:
(i) on the assumption that each of the three projects is divisible;
(ii) on the assumption that none of the projects are divisible.
(b) Explain how the NPV investment appraisal method is applied in situations where capital
is rationed.
(c) Discuss the reasons why capital rationing may arise.
(d) Discuss the meaning of the term 'relevant cash flows' in the context of investment
appraisal, giving examples to illustrate your discussion.
QN 12
Leaminger Co has decided it must replace its major turbine machine on 31 December 2012.
The machine is essential to the operations of the company. The company is, however,
considering whether to purchase the machine outright or to use lease financing.
Purchasing the machine outright
The machine is expected to cost Frw360,000 if it is purchased outright, payable on 31
December 2012. After four years the company expects new technology to make the machine
redundant and it will be sold on 31 December 2016 generating proceeds of Frw20,000. Capital
allowances for tax purposes are available on the cost of the machine at the rate of 25% per
annum reducing balance. A full year's allowance is given in the year of acquisition but no
writing down allowance is available in the year of disposal. The difference between the
proceeds and the tax written down value in the year of disposal is allowable or chargeable for
tax as appropriate.
Leasing
The company has approached its bank with a view to arranging a lease to finance the machine
acquisition. The bank has offered two options with respect to leasing which are as follows:
Finance lease Operating
lease
Contract length (years) 4 4
Annual rental Frw135,000 Frw140,000
First rent payable 31 December 2013 31 December
2012
General
For both the purchasing and the finance lease option, maintenance costs of Frw15,000 per year
are payable at the end of each year. All lease rentals (for both finance and operating options)
can be assumed to be allowable for tax purposes in full in the year of payment. Assume that
tax is payable one year after the end of the accounting year in which the transaction occurs.
For the operating lease only, contracts are renewable annually at the discretion of either party.
Leaminger Co has adequate taxable profits to relieve all its costs. The rate of tax on profits can
be assumed to be 30%. The company's accounting year-end is 31 December. The company's
annual after tax cost of capital is 10%.
Required
(a) Calculate the net present value at 31 December 2012, using the after tax cost of capital,
for
(i) purchasing the machine outright;
(ii) using the finance lease to acquire the machine; and (iii)
using the operating lease to acquire the machine.
Recommend the optimal method.
(b) Assume now that the company is facing capital rationing up until 30 December 2013
when it expects to make a share issue. During this time the most marginal investment
project, which is perfectly divisible, requires an outlay of Frw500,000 and would
generate a net present value of Frw100,000. Investment in the turbine would reduce
funds available for this project. Investments cannot be delayed. Calculate the revised net
present values of the three options for the turbine given capital rationing. Advise
whether your recommendation in (a) would change. As their business advisor, prepare
a report for the directors of Leaminger Co that assesses the issues that need to be
considered in acquiring the turbine with respect to capital rationing.
QN 13
Bread Products Co is considering the replacement policy for its industrial size ovens which are
used as part of a production line that bakes bread. Given its heavy usage each oven has to be
replaced frequently. The choice is between replacing every two years or every three years.
Only one type of oven is used, each of which costs Frw24,500. Maintenance costs and resale
values are as follows.
Year Maintenance per annum Resale value
Frw Frw
1 500
2 800 15,600
3 1,500 11,200
Original cost, maintenance costs and resale values are expressed in current prices. That is, for
example, maintenance for a two year old oven would cost Frw800 for maintenance undertaken
now. It is expected that maintenance costs will increase at 10% per annum and oven
replacement cost and resale values at 5% per annum. The money discount rate is 15%.
Required
(a) Calculate the preferred replacement policy for the ovens in a choice between a two year
or three year replacement cycle.
(b) Identify the limitations of net present value techniques when applied generally to
investment appraisal.
QN 14
(a) Explain how cash shortages can restrict the investment opportunities of a business.
(b) Distinguish between 'hard' and 'soft' capital rationing, explaining why a company may
deliberately choose to restrict its capital expenditure.
(c) Filtrex Co is a medium-sized, all equity-financed, unquoted company which specialises
in the development and production of water- and air-filtering devices to reduce the
emission of effluents. Its small but ingenious R & D team has recently made a
technological breakthrough which has revealed a number of attractive investment
opportunities. It has applied for patents to protect its rights in all these areas. However, it
lacks the financial resources required to exploit all of these projects, whose required
outlays and post-tax NPVs are listed in the table below. Filtrex's managers consider that
delaying any of these projects would seriously undermine their profitability, as
competitors bring forward their own new developments. All projects are thought to have
a similar degree of risk.
Project Required outlay NPV
Frw Frw
A 150,000 65,000
B 120,000 50,000
C 200,000 80,000
D 80,000 30,000
E 400,000 120,000
The NPVs have been calculated using as a discount rate the 18% post-tax rate of return
which Filtrex requires for risky R & D ventures. The maximum amount available for this
type of investment is Frw400,000, corresponding to Filtrex's present cash balances, built
up over several years' profitable trading. Projects A and C are mutually exclusive and no
project can be sub-divided. Any unused capital will either remain invested in short-term
deposits or used to purchase marketable securities, both of which offer a return well
below 18% post-tax.
Required
(i) Advise Filtrex Co, using suitable supporting calculations, which combination of
projects should be undertaken in the best interests of shareholders; and
(ii) Suggest what further information might be obtained to assist a fuller analysis.
(d) Explain how, apart from delaying projects, Filtrex Co could manage to exploit more of
these opportunities.
1. Definitions
Working capital, also known as "WC", is a financial metric which represents operating
liquidity available to a business. Along with fixed assets such as plant and equipment, working
capital is considered a part of operating capital. It is calculated as current assets minus current
liabilities. If current assets are less than current liabilities, an entity has a working capital
deficiency, also called a working capital deficit. Net working capital is working capital
minus cash (which is a current asset) and minus interest bearing liabilities (i.e. short term
debt). It is a derivation of working capital that is commonly used in valuation techniques such
as DCFs (Discounted cash flows).
A company can be endowed with assets and profitability but short of liquidity if its assets
cannot readily be converted into cash Positive working capital is required to ensure that a firm
is able to continue its operations and that it has sufficient funds to satisfy both maturing short-
term debt and upcoming operational expenses.
Decisions relating to working capital and short term financing are referred to as working
capital management. These involve managing the relationship between a firm's short-term
assets and its short-term liabilities.
a) Conservative approach
under this approach current assets are more than current liabilities. There is high
Asset liquidity than financing liquidity.
Asset liquidity= current assets /non- current assets or current assets/Total assets
Current assets
Current liability
Financing liquidity= current liability/ non-current liability or current liability/total liability
Company liquidity = current assets / current liability
This leads to low liquidity risk and low profitability. It indicates long-term finance is being
invested in current assets which has low yield.
b) Hedging /Matching Approach
Current assets are equal to current liability. This leads to moderate liquidity risk, moderated
assets liquidity, moderate financing risk and moderate profitability.
Non-current assets Non-current liability
Current assets Current liability
c)Aggressive Approach
Under this approach current assets are less than current liability leading to high financing
liquidity, low assets and company liquidity. Very high liquidity risk and high profitability.
There should be an attempt to strike a balance between profitability and liquidity risk in
working capital management.
Current liability
Current assets
3. Factors affecting working capital management
1. Nature of the firm
Service companies that have a short operating cycle and which sell predominantly for cash
basis have a modest working capital requirement. The cycle refers to the amount of time that
elapses from the time when the company makes an outlay to the point when the company
collects cash from sales.
2. Seasonality of operations
Companies with marked seasonality of operations usually have high fluctuating working
capital e.g a company selling ice creams or company selling umbrellas.
3. Market conditions
The degree of competition affects the working capital need of a company eg when competition
is high large stocks may e required to serve customers.
4. Condition of supply
If supply is prompt and adequate the company can manage with small balances of working
capital but if the supply is scanty and unpredictable the company may have to acquire
quantities of current assets to ensure continuity.
4. Importance of working capital management
The finance manager should understand the management of working capital because of the
following reasons:
a) Time devoted to working capital management
A large portion of a financial manager’s time is devoted to the day to day operations of the
firm and therefore, so much time is spent on working capital decisions.
b) Investment in current assets
Current assets represent more than half of the total assets of many business firms. These
investments tend to be relatively volatile and can easily be misappropriated by the firm’s
employees. The finance manager should therefore properly manage these assets.
c) Importance to small firms
A small firm may minimise its investments in fixed assets by renting or leasing plant and
equipment, but there is no way it can avoid investment in current assets. A small firm also has
relatively limited access to long term capital markets and therefore must rely heavily on short-
term funds.
d) Relationship between sales and current assets
The relationship between sales volume and the various current asset items is direct and close.
Changes in current assets directly affects the level of sales. The finance management must
therefore keep watch on changes in working capital items.
5. Operating/cash or working capital cycle
Operating or working capital cycle is defined as the period between the payment of cash to
creditors(i.e. cash out flow) and the receipt of cash from debtors (i.e. cash inflow)
Cash
The operating cycle is the length of time it takes to acquire inventory of raw materials,
convert them to finished product, sell them and collect cash from sales. Thus operating cycle
begins life as inventory. It is converted to accounts receivables when it is sold and it is finally
converted to cash when we collect cash from sales.
The cash cycle is the number of days that passes before we collect the cash from sales
measured from when we actually pay for the inventory. Cash cycle is therefore the difference
between operating cycle and accounts its payable
Differences
Operating cycle tells a complete story of time it takes to convert inventory procured to cash
through collection of sales, whereas cash cycle explains the time interval between when
inventory procured is paid for and is converted to cash through sales.Operating cycle tells the
financial implication of various policies of a firm in its working capital management. Cash
cycle on the other hand attempts to explain the time interval required by a firm to meet its
financial obligation.
OVER CAPITALISATION (UNDER TRADING)
Over capitalization occurs where a company commits excessive capital into the company’s
trading activities, so that there are excessive stock, debtors and cash, and very few creditors. If
a company manages its working inefficiently, i.e. if working capital is excessive and the
company becomes over –capitalized the return on capital employed would be lower than
what it should be and long term funds would be unnecessarily “tied up” when they could be
invested elsewhere to earn profits.Over-capitalization should not exist if there is good
management of working capital, but the “warning signal” of excessive working capital would
be poor accounting ratios.The ratio below are to judge whether the investment in working
capital is reasonable are:
A) Sales/working capital. The volume of sales as multiple of the working capital
investment should indicate whether in comparison with previous year or with similar
companies, the total volume of working capital is too high.
B) Liquidity ratios also called working capital ratios.
They indicate ability of the firm to meet its short term maturing financial obligation/current
liabilities as and when they fall due.
The ratios are concerned with current assets and current liabilities. They include:
a) Current ratio = Current Assets
Current liabilities
This ratio indicates the No. of times the current liabilities can be paid from current assets
before these assets are exhausted. The most recommended ratio is 2.0 i.e. the current asset
must at least be twice as high as current liabilities.
b) Quick/acid test ratios =Current Asset - Stock
Current liabilities
Is a more refined current ratio which exclude amount of stock of the firm. Stocks are excluded
for two basic reasons:
i) They are valued on historical cost basis
ii) They may not be converted into cash very quickly
The ratio therefore indicates the ability of the firm to pay its current liabilities from the more
liquid assets of the firm.
c) Cash ratio = Cash in hand/bank + short term marketable securities
Current liabilities
This is a refinement of the acid test ratio indicating the ability of the firm to meet its current
liabilities from its most liquid resources. Short term marketable securities refers to short term
investment of the firm which can be converted into cash within a very short period e.g
commercial paper and treasury bills.
a) Net working capital Ratio =Networking Capital x 100
Net Assets
Where Net Assets or Capital employed = Total Assets – Current liability. This ratio indicates
the proportions of total net assets which is liquid enough to meet the current liabilities of the
firm. It is expressed in % term.
C) TURNOVER PERIOD.
Excessive turnover periods for stock and debtor or a low period of credit taken from suppliers
would indicate whether the volume of stock or debtors is unnecessarily high, or the volume of
creditors too low.
THE TURNOVER PERIODS MAY BE CALCULATED AS FOLLOW
12 months 12 moths
𝒂𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝑹𝑴 𝒔𝒕𝒐𝒄𝒌 𝒄𝒍𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒔𝒕𝒐𝒄𝒌
1. Raw materials = 𝒂𝒏𝒏𝒖𝒂𝒍 𝒑𝒖𝒓𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒔 × 52 weeks OR 𝑨𝒏𝒏𝒖𝒂𝒍 𝒑𝒖𝒓𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒔 × 52 weeks
365 days 365 days
12 months 12 moths
𝒂𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝑹𝑴 𝒔𝒕𝒐𝒄𝒌 𝒄𝒍𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝑾𝑰𝑷
2. Work in progress = 𝒂𝒏𝒏𝒖𝒂𝒍 𝒑𝒖𝒓𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒔
× 52 weeks OR 𝒄𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒔𝒂𝒍𝒆𝒔 × 52 weeks
365 days 365 days
12 months 12 moths
𝒂𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝑭𝑮 𝒄𝒍𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝑭𝑮
3. Finished goods = 𝒄𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒔𝒂𝒍𝒆𝒔 𝒑.𝒂
× 52 weeks OR 𝑪𝑶𝑺𝑻 𝑶𝑭 𝑺𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑺 𝑷.𝑨 ×52 weeks
365 days 365 days
12 months 12 moths
𝒂𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝑹𝑴 𝒔𝒕𝒐𝒄𝒌 𝒄𝒍𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒅𝑹𝑺
4. Drs T/o periods = 𝒂𝒏𝒏𝒖𝒂𝒍 𝒑𝒖𝒓𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒔
× 52 weeks OR 𝑨𝑺𝑨𝑳𝑬𝑺 𝑷.𝑨 × 52 weeks
(Average collection 365 days 365 days
Period)
12 months 12 moths
𝒂𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒅𝒊𝒕𝒐𝒓𝒔 𝒄𝒍𝒐𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝑪𝑹𝑺
5. Raw materials = × 52 weeks OR × 52 weeks
𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒅𝒊𝒕 𝒑𝒖𝒓𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒔 𝑷𝑨 𝒑𝒖𝒓𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒔 𝑷𝑨
365 days 365 days
Example
The table below gives information extracted from the annual accounts of management for
the past three years. You are required to calculate the length of working capital cycle year
by assuming 365days in the year.
Solution
Year1 year2
year3
1. Raw material =RM stock * 365days 76.0 75.8 91.3
Purchase
2. Work in progress =WIP * 365days 36.5 36.5 31.0
Cost of sales
3. Finished goods =finished goods *365days 41.1 48.7 47.5
Cost of sales
Overtrading occurs when a company tries to do too much, to quickly with too little capital. So
that is it trying to support too large a volume of trade with the little capital resource at its
disposal.
An overtrading business can be operating at a profit; nevertheless it will eventually run into
serious trouble because it is short of fund and this liquidity trouble system from the fact that it
does not have enough capital to provide the cash to pay its debts as they fall due.
SYMPTOMS OF OVERTRADING
a) A rapid increase in sales turnover
b) A rapid increase in the volume of current assets and possible also of fixed assets. Stock
turnover periods might slow down, which means that the rate of increase in stocks and
debtors would be even greater than the rate of increase in sales turnover.
c) Increase in assets financed by a small increase in proprietors’ capital (eg. Retained profit)
while most increase are financed by:
i) trade creditors (repayment period to creditors become much slower)
ii) Encroachment on the limit approved for overdraft
d) Overhead cost might increase substantially, so that net benefit margins fall.
e) Gross profit ratio might fall, because of higher purchase cost
f) Some debt ratios and liquidity ratio will alter dramatically. Eg:
i) Ratio of working capital to sales will decline
ii) Ratio of debtors to trade creditors will decline
iii) Current and acid test ratios will fall
iv) Proportion of total assets financed by proprietor’s capital will decline and the
proportion financed by credit will rise-GEARING.
OVERTRADING –EFFECTS.
a) Growth stagnation –company finds it difficult to undertake profitable projects
b) Opportunities to invest in attractive –short term venture are lost.
c) Operating plans/budget becomes difficult to implement and thus the profit target
will not be achieved
d) The company may lose its reputation by its failure to fulfill short-term obligation.
e) Rate of return on investment slumps as fixed assets are not efficiently utilized for
the lack of working capital funds.
Example
XYZ Ltd. currently purchases all its raw materials on credit and sells its merchandise on
credit. The credit terms extended to the firm currently requires payment within thirty days of
a purchase while the firm currently requires its customers to pay within sixty days of a sale.
However, the firm on average takes 35 days to pay its accounts payable and the average
collection period is 70 days. On average, 85 days elapse between the point a raw material is
purchased and the point the finished goods are sold.
Required:
Determine the cash conversion cycle and the cash turnover.
Solution
The following chart can help further understand the question:
Inventory Conversion period (85 days)
Receivable collection
Payable deferral Period (70 days)
Period (35 days)
Management will use a combination of policies and techniques for the management of
working capital. These policies aim at managing the current assets (generally cash and cash
equivalents, inventories and debtors) and the short term financing, such that cash flows and
returns are acceptable. The management of working capital involves the cash management,
inventory management, debtor’s management and short term financing.
6.1. MANAGEMENT OF CASH
This is the most important Asset for the operations of the business. Cash itself earns no
interest unless invested. The objective of a firm is to minimize the amount of cash held to
conduct normal business. Cash management is concerned with managing of cash inflow and
outflow of the firm by having sufficient and pointing out Deficit or investing surplus cash
Motive for Holding Cash
a. Transaction motive.
b. Precautionary motive.
c. Financing needs.
d. Speculative motive.
e. Inflationary tendencies
Objective of cash management
1. To minimize liquidity risk, i.e. avoidance of technical insolvency.
2. To maximize return on cash as an asset i.e. minimizes cash flow costs.
Cash flow (cash holding cost)
1. Opportunity cost i.e. the investment return.
2. Loss of purchasing power due to inflation.
3. Possibility of theft, embezzlement
4. Cash insurance both in office and in transit.
5. Insurance against theft by employees
Minimization of cash holding costs
1. Invest
2. Bank deposits
3. Treasury bills/ short-term treasury bonds.
4. Invest in highly marketable merchandise or property
Cash surpluses
A cash surplus may arise over the short term, medium term, or long term.
Possible uses of surplus cash include:
Short term
Reduce overdraft
Invest in short-term Treasury
Stock
Invest in bank deposit account
Invest in ‘blue-chip’ shares
Long term:
Invest in new projects
Acquire other companies
Increase dividends
Buy back shares
Repay long term loans
SETTING THE OPTIMAL CASH BALANCE
Cash is often called a non-earning asset because holding cash rather than a revenue-generating
asset involves a cost in form of foregone interest. The firm should therefore hold the cash
balance that will enable it to meet its scheduled payments as they fall due and provide a
margin for safety. There are several methods used to determine the optimal cash balance.
These are:
b) Baumol’s Model
The Baumol’s model is an application of the EOQ inventory model to cash management. Its
assumptions are:
1. The firm uses cash at a steady predictable rate
2. The cash outflows from operations also occurs at a steady rate
3. The cash net outflows also occur at a steady rate.
Under these assumptions the following model can be stated:
C* 2bT
i
Where:
C* is the optimal amount of cash to be raised by selling marketable securities or by
borrowing.
b is the fixed cost of making a securities trade or of borrowing
T is the total annual cash requirements
i is the opportunity cost of holding cash (equals the interest rate on marketable securities or the
cost of borrowing)
The total cost of holding the cash balance is equal to holding or carrying cost plus transaction
costs and is given by the following formulae:
TC 1 Ci T b
2 C
Example
ABC Ltd. makes cash payments of Shs.10,000 per week. The interest rate on marketable
securities is 12% and every time the company sells marketable securities, it incurs a cost of
Shs.20.
Required
a) Determine the optimal amount of marketable securities to be converted into cash every
time the company makes the transfer.
b) Determine the total number of transfers from marketable securities to cash per year.
c) Determine the total cost of maintaining the cash balance per year.
d) Determine the firm’s average cash balance.
Solution
2bT
a) C*
i
Where: b = Shs.20
T = 52 x 20,000 = Shs.520,000
i = 12%
2x 20 x520,000
C* Sh.13,166
0.12
Therefore the optimal amount of marketable securities to be converted to cash every time a
sale is made is Sh.13,166.
T
b) Total no. of transfers=
C*
520 ,000
=
13,166
= 39.5
≈ 40 times
1 T
c) TC Ci b
2 C
13,166 x 0.12 520,000 x 20
=
2 13,166
= 790 + 790 = Shs.1,580
Therefore the total cost of maintaining the above cash balance is Sh.1,580.
d) The firm’s average cash balance = ½C
13,166
=
2
= Shs.6,583
c) Miller-Orr Model
Unlike the Baumol’s Model, Miller-Orr Model is a stochastic (probabilistic) model which
makes the more realistic assumption of uncertainty in cash flows.
Merton Miller and Daniel Orr assumed that the distribution of daily net cash flows is
approximately normal. Each day, the net cash flow could be the expected value of some
higher or lower value drawn from a normal distribution. Thus, the daily net cash follows a
trendless random walk.
From the graph below, the Miller-Orr Model sets higher and lower control units, H and L
respectively, and a target cash balance, Z. When the cash balance reaches H (such as point A)
then H-Z shillings are transferred from cash to marketable securities. Similarly, when the cash
balance hits L (at point B) then Z-L shillings are transferred from marketable securities cash
The Lower Limit is usually set by management. The target balance is given by the following
formula:
1/ 3
3B 2
Z L
4i
and the highest limit, H, is given by:
H = 3Z - 2L
4Z L
The average cash balance =
3
Where: Z = target cash balance
H = Upper Limit
L = Lower Limit
b = Fixed transaction costs
i = Opportunity cost on daily basis
δ² = variance of net daily cash flows
Example
XYZ’s management has set the minimum cash balance to be equal to FRW10,000. The
standard deviation of daily cash flow is FRW2,500 and the interest rate on marketable
securities is 9% p.a. The transaction cost for each sale or purchase of securities is FRW20.
Required
a) Calculate the target cash balance
b) Calculate the upper limit
c) Calculate the average cash balance
d) Calculate the spread
Solution
3b²
1/ 3
a) Z L
4i
3x 20 x (2,500 )²
= 10,000
4x
9%
360
= 7,211 + 10,000 = Sh.17,211
b) H = 3Z – 2L
= 3 x 17,211 – 2(10,000)
= Shs.31,633
4Z L
c) Average cash balance =
3
4x17,211 10,000
=
3
d) The spread = H–L
= 31,633 – 10,000
= Shs.21,633
Note: If the cash balance rises to 31,633, the firm should invest Shs.14,422 (31,633 – 17,211)
in marketable securities and if the balance falls to Shs.10,000, the firm should sell
Shs.7,211(17,211 – 10,000) of marketable securities.
Example
Wobnig Co is considering using the Miller-Orr model to manage its cash flows. The
minimum cash balance would be Frw200,000 and the spread is expected to be
Frw75,000.
Required: Calculate the Miller-Orr model upper limit and return point, and explain how
these would be used to manage the cash balances of Wobnig Co.
Solution
Calculation of upper limit
The upper limit is the sum of the lower limit and the spread. If we use the minimum
cash balance as the lower limit, the upper limit = 200,000 + 75,000 = Frw275,000
The return point is the sum of the lower limit and one-third of the spread. Return point =
200,000 + (75,000/3) = 200,000 + 25,000 =Frw225,000
The Miller-Orr model provides decision rules about when to invest surplus cash (if a cash
balance increases to a high level), and about when to sell short-term investments (if a cash
balance falls to a low level). By using these decision rules, the cash balance is kept
between the upper and lower limits set by the Miller-Orr model. When the cash balance
reaches the upper limit, Frw50,000 is invested in short-term securities. This is equal
to the upper limit minus the return point (Frw275,000 –Frw225,000). When the cash
balance falls to the lower limit, short-term securities worth Frw25,000 are sold for cash.
This is equal to the return point minus the lower limit (Frw225,000 – Frw200,000).
NB: in inventory management stock levels should be controlled so that the costs of holding
stocks and stock ordering costs are at minimum. This is done by establishing:
a) When to order
b) How much to order
Thus stock is maintained at minimum.
Under this model, the firm is assumed to place an order of Q quantity and use this quantity
until it reaches the reorder level (the level at which an order should be placed). The reorder
level is given by the following formulae:
D
R L
360
Where: R is the reorder level
D is the annual demand
L is the lead time in days
ECONOMIC ORDER QUANTITY ASSUMPTIONS
1. There are known stock holding costs
2. There is known fixed ordering costs.
3. The rates of demand are known
4. There are known constant price per unit
5. The replenishment is made immediately
6. Buffer stocks are ignored
Example
ABC Ltd requires 2,000 units of a component in its manufacturing process in the coming year
which costs FRW50 each. The items are available locally and the leadtime in one week. Each
order costs FRW50 to prepare and process while the holding cost is Frw .15 per unit per year
for storage plus 10% opportunity cost of capital.
Required
a) How many units should be ordered each time an order is placed to minimize inventory
costs?
b) What is the reorder level?
c) How many orders will be placed per year?
d) Determine the total relevant costs.
Suggested Solution:
2DCo
a) Q
Cn
Where: D = 2,000 units
Co = Sh.50
Cn = Sh.15 + 10% x 50 = Sh.20
L = 7 days
2x 2,000 x50
Q 100units
20
DL
b) R =
360
2,000 x 7
=
360
= 39 units
D
c) No. of orders =
Q
2,000
=
100
= 20 orders
D
d) TC = ½QCn + Co
Q
2,000
= ½(100)(20) + (50)
100
= 1,000 + 1,000
= Frw.2,000
Under the basic EOQ Model the inventory is allowed to fall to zero just before another order is
received.
ANSWER:
Re-order Level = Maximum consumption × Maximum Re-order period = 150×7=1050 units
Maximum Level= Re-order level+ Re-order quantity –(Minimum consumption ×Minimum
delivery period)= 1050 + 500 – (50 × 5) = 1300 units
Minimum Level = Re-order level – (Normal consumption ×Normal delivery period)
= 1050 – (100 × 6) = 450 units
Average Level
Maximum level + Minimum level
=
2
= 1300+450
2
= 875 units.
EXAMPLE
The following are the details of two basic raw materials L and S
Usage
Normal usage 100,000Kg per week of each
Maximum usage 150,000Kg per week of each
Minimum usage 50,00Kg per week of each
Re-order quantity:
Material L 600,000Kgs
Material S 1,000,000Kgs
Re-order Period:
Material L 4 to 6 weeks
Material S 2 to 4 weeks
Required:
Calculate for each type of material
i) Re-order level
ii) Minimum stock level
iii) Maximum stock Level
iv) Average stock Level
Just-in-time (JIT) procurement
Under this approach, minimum inventories are held of Finished Goods, Work-in-Progress, and
Raw Materials. The conditions necessary for the business to be able to operate with minimum
inventories include the following:
1.1 Finished Goods:
a short production period, so that goods can be produced to meet demand (‘demand-
pull’ production)
good forecasting of demand
good quality production, so that all production is actually available to meet demand
1.2 Work-in-Progress:
• a short production period. If the production is faster, then the level of WIP will
automatically be lower.
• the flexibility of the workforce to expand and contract production at short notice
1.3 Raw Materials:
The ability to receive raw materials from suppliers as they are needed for production
(instead of being able to take from inventory). This requires the selection of suppliers
who can deliver quickly and at short notice.
Guaranteed quality of raw material supplies (so that there are no faulty items holding
up production).
The flexibility of suppliers to deliver more or less at short notice.
Tight contracts with suppliers, with penalty clauses, because of the reliance placed on
suppliers for quality and delivery times.
A ‘just-in-time’ approach is a philosophy affecting the whole business. The benefits are not
just cost savings from lower inventory-holding costs and less risk of obsolete inventory, but
benefits in terms of better quality production (and therefore less wastage), greater efficiency,
and better customer satisfaction. Some manufacturing companies have sought to reduce their
inventories of raw materials and components to as low a level as possible. Just-in-time
procurement is a term which describes a policy of obtaining goods from suppliers at the
latest possible time (ie when they are needed) and so avoiding the need to carry any materials
or components inventory.
In order to keep current customers and attract new ones, most firms find it necessary to offer
credit. Accounts receivable represents the extension of credit on an open account by a firm to
its customers. Accounts receivable management begins with the decision on whether or not to
grant credit.
The total amount of receivables outstanding at any given time is determined by:
a) The volume of credit sales
b) The average length of time between sales and collections.
Accounts receivables=Credit sales per day x Length of collection period
The average collection period depends on:
a) Credit standards which is the maximum risk of acceptable credit accounts
b) Credit period which is the length of time for which credit is granted
c) Discount given for early payments
d) The firm’s collection policy.
Establishing optimum credit policy
A firm investment in debtors depends on:
a) Volume of credit sales,
b) collection period e.g. if a firm credit sales are Frw 300,000 per day and customers on
average take 30days to make payments, then the firm average investment in receivables is
(daily sales x average collection period) =300,000 x 30=9,000,000.
The financial manager can influence the volume of credit sales, collection period and
consequently credit policy.
Credit policy refers to the contribution of 3 decision variables.
a)Credit standards
These are the criteria to decide the types of customers to whom goods should be sold on credit.
When the standards strict the firm will have little uncollectable debts and low sales and vice
versa.
Determinants of credit standards
1. The financial statements, financial rations would be computed to give the firms
measure of liquidity leverage and profitability.
2. Length of time the customer has been in business.
3. Experience of key personnel
4. Rate of growth of the business performance.
5. Records of customers, adherence to credit terms as offered by other suppliers and
financial institutions.
Other subjective qualities 5Cs of credit
1. Character of customers: Honesty and integrity.
2. Capacity of customer: the ability to pay as evidenced by customers, past records, bank
statements, and credit agency records.
3. Capital: as measured by general position of the firm.
4. Collateral: i.e security pledged in case of default.
5. Conditions: i.e general economic conditions
b)Credit terms
The duration of credit is specified and also the discounts offered to customers who pay within
the specified time. The lower the credit period the lower the investment in debtors and vice
versa.
c)Collection efforts
This determines the actual collection period. It involves reminding the debtors in a:
Politely worded letter,
Strongly worded letter,
Sending a representative and then
Contemplating taking a legal action or writing him off as bad debts.
The firm will have to evaluate its credit policy in terms of both returns and costs of additional
sales. Additional sales should add to companies operating profit but at the same time there will
be additional expenses, administration costs and bad debts losses. The goal of the firm credit
policy is to maximize the value of the firm and investment in receivables should therefore be
carefully evaluated.
Steps
1. Estimate the incremental operating profit.
2. Estimate the additional investment in debtors.
3. Estimate the rate of return (incremental) on additional investment in debtors
4. Compare the rate of return on additional investment with required rate of return.
Example :A firm has current sales of frw 7,200,000. The firms has unutilized capacity
therefore with a view to boost sales, it is considering lengthening its credit policy from 30
days to 45days. The average collection period will also increase from 30 days to 45days. Bad
debts losses are estimated to remain constant at 3% of sales. The firm’s sales are expected to
increase by 360,000. The variable production, administration and selling costs are 70% of
sales. The firm’s corporate tax rate is 35% and its cost of capital is 12%.
Required:Should the firm change its credit policy?
Solution
Incremental sales 360,000
less variable costs (70% x 360,000) (252,000)
Less bad debts(3% x 360,000) (10,800)
97,200
Less tax (35% 97,200) 34,020
Incremental profit after tax 63,180
Solution
Net 30 days Net 60 days Net 90 days
Annual sales 14,400,000 15,600,000 16,400,000
Less variable cost 70% (10,080,000) (10,920,000) (11,480,000)
Contribution 4,320,000 4,680,000 4,920,000
Bad debts (3% 4% 6%) of sales (432,000) (624,000) (984,000)
3,888,000 4,056,000 3,936,000
Less opportunity cost 20% of average debtors 240,000 520,000 820,000
3,648,000 3,536,000 3,116,000
Recommendation: The preferred alternative is net 30days since it gives the highest gains.
NB: For the countries may offer credits to both local and foreign companies.
Risks arising from granting credit to foreign customers
Foreign debts raise the following special problems. When goods are sold abroad, the
customer might ask for credit. Exports take time to arrange, and there might be complex
paperwork. Transporting the goods can be slow, if they are sent by sea. These delays in
foreign trade mean that exporters often build up large investments in inventories and
accounts receivable. These working capital investments have to be financed somehow.
The risk of bad debts can be greater with foreign trade than with domestic trade. If a
foreign customer refuses to pay a debt, the exporter must pursue the debt in the debtor's
own country, where procedures will be subject to the laws of that country.
How risks can be managed and reduced
A company can reduce its investment in foreign accounts receivable by insisting on
earlier payment for goods. Another approach is for an exporter to arrange for a bank to
give cash for a foreign debt, sooner than the exporter would receive payment in the
normal course of events. There are several ways in which this might be done. Where the
exporter asks his bank to handle the collection of payment (of a bill of exchange or a
cheque) on his behalf, the bank may be prepared to make an advance to the exporter
against the collection.
Negotiation of bills or cheques is similar to an advance against collection, but would be
used where the bill or cheque is payable outside the exporter's country .
Discounting bills of exchange is where a bank buys the bill before it is due and credits the
value of the bill after a discount charge to the company's account.
Export factoring could be considered where the exporter pays for the specialist expertise
of the factor in order to reduce bad debts and the amount of investment in foreign accounts
receivable.
Documentary credits provide a method of payment in international trade, which gives the
exporter a secure risk-free method of obtaining payment. The buyer (a foreign buyer, or a
Rwandan importer) and the seller (a Rwandan exporter or a foreign supplier) first of all
agree a contract for the sale of the goods, which provides for payment through a
documentary credit. The buyer then requests a bank in his country to issue a letter of credit
in favour of the exporter. The issuing bank, by issuing its letter of credit, guarantees
payment to the beneficiary.
Countertrade is a means of financing trade in which goods are exchanged for other
goods.
Export credit insurance is insurance against the risk of non-payment by foreign
customers for export debts. If a credit customer defaults on payment, the task of pursuing
the case through the courts will be lengthy, and it might be a long time before payment is
eventually obtained.
Premiums for export credit insurance are however very high and the benefits are
sometimes not fully appreciated.
FACTORING OF DEBTORS
This is a method of converting the non-productive Asset of debtors to productive asset of Cash
This is done by selling book debt of a company that specializes on administration and
collection. Factoring can be defined as a business continuing a legal relationship between a
financial institution (factor) and a business concern (client) selling goods or providing
services to trade customer where the factor purchases the client book debts and there after
controls the credit extended to customers and administers the sales ledger.
Aspects of factoring
The main aspects of factoring include the following:
(a) Administration of the client's invoicing, sales accounting and debt collection service
(b) Credit protection for the client's debts, whereby the factor takes over the risk of loss from
bad debts and so 'insures' the client against such losses. This is known as a non-recourse
service. However, if a non-recourse service is provided the factor, not the firm, will decide
what action to take against non-payers.
(c) Making payments to the client in advance of collecting the debts. This is sometimes
referred to as 'factor finance' because the factor is providing cash to the client against
outstanding debts.)
If we were comparing a building society investment with one in shares we would normally require a
higher return from equities to compensate us for their extra risk. In a similar way if we were
appraising equity investments in a food retailing company against a similar investment in a
computer electronics firm we would usually demand higher returns from the electronics investment
to reflect its higher risk.
We can better the return earned by investors on the stock market by investing in a physical asset
offering the same level of risk, we can increase investor wealth and the investment should be adopted.
Unfortunately the required approach is not as simple as this. Investors seldom hold securities in
isolation. They usually attempt to reduce their risks by not” putting all their eggs into one basket” and
therefore hold portfolios of securities. Before we can deduce a risk –adjusted discount rate from stock
exchange returns we need to identify the risks taken by investors in their diversified investment
portfolios.
A portfolio is simply a combination of investments. If an investor puts half of his funds into an
engineering company and half into a retail shop then it is possible that any misfortunes in the
engineering company (e.g. a strike) may be to some extent offset by the performance of the retail
investment. It would be unlikely the both would suffer a strike in the same period.
This effect can be demonstrated more formally in the following graphs. Assume we have two
companies, A and B, whose fortunes are inversely correlated (i.e. when A does well B does badly and
vice versa).
Rate of
return
Investment A
Rate of Time
return
Investment B
Both investment A and investment B show fluctuating returns over time. Time
They both have
roughly the same amount of variability, when A does well B does badly, and vice versa.
If both investments are held, the resulting portfolio will generate a greater average (absolute)
return than with either one alone but a greatly reduced risk, because the 'ups' of A cancel with
the 'downs' of B and vice versa.
The same effect can be illustrated by a simple computational example.
Example 1
Mr Mario sells ice by cream from a stall on the seafront at Brighton during the tourist season.
His sales are affected by the British weather which is rather unpredictable. There are two
possible states of the weather: sun and rain. In Brighton, when it is sunny, it is sunny all, but
when it rains, it rains all day. Mr Mario has noticed that during the tourist season half the days
are sunny and half are rainy. When the sun is out he makes a daily contribution of £200, but
when it rains he only makes £20.
A few yards down the road Mr Hashimoto also operates a stall, from which he sells cheap
throw-away Japanese umbrellas which always seem to last one day before the spokes break.
These are very popular with tourists who are caught out by the rain. When it rains, Mr
Hashimoto makes a daily contribution of £200, but when the sun shines, he only makes £20.
State Sun Rain Average Risk
Probability 0.5 0.5
Contribution: ice creams 200 20 110 High
Contribution: umbrellas 20 200 110 High
Although both businesses are profitable, the traders are a bit unhappy about riding the roller-
coaster of risk. Also, they never talk to each other because when Mr Mario is happy, Mr
Hashimoto is miserable and vice versa.
As it happens, one bank holiday Monday, a well known management consultant, Mr Drizzle,
is spending the day on Brighton beach. He succeeds in persuading the two traders to swap
their secrets and pool their resources.
Now both Mr Mario and Mr Hashimoto hold half their stock as umbrellas and half as ice
creams. When it is sunny they both make (1/2 x 200) + (1/2 x 20) = £ 110, and when it rains
they both make (1/2 x 20) + (1/2 x 200) = £ 110.
State Sun Rain Average Risk
Probability 0.5 0.5
Contribution 110 110 110 Zero
Now both men are reasonably happy all the time. They each have as much money as before,
but it is earned risk-free. They even talk to each other.
7.3 Correlation
Correlation is a statistical measure of how strong the connection is between two variables. In
portfolio theory the two variables are the returns of two investments.
High positive correlation means that both investments tend to show increases (or decreases) in
return at the same time:
Return
Portfolio return
A
Time
High negative correlation means that as returns on A increase, returns on B decrease:
Return
Portfolio return
A
Time
The degree of risk reduction possible by combining the investments depends on correlation
between them.
State why it is that combining two investments with perfect negative correlation might not
completely eliminate risk.
7.4 The risk and return of portfolios
A formal analysis of the combination of two investments is now presented. Because portfolio
theory has its roots in the management of stock exchange investments, this is referred to as the
two-security portfolio. The theory starts by identifying measures of risk and return for an
investment. The analysis is usually presented in terms of rates of return over a single time
period.
For example, if all investment is predicted to rise from a value now of £8,000 to a value in one
year of £9.000, and a dividend of £ 1,000 will be paid in the period; it has a predicted rate of
return of
£9,000 8,000 £1,000
25%
£8,000
This is just as we have defined return to investors previously - dividend yield plus capital
growth. We also need a measure of the risk of a particular security. Remember that, if possible
returns are R1, R2 …, Rn, with associated probabilities P1, P2… Pn, then the standard deviation
is calculated as
R R Pi Where R is the average return, R P
2
i i i
Example 2 : Suppose we are trying to forecast the possible rates of return of two investments
over the next year. We make predictions as follows:
Economic climate Probability of economic Returns Returns from B
climate from A % %
Recession 0.2 10 6
Stable 0.5 14 15
Expansion 0.3 20 11
1.0
Firstly, calculate the expected return and standard deviation of each investment. This tells us
the risk and return of each security if held in isolation.
Economic Probability Return
climate P R %
P R RA RA RA RA 2
R 0.2 10 2 -5 25
S 0.5 14 7 -1 1
E 0.3 20 6 +5 25
R A 15% Variance of return A = 51
SD, A = 51
= 7.14
Economic Probability Return
climate P R %
P R RB RB RB RB 2
R 0.2 6 1.2 -6 36
S 0.5 15 7.5 +3 9
E 0.3 11 3.3 -1 1
RB 12% Variance of return B = 46
SD, B= 46
= 6.78
Summary
Investment A B
Expected return 15% 12%
Risk, 7.14 6.78
Consider now constructing a portfolio consisting of one-half of the total amount invested in
investment A and one-half in investment B. Under each economic climate the return of the
portfolio would be the average of A and B. Compute the expected value and standard
deviation of this portfolio:
Portfolio ½ B
Economic Probability Return
climate P R % P R RB RB RB RB 2
R 0.2 10 6 8 1.60 5.5 30.25
2
S 0.5 14 15 14.5 7.25 1 1
2
E 0.3 20 11 15.5 4.65 2 4
2
R 13.5% Variance of return B = 35.25
SD, = 35.25
= 5.93
The portfolio has an expected return which is equal to the weighted average on investment
returns, but its risk as measured by standard deviation, is lower than of the two original
investments.
7.5 Indifference curves
Consider the three possible portfolios constructed so far.
100% A 100% B 50% A and 50% B
Return 15% 12% 13.5%
Risk 7.14 6.78 5.93
Which of these portfolios is preferable? It all depends on the investor’s attitude to risk against
return, which may be depicted diagrammatically as ‘indifference curves’. The following
diagram shows three possible investments (R, S and T), their positions on the graph being
determined by their return /risk combination. The investor who is trying to decide between
them has indifference curves as shown.
Indifference curves
Increasing
Return
benefit
R
T X
Risk
The indifference curves represent alternative combinations of risk and return between which
the investor is indifferent. Obviously each investor will have different indifference curves, but
they will tend to be of the slope indicated above. This is because most investors are averse to
risk, and will demand a higher return to compensate. Thus, the indifference curves represent
the trade-off between risk and return for an individual investor.
In this example, the investor would prefer R to S as it is on a higher indifference curve: The
lower level of risk for S does not adequately compensate for the lower level of return.
Return
R
S
X T
Risk
Portfolio
return
25
XAll BP
20 X0.8 BP
15
X0.5 BP
6 8 10 Portfolio risk
2 4
When combining a risk-free security with a risky security, there is a straight line trade-off
between return and risk.
7.9. Portfolio theory and project appraisal
We are now in a position to apply the principles of portfolio theory to project appraisal by a
firm. We cannot yet develop a risk-adjusted discount rate but in considering risk the following
fundamental point should be clear.
The relevant risk of a security (or any investment) is not its own risk but its effect on the risk
of the portfolio to which it is added.
7.9.1 Mixing many risky securities
Portfolio theory its roots in the management of investor’s portfolio of stock exchange
investments and fixed interest stocks. The following sections show how the attempt to identify
an optimal portfolio for investors has led to a comprehensive but simple theory or how the
capital market relates risk and return. This, in turn, will assist us in our attempt to adjust
discount rates to allow for risk.
The previous section considered portfolio of two securities. It is easy to extend this theory to
cover portfolios of many securities, noting that where returns are assessed in percentage terms:
The expected return of a portfolio is equal to the weighted average of the returns of the
individual securities in the portfolio.
The risk of the portfolio depends on:
(a) the risk of each security in isolation
(b) the proportions in which the securities are mixed
(c) the correlations between every pair of securities in the portfolio.
When two securities were mixed, the possible portfolios lie on a curve linking the two
securities (see below).
Return
B
When three securities are mixed, the possible portfolios lie across an area on the graph like
this: Return
C
A
Risk
When many securities are mixed, the opportunity set is better-quality:
Return
Risk
The shaded area shows the return and risk of all the possible portfolios constructed from the
securities by mixing them in all possible proportions, In the 1950s, H M Markowitz developed
this theory and showed how ‘efficient portfolios’ can be identified.
B
C A
Risk
If we started with portfolio A, in the middle of the opportunity set, then a better portfolio
could be identified by moving upwards (higher return, same risk) or to the left (lower risk,
same return).
Thinking in this way leads us to the conclusion that the efficient portfolios must lie along the
top left hand edge of the opportunity set. This is called the efficient frontier.
Return
Efficient frontier
Risk
All other portfolios can now be ignored. Only the efficient ones need be considered.
Logical investors would eliminate all others.
Notice the shape of this efficient frontier. As we attempt to increase return, risk begins to grow
at an increasing rate.
An optimal portfolio could be identified for any investor by superimposing indifference curves
on the efficient frontier.
Return
Efficient frontier
Risk
However, this so-called optimal portfolio has ignored the existence of fixed interest risk-free
securities. These now need to be introduced. At this stage, it is convenient to build a simplified
model of investor behaviour.
7.9.3 The market portfolio
A few assumptions are now made, in order to build a simple model:
Investors base their portfolio investment decisions on expected returns, standard
deviation and correlations between all pairs of investments.
All investors have the same expectations about future outcomes over one-period time
horizon.
Investors may lend and borrow without limit at the (same) risk-free rate of interest.
There are no market imperfection investments are infinitely divisible, information is
costless, there are no taxes, transaction cots or interests rate charges, and no inflation.
Some of these assumptions are obviously unrealistic, but they greatly simplify the model-
building process. Furthermore, even if the assumptions are relaxed, the theory will still hold
approximately.
Return
Efficient portfolios
A
Rf
Risk
If all the investor’s funds were put into the risk-free investment, he would earn the free rate of
interest and have no risk. If all his funds were put into portfolio A, he would have the return
and risk of portfolio A., if he split his investment between Rf and A, the return and risk he
would get would lie anywhere up a line joining Rf and A, depending on the proportions in
which the funds were split.
Return
Efficient portfolios
A
RF
Risk
The section of the efficient frontier below a now becomes redundant those portfolios are not
so attractive as a combination of A with risk-free investments (the latter have a lower risk
for the same return).
Portfolio A was chosen at random. If we chose one higher up the efficient frontier, the effect
would be better:
Return
A
RF
Risk
Return
N
RF
Risk
The surprising conclusion is that:
‘Out of all the possible portfolios that could be constructed from risky investments, only one
portfolio is worth considering-portfolio M.’
A combination of Rf and M produces portfolios which are better than any others in terms of
the return which is offered for any given level of risk.
However, given the existence of risk-free investment, investors would choose from those on
the revised efficient frontier represented by line Rf M.
Portfolios on the line RfM are achieved by mixing portfolio M with risk-free investments.
Portfolios on the line M N are achieved by borrowing at the risk-free rate (remember we
have assumed that the risk-free rate applies to borrowing as well as lending) and investing our
own funds plus borrowed fund in portfolio M.
What is portfolio M?
Because we have assumed that all investors have the same expectations about the future
outcomes of investments, it follows that:
All investors will come to the conclusion that portfolio M is the best portfolio consisting
solely of risky investments to hold.
Now, if any quoted share was not in portfolio M, then nobody would wish to hold it. It would
therefore have no value. We must therefore conclude that:
However, all investors do not have the same attitude to risk. By using the market portfolio,
and by either lending or borrowing suitably at the risk-free rate, the investor can choose any
level of risk he likes and can predict the return which the market will give him. This return
will be the best that he could possibly get for the risk taken.
By adding the investor indifference curves, we have:
Return
Risk
The trade-off between return and risk which is offered by this sensible use of the capital
market is called the capital market line. This is effectively, as previously mentioned, our new
efficient frontier.
7.9.4 Nature of the capital market line
We have already seen that combinations of risk-free and risky investments give a straight line
trade-off between risk and return.
To draw the capital market line we therefore need only two observations:
Rf- the risk-free rate of interest, which can be approximated by the return on
government stock;
RM and M the risk and return of the market portfolio should contain all risky
investments. This can be estimated by using the risk and return on a stock market index
such as the Financial Times All share Index.
Example 6
An investor has £100 to invest. The following information is available:
RM = 15% (Return on portfolio M)
M = 10% (Risk of portfolio M)
Rf = 6% (Risk-free rate of return).
You are required to plot the capital market line and show that a lending portfolio (of £50
invested at the risk-free rate and £50 invested in portfolio M) and a borrowing portfolio (£50
borrowed at risk-free rate and £150 invested in portfolio M) lie on this line.
APT assumes that, in equilibrium, the return on an arbitrage portfolio (i.e. one with zero investment,
and zero systematic risk) is zero. If this return is positive, then it would be eliminated immediately
through the process of arbitrage trading to improve the expected returns. Ross (1976) demonstrated
that when no further arbitrage opportunities exist, the expected return (E(Ri)) can be shown as follows:
Where,
E(Ri) is the expected return on the security
Rf is the risk free rate
Βi is the sensitivity to changes in factor i
έi is a random error term.
The APT makes no assumptions about the empirical distribution of asset returns. CAPM
assumes normal distribution.
The APT makes no strong assumption about individuals‘ utility functions (at least nothing
stronger than greed and risk aversion).
The APT allows the equilibrium returns of asset to be dependent on many factors, not just one
(the beta).
The APT yields a statement about the relative pricing of any subset of assets; hence one need
not measure the entire universe of assets in order to test the theory.
There is no special role for the market portfolio in the APT, whereas the CAPM requires that
the market portfolio be efficient.
The APT is easily extended to a multi-period framework.
Since APT makes fewer assumptions than CAPM, it may be applicable to a country like Kenya.
However, the model does not state the relevant factors. Cho(1984) has, however, shown the security
returns are sensitive to the following factors: Unanticipated inflation, Changes in the expected level of
industrial production, Changes in the risk premium on bonds, and Unanticipated changes in the term
structure of interest rates
Illustration
Security returns depend on only three riskfactors-inflation, industrial production and the aggregate
degree of risk aversion. The risk free rate is 8%, the required rate of return on a portfolio with unit
sensitivity to inflation and zero-sensitivity to other factors is 13.0%, the required rate of return on a
portfolio with unit sensitivity to industrial production and zero sensitivity to inflation and other factors
is 10% and the required return on a portfolio with unit sensitivity to the degree of risk aversion and
zero sensitivity to other factors is 6%. Security i has betas of 0.9 with the inflation portfolio, 1.2 with
the industrial production and-0.7 with risk bearing portfolio—(risk aversion)
Assume also that required rate of return on the market is 15% and stock i has CAPM beta of 1.1
REQUIRED:
PRACTICE QUESTIONS
QUESTION ONE
Securities D, E and F have the following characteristics with respect to expected return, standard
deviation and correlation coefficients.
REQUIRED:
On the basis of these expectations, which securities are overvalued? Which are undervalued?
If the risk-free rate were to rise to 12% and the expected return on the market portfolio rose to
16%, which securities would be overvalued? which would be under-valued? (Assume the
expected returns and the betas remain the same).
QUESTION THREE
XYZ ltd. is considering three possible capital projects for next year. Each project has a 1 year life, and
project returns depend on next years state of the economy. The estimated rates of return are shown
below.
REQUIRED:
Find each project expected rate of return, variance, standard deviation and coefficient of
variation.
Compute the correlation coefficient between
A and B
A and C
B and C
Compute the expected return on a portfolio if the firm invests equal wealth on each
asset.
Compute the standard deviation of the portfolio.
TOPIC 9 : BUSINESS VALUATION
A business may be valued for different reasons such as for merger, takeover, acquisition, or outright
sale or liquidation. In purchasing a business, a buyer will be interested in not only the assets but
also the future income this business is expected to generate.
9.1. BASES OF VALUATION
1. Theoretical value – In theory, if a purchaser buys a business, he is simply buying a stream
of future income flows and to arrive at the actual purchase price the buyer will:
a) Consider the estimated probable cash flows.
b) Discount cash flows to their present value.
c) Add together the separate amounts to give the present value of income stream.
Where future income flows are constant:
1 (1 r ) n
PV C
r
Where: PV = Present value of income stream
c = Inflow per annum
r = Discounting rate
n = Number of years the inflows will last
Example
As a result of the purchase of an asset, the income stream will increase by Frw1,000 per annum for
25 years. Assuming a discount rate of 20%, compute the maximum price to be paid for this asset
ignoring taxation.
Solution
Maximum price = Present value of all future cash inflows
Maximum price=Frw10,000 x PVAF20%,25
1 (1.2) 25
= Frw10,000 x =10,000 x 4.9476=Frw49,476
0.20
In practice the income streams are never uniform and have to be estimated from existing income
shown in the recent accounts.
2. Earning method – The business is valued according to the total stream of income it is
expected to generate over its lifetime.
Determination of maintainable earnings
a) The first step in arriving at earning based valuation is to estimate the future maintainable
earnings and if the conditions in the future are expected to be similar to those in the past, it
is then prudent to face the forecast on the historical figures. However, conditions do change
and as such changes in cost and revenue. Therefore, a detailed examination of profits of the
most recent profit and loss account will be necessary to estimate the effects of the changes.
While the information given will depend upon the nature of the business the general
principles to bear in mind must include the trend of sales and gross profit.
b) Analysis of sales and gross profit percentage by:
i) Product lines
ii) Departments
iii) Geographical areas
iv) Customer type.
c) Costs as a percentage of total sales.
d) Unusual fluctuations in the ratios.
e) Necessity of expenditure in the business e.g. excessive remuneration on expenses charged.
f) Inclusion of all costs.
g) Effects of external conditions such as inflation or recession.
However, there are several ways of arriving at the value based on the earnings valuation.
i) Earnings yield valuation
ii) Price earnings ratio valuation
iii) Super profits valuation
i) Earnings Yield Valuation
EY is given by the earnings made by the business expressed as a percentage of the market price of
the business i.e.
EY = Earnings x 100
Market price of equity
EY =EPS x 100 =Earnings to Shareholders
MPS Market value of equity
Therefore Market Value=Earning to shareholders
Earnings yield
Example
Estimated maintainable earnings are Frw240,000 per annum, rate of return required is 25%.
Compute the value of the business.
alue MV) = Earnings x 100
Earning Yield
= 240,000 x 100
0.25
M.V. = Frw960,000
This method can be converted into the theoretical base, especially if the business is going concern.
C 1
PV 1
i 1 0.25
N
Note
As N approaches ∞
Pv = C
r
= 240,000 = Frw960,000
0.25
ii) Price Earning Ratio Valuation
P/E ratio is traditionally used for valuation of shares but it is an important ratio in the valuation of
business. The P/E ratio is the measure of how may years earning would ‘purchase’ the market
value of the business and is given by:
P/E ratio = MV
E
MV = P/E x E
NB: The value of the business can be calculated by taking estimated earnings x P/E ratio.
9.2. VALUATION OF SECURITIES:
The previous methods were ideal for valuing the entire business but it is also necessary to ascertain
the value of part of a business namely shares, or securities or a block of shares in a limited liability
company. The valuation of securities and shares in particular is necessary in the following aspects:
i) To facilitate take-over bids
ii) To allow for mergers.
170 | CPA LEVEL II – MANAGERIAL FINANCE -REVISION NOTES 2021
iii) To facilitate for company accounts disclosure
iv) For purposes of acquisitions or disposal of blocks of shares.
v) For purposes of computing capital gains tax (not applicable in Kenya at present)
vi) For tax payer’s executors in assessing the capital transfers processes
vii) For ascertaining stamp duty payable.
However, a number of parties are interested in the value of shares and securities and such will
include:
a) Company shareholders, directors and vendors of the company.
b) The existing and prospective shareholders.
c) Buyers of a company.
d) Transferee and transferor parties, in particular from the point of view of income tax.
e) Income tax department.
The main difficulties in valuation of shares are:
i) Existence and method of valuation of goodwill.
ii) Succession of company’s management
iii) Growth in dividend
iv) Growth in equity.
BASES OF SHARE VALUATION
Share valuation can be done on the basis of income and asset values. However, on the basis of
income a share will be entitled to two forms of income. For this reason the bases of valuing shares
are:
i) Earnings method
ii) Dividend method
iii) Assets method
I) Earnings Method (Or Earning Basis Valuation)
Using the earning valuation method, a company will use its P/E ratio to value its shares.
P/E = MV
E
MV = E x P/E -> value of ordinary share.
The MV can be determined where the estimated earnings have been established by applying the P/E
ratio expected of this type of company.
Example
Company XYZ is expected to generate post tax earnings of FRW200,000 per annum . On account
of company XYZ limited size, a P/E ratio of six (6) is considered more appropriate. The issued
share capital is 1,000,000ordinary shares of FRW50 each.
Required
Value of shares= EPS x P/E
= Earnings per share x P/
= 200,000 x 6 = FRW12.00
1,000,000
Value of Business = Earnings x P/E ratio
MV = E x P/E = FRW200,000 x 6 = FRW1.2 million
ii) Dividend Basis Valuation
Ownership of shares in entities – The owner to receive a cash flow consisting of future dividends
and the value of a share should correspond to the present value of this future cash flow. A
shareholder cannot expect cash flows in perpetuity as he will sell his shares at one time.
171 | CPA LEVEL II – MANAGERIAL FINANCE -REVISION NOTES 2021
Po = Do
Ke
d0 (1 g)
Note: Where there is growth in equity, P0 =
Ke g
Example: Company XYZ pays a dividend of 10% on its FRW60 par value ordinary shares. This
company uses a discount rate of 15%. Assuming no growth, compute the value of its ordinary
share if there’s growth of 5%, what would be the value of this company’s ordinary shares.
(1 kd)
Int M
t
t 1
(1 kd)n
Where: Int = Annual interest
173 | CPA LEVEL II – MANAGERIAL FINANCE -REVISION NOTES 2021
Kd = Required rate of return
M = Terminal/maturity value
n = Number of years to maturity
Example
THP Co is planning to buy CRX Co, a company in the same business sector, and is considering
paying cash for the shares of the company. The cash would be raised by THP Co through a 1 for 3
rights issue at a 20% discount to its current share price.
The purchase price of the 1 million issued shares of CRX Co would be equal to the rights issue
funds raised, less issue costs of Frw320,000. Earnings per share of CRX Co at the time of
acquisition would be 44·8c per share. As a result of acquiring CRX Co, THP Co expects to gain
annual after-tax savings of Frw96,000.
THP Co maintains a payout ratio of 50% and earnings per share are currently 64c per share.
Dividend growth of 5% per year is expected for the foreseeable future and the company has a cost
of equity of 12% per year.
Information from THP Co’s statement of financial position:
Equity and liabilities Frw000
Shares (Frw1 par value) 3,000
Reserves
Non-current liabilities
8% loan notes 5,000
Current liabilities 2,200
Total equity and liabilities 14,500
Required
(a) Calculate the current ex dividend share price of THP Co and the current market
capitalisation of THP Co using the dividend growth model. (4 marks)
(b) Assuming the rights issue takes place and ignoring the proposed use of the funds raised,
calculate:
(i) the rights issue price per share;
(ii) the cash raised;
(iii) the theoretical ex rights price per share; and
(iv) the market capitalization of THP Co.
(c) Using the price/earnings ratio method, calculate the share price and market capitalisation of
CRX Co before the acquisition.
(d) Assuming a semi-strong form efficient capital market, calculate and comment on the post-
acquisition market capitalisation of THP Co in the following circumstances:
(i) THP Co does not announce the expected annual after-tax savings; and
(ii) the expected after-tax savings are made public.
The market capitalisation of THP Co after the rights issue is Frw17.92m, and the share
price is Frw17.92/4 = Frw4.48
(c) P/E ratio of THP Co = Share price/earnings per share
= 480/64
= 7.5
Earnings per share of CRX Co = 44.8c
Using the P/E ratio of THP Co:
Share price of CRX Co = 0.448 u 7.5 = Frw3.36
Market capitalisation = Frw3.36 u 1m shares = Frw3.36m
(d) (i) No announcement
In a semi-strong efficient capital market, current share process reflect all relevant
information about past price movements and all knowledge which is available
publicly. If the announcement is not made, the information in the expected savings will
not be reflected in the share price of THP Co.
Example 1:
MC provides a range of services to the medical and healthcare industry. These services include
providing locum (temporary) cover for healthcare professionals (mainly doctors and nurses),
emergency call-out and consultancy/advisory services to government-funded health organisations.
The company also operates a research division that has been successful in recent years in attracting
funding from various sources. Some of the employees in this division are considered to be leading
experts in their field and are very highly paid.
A consortium of doctors and redundant health-service managers started the company some years
ago. It is still owned by the same people, but has since grown into an organisation employing over
100 full-time staff throughout the UK. In addition, the company uses specialist staff employed in
state-run organisations on a part-time contract basis. The owners of the company are now interested
in either obtaining a stock market quotation, or selling the company if the price accurately reflects
what they believe to be the true worth of the business.
Summary financial statistics for MC and a competitor company, which is listed on the UK Stock
Exchange, are shown below. The competitor company is broadly similar to MC but uses a higher
proportion of part-time to fulltime staff and has no research capability.
MC Competitor
Last year end: Last year
end:
31.3.20X0 31.3.20X0
Shares in issue (m) 10 20
Earnings per share (pence) 75 60
Dividend per share (pence) 55 50
Net asset value (Frwm) 60 75
Debt ratio (outstanding debt as % of total financing) 10 20
177 | CPA LEVEL II – MANAGERIAL FINANCE -REVISION NOTES 2021
Share price (pence) N/A 980
Expected rate of growth in earnings and dividends (% per 8 7
annum)
Notes
1 The treasurer of the company has provided the forecast growth rate for MC. The forecast for
the competitor is based on published information.
2 The net assets of MC are the net book values of land, buildings, equipment and vehicles plus
net working capital.
3 Sixty per cent of the shares in the competitor company are owned by the directors and their
relatives or associates.
4 MC uses a 'rule-of-thumb' discount rate of 15% to evaluate its investments. The cost of equity
of the competitor has been calculated to be 13%.
5 Assume that growth rates in earnings and dividends are constant per annum.
Required
Assume that you are an independent consultant retained by MC to advise on the valuation of the
company and on the relative advantages of a public flotation versus outright sale.
Prepare a report for the directors that:
(a) Produces a range of share prices at which shares in MC might be issued. Use whatever
information is available. Explain the methods of valuation that you have used and discuss their
suitability for providing appropriate valuation of the company.
(b) Discusses the relative advantages of flotation and direct sale of shares.
(c) Recommends a course of action that the company should take.
Solution :
To: Board of Directors, MC
From: Independent Consultant
Date: 31 December 20X0
Re: Valuation of MC
Introduction
This report deals with the alternative methods available for the valuation of the shares in the
company. It also seeks to highlight some of the key issues to be addressed in arriving at an
appropriate valuation for this type of company, and looks at the relative merits of public flotation
versus an outright sale of the business.
(a) Company valuation
There are three main valuation techniques that could be appropriate in this
situation:
1) Net assets basis
2) Price/earnings ratio
3) Dividend valuation model
These will be discussed in more detail below.
P0 =
P0 = Frw118.8m
The dividend valuation model values the company at Frw118.8m, or Frw11.88 per
share. This assumes a growth rate of 8%. However, in reality, the potential growth rate
may be higher since the company is currently evaluating investments at a discount rate
that is above the estimated cost of capital. This means that it may be turning down
investments that would in fact add value to the company and hence result in higher
dividends and a higher growth rate.
(b) The relative advantages of flotation and direct sale
The following points should be considered when deciding which option is to be preferred.
(i) Aims of existing owners
The aims of the existing owners are important in determining the best course of action.
If a significant number of the existing consortium wish to maintain control over the
business in the future, then they are more likely to be able to achieve this if the company
is floated rather than sold.
(ii) Market for shares
Flotation will create a wider market for the company's shares. This has the twin
benefits that it will be easier for the company to raise additional capital to finance
expansion, and that the existing shareholders will be able to realise all or part of their
holding. However, if MC is to achieve a good price, the existing owners should aim to
retain the major part of their holding for a reasonable period following the flotation.
(iii) Share option schemes
BST Motors Co (BST) is a long-established listed company. Its main business is the retailing of
new and used motor cars and the provision of after-sales service. It has sales outlets in most of the
major towns and cities in the country. It also owns a substantial amount of land and property that it
has acquired over the years, much of which it rents or leases on medium-long term agreements.
Approximately 80% of its net current asset value is land and buildings.
The company has grown organically for the last few years but is now considering expanding by
acquisition.
SM owns a number of car showrooms in wealthy, semi-rural locations. All of these showrooms
operate the franchise of a well-known major motor manufacturer. SM is a long-established private
company with the majority of shares owned by the founding family, many of whom still work for
the company. The major shareholders are now considering selling the business if a suitable price
can be agreed. The Managing Director of SM, who is a major shareholder, has approached BST to
see if they would be interested in buying SM. He has implied that holders of up to 50% of SM's
shares might be willing to accept BST shares as part of the deal.
181 | CPA LEVEL II – MANAGERIAL FINANCE -REVISION NOTES 2021
The forecast earnings of BST for the next financial year are Frw35 million. According to the
Managing Director of SM, his company's earnings are expected to be Frw4 million for the next
financial year.
Financial statistics and other information on BST and SM are shown below:
BST SM
Shares in issue (millions) 25 1.5
Earnings per share (cents) 112.5 153
Dividend per share (cents) 50.6 100
Share price (cents) 1237 N/A
Net asset value attributable to equity (Frwm) 350 45
Debt ratio (outstanding debt as percentage of total market value of 20 0
company)
Forecast growth rate percentage (constant, annualised) 4 5
Cost of equity 9% N/A
SM does not calculate a cost of equity, but the industry average for similar companies is
10% Required
Assume you are a financial manager working with BST. Advise the BST Board on the following
issues in connection with a possible bid for SM:
(a) Methods of valuation that might be appropriate and a range of valuations
for SM within which BST should be prepared to negotiate.
(b) The financial factors relating to both companies that might affect the bid.
(c) Explain the practical considerations in the valuation of shares and
businesses.
Solution 2
(a)Methods of valuation and range of values for SM
Net assets
The book value of SM's net assets attributable to equity shareholders is Frw45 million.
This figure may need to be adjusted for increased or decreased market values of assets,
particularly SM's property holding. However in any case, for a going concern, the book value
of assets is a poor indicator of their economic value, which depends on their income-
generating capacity, rather than their historical cost or realisable value. Here also SM has a
franchise generating earnings that will not be reflected in the balance sheet.
Price/earnings model
SM's existing earnings per share is Frw1.53, and number of shares is 1.5 million, giving total
equity earnings of Frw2.295 million. Taking the 5% growth figure given, next year's earnings
would be Frw2.410 million. However, the managing director is estimating Frw4 million for
next year. This figure cannot be accepted at face value and would need to be substantiated.
In the absence of any better information, BST's P/E ratio could be applied to these earnings
figures. This is 1237/112.5 = 10.996, say 11.
Example 2
(a) Phobis Co is considering a bid for Danoca Co. Both companies are stock-market listed and
are in the same business sector. Financial information on Danoca Co, which is shortly to pay
its annual dividend, is as follows:
Number of ordinary shares 5
million
Ordinary share price (ex div basis) Frw3·30
Earnings per share 40·0c
Proposed payout ratio 60%
Dividend per share one year ago 23·3c
Dividend per share two years ago 22·0c
Equity beta 1·4
(1 + g)2 =
2
1 + g = 1.091 1.045 g =
4.5%
ke = re = E(ri) = Rf + Ei(E(rm) – Rf)
= 4.6 + (1.4 × (10.6 – 4.6))
= 4.6 + (1.4 × 6)
= 13%
0.
Value of shares =
= Frw2.95
Value of Danoca Co = Frw14.75 million
1. INTRODUCTION
The financial manager must take careful decisions on how the profit should be distributed among
shareholders. It is very important and crucial part of the business concern, because these decisions
are directly related with the value of the business concern and shareholder’s wealth. Like financing
decision and investment decision, dividend decision is also a major part of the financial manager.
When the business concerns decide dividend policy, they have to consider certain factors such as
retained earnings and the nature of shareholder of the business concern.
2. Meaning of Dividend
Dividend refers to the business concerns net profits distributed among the shareholders. It may also
be termed as the part of the profit of a business concern, which is distributed among its
shareholders. According to the Institute of Chartered Accountant of India, dividend is defined as
“a distribution to shareholders out of profits or reserves available for this purpose”.
Dividend may be distributed among the shareholders in the form of cash or stock. Hence,
Dividends are classified into:
i)Cash Dividend
If the dividend is paid in the form of cash to the shareholders, it is called cash dividend. It is paid
periodically out the business concerns EAIT (Earnings after interest and tax). Cash dividends are
common and popular types followed by majority of the business concerns.
ii) Stock Dividend
Stock dividend is paid in the form of the company stock due to raising of more finance. Under this
type, cash is retained by the business concern. Stock dividend may be bonus issue. This issue is
given only to the existing shareholders of the business concern.
iii)Bond Dividend
Bond dividend is also known as script dividend. If the company does not have sufficient funds to
pay cash dividend, the company promises to pay the shareholder at a future specific date with the
help of issue of bond or notes.
Iv) Property Dividend
Property dividends are paid in the form of some assets other than cash It will distribute under the
exceptional circumstance.
Dividend decision of the business concern is one of the crucial parts of the financial manager,
because it determines the amount of profit to be distributed among shareholders and amount of
profit to be treated as retained earnings for financing its long term growth. Hence, dividend decision
plays very important part in the financial management. Dividend decision consists of two important
191 | CPA LEVEL II – MANAGERIAL FINANCE -REVISION NOTES 2021
concepts which are based on the relationship between dividend decision and value of the firm.
Dividend policy determines the division of earnings between payment to stock holders and re-
investment in the firm. It therefore looks at the following aspects:
i).How much to pay – this encompassed in the four major alternative dividend policies.
Dividends decisions are integral part of a firm’s strategic financing decision. It is therefore a plan
of action adopted by management e.g payment of high dividends means less retained earnings and
the firm may have to go to the market to borrow for investment purposes. This will increase its
gearing level.
The extra dividend is given in such a way that it is not perceived as a commitments by the firm to
continue the extra dividend in the future. It is applied by the firms whose earnings are highly
volatile e.g. agricultural sector.
Using the dividend yield model, the value of a share in time t0 will be
+
PO = D1 P1
(1 + Ke)
If no debt is used then the sources of funds will be equal to the uses of fund.
MP1 + X = I + ND1
MP1 = I + ND1 - X
= (N + M ) P1 - I + X
(1 + Ke)
Since D1 does not appear, then the dividend decision has no value in determining the value of the firm.
nce dividends will be a reserve for financing investments. Dividend policy is irrelevant and treated
as passive variable. It will not affect the value of the firm. However, investment decisions will.
Criticism of MM approach
The following are the major criticisms of MM approach:
MM approach assumes that tax does not exist. It is not applicable in the practical life of the
firm.
MM approach assumes that, there is no risk and uncertain of the investment. It is also not
applicable in present day business life.
MM approach does not consider floatation cost and transaction cost. It leads to affect the
value of the firm.
MM approach considers only single decrement rate, it does not exist in real practice.
MM approach assumes that, investor behaves rationally. But we cannot give assurance that
all the investors will behave rationally.
Myron Gorden suggests one of the popular model which assume that dividend policy of a firm
affects its value, and it is based on the following important assumptions:
1. The firm is an all equity firm.
2. The firm has no external finance.
3. Cost of capital and return are constant.
4. The firm has perpetual life.
5. There are no taxes.
6. Cost of capital is greater than growth rate
MM argued against the above proposition: They argued that the required rate of return is
independent of dividend policy. They maintained that an investor can realize capital gains generated
by reinvestment of retained earnings, if they sell shares. If this is possible, investors would be
indifferent between cash dividends and capital gains.
Example – If the management pays high dividends, it signals high expected profits in future to
maintain the high dividend level. This would increase the share price/value and vice versa.
MM attacked this position and suggested that the change in share price following the change in
dividend amount is due to informational content of dividend policy rather than dividend policy
itself. Therefore, dividends are irrelevant if information can be given to the market to all players.
Dividend decisions are relevant in an inefficient market and the higher the dividends, the higher the
value of the firm. The theory is based on the following four assumptions:
1. The sending of signals by the management should be cost effective.
2. The signals should be correlated to observable events (common trend in the market).
3. No company can imitate its competitors in sending the signals.
4. The managers can only send true signals even if they are bad signals. Sending untrue
signals is financially disastrous to the survival of the firm.
v) Tax differential theory
Advanced by Litzenberger and Ramaswamy in 1979. They argued that tax rate on dividends is
higher than tax rate on capital gains. Therefore, a firm that pays high dividends have lower value
since shareholders pay more tax on dividends. Dividend decisions are relevant and the lower the
dividend the higher the value of the firm and vice versa.
Low income earners prefer high dividends to meet their daily consumption while high income
earners prefer low dividends to avoid payment of more tax. Therefore, when a firm sets a dividend
policy, there’ll be shifting of investors into and out of the firm until an equilibrium is achieved.
Low, income shareholders will shift to firms paying high dividends and high income shareholders
to firms paying low dividends. At equilibrium, dividend policy will be consistent with clientele of
196 | CPA LEVEL II – MANAGERIAL FINANCE -REVISION NOTES 2021
shareholders a firm has. Dividend decision at equilibrium are irrelevant since they cannot cause
any shifting of investors.
vii) Agency theory
The agency problem between shareholders and managers can be resolved by paying high dividends.
If retention is low, managers are required to raise additional equity capital to finance investment.
Each fresh equity issue will expose the managers financing decision to providers of capital e.g
bankers, investors, suppliers etc. Managers will thus engage in activities that are consistent with
maximization of shareholders wealth by making full disclosure of their activities.
This is because they know the firm will be exposed to external parties through external borrowing.
Consequently, Agency costs will be reduced since the firm becomes self-regulating.
Dividend policy will have a beneficial effect on the value of the firm. This is because dividend
policy can be used to reduce agency problem by reducing agency costs. The theory implies that
firms adopting high dividend payout ratio will have a higher due to reduced agency costs.
0.45 0.35
2008 x100 22.5% x100 17.4%
2.00 2.08
0.45 0.35
2009 x100 17.30% x100 17.7%
2.60 2.55
0.45 0.35
2010 x100 11.5% x100 16.9%
3.90 4.08
MPS
Price – earning ratio =
EPS
A Ltd. B Ltd
Year
2006 16 18 ½ 9.0yrs / times 11 15½ 6.34 yrs / times
1.89 2.05
1.CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
1. Definition
The corporate governance is the system by which companies are directed and controlled. Good
corporate governance involves the risk management and the internal control, the accountability
to stakeholders and other shareholders and conducting the business in an ethical and effective way.
Corporate governance considers the responsibilities of directors, how the board of directors should
be run and structured, the need for good internal controls and the relationship with external
auditors. It is important for companies to consider good corporate governance principles as often it
is management or those charged with governance who run the company, but the owners are the
shareholders and they are not involved in the running of the business.
For these shareholders their only opportunity to raise concerns is at the annual general meeting,
which only occurs once a year and often attendance is low. Shareholders need to ensure that their
needs are taken into account by management, and that there is a process in place for them to be
informed as to how the business is operating.
Corporate governance represents the set of policies and procedures that determine how an
organisation is directed, administered and controlled.
Most systems of corporate governance are focused on several core principles or values, which
include:
· Accountability
· Transparency
· Fairness
· Responsibility
TCWG: Those “charged with governance” are defined as the persons who are “accountable for
ensuring that the entity achieves its objectives, with regard to reliability of financial reporting,
effectiveness and efficiency of operations, compliance with applicable laws, and reporting to
interested parties.”
Although there is no universal rule, in most instances these persons will either be the board of
directors and/or the audit committee
Corporate governance codes of good practice generally cover the following areas:
(a) The board should be responsible for taking major policy and strategic decisions.
(b) Directors should have a mix of skills and their performance should be assessed regularly.
(c) Appointments should be conducted by formal procedures administered by a nomination
committee.
(d) Division of responsibilities at the head of an organisation is most simply achieved by
separating the roles of chairman and chief executive.
(e) Independent non-executive directors have a key role in governance. Their number and status
should mean that their views carry significant weight.
(f) Directors' remuneration should be set by a remuneration committee consisting of independent
non-executive directors.
(g) Remuneration should be dependent upon organisation and individual performance.
(h) Accounts should disclose remuneration policy and (in detail) the packages of individual
directors.
(i) Boards should regularly review risk management and internal control, and carry out a wider
review annually, the results of which should be disclosed in the accounts.
(j) Audit committees of independent non-executive directors should liaise with external audit,
supervise internal audit, and review the annual accounts and internal controls.
(k) The board should maintain a regular dialogue with shareholders, particularly institutional
shareholders. The annual general meeting is the most significant forum for communication.
(l) Annual reports must convey a fair and balanced view of the organisation. They should state
whether the organisation has complied with governance regulations and codes, and give specific
disclosures about the board, internal control reviews, going concern status and relations with
stakeholders.
203 | CPA LEVEL II – MANAGERIAL FINANCE -REVISION NOTES 2021
3.Important terms in corporate governance
An executive director: an executive director is a director responsible for the administration of
a company. They are primarily responsible for carrying out the strategic plans and policies as
established by the board of directors.
A non-executive director (NED): a non-executive director is a director without day-to-day
operational responsibilities of the company.
4. The OECD Principles of Corporate Governance
The OECD Principles of Corporate Governance cover six main areas, which are divided into
chapters. The Principles:
· Request that governments have in place an effective legal, regulatory, and institutional
framework to support good corporate governance practices
· Call for a corporate governance framework that protects the exercise of shareholders’ rights
and supports the equal treatment of all shareholders, including minority and foreign
shareholders
· Address the effect of institutional investors and other intermediaries in stock markets and
the resulting corporate governance implications
· Recognize the importance of the role of stakeholders in corporate governance Examine the
importance of timely, accurate, and transparent disclosure mechanisms
· Address board structures, responsibilities, and procedures
The OECD Principles of Corporate Governance is regarded as one of the hallmark sources of
guidance for corporate governance practices for organizations throughout the world. Broadly, the
Principles state that an entity’s corporate governance framework should:
· Promote transparent and fair markets and the efficient allocation of resources.
· Be consistent with the rule of law.
· Support effective supervision and enforcement.
· Protect and facilitate the exercise of shareholders’ rights.
· Ensure the equitable treatment of all shareholders, including minority and foreign
shareholders.
· Provide all shareholders with the opportunity to obtain effective redress for violation of their
rights.
· Create sound incentives throughout the investment chain.
· Enable stock markets to function in a way that contributes to good corporate governance.
· Recognize the rights of stakeholders established by law or through mutual agreements.
· Encourage active cooperation between corporations and stakeholders in creating wealth,
jobs, and the sustainability of financially sound enterprises.
· Ensure that timely and accurate disclosure is made on all material matters regarding the
corporation, including the company’s financial situation, performance, ownership, and
governance.
· Ensure the strategic guidance of the company, the effective monitoring of management by
the board, and the board’s accountability to the company and the shareholders.
5. Driving forces/factors behind keen interest in corporate governance.
Increasing corporate fixtures e.g collapse of sugar factories, financial institutions,
manufacturing concerns etc.