Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

Business Model Diversification Demand Relatedness Entry Sequ - 2022 - Long Ran

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 20

Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Long Range Planning


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/lrp

Business model diversification: Demand relatedness, entry


sequencing, and curvilinearity in the
diversification-performance relationship
Timo Sohl a, b, *, Brian T. McCann c, Govert Vroom d
a
Department of Economics and Business, Univ. Pompeu Fabra (UPF), C/ Ramon Trias Fargas, 25-27, 08005, Barcelona, Spain
b
UPF Barcelona School of Management, C/ de Balmes, 132, 08008, Barcelona, Spain
c
Owen Graduate School of Management, Vanderbilt University, 401 21st Avenue South, Nashville, TN, 37203, USA
d
IESE Business School, Strategic Management Department, Av. Pearson, 21, 08034, Barcelona, Spain

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Keywords: This study integrates research on business model diversification (BMD) and demand-side theory
Business model to examine the relationship of BMD to performance and the sequencing of business model ad­
Demand relatedness ditions. We begin by explaining and demonstrating that the overall degree of BMD has an inverted
Demand-side synergies
U-shaped relationship with firm performance. We next highlight the particular role that demand
Diversification
relatedness plays in BMD. We first provide evidence that the inverted U-shaped relationship
Firm performance
flattens in times of financial shocks, consistent with arguments that the benefits of BMD from
consumers’ willingness-to-pay for simultaneous use of multiple business models may diminish
during shocks. Second, we argue that firms tend to sequence the addition of new business models
based on demand relatedness, and we provide evidence that the degree of demand relatedness
between a core and a target business model enhances the likelihood of diversification into that
target business model.

1. Introduction

How does firm performance vary with the degree of business model diversification (BMD)? Examples of firms concurrently
operating multiple different business models are commonplace. Newspaper companies offer ad-sponsored business models and
traditional subscription-based models (Casadesus-Masanell and Zhu, 2010, 2013); airlines operate both full-service and discount
carriers (Markides and Charitou, 2004); retailers conduct a variety of bricks-and-mortar approaches alongside e-commerce activities
(Ahuja and Novelli, 2016; Kim and Min, 2015). Studies in this area provide insight into conditions under which the addition of one
business model might affect performance (e.g., Kim and Min, 2015; Sohl et al., 2020). Recognizing, however, that many firms add more
than only one business model (e.g., Aversa et al., 2021; Casadesus-Masanell and Tarziján, 2012; Sabatier et al., 2010; Snihur and
Tarziján, 2018), a natural next question to extend this literature is to ask how the overall degree of business model diversification is
associated with firm performance, where the degree of BMD reflects the number of business models in a firm’s portfolio.
Failure to investigate the BMD-performance relationship across the addition of multiple models is problematic given that research

* Corresponding author. Department of Economics and Business, Univ. Pompeu Fabra (UPF), C/ Ramon Trias Fargas, 25-27, 08005, Barcelona,
Spain.
E-mail addresses: timo.sohl@upf.edu (T. Sohl), brian.mccann@owen.vanderbilt.edu (B.T. McCann), gvroom@iese.edu (G. Vroom).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lrp.2022.102215
Received 1 September 2021; Received in revised form 10 April 2022; Accepted 20 April 2022
Available online 25 April 2022
0024-6301/© 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

on the choice of business model design and performance implications of single business models may be incomplete without consid­
eration of how the focal model relates to other models within a firm’s broader business model portfolio; it also leaves scholars with
little insight into how firms sequence the addition of multiple models as they build a business model portfolio. Our efforts contrast to
literature that has largely focused on the addition of one business model by theorizing about both the advantages and disadvantages of
BMD across a fuller range of diversification and how firms might sequence the addition of multiple models.
To theorize about BMD performance and sequencing, we intersect the growing demand-side literature stream on diversification (e.
g., Ye et al., 2012) with resource-based justifications of diversification that trace their lineage back to Penrose (1959). Demand-side
research “looks downstream from the focal firm, toward product markets and consumers, rather than upstream, toward factor markets
and producers” (Priem et al., 2012: 347). Our arguments highlight that demand-side synergies via increased willingness-to-pay due to
a customer’s concurrent use of multiple business models play a central role in BMD, as business models revolve around
customer-focused value creation (e.g., Priem et al., 2018; Rietveld, 2018; Teece, 2010). As such, we explain how demand-side syn­
ergies may vary along the degree of BMD. We also explain how potential conflicts in activities and dominant logics may lead to
increased costs as firms diversify business models. Combining the advantages and disadvantages leads us to develop a foundational
hypothesis of a non-linear, inverted U-shaped relationship between the degree of BMD and performance.
We develop two additional hypotheses to illuminate the importance of demand-side factors in business model diversification. First,
we contend that our arguments of the importance of demand-side synergies suggests that factors related to demand conditions should
moderate the BMD-performance relationship. As such, we develop theory that explains how weakening of demand-side benefits during
an environmental shock (i.e., a financial crisis) leads to a flattening of the BMD-performance relationship. Second, we argue that firms
follow a prioritization approach in adding new business models, leading us to predict that demand relatedness is positively associated
with the likelihood that a firm will diversify into a target business model. Two business models have a higher degree of demand
relatedness when there are more opportunities for a customer to use the models in combination, rather than in isolation.
We utilize a unique panel dataset of 152 public retail firms from 25 countries over a thirteen-year period from 1998 to 2010 to test
our ideas. The retail industry provides a particularly appropriate setting for our study because prior business model research has
described a variety of different business models in this industry that firms may combine in their portfolios (e.g., Brea-Solís et al., 2015;
Christensen and Tedlow, 2000; Kim and Min, 2015; Sohl et al., 2020).
In summary, our research aims to contribute to the growing literature investigating the concurrent operation of multiple business
models in one organization. Our theory and evidence suggest that strategy scholars interested in the performance implications of
business model choice should be cognizant of the importance of considering how a particular business model choice relates to the
overall degree of BMD in the firm’s portfolio. The interrelationship to other models within the portfolio is a significant determinant of
performance. Our explication of these interrelationships highlights how demand-side synergies play an important role in under­
standing the performance and entry sequencing effects of BMD, and these efforts complement and extend prior empirical demand-side
research (e.g., Mawdsley and Somaya, 2018; Uzunca, 2018; Vinokurova, 2019). Specifically, we illuminate how heterogeneity in
customer preferences accounts for the decision to operate multiple business models and how to sequence those diversification moves.
In doing so, we develop a systematic explanation of the inverted-U relationship between BMD and firm performance, and our analyses
provide the first large-scale empirical evidence of how the degree of BMD relates to performance. This is an important addition to the
literature given the amount of attention in strategy research to the performance implications of other forms of diversification, such as
product and international diversification. We also contribute to this emerging literature stream by developing theory that begins to
establish some boundary conditions of the performance effects of BMD. The moderation of the relationship between the degree of
diversification and performance has proven to be an exceptionally fruitful area of inquiry in the product and international diversi­
fication literatures. Our work is a first step in this direction for the nascent business model diversification literature.

2. Theoretical background

2.1. The business model concept

Although the prior literature demonstrates some variance in the specific conceptualization of a business model, an emphasis on
activity systems is a common, central theme across these conceptualizations (Zott et al., 2011). For example, Zott and Amit (2010)
describe a business model as a system of interdependent activities connecting factor and product markets. According to Teece (2010),
the essence of a business model is its definition of how the firm delivers value to a customer and convinces the customer to pay for that
value. Because most business model definitions “take customers and consumers explicitly into account” (Demil et al., 2015: 4),
willingness-to-pay is a fundamental element of value creation in business model research (e.g., Priem et al., 2018). Relatedly, a strong
consensus has developed in the literature that the business model emphasizes customer-focused activities and value creation at the
demand side (for reviews, see Demil et al., 2015; Massa et al., 2017; Zott et al., 2011).
Along with defining the concept, previous research has described several types of business models (e.g., Baden-Fuller and Morgan,
2010). What differentiates business model types is diversity in the constituent activity systems. For example, in traditional industries
such as airlines, retail, and hotels, “discount” or “no-frills” business models focusing on low-price value propositions have been
regarded as belonging to a distinct business model type, as they are “well documented and regularly referred to as a coherent set of
choices that offer the potential for superior performance” (Demil and Lecocq, 2010: 228). With the emergence of Internet-related
industries, one of the most widely discussed business model types is the “e-business” model (Zott et al., 2011), describing how
businesses sell products and services directly to customers using the Internet, instead of a “bricks and mortar” model featuring physical
stores.

2
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

The literature on business models has argued that “the business model is a new unit of analysis that is distinct from the product,
firm, industry, or network” (Zott et al., 2011: 1020). It has also provided multiple examples showing that businesses can target the
same product market but do so by employing different business models, and vice versa (e.g., Chesbrough and Rosenbloom, 2002;
Markides and Charitou, 2004; Teece, 2010; Zott and Amit, 2008).

2.2. Business model diversification

Business model diversification (BMD) involves the concurrent operation of multiple different activity systems to create and capture
value. Examples include airlines that operate both full-service and no-frills or discount carriers (Casadesus-Masanell and Tarziján,
2012; Markides and Charitou, 2004); newspaper companies may include ad-sponsored business models alongside traditional
subscription-based models (Casadesus-Masanell and Zhu, 2010, 2013); and retailers may operate both bricks-and-mortar locations in
addition to e-commerce (Ahuja and Novelli, 2016; Kim and Min, 2015).
A common theme in existing descriptions of the phenomenon of business model diversification is highlighting that there are both
advantages and burdens of operating multiple business models. That is, the diversity in activity systems across business models creates
opportunities, e.g., potential synergies, but also has downsides, e.g., conflict from differences in dominant logic. We believe this
presence of both advantages and disadvantages suggests that a systematic examination of how firm performance may vary with the
degree of BMD is a natural next step to extend knowledge in this area. The below material follows a point of emphasis in the recent
literature that argues “business models, by their very nature and scope, begin to integrate the resource and demand sides of the strategy
equation” (Priem et al., 2013: 481). As such, we consider resource-based advantages of diversification alongside our emphasis on
demand-related benefits and how they may vary with the degree of BMD. We also discuss the disadvantages incurred as a function of
increasing degrees of BMD; combining the advantages and disadvantages leads us to predict an inverted U-shaped relationship be­
tween the degree of BMD and performance. Subsequent hypotheses delve into the particular role played by demand-related factors in
BMD. More specifically, we extend our theorizing to propose an important demand-related contextual factor that flattens the overall
inverted U-shaped relationship between degree of BMD and performance. We conclude by explaining how firms sequence additions of
new business models to their portfolios.

3. Hypotheses

3.1. The direct effect of degree of business model diversification on performance

Advantages of BMD: Supply-side synergies. Drawing on ideas originally proposed by Penrose (1959), resource-based explanations of
diversification argue that firms benefit by utilizing excess resource capacity. Firms have an incentive to diversify in order to use re­
sources that have multiple applications but are subject to market failure (Teece, 1982). Applying these resources across multiple uses
allows the firm to achieve cost-reducing synergies. Prior literature suggests that such synergies are a source of benefit in business model
diversification. Scholars such as Casadesus-Masanell and Tarziján (2012) suggest that the ability to share major assets along with the
complementarity of resources and capabilities across models are central questions in determining the success of business model
diversification. Although BMD involves operation of a different system of activities, certain activities within each system will naturally
overlap, leading to sharing opportunities. For example, consider a retailer engaged simultaneously in the differing business models of
physical stores and online commerce. Both require the activity of distribution, and the two models could achieve lower costs by sharing
resources such as warehousing facilities (i.e., economies of scope). Airlines operating both no-frills and full-service business models
share a need for the activity of taking reservations and managing inventory; computerized reservation systems may be shared across
the two models, reducing costs.
While the creation of resource-based synergies has been extensively studied in the strategy literature, previous research has
recognized another, much less explored mechanism for synergy creation—the creation of “demand-side synergies” (e.g., Ahuja and
Novelli, 2017; Mawdsley and Somaya, 2018; Ye et al., 2012). For example, Ye et al. (2012: 208) argue and show that “consumer-based
synergies can create value independently from producer-side synergies.” We note an interesting juxtaposition in the nature of
supply-versus demand-side synergies. As can be seen from the examples above, supply-side synergies are most often tied to the firm’s
ability to engage in similar activities (e.g., distribution, managing inventory) across businesses. In contrast, as we explain below,
demand-side synergies typically flow from the presence of differences in activities across business models (e.g., offering products for
purchase in stores versus online, which is associated with different front-end activities in areas such as information technology,
customer services, and customer relationship management).
Advantages of BMD: Demand-side synergies. The nascent demand-side perspective on diversification emphasizes achieving greater
consumer utility as the objective of diversification strategies, allowing firms to create demand-side synergies via increased willingness
to pay (WTP). This emphasis is consistent with increasing attention to demand-related factors across a variety of topics in the strategy
literature (e.g., Mawdsley and Somaya, 2018; Uzunca, 2018; Vinokurova, 2019). For example, Mawdsley and Somaya (2018) identify
relational capital between a firm and its clients as a source of demand-side synergies across different service lines. This source of
benefit should apply to the context of BMD as well, where firms may create relational capital via greater loyalty and customer-lock in
effects across business models. In fact, we expect that demand-side benefits of diversification are particularly relevant to BMD, as
business model definitions typically emphasize the importance of customer-facing relationships and value creation through increased
WTP as part of the model (e.g., Chesbrough and Rosenbloom, 2002; Rietveld, 2018; Teece, 2010). Sohl et al. (2020) illuminate the
operation of demand-side benefits in their recent study of firms that add an additional business model. They argue that a critical

3
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

distinction is the degree of relatedness of the added business model; more related models should provide greater benefits, and this
relatedness depends on demand complementarities across customer-facing activities. For example, if two business models serve the
same customers, firms can offer complementary services and convenience benefits for which customers are willing to pay more.
Consider the combination of online and offline models in an increasing number of industries (e.g., Amit and Zott, 2001). Many firms
such as consumer product manufacturers, software producers, or retailers combine traditional store-based models with online models
to improve their overall value proposition to their target customers. Specifically, differences in customer-focused activities such as
information searching, ordering, delivery, and return between online and offline models allow customers to combine these activities in
their interactions with the firm. Sohl et al. (2020) compare the performance implications of adding a single demand-related model
versus a demand-unrelated business model for retailers operating traditional store models. Their results suggest that differences in
demand-side synergies can explain why demand-related additions tend to be more profitable than demand-unrelated additions.
However, as their study focuses on the addition of just a single business model, they did not investigate the relationship between the
degree of BMD and performance or the sequencing of business model additions.
In sum, because the overall system of activities differs across business models, customers can combine complementary front-end
activities providing the potential for demand-side synergies. At the same time, because some back-end activities will inevitably
overlap between business models, firms can also create supply-side synergies across the models. This attention to both demand- and
supply-side benefits in our theorizing is consistent with recent work. Shaheer, Li, and Priem (2020: 22) argue that “the interplay
between demand-side and supply-side factors can offer important theoretical mechanisms to more comprehensively explain digital
internationalization,” and we similarly expect they are both relevant to developing theoretical understanding of business model
diversification. In a study on entry deterrence, Uzunca (2018) similarly argues for the importance of considering both the demand- and
the supply-side. We expect that the above-described supply- and demand-side benefits result in increasing advantages as the firm
expands its portfolio of business models, although we do anticipate that the total benefits are subject to diminishing marginal returns as
the models become less related. Prior to hypothesizing the implications of these advantages for performance outcomes, one must
consider possible disadvantages of BMD.
Disadvantages of BMD: A clear theme in the prior diversification literature is that diversification is not a costless activity. This theme
has been reflected in the business model literature as well; in fact, scholars have largely focused on the burdens of operating multiple
business models. Costs may flow from such simple facts that portions of the multiple diverse underlying activities or value chains
conflict with each other (Markides and Charitou, 2004). For example, the supply chain operations of a big-box retailer might
emphasize the efficient delivery of batched inventory, a set of activities that would conflict with the needs of convenience stores
requiring more regular delivery of smaller, just-in-time batches of inventory. Moreover, previous research argues that “the business
model can be considered a dominant logic – a current thinking pattern or established belief or cognitive schema held by managers in
organizations” (Massa et al., 2017: 82). Firms’ simultaneous operation of multiple different types of business models therefore implies
that different dominant logics can exist in their business portfolios, increasing the likelihood of less effective, costly deployments and
redeployments of organizational resources and capabilities (Prahalad and Bettis, 1986).
Net performance effect: Predicting the overall effect requires that we consider the nature of the constituent mechanisms of both
advantages and disadvantages (Haans et al., 2016). As argued above, we expect that total benefits increase with the overall degree of
diversification but with diminishing marginal benefits (i.e., a monotonically increasing non-linear relationship), and that the demand
side is an important source of benefits in BMD beyond supply-side benefits. Diminishing marginal benefits result from the fact that
firms first add the models that offer the greatest benefit. Less-related models that are added later offer positive but lower benefits. Costs
also increase with the degree of diversification. A combination of increasing, but marginally diminishing benefits along with increasing
costs implies a net inverted-U relationship1
Hypothesis 1. There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the degree of business model diversification and firm
performance.

3.2. The moderating role of demand-related factors: financial crises

The above material explains how both supply-side and demand-side factors affect performance. One explanation in the literature on
product diversification is that diversified firms may benefit from risk reduction during financial crises due to uncorrelated cash flows
across the firm’s various product-market divisions (e.g., Kuppuswamy and Villalonga, 2016). In the context of BMD, however, such
risk-reduction benefits might be less significant as the effect of a financial crisis on multiple business models should be more positively
correlated (i.e., a negative demand shock within a particular country should lead to a reduction in sales across each of the firm’s
business models).2 In this paper, our interest is to spotlight the demand-side and provide evidence that customer-focused value cre­
ation is an important factor in business model diversification beyond supply-side effects. To do this, we first consider how the per­
formance implications of business model diversification might vary depending on demand conditions. More specifically, we argue that
the nature of demand is a key factor that influences the magnitude of demand-related benefits firms experience when engaging in

1
As Haans et al. (2016) describe, the inverted U-shape would result if costs increase either linearly or in a non-linear, marginally increasing
fashion (e.g., an exponential relationship).
2
We note that the correlation of cash flows between models should depend on the type of economic shock investigated, a point we will explain in
more detail in the discussion section.

4
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

business model diversification. Of the various demand factors that we could consider, we focus on the occurrence of demand shocks
due to financial crises. An examination of negative demand-side shocks complements prior research that typically investigates positive
demand-side shocks (e.g., Aggarwal and Wu, 2015; Argyres et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2020). It is important to examine negative shocks
in addition to positive shocks, as consumers may react differently to potential losses compared to gains (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979).
During times of high demand and strong economic growth, consumers are less price sensitive and their consumption choices are
more heterogeneous (Deleersnyder et al., 2004), implying greater opportunity for various value propositions and the associated
business models featuring complementary customer-focused activities. In comparison, uncertainty surrounding economic downturns
leads to reduced opportunities to realize the value associated with demand-side synergies. Reductions in wealth, income, and con­
fidence lead preferences to converge around satisfaction of more basic needs. As just one example, Lamey et al. (2007) describe how
consumers tend to reduce spending on differing varieties of manufacturer brands in tougher economic times. Kamakura and Du (2012)
argue that consumers reduce expenditures in the area of “positional” spending, which include products or the ways of purchasing those
products that signal consumers’ relative position in society.
We contend that the uncertainties induced by financial crises similarly reduce consumers’ willingness-to-pay for the conveniences
offered by firms operating multiple business models. That is, the magnitude of demand-side synergies generated from BMD should be
lower during times of financial shocks. In essence, the slope of the benefits curve is reduced during these shocks, suggesting a
moderation of the overall relationship. A reduction in the strength of the non-linear benefits curve implies a flattening of the rela­
tionship between business model diversification and performance.
Hypothesis 2. Financial shocks moderate the inverted U-shaped relationship between business model diversification and perfor­
mance such that the inverted U-shape is flatter during times of financial shocks.
As a final step in establishing that the demand side plays a role in business model diversification, we next explain how the degree of
demand relatedness explains how firms will sequence the addition of new models as they engage in business model diversification.

3.3. The sequencing of business model additions: the role of demand relatedness

As argued in the development of Hypothesis 1, we expect that the total benefits increase with the overall degree of BMD but with
diminishing marginal benefits. If the demand side is an important source of benefits in BMD, diminishing marginal benefits should
result from the fact that the business models become less demand related as firms expand their business model portfolio. In particular,
firms should first add the most demand-related models that offer the greatest benefits to customers; less-related models that are added
later should offer positive but lower benefits.
The diversification literature has linked entry behavior to the potential for synergies between existing and new lines of business,
largely tying these arguments to levels of resource relatedness. For example, Montgomery and Hariharan (1991) argue and show that
firms are more likely to diversify into industries that have similar R&D, advertising, and capital expenditure intensities. Similarly,
Silverman (1999) demonstrates the preference shown by diversifying firms for industries that have a higher degree of technological
relatedness, arguing that such relatedness would foster creation and capture of synergies between the existing and new business.
We expect that firms engaging in BMD also prioritize particular business models over others. However, given the “strong consensus
that the business model revolves around customer-focused value creation” (Zott et al., 2011: 1031), we anticipate that the prioriti­
zation may be based on factors beyond just resource relatedness. A core premise of our work is that a driver of business model
diversification moves is the demand relatedness of a potential new business model. The demand relatedness of two business models is
greater when customers have more opportunities to utilize the business models in combination, rather than in isolation. Firms will
prioritize these opportunities because they can create and exploit demand-side synergies by combining and integrating
customer-focused activities across these demand-related business models. This concurrent use of business models by customers leads to
higher customer utility and associated higher willingness to pay. In sum, more demand-related BMD offers greater potential benefits
relative to less demand-related BMD. Moreover, the empirical results of Sohl et al. (2020) demonstrating the superior profitability of
demand-related BMD suggests that these superior benefits are not offset by cost disadvantages. Anticipating that firms respond to this
greater profit potential, we predict that among any given choice set of target business models, the level of demand relatedness between
an existing business model and a target business model enhances the likelihood of diversification into that target business model.
Hypothesis 3. The level of demand relatedness between a firm’s existing business model and a target business model is positively
associated with the likelihood that the firm will diversify into that target business model.

4. Methods

4.1. Empirical context

Our analysis is based on firms from the global retail sector. This empirical context provides a particularly appropriate setting to test
our hypotheses for several reasons. First, the literature has frequently used examples of retail firms to describe different types of
business models, such as e-commerce, discount, and traditional retail models (e.g., Brea-Solís et al., 2015; Christensen and Tedlow,
2000). Second, prior studies emphasize that firms coexist in retailing that focus either on a single business model or operate multiple
business models in parallel (e.g., Kim and Min, 2015; Sohl et al., 2020). Third, retail firms tend to focus any diversification to related
parts of the retail sector and engage in little or no unrelated diversification outside the retailing sector, which reduces potential

5
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

confounding effects of industry diversification. And finally, a focus on the global retail sector allows us to capture demand shocks that
vary by country and year to analyse how the BMD-performance relationship of firms located in affected countries might vary relative to
firms located in unaffected countries.

4.2. Data and sample

The data come from Edge Retail Insight (formerly Planet Retail), a leading private retail research company. Previous research has
used this database to examine topics of market entry and business models in retailing (e.g., Gielens and Dekimpe, 2007; Sohl et al.,
2020). We obtained unbalanced panel data on the 152 globally largest publicly-held retail corporations tracked by Edge Retail Insight,
totalling 1362 firm-year observations for the time period from 1998 to 2010.3 Of these observations, 41.6% (567 obs.) are firm-years of
firms with a single business model (BM), 29.8% (406 obs.) with two BMs, 20.8% (283 obs.) with three BMs, and 7.8% (106 obs.) with
four BMs.4 This sample was used for the performance analyses (H1 and H2). Following the approach of previous studies (e.g., Sil­
verman, 1999), we further modified the sample for the analysis of diversification decisions (H3), as described below.

4.3. Business models in the retail sector

To identify the various business models that make up a firm’s business model portfolio, we combined perspectives from industry
experts, prior academic research, and practicing managers. To begin, the industry analysts who compile the Edge Retail Insight data
distinguish among retail firms’ operations in the categories of e-commerce (including mail order), discount, traditional small-store,
and traditional big-box retail models.5 Prior research set in the retailing context validated our choice to adopt these four distinct
models. As mentioned above, numerous studies have referred to one or several of these four types of retail models. Our interviews with
several senior managers of retail corporations to discuss commonly used retail models also verified these distinct models. First, the
interviewed retail managers identified e-commerce and discount business models as distinct types of business models in retailing.
Beyond the categorization into e-commerce and discount business models, the interviewees distinguished between the groups of
traditional small-store and traditional large-store (big-box) retail models. Of our sampled 152 retail firms, 93 firms (61.2%) have their
core business model in traditional large-store, 50 firms (32.9%) in traditional small-store, 8 firms (5.3%) in discount, and 1 firm
(Amazon) (0.7%) in e-commerce retailing.6 Considering that firms may operate additional models beyond their core model, our data
indicate that 28.9% of firms have experience operating the traditional large-store model, 39.5% the traditional small-store model,
19.1% the discount model, and 44.7% the e-commerce model.7

4.4. Firm performance (Hypotheses 1 and 2)

Dependent variable. To make our results comparable to prior research on the diversification-performance relationship, we used
return on assets (ROA) as performance measure (e.g., Ahuja and Novelli, 2017). We obtained annual information from Compustat
North America and Global to compute ROA as a retail firm’s earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) expressed as a percentage of its
total assets. In robustness checks, we also used return on sales (ROS) and total firm sales, producing consistent results.
Independent variable. To operationalize the degree of business model diversification (BMD), we used a count of the number of
business models that a retail firm operates in a given year, ranging from 1 to 4 business models. Given that each type of business model
is characterised by a distinct activity system, a larger number of business models in the portfolio implies greater diversity in terms of
business logics. For example, the logic of how the discount model creates and captures value stands in contrast to the logic of
traditional retail models, which focus more on differentiation (e.g., Casadesus-Masanell and Ricart, 2010; Markides and Charitou,
2004; Porter, 1980). Similarly, the logic of doing business via the Internet is distinct from the logic of physical store-based distribution
models, relying on different value propositions and key activities (e.g., Amit and Zott, 2001; Osterwalder and Pigneur, 2010). Finally,

3
Specifically, we obtained panel data on the top 300 public and private retail firms based on Edge Retail Insight’s ranking list of 1997 and 2010.
Of the top 300 firms, 152 were public firms. We focused on public retail firms because profitability information (from Compustat) was only available
for those firms.
4
Our sampled retail firms generate on average 98.7 percent of their sales in retailing and originate from 25 countries across the world, including
those based in the US (e.g., Barnes & Noble, CVS, and Wal-Mart), Europe (e.g., Ahold, Carrefour, and Tesco), Japan (e.g., Aeon, FamilyMart, and
Seven & I Holdings), and China (e.g., Dairy Farm, Gome, and Lianhua Supermarket). Specifically, 49% of the sampled firms originate from North
America, 24% from Asia Pacific, 23% from Europe, 2% from South America, and 2% from (South) Africa.
5
The Edge Retail Insight data is categorized into e-commerce, discount, and traditional retailing. Following industry analyst descriptions of Edge
Retail Insight, we applied a cut-off value of 1000 square meters of selling area to distinguish between traditional small-store and large-store models.
6
For multi-BM firms, core business model refers to a firm’s largest business model. We note that none of the sampled firms changed their core
business model over the time period studied. Typical examples of our sampled firms and their core business models include Amazon for the e-
commerce model, Save-A-Lot for the discount model, 7-Eleven for the traditional small-store model, and Carrefour for the traditional large-store
model.
7
While our interest is in examining the potential for demand-side synergies via BMD beyond the value creation potential of any single model in
isolation, we note that demand-side synergies can be created not only between business models, but also within business models. For example, in
music distribution, Apple’s business model combines the iPod (a product) and iTunes (a service) to create value at the demand side as customers
may perceive greater benefits from using the product and service in combination.

6
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

small- and large-store retail operations differ in their business logics. For example, while small-store models focus on unique locations
in the city center and limited assortments with personal services, big-box models focus on suburban areas and broad assortments with
limited services, requiring different systems of value chain activities such as real estate, supply chain, human resource, and marketing
management (e.g., Levy and Weitz, 2009). As such, the degree of BMD captures greater diversity in activity systems and business
logics.
As explained above, we expect that firms add business models sequentially (i.e., with diminishing marginal benefits), and that this
sequencing approach is in part based on demand relatedness, implying that the first additions tend to be more demand related and later
additions less demand related. As such, we expect this measure reflects well the degree of BMD while incorporating the concept of
demand relatedness. In a robustness check, we also used the sales-based entropy index (Palepu, 1985) and found consistent results. The
entropy index encompasses a firm’s BMD in terms of both breadth (number of business models) and depth (relative importance in
terms of sales of each business model).
Moderating variable. To operationalize financial shocks, we used financial crises that vary by country and year. We obtained this
information for the period between 1998 and 2010 from the systemic banking crises database (Laeven and Valencia, 2013), which
includes start and end years at the country level of all major financial crises such as the 1998 Asian financial crises and the 2008 global
financial crisis. We coded a dummy variable, which equals “1” for crisis years in a retailer’s home country, and “0” otherwise.8
Control variables. One advantage of our focus on the relatively homogenous group of retail firms is that we reduce potential
endogeneity problems of omitted variable bias arising from unobserved heterogeneity across industry sectors. To further reduce
potential issues of omitted variable bias, we included several variables to control for observable differences among our sampled firms
as discussed in prior work on the diversification-performance relationship (e.g., Ahuja and Novelli, 2017). First, we controlled for firm
size with the natural logarithm of a firm’s sales. Second, we controlled for firm growth with a firm’s percentage change in sales from
the last to the current year. Third, we used the sales-based entropy index to control for a retail firm’s degree of product diversification
across two-digit Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) retail industries (Palepu, 1985). Because the literature typically found an
inverted U-shaped relationship between product diversification and firm performance (Palich et al., 2000), we also included the
squared term of the product diversification variable in the performance analysis. Fourth, we also used the sales-based entropy index to
control for a retail firm’s degree of international diversification across countries (e.g., Hitt et al., 1997). Fifth, we used country-level
information provided by the World Bank to control for GDP per capita (logged), GDP growth, and the number of Internet users per 100
people in a retailer’s home country. As mentioned before, we used the home country because on average, our sampled firms realized 89
percent of their sales in the home country. Sixth, by using information on all firms in the Edge Retail Insight database, we also
controlled for several salient characteristics of the core BM in the given home country: similar to prior studies on diversification
decisions (e.g., Diestre and Rajagopalan, 2011), we included measures of core BM growth and concentration (sales-based Herfindahl
index).
And finally, we included year dummies and lagged the explanatory variables by 1 year.
Statistical method. We used an ordinary least squares (OLS) model to estimate performance implications of BMD. Results of the
Hausman test indicated that our predictor variables were correlated with time-invariant firm characteristics, suggesting that a fixed
effects (FE) rather than a random effects model should be used to condition out all time-invariant, firm-specific features that can affect
BMD and firm performance. Standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Robustness checks include an instrumental variables
analysis to address possible BMD endogeneity.

4.5. Diversification decision (Hypothesis 3)

While we used panel data analysis to estimate the performance implications of BMD, we used cross-sectional analysis to estimate
diversification decisions. In particular, following the approach of previous studies on the relationship between resource relatedness
and diversification propensity (e.g., Silverman, 1999; Diestre and Rajagopalan, 2011; Neffke and Henning, 2013), we estimated the
likelihood of diversification into new business models during the full 1999–2010 window as a function of demand relatedness and
control variables in 1998.9 Thus, the unit of analysis is the firm-target BM dyad. For example, our sample would include three ob­
servations for a retailer operating a single business model at the start of our observation window, where each observation represents a
possible new business model to add.
Dependent variable. The dependent variable Diversificationij is coded as a dummy variable that equals “1” if firm i enters business
model j at any point in time during the 1999–2010 window, and “0” otherwise. We measured existing business models of firm i in 1998
or the first year in which the firm appears in the Edge Retail Insight database.10 Any business model j that firm i did not operate is a
potential target business model during the period from 1999 to 2010. There were 229 existing firm-target BM observations and 371
potential entries.11

8
We chose the home country because on average, our sampled retail corporations achieve 89 percent of their sales in the home country and
typically add new business models first in the home country.
9
We chose this approach because our independent variable (demand relatedness) is time invariant.
10
Note that we obtained unbalanced panel data from Edge Retail Insight. If a given firm appears after 1998 in our dataset and/or disappears before
2010, we consider potential entries from the second year until the last year in which the firm is listed in the database.
11
There were no observations for two firms (Japan-based Aeon and Australia-based Woolworths), which already operated all four BMs in 1998. So,
the potential entries are 600–229 existing firm-target BM observations.

7
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

Independent variable. To operationalize the degree of demand relatedness, we categorized pairs of business models based on the
extent to which a particular customer may perceive a greater benefit from using the business models in combination, rather than in
isolation. This categorization approach is inspired by a long tradition in the strategy literature on diversification, which uses a hi­
erarchical system to categorize industries based on their relatedness. In particular, based on the seminal works of Rumelt (1982) and
Palepu (1985), strategy research typically focuses on product diversification, using the SIC code system to measure the degree of
resource relatedness between industries. While we use the same logic of relatedness, we focus on demand relatedness between business
models in the retail sector. Table 1 illustrates the categorization of demand relatedness for all possible core BM-target BM combinations
in our setting. Our independent variable Demand relatedness is an ordinal variable, with a value of “1” for combinations with a low
degree of demand relatedness, a value of “2” for combinations with an intermediate degree of demand relatedness, and a value of “3”
for combinations with a high degree of demand relatedness. Our explanation of the categorization begins from the perspective of
traditional (big-box and small-store) retailers, (i.e., the first two rows of Table 1); we discuss the high and low levels first and then the
intermediate level.
Previous research set in the retail context (e.g., Sohl et al., 2020) suggests that traditional retailers’ addition of online (or
e-commerce) BMs can be conceptualized as highly demand related (i.e., complementary from the perspective of consumers). Con­
sumers have a number of opportunities to utilize these business models in combination. For example, a customer shopping at a physical
Barnes and Noble location can visit bn.com while shopping in order to view book reviews from other customers. A Home Depot
customer can order a product online and arrange for pickup from a local store. Loyalty program points earned shopping at Office
Depot.com can be redeemed by a customer when purchasing office supplies at a nearby store.
In contrast to this high degree of demand relatedness, the combination of a traditional model with a discount model is largely
demand unrelated (i.e., substitutes from the perspective of consumers).12 Demand-side synergies tend to be customer-specific in that
their effectiveness depends on whether the firm serves the same customers across multiple models. Discount and traditional models
largely target different customers; given the lower-end focus of discount models, an inherent tension in quality levels exists when
attempting to share brands or integrate customer-facing activities across discount and traditional models (Porter, 1980). In sum, the
lack of customer overlap means a discount model generally provides relatively few opportunities for demand-side benefits for a
traditional retailer.
A traditional retailer achieves an intermediate level of demand relatedness with the addition of the other type of traditional model
(i.e., a traditional big-box retailer’s addition of a traditional small-store model, and vice versa). On the one hand, combining big-box
and small-store traditional models should offer greater potential for demand-side synergies than combining traditional and discount
models. Given the greater consistency of quality levels between the two traditional models relative to between traditional and discount
models, there is some potential for demand-side synergies because firms can share brands and customer-perceived benefits such as
loyalty programs between traditional business models (Christensen and Raynor, 2003). On the other hand, combining big-box and
small-store traditional models offers less potential for demand-side synergies than combining traditional and online models. Differ­
ences in the way activities (e.g., information search, ordering, delivery, and return) may be completed are key to the potential for
demand-side synergies; these activities are largely conducted similarly in big-box and small-store traditional retail meaning that
customers likely perceive a higher degree of substitution among these activities in this context, rather than seeing them as
complementary.
Moving down the rows of Table 1, we turn next to the perspective of a discount retailer. Using the same logic as above, the addition
of online retailing can be considered highly demand related as complementary activities may be combined by customers using both
models, while the addition of traditional retailing is associated with a low degree of demand relatedness. Finally, from the perspective
of an e-commerce retailer, this logic implies that all three store-based models can be considered as highly demand related as customers
would perceive any of the three store-based models as complementary to the activities of the original e-commerce model.
Control variables. The control variables of the entry analysis are as described above, but measured in 1998 or the first year in which
the firm appears in the Edge Retail Insight database.13 We also included industry dummies at the four-digit SIC code level (e.g., grocery
store (SIC 5411) and shoe store (SIC 5661)) and world region dummies in the cross-sectional analysis.
Statistical method. Following previous research (e.g., Silverman, 1999; Diestre and Rajagopalan, 2011; Neffke and Henning, 2013),
we used a logit model because our dependent variable is discrete and we were interested in an entry event’s likelihood but not in its
specific timing. We clustered standard errors at the firm level because we have multiple observations per firm.

5. Results

Of the 152 sampled firms, 89 firms (58.5%) entered the sample as single-BM firms. During the time period studied (1998–2010), 39
firms made a first diversification move (from 1 to 2 BMs), 29 firms made a second diversification move (from 2 to 3 BMs), and 13 firms
made a third diversification move (from 3 to 4 BMs).

12
Accordingly, retailers typically integrate customer-facing activities such as information searching, ordering, delivery, and return between offline
and online models but separate these activities between traditional and discount models. However, retailers might integrate back-end activities such
as purchasing and warehousing not only between online and offline models but also between traditional and discount models (e.g., Jacobsen et al.,
2017), suggesting that the potential for supply-side synergies is independent from the degree of demand relatedness. As such, we have no reason to
expect that supply-side synergies vary systematically with the degree of demand relatedness.
13
Using mean values of the control variables for the period from 1997 to 1998 or for the period from 1998 to 2010 produced consistent results.

8
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

Table 1
Operationalization of demand relatedness.
Degree of demand relatedness (DR)

Core BM/target BM Highest (DR=3) Intermediate (DR=2) Lowest (DR=1)

Traditional big box E-commerce Trad. small store Discount store


Traditional small store E-commerce Trad. big box Discount store
Discount store E-commerce n/a Traditional
E-commerce Traditional/discount store n/a n/a

Notes: n/a denotes not applicable. BM denotes business model.

To provide initial insight into whether the data support our theory, Table 2 reports descriptive statistics exploring whether there is a
natural “sequence” of the target business models that firms follow as they diversify. Results are quite striking: firms tend to first
diversify into the business model with the highest degree of demand relatedness (DR) (this BM was added in 74.4% of the first
diversification moves), then into the business model with the intermediate degree of DR (48.3% of the second diversification moves),
and finally into the BM with the lowest degree of DR (76.9% of the third diversification moves). This pattern is consistent with our
expectation that firms tend to prioritize the addition of new business models based on the degree of demand relatedness beyond any
resource relatedness.

5.1. Regression results for performance implications (Hypotheses 1 and 2)

Table 3 presents descriptive statistics and summarizes the correlations for the variables in our performance analysis sample. Table 4
reports the coefficients from the fixed effects (FE) model.
Model (1) shows the results of the control variables. The results in Model (2) test the inverted U prediction of Hypothesis 1, showing
that the coefficient of the linear BMD variable is positive and significant (β = 0.029, p < 0.01) and the coefficient of the quadratic BMD
variable is negative and significant (β = − 0.006, p < 0.05). The slope of the BMD variable at the low end of the BMD range (between 1
and 2 BMs) is positive and significant (β = 0.018, p < 0.01), while it is negative and significant (β = − 0.015, p < 0.05) at the high end of
the BMD range (between 3 and 4 BMs), consistent with the conclusion of an inverted-U relationship (cf., Haans et al., 2016). Taking
these results together, we conclude that Hypothesis 1 is supported. In terms of effect size of the estimated coefficients, the first
diversification move (from 1 to 2 BMs) is associated with an increase in ROA by 1.24 percentage points, the second diversification
move (from 2 to 3 BMs) increases ROA by 0.14 percentage points, and the third diversification move (from 3 to 4 BMs) decreases ROA
by − 0.96 percentage points.14
Model (3) tests the moderation prediction of Hypothesis 2 that the inverted U-shaped relationship is flatter during times of financial
crisis. The coefficient of the linear BMD variable interacted with the crisis dummy is negative and significant (β = − 0.031, p < 0.05)
and the coefficient of the quadratic BMD variable interacted with the crisis dummy is positive and significant (β = 0.007, p < 0.05),
indicating that the inverted U-shape is flatter during times of economic crises (Haans et al., 2016). Thus, our results support Hypothesis
2. As an example of effect size, the first diversification move (from 1 to 2 BMs) is associated with an increase in ROA by 1.59 percentage
points in non-crisis times relative to 0.44 percentage points in crisis times.
Fig. 1 illustrates the estimated direct and moderated effects estimated in Models (2) and (3) when all other variables are kept at
their sample means. As shown in Table 2 above, firms tend to add the BM with the highest degree of demand relatedness (DR) when
they move from 1 to 2 BMs, the BM with the intermediate degree of DR when they move from 2 to 3 BMs, and the BM with the lowest
degree of DR when they move from 3 to 4 BMs. This sequencing approach suggests that the positive part (from 1 to 2 BMs), inter­
mediate part (from 2 to 3 BMs) and negative part (from 3 to 4 BMs) of the inverted U (as illustrated in Fig. 1) can be explained by the
extent to which business models fit from a demand-side perspective.
Robustness checks and additional analysis. The OLS estimations reported in our performance analysis could potentially reflect
endogeneity of the BMD activity; the identification issue arises from the fact that a firm’s BMD can be endogenous to its performance.
To address this concern, we used an instrumental variables (IV) approach (2SLS regression model). Following Campa and Kedia
(2002), we developed our instruments to capture the overall attractiveness to diversify business models based on particular industry
factors. First, we included the average degree of BMD in a given two-digit SIC code retail industry and year. The higher the average
degree of BMD, the more attractive certain industry factors are for BMD. Our international dataset allowed us to use the worldwide
average of BMD in each industry, limiting the correlation of the instrument with the error term in the second stage. Second, we used for
each firm the annual fraction of sales by other firms in the two-digit SIC code retail industry accounted for by multi-business model
firms (i.e., the worldwide average across all countries in our sample).15 Using these instruments, we estimated a 2SLS regression model

14
For reference, the mean ROA is 9.68 percent (standard deviation: 6.55 percent).
15
As suggested by Angrist and Pischke (2009), we included the linear and squared term of these variables. Specifically, in our estimation of the
main effect (replicating Model (2) in Table 4), we used a total of four instruments to predict BMD and BMD squared in the first stage; in our
estimation of the moderating effect (replicating Model (3) in Table 4), we needed to also interact our instruments with the financial crisis dummy
variable, giving us a total of eight instruments in the first stage, predicting BMD, BMD squared, BMD interacted with crisis, and BMD squared
interacted with crisis. The instrumental variables were lagged by 1 year.

9
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

Table 2
Descriptive statistics for entry sequencing and demand relatedness.
Diversifying entry into business model with

N highest degree of DR intermediate degree of DR lowest degree of DR Total

First diversification move (from 1 to 2 BMs) 39 74.4% 20.5% 5.1% 100%


Second diversification move (from 2 to 3 BMs) 29 37.9% 48.3% 13.8% 100%
Third diversification move (from 3 to 4 BMs) 13 15.4% 7.7% 76.9% 100%

Notes: DR denotes demand relatedness. BM denotes business model. Reading example: During the time period studied, 39 firms made their first
diversification move (i.e., from 1 to 2 BMs). Among those 39 firms, 74.4% added the BM with the highest degree of demand relatedness, 20.5% added
the BM with an intermediate degree of demand relatedness and 5.1% added the BM with the lowest degree of demand relatedness in the first
diversification move.

with firm fixed effects (xtivreg2, fe command in STATA), including all other control variables described above. Unreported results
showed that the instrumental variables were valid (i.e., the set of IVs was both relevant and exogenous), and the second-stage
regression estimations were consisted with our fixed effects OLS results reported in Models (2) and (3) of Table 4, providing
further support for Hypotheses 1 and 2.
To further test the robustness of our performance analysis, we used return on sales (ROS) from Compustat as an alternative
profitability measure, computed as a retailer’s earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) expressed as a percentage of net sales. Using
ROS as dependent variable provided evidence consistent with the results reported in Table 4. While we described how both cost- and
revenue-based synergies may explain the inverted U-shaped relationship between BMD and performance, we were particularly
interested in illuminating the role of demand-side synergies that increase WTP. Given that firm-level information on WTP data is not
available in secondary datasets like ours, we elected to examine the moderating role of a demand shock, which we theorized to
negatively influence the WTP mechanism. To provide additional insights, we used the natural log of total firm sales as an alternative
dependent variable. This dependent variable captures consumer perceived benefits from demand-related BMD to the extent that
consumers spend more money on the products of firms that diversify into demand-related models. As shown in Table 5, results of this
robustness check were consistent with those reported in Table 4. Moreover, we performed a 99 percent winsorization of the dependent
variables and found consistent results, suggesting that our results are not biased by outliers. And finally, as mentioned earlier, we used
the entropy index to operationalize our independent variable (the degree of business model diversification); results were robust.
We performed supplemental analysis to shed additional light on the underlying mechanisms of the BMD-performance relationship.
In the development of Hypothesis 2, we argued that financial crises may not only reduce wealth and income but also consumer
confidence, leading consumer preferences to converge around satisfaction of more basic needs. Because GDP per capita captures the
average income of people in a country, and is commonly used to measure living standards, we added to the variables used in Model (3)
of Table 4 an interaction effect of the GDP per capita variable with BMD and BMD squared. Unreported results revealed that GDP per
capita accentuates the inverted U-shaped relationship between BMD and firm performance (p < 0.01), as would be expected if one
believes that income increases consumers’ willingness-to-pay for using business models with complementary value propositions.
Results also showed that the moderating effect of financial crisis in flattening the inverted U-shaped relationship between BMD and
performance remained (p < 0.01) even after controlling for interactions with GDP per capita. This finding suggests that financial crises
are indeed associated with psychological factors affecting consumer behaviour beyond a pure income effect.
In the following, we provide further insights into the relationship between demand relatedness and BMD beyond the descriptive
statistics shown in Table 2 by using multivariate logit regression analysis.

5.2. Regression results for diversification decisions (Hypothesis 3)

Table 6 reports descriptive statistics and correlations for the variables used in the analysis of diversification decisions. Table 7
presents the logit estimations in Models (1) and (2). Entry occurred in 81 of the 371 potential entries (21.8%).
Model (1) shows the results of the control variables, which are generally consistent with those reported in previous studies. For
example, as in prior work on industry diversification (e.g., Silverman, 1999; Diestre and Rajagopalan, 2011), results show that firm size
increases the likelihood of business model diversification (p < 0.01). Similar to Silverman’s (1999) result showing that target industry
growth increases the likelihood of diversification, we also found that target BM growth increases the likelihood that a firm will
diversify into that target BM (p < 0.01). Finally, while Diestre and Rajagopalan (2011) found a negative, insignificant effect of core
industry growth on the likelihood of industry diversification, our results show that core BM growth is significantly negatively asso­
ciated with the likelihood of BMD (p < 0.05).16
Model (2) tests Hypothesis 3 by adding the measure of demand relatedness. The coefficient of the Demand relatedness (DR) variable

16
In addition to these prior studies focusing on a single country, we also included a set of country-level control variables. We found that GDP per
capita tends to increase the likelihood of BMD (p < 0.10). This finding is consistent with the suggestion that income per capita increases consumers’
willingness-to-pay for variety (Sohl et al., 2020), increasing the opportunity to create demand-side synergies via BMD. The only potential surprise in
this regression is that the number of Internet users is negatively associated with the likelihood of BMD (p < 0.01). However, it is important to note
that this control variable is specific to additions of the e-commerce model, which represents only 1 out of 3 potential BM additions.

10
T. Sohl et al.
Table 3
Descriptive statistics and correlations for firm performance.
Mean SD Min Max 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

1. ROA 0.10 0.07 − 0.14 0.44 1.00


2. Number of BMs (BMD) 1.95 0.97 1.00 4.00 − 0.22 1.00
3. BMD2 4.72 4.43 1.00 16.00 − 0.21 0.98 1.00
4. Firm size (ln) 10.00 2.19 1.40 21.34 − 0.20 0.35 0.33 1.00
5. Firm growth 1.81 63.40 − 1.00 2340.1 0.01 0.00 − 0.01 − 0.01 1.00
6. Product diversification 0.25 0.31 0.00 1.50 − 0.12 0.54 0.49 0.19 − 0.02 1.00
11

7. Product diversification2 0.16 0.29 0.00 2.24 − 0.11 0.44 0.41 0.12 − 0.02 0.94 1.00
8. International divers. 0.34 0.52 0.00 2.81 0.10 0.27 0.30 0.01 − 0.02 0.15 0.09 1.00
9. Financial crisis 0.20 0.40 0.00 1.00 0.05 − 0.04 − 0.03 − 0.07 − 0.02 − 0.05 − 0.04 0.11 1.00
10. GDP per capita (ln) 10.46 0.68 7.48 11.24 0.11 − 0.26 − 0.23 − 0.02 − 0.11 − 0.16 − 0.12 − 0.06 0.16 1.00
11. GDP growth 2.35 2.93 − 8.27 14.16 0.00 0.05 0.05 − 0.10 0.08 0.02 0.03 0.01 − 0.40 − 0.51 1.00
12. Internet usersa 56.88 21.80 0.71 91.00 0.14 − 0.20 − 0.19 0.05 − 0.08 − 0.08 − 0.03 − 0.01 0.23 0.79 − 0.45 1.00
13. Core BM growth 0.02 0.38 0.00 13.81 − 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.12 − 0.01 0.08 0.07 0.01 0.02 − 0.04 0.06 − 0.14 1.00
14. Core BM concentration 0.21 0.20 0.03 1.00 − 0.10 0.23 0.21 0.17 0.04 0.25 0.21 0.10 − 0.14 − 0.46 0.13 − 0.49 0.08

Notes: N = 1362 firm-year observations. Correlations above |0.06| are significant at p < 0.05. BM denotes business model. aper 100 people.

Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215


T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

Table 4
FE regression results for firm performance.
DV: ROA Model (1) Model (2): H1 Model (3): H2

Number of business models (BMD) 0.029*** 0.039***


(0.011) (0.011)
BMD2 − 0.006** − 0.008***
(0.002) (0.002)
BMD × financial crisis − 0.031**
(0.012)
BMD2 × financial crisis 0.007**
(0.003)
Firm controls
Firm size − 0.002* − 0.002** − 0.003**
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
Firm growth 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.000***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Product diversification 0.005 0.006 0.004
(0.024) (0.024) (0.024)
Product diversification2 − 0.002 − 0.004 0.000
(0.021) (0.021) (0.021)
International diversification 0.019*** 0.019*** 0.019**
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
Country controls
Financial crisis − 0.010*** − 0.010*** 0.019
(0.004) (0.004) (0.012)
GDP per capita 0.032*** 0.031*** 0.028***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.006)
GDP growth 0.001 0.001 0.001**
(0.001) (0.001) (0.000)
Internet users − 0.000** − 0.000* − 0.000***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Country-BM controls
Core BM growth − 0.002 − 0.003 − 0.001
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
Core BM concentration 0.000 0.002 − 0.000
(0.010) (0.010) (0.008)
Constant − 0.785*** − 0.802*** − 0.705***
(0.209) (0.209) (0.164)
Firm dummies Y Y Y
Year dummies Y Y Y

R-squared 0.09 0.10 0.11


Observations 1362 1362 1362
Number of firms 152 152 152

Notes: Standard errors clustered at the firm level are in parentheses. BM denotes business model.
***, **, * indicate significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

is positive and significant (p < 0.001), suggesting that higher demand relatedness enhances the likelihood that a firm will diversify into
a target business model. Following the approach suggested by Hoetker (2007), we identified the marginal effect of demand relatedness
on the likelihood of BMD by accounting for the nonlinear nature of our logit regression model. We used mean values for all covariates
to calculate the predicted probability of BMD for each of the possible degrees of demand relatedness (i.e., lowest, intermediate, and
highest degree of DR). The predicted probability of business model diversification is 3.4 percent when a target BM has a low degree of
DR, 13.2 percent when a target BM has an intermediate degree of DR, and 29.0 percent when a target BM has a high degree of DR. Thus,
we conclude that Hypothesis 3 is supported by the evidence, as was suggested in the descriptive statistics in Table 2.
Robustness checks. We checked the robustness of our results by using different specifications and variable operationalizations. While
we focused on core BM-target BM combinations to calculate the degree of demand relatedness in the main analysis, we also considered
the sales weighted average of all existing business models in the firm portfolio to calculate the degree of demand relatedness relative to
a given target business model.17 Results were consistent with those reported in our main analysis. Moreover, to check whether our
results were driven by a specific type of business model addition, we excluded one by one each of the particular models from the choice
set of target BMs. Under this approach, when a firm operates a single BM in 1998, it could potentially diversify into two new business

17
For example, a firm might operate two business models and generate 90 percent of its sales with the core business model. If the demand
relatedness of a given target BM is lowest (DR = 1) relative to the core BM and highest (DR = 3) relative to the other BM in the firm portfolio, the
sales weighted average of DR for that target BM would be 0.9*1 + 0.1*3 = 1.2 (as opposed to 1 in the main analysis).

12
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

Fig. 1. Business model diversification and firm performance: direct and moderated effects.

Table 5
Robustness check: Using sales as dependent variable.
DV: LnSales Model (1): Model (2):
H1 H2

Number of business models (BMD) 1.423*** 1.691***


(0.282) (0.289)
BMD2 − 0.269*** − 0.325***
(0.058) (0.060)
BMD × financial crisis − 1.276***
(0.314)
BMD2 × financial crisis 0.267***
(0.067)
Controls Y Y
Firm dummies Y Y
Year dummies Y Y

R-squared 0.104 0.116


Observations 1362 1362
Number of firms 152 152

Notes: Standard errors clustered at the firm level are in parentheses.


***, **, * indicate significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

13
T. Sohl et al.
Table 6
Descriptive statistics and correlations for business model diversification decisions.
Mean SD Min Max 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1. Diversifying entry 0.22 0.41 0.00 1.00 1.00


2. Demand relatedness (DR) 1.92 0.84 1.00 3.00 0.26 1.00
3. Firm size (ln) 9.81 2.39 5.40 21.34 0.35 − 0.04 1.00
4. Firm growth 0.15 0.29 − 0.83 1.76 0.03 0.00 − 0.03 1.00
5. Product diversification 0.18 0.28 0.00 1.50 0.16 − 0.08 0.20 − 0.10 1.00
14

6. International diversification 0.23 0.41 0.00 2.43 0.03 − 0.02 0.00 − 0.05 0.08 1.00
7. GDP per capita (ln) 10.44 0.67 7.47 10.67 − 0.26 0.00 − 0.09 − 0.12 − 0.30 − 0.27 1.00
8. GDP growth 3.05 2.38 − 7.82 1.48 − 0.02 0.03 − 0.24 0.04 − 0.09 − 0.02 − 0.14 1.00
9. Internet usersa 38.07 22.13 0.71 83.89 − 0.25 − 0.05 0.02 − 0.09 0.05 0.17 0.40 − 0.29 1.00
10. Core BM growth 0.65 4.54 0.01 33.31 − 0.07 0.01 − 0.12 − 0.04 0.00 0.24 − 0.01 − 0.07 0.13 1.00
11. Target BM growth 9.49 10.57 0.39 75.75 0.10 − 0.02 0.00 0.08 0.24 − 0.04 − 0.32 0.20 0.02 − 0.10 1.00
12. Core BM concentration 0.41 0.25 0.15 1.00 0.18 − 0.02 0.26 0.02 0.22 − 0.02 − 0.30 0.23 − 0.16 − 0.13 0.35 1.00
13. Target BM concentration 0.43 0.33 0.13 1.00 0.34 − 0.03 0.65 0.02 0.18 − 0.03 − 0.30 − 0.14 − 0.05 − 0.12 0.04 0.28

Notes: N = 371 firm-BM observations. Correlations above |0.12| are significant at p < 0.05. BM denotes business model. aper 100 people.

Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215


T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

Table 7
Logit regression results for business model diversification decisions.
DV: Diversifying entry Model (1) Model (2): H3

Demand relatedness (DR) 1.212***


(0.225)
Firm controls
Firm size 0.323*** 0.414***
(0.090) (0.114)
Firm growth 0.317 0.385
(0.401) (0.466)
Product diversification 0.694 0.933
(0.468) (0.617)
International diversification 0.292 0.343
(0.367) (0.484)
Country controls
GDP per capita 0.350* 0.495*
(0.193) (0.258)
GDP growth 0.016 0.046
(0.059) (0.064)
Internet users − 0.034*** − 0.038***
(0.008) (0.011)
Country-BM controls
Core BM growth − 0.146** − 0.192*
(0.061) (0.106)
Target BM growth 0.036*** 0.051***
(0.013) (0.016)
Core BM concentration − 0.593 − 0.702
(0.533) (0.658)
Target BM concentration 0.846 0.895
(0.867) (1.035)
Constant − 13.427** − 20.634***
(5.501) (7.642)
Industry dummies (four-digit SIC) Y Y
Region dummies Y Y

Pseudo R-squared 0.27 0.37


Log pseudolikelihood − 142.38 − 122.73
Chi-square 242.35*** 164.91***
LR-test vs. specification (1) 39.30***

Potential entries (observations) 371 371


Realized entries 81 81

Notes: Standard errors clustered at the firm level are in parentheses. BM denotes business model.
***, **, * indicate significance at 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

models (as opposed to three new BMs in the main analysis). Results were robust to the exclusion of any specific target BM, suggesting
that for any choice set of target BMs, firms are more likely to choose the target BM with the highest degree of demand relatedness.

6. Discussion

A number of studies have observed that firms increasingly operate multiple business models at the same time, recognizing that the
issue of which business models to combine under the corporate umbrella represents a significant question to an increasing number of
firms. The primary motivation for our project was a desire to build upon and extend this research area by examining BMD across a
fuller range of diversification activity. Our efforts result in new perspectives on this important phenomenon and a clearer under­
standing of the role of demand-side factors in business model diversification. More specifically, our work enhances insight into the role
of these factors in not only the sequencing of business model additions but also in the performance implications of BMD. Our empirical
analyses of 152 public retail firms from 25 countries revealed an inverted U-shaped relationship between the degree of BMD and
performance, indicating that a moderate degree of BMD is the highest performing. Our analyses further indicated that firms do indeed
sequence business model diversification moves, and an important factor driving these decisions is the demand relatedness of new
models. Finally, we believe that researchers also now have clearer appreciation of the notable role contingent factors can play in the
link between BMD and performance. Moreover, our work showing how crises are intertwined with the benefits of BMD demonstrates a
previously unexamined effect of financial crises.

15
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

6.1. Research implications

To the best of our knowledge, our work provides the first large-scale investigation of how the overall degree of business model
diversification is associated with firm profitability. The shape of the relationship between degree of diversification and performance
has been a fundamental question in both the industry (Palich et al., 2000) and geographic (Cardinal et al., 2011) diversification lit­
eratures. We explain why a similar inverted U-shaped relationship exists for BMD; in doing so, we demonstrate the importance of
integrating both supply- and demand-side benefits of diversification alongside potential costs of diversification in order to understand
the overall BMD-performance relationship.
Our work also represents the first systematic evidence of how firms prioritize business model diversification decisions. In contrast
to prior product diversification studies (e.g., Silverman, 1999) that typically emphasize the importance of resource relatedness to
understanding diversification decisions and the resultant performance outcomes, our work highlights the importance of demand
relatedness in understanding business model diversification. As such, it further demonstrates the value of establishing links between
the business model and demand-side literatures, and it is consistent with recent calls in the business model and diversification lit­
eratures for greater focus on demand-side considerations (Ahuja and Novelli, 2017; Demil et al., 2015; Lanzolla and Markides, 2021;
Massa et al., 2017; Priem et al., 2018).
We believe that our choice of moderator provides additional support to a conclusion that demand-related effects are important to
the results we observe. This is because from a demand-side perspective, diversification should create less value in times of financial
crises because greater income uncertainty should decrease consumers’ willingness-to-pay premium prices for the concurrent use of
multiple offerings from the same firm. In contrast, supply-side synergies are unlikely to differ substantially during times of economic
shock. By revealing that financial crises flatten the inverted U relationship between BMD and firm performance, our findings suggest
that demand-side synergies seem to be a driving mechanism of the benefits underlying the BMD-performance relationship.
Our study also complements prior empirical demand-side research. For example, Mawdsley and Somaya (2018) show that law firms
tend to diversify in response to their customers’ prior diversification moves. We add to this research by showing how another
customer-related characteristic, namely heterogenous customer preferences, may provide an important explanation of decisions
around operating multiple business models in a portfolio and the sequencing of diversification moves. Our focus on negative
demand-side shocks also extends and complements prior work that has mainly examined effects of positive demand-side shocks (e.g.,
Aggarwal and Wu, 2015; Argyres et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2020). Given evidence from prospect theory that consumers react more
strongly to losses than to gains (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979), it is important to investigate negative as well as positive shocks.
Moreover, a focus on negative income shocks should be particularly appropriate to study customer-specific mechanisms such as how
the BMD-performance relationship might depend on customers’ WTP for variety.
We also complement the strategy literature on the measurement of diversification and relatedness. Based on the seminal works of
Rumelt (1982) and Palepu (1985), strategy research has typically focused on product diversification, using the Standard Industrial
Classification (SIC) code system to operationalize the degree of diversification and relatedness. Our study provides a first step towards
the development of a business model classification from a demand-side perspective. In addition to the specific business models
identified in our particular context, we hope that additional identification and definition of business models will lead to the devel­
opment of a fine-grained business model classification system, which can be used for further theoretical development and empirical
tests in the business model literature, including the constructs of business model diversification and demand relatedness.
Overall, our theory and evidence suggest that strategy scholars interested in examining business model choice and the associated
performance implications should be aware of omitted variable bias if business models are examined in isolation without considering
the overall degree of BMD in a firm’s portfolio. The value creation mechanism of a business model depends in part on the model’s
interrelationships with the firm’s other models in the portfolio, and the sequencing of a focal model’s addition to the portfolio provides
an important indicator of the extent of these interrelationships. As such, our findings also suggest that questions around business model
design are likely influenced by the business model’s position in the firm’s overall BM portfolio.

6.2. Managerial implications

Business model diversification represents an important strategic decision for firms facing heterogeneous consumer needs and re­
quirements. Our results suggest the existence of an optimal level of BMD; some diversification is beneficial to create and exploit
synergies without incurring overwhelming costs. But, managers should be particularly wary of high levels of diversification where
there are relatively diminished benefits of extending into less related models while costs continue to increase.
The example of two French-based grocery retailers, Carrefour and Auchan, is consistent with these practical cautions. Both
generate their largest sales share with traditional big-box business models, and although Carrefour is larger in size, Auchan’s profits
exceeded those of Carrefour by roughly 25 percent in 2010 (Deloitte, 2012). They differ in their BMD approach, and the results of our
study suggest that differences in the two retailers’ BMD decisions could be an important explanation for the variation in their per­
formance. While Carrefour diversified across all four types of business models (i.e., traditional big-box, traditional small-store,
e-commerce, and discount), Auchan focused on adding the traditional small-store and e-commerce models. Consequently, Auchan’s
BMD strategy appears to have been superior. Carrefour’s former CEO, Lars Olofsson, stated that the firm’s strategy is to become leaner,
stronger, and more focused on its core customers (Carrefour, 2011). Thus, Carrefour’s decision to divest its discount business ‘Dia’
could be related to the firm’s recognition that its BMD may have resulted in lower profitability relative to competitors.
Finally, managers should be also aware that the performance benefits of BMD depend on macro-environmental conditions. For
example, managers should expect demand-side benefits of BMD to decrease during times of financial crises that negatively affect

16
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

consumers’ willingness-to-pay for variety.

6.3. Limitations and future research questions

Our analysis is not without limitations, although these limitations suggest opportunities for future research in several instances.
First, we were obviously constrained in the number of contingent factors that we could investigate. Deeper theoretical understanding
will require developing greater knowledge of the boundary conditions of the primary relationship by identifying additional moder­
ating characteristics. The more mature industry and international diversification literatures have followed growth paths featuring
significant amounts of work dedicated to investigating such contingencies. Similar work lies ahead for the business model diversifi­
cation literature. Our choice of economic shock was motivated by our interest in demand-side mechanisms and by calls for greater
attention to demand-related factors in diversification and business model research. In particular, we believe our choice of financial
crises was particularly appropriate to capture our mechanism of interest—demand-side synergies. While studies have shown that risk
reduction can explain why unrelated product diversification creates more value during a financial crisis (Kuppuswamy and Villalonga,
2016), such benefits should be less salient in our context of BMD if cash flows are more correlated across business models than across
industries during financial shocks. Future research interested in examining potential risk-reduction benefits of BMD could therefore
focus on other types of negative shocks, such as the recent COVID pandemic. During periods of lockdown, firms operating both online
and offline models may have a corporate advantage because they can meet the new demand structure more effectively than rivals with
a lower degree of digitalization.
Future research could also complement our study by examining moderation effects of positive demand-side shocks (see, e.g.,
Argyres et al., 2015). Are the moderating effects of positive and negative demand-side shocks symmetric or asymmetric? If they are
asymmetric, do customers react stronger to the occurrence of negative income shocks as predicted by prospect theory? We also invite
future research to explore additional contingencies of the business model diversification-performance relationship. In addition to the
external factor considered in our study, future research could also consider internal characteristics of firms such as organizational
culture and structure that lead to variance in the performance benefits of BMD.
A second limitation is that our study largely takes customer preferences as given (exogenous); however, firm actions may affect
those preferences over time. Recent research has begun to investigate how firms might “shape” demand-side landscapes (Vinokurova,
2019). We see promise in extending these ideas to the business model diversification literature. Specifically, future research could
investigate the extent to which firms may be able to shape preferences via BMD (e.g., by combining customer-focused activities across
demand-related models) and the tactics that are more or less effective in shaping those preferences.
Third, our net inverted U-shaped relationship between BMD and performance is explained by the underlying causal mechanisms of
business model diversification. However, as with most large-scale empirical studies, our data do not allow us to directly observe these
mechanisms. Additional research with more detailed benefit and cost measures would allow clearer verification of the underlying
mechanisms. Similarly, following the approach of studies such as Snihur and Tarzijan (2018) and Snihur et al. (2018), future quali­
tative research could shed additional light on the theoretical mechanisms underlying the BMD-performance relationship. For example,
how exactly do firms create and exploit synergies among business models? How do firms configure activities in order to benefit from
demand-side synergies when they diversify across business models? Do firms experience additional benefits or costs of BMD, above and
beyond the ones discussed in our study?
In addition to these primary areas of extension, we see a variety of secondary extension opportunities as well. The general phe­
nomenon of business model diversification is obviously not limited to the retail sector, so we suggest future research build on our study
by testing business model diversification in different empirical settings. This will help establish the generalizability of our findings on
the BMD-performance relationship and sequencing of BMD.
We also see several additional opportunities for future research that arise at the intersection of our work and the growing spate of
empirical demand-side research. For example, while Mawdsley and Somaya (2018, 2021) explain “client-led diversification” across
product markets, future work can extend our study by focusing on a business-to-business (B2B) context to examine the extent to which
BMD may be inspired by customers’ diversification moves. Future research could also examine the interaction effects of supply- and
demand-side synergies via BMD in reducing the threat of market entry, building on Uzunca’s (2018) empirical work that shows how
the combination of incumbents’ supply- and demand-side capabilities can deter new entrants. Cozzolino and Verona (2022) examine
how newspaper organizations adapted to Internet distribution by distinguishing three levels of adaptation (i.e., resources, demand,
and ecosystem), suggesting a promising path for future work is using their three-level framework to illuminate how firms might build
their business model portfolio. Similarly, extending recent work on incumbent responses to environmental changes, future research
could examine how demand-side changes (Wang et al., 2020) or market information regime changes (Zanella et al., 2021) might
inspire firms to adapt their business model portfolio, especially if these changes are long-term trends. Moreover, Visnjic et al. (2016)
show how business model innovation and product innovation are tied to firm performance, suggesting an interesting area for future
research is examining how BMD could be combined with product innovation and how such combinations affect performance.
Finally, an area for future research is considering how resource characteristics are linked to types of business models and BMD
decisions. Levinthal and Wu (2010) distinguish between scale-free resources (e.g., knowledge that can be shared contemporaneously
across markets) and non-scale free resources (e.g., employees that can only be used in one market at a given point in time). Because
non-scale free resources have opportunity costs in their current use, Wu (2013) shows that diversification decisions can be inspired by
changes in relative demand across markets. Since technology is a scale-free resource, e-businesses may tend to have a greater stock of
scale-free resources than non-digital businesses. Recent research using a demand-side perspective to study international expansion has
started to illuminate how firms can leverage digital assets across geographic markets (Shaheer and Li, 2020; Shaheer et al., 2020). This

17
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

raises some interesting questions around BMD decisions as well. For example, while an online shop might be easily scaled for expansion
of a single model, it might be more costly to share such digital assets across models. In contrast, certain digital assets such as artificial
intelligence might be less BM-specific and more fungible; thus, they could be more efficiently shared across business models. So, future
research could identify digital assets that explain when e-businesses are more likely to favor single model expansion over BMD.
Overall, such work will further extend this growing and important research stream that is developing deeper understanding of the
antecedents and performance implications associated with the simultaneous operation of multiple business models in one
organization.
In conclusion, by integrating research on BMD and demand-side theory, we developed several predictions of how firm performance
may vary with the overall degree of BMD and how firms may sequence business model additions, and provided empirical evidence
consistent with these predictions. Our findings have important implications for strategy research on business models, suggesting that
questions around the choice of business model design and the performance implications of business models should consider the focal
model’s position within the firm’s broader business model portfolio. Specifically, our results clarify how and under what conditions
demand relatedness between business models can create value beyond the value creation potential of any single business model in
isolation. By illuminating how negative demand shocks affect the BMD-performance relationship and how demand relatedness inspires
firms to sequence business model additions, our study also contributes more generally to the development of demand-side theory in
strategic management research. Overall, our effort to build understanding of the performance and entry sequencing effects of business
model diversification further extends research recognizing the business model as a central concept in management research.

Author Statement

Timo Sohl: Conceptualization; Data curation; Formal analysis; Methodology; Software; Visualization; Writing – original draft;
Writing – review & editing. Brian T. McCann: Conceptualization; Formal analysis; Methodology; Writing – original draft; Writing –
review & editing. Govert Vroom: Conceptualization; Data curation; Formal analysis; Methodology; Writing – review & editing.

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to acknowledge financial support from the Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad, Grant/Award
Number: PID2020-115660 GB-100 and Agència de Gestió d’Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca, Grant/Award Number: 2017 SGR 1244.

References

Aggarwal, V.A., Wu, B., 2015. Organizational constraints to adaptation: intrafirm asymmetry in the locus of coordination. Organ. Sci. 26, 218–238.
Ahuja, G., Novelli, E., 2016. Incumbent responses to an entrant with a new business model: resource co-deployment and resource re-deployment strategies. In:
Folta, T.B., Helfat, C.E., Karim, S. (Eds.), Advances in Strategic Management. Emerald Group Publishing, Bingley, UK, pp. 125–153, 35.
Ahuja, G., Novelli, E., 2017. Redirecting research efforts on the diversification-performance linkage: the search for synergy. Acad. Manag. Ann. 11, 42–390.
Amit, R., Zott, C., 2001. Value creation in e-business. Strat. Manag. J. 22, 493–520.
Angrist, J.D., Pischke, J.S., 2009. Mostly Harmless Econometrics: an Empiricist’s Companion. Princeton University Press, Princeton.
Argyres, N., Bigelow, L., Nickerson, J.A., 2015. Dominant designs, innovation shocks, and the follower’s dilemma. Strat. Manag. J. 36, 216–234.
Aversa, P., Haefliger, S., Hueller, F., Reza, D., 2021. Customer complementarity in the digital space: exploring Amazon’s business model diversification. Long. Range
Plan. 54, 101985.
Baden-Fuller, C., Morgan, M.S., 2010. Business models as models. Long. Range Plan. 43, 156–171.
Brea-Solís, H., Casadesus-Masanell, R., Grifell-Tatjé, E., 2015. Business model evaluation: quantifying Walmart’s sources of advantage. Strateg. Entrep. J. 9, 12–33.
Campa, J.M., Kedia, S., 2002. Explaining the diversification discount. J. Finance 57, 1731–1762.
Cardinal, L.B., Miller, C.C., Palich, L.E., 2011. Breaking the cycle of iteration: forensic failures of international diversification and firm performance research. Global
Strat. J. 1, 175–186.
Carrefour, 2011. Investor day: a new step forward in Carrefour’s strategy. Available at. http://www.carrefour.com/sites/default/files/COMMUNIQUE%20UK%
2017%20MAIDEF.pdf.
Casadesus-Masanell, R., Ricart, J.E., 2010. From strategy to business models and onto tactics. Long. Range Plan. 43, 195–215.
Casadesus-Masanell, R., Tarzijan, J., 2012. When one business model isn’t enough. Harvard Business. Rev. 1–6.
Casadesus-Masanell, R., Zhu, F., 2010. Strategies to fight ad-sponsored rivals. Manag. Sci. 56, 1484–1499.
Casadesus-Masanell, R., Zhu, F., 2013. Business model innovation and competitive imitation: the case of sponsor-based business models. Strat. Manag. J. 34, 464–482.
Chesbrough, H., Rosenbloom, R.S., 2002. The role of the business model in capturing value from innovation: evidence from Xerox Corporation’s technology spin-off
companies. Ind. Corp. Change 11, 529–555.
Christensen, C.M., Raynor, M.E., 2003. The Innovator’s Solution: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth. Harvard Business Review Press, Boston.
Christensen, C.M., Tedlow, R.S., 2000. Patterns of disruption in retailing. Harvard Business. Rev. 6–9.
Cozzolino, A., Verona, G., 2022. Responding to Complementary-Asset Discontinuities: A Multilevel Adaptation Framework of Resources, Demand, and Ecosystems.
Organization Science (in press).
Deleersnyder, B., Dekimpe, M.G., Sarvary, M., Parker, P.M., 2004. Weathering tight economic times: the sales evolution of consumer durables over the business cycle.
Quant. Market. Econ. 2, 347–383.
Deloitte, 2012. Global powers of retailing 2012: switching channels. Available at: http://www.deloitte.com/assets/Dcom-Global/Local%20Assets/Documents/
Consumer%20Business/dtt_CBT_GPRetailing2012.pdf.
Demil, B., Lecocq, X., 2010. Business model evolution: in search for dynamic consistency. Long. Range Plan. 43, 227–246.
Demil, B., Lecocq, X., Ricart, J.E., Zott, C., 2015. Introduction to the SEJ special issue on business models: business models within the domain of Strategic
Entrepreneurship. Strateg. Entrep. J. 9, 1–11.
Diestre, L., Rajagopalan, N., 2011. An environmental perspective on diversification: the effects of chemical relatedness and regulatory sanctions. Acad. Manag. J. 54,
97–115.
Gielens, K., Dekimpe, M.G., 2007. The entry strategy of retail firms into transition economies. J. Market. 71, 196–212.
Haans, R.F., Pieters, C., He, Z.L., 2016. Thinking about U: theorizing and testing U- and inverted U-shaped relationships in strategy research. Strat. Manag. J. 37,
1177–1195.

18
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

Hitt, M.A., Hoskisson, R.E., Kim, H., 1997. International diversification: effects on innovation and firm performance in product-diversified firms. Acad. Manag. J. 40,
767–798.
Hoetker, G., 2007. The use of logit and probit models in strategic management research: critical issues. Strat. Manag. J. 28, 331–343.
Jacobsen, R., Parker, G., Jensen, T., Magnus, J., Gottstein, H., Hepp, M., Urda, B., 2017. How Discounters Are Remaking the Grocery Industry. BCG, p. 21.
Kahneman, D., Tversky, A., 1979. Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica 47, 263–291.
Kamakura, A., Du, R.Y., 2012. How economic contractions and expansions affect expenditure patterns. J. Consum. Res. 39, 229–247.
Kim, S.K., Min, S., 2015. Business model innovation performance: when does adding a new business model benefit an incumbent? Strateg. Entrep. J. 9, 34–57.
Kuppuswamy, V., Villalonga, B., 2016. Does diversification create value in the presence of external financing constraints? Evidence from the 2007–2009 financial
crisis. Manag. Sci. 62, 905–923.
Laeven, L., Valencia, F., 2013. Systemic banking crises database. IMF Econ. Rev. 61, 225–270.
Lamey, L., Deleersnyder, B., Dekimpe, M.G., Steenkamp, J.B., 2007. How business cycles contribute to private label success: evidence from the United States and
Europe. J. Market. 71, 1–15.
Lanzolla, G., Markides, C., 2021. A business model view of strategy. J. Manag. Stud. 58, 540–553.
Levinthal, D.A., Wu, B., 2010. Opportunity costs and non-scale free capabilities: profit maximization, corporate scope, and profit margins. Strat. Manag. J. 31,
780–801.
Levy, M., Weitz, B.A., 2009. Retailing Management. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Markides, C., Charitou, C.D., 2004. Competing with dual business models: a contingency approach. Acad. Manag. Exec. 18, 22–36.
Massa, L., Tucci, C.L., Afuah, A., 2017. A critical assessment of business model research. Acad. Manag. Ann. 11, 73–104.
Mawdsley, J.K., Somaya, D., 2018. Demand-side strategy, relational advantage, and partner-driven corporate scope: the case for client-led diversification. Strat.
Manag. J. 39, 1834–1859.
Mawdsley, J.K., Somaya, D., 2021. Relational embeddedness, breadth of added value opportunities, and business growth. Organ. Sci. 32, 1009–1032.
Montgomery, C.A., Hariharan, S., 1991. Diversified expansion by large established firms. J. Econ. Behav. Organ. 15, 71–89.
Neffke, F., Henning, M., 2013. Skill relatedness and firm diversification. Strat. Manag. J. 34, 297–316.
Osterwalder, A., Pigneur, Y., 2010. Business Model Generation: a Handbook for Visionaries, Game Changers, and Challengers. Wiley, New York.
Palich, L.E., Cardinal, L.B., Miller, C.C., 2000. Curvilinearity in the diversification-performance relationship: an examination of over three decades of research. Strat.
Manag. J. 21, 155–174.
Palepu, K., 1985. Diversification strategy, profit performance and the entropy measure. Strat. Manag. J. 6, 239–255.
Penrose, E.T., 1959. The Theory of the Growth of the Firm. Wiley, New York.
Porter, M.E., 1980. Competitive Strategy. Free Press, New York.
Prahalad, C.K., Bettis, R.A., 1986. The dominant logic: a new linkage between diversity and performance. Strat. Manag. J. 7, 485–501.
Priem, R.L., Butler, J.E., Li, S., 2013. Toward reimagining strategy research: retrospection and prospection on the 2011 AMR decade award article. Acad. Manag. Rev.
38, 471–489.
Priem, R.L., Li, S., Carr, J.C., 2012. Insights and new directions from demand-side approaches to technology innovation, entrepreneurship, and strategic management
research. J. Manag. 38, 346–374.
Priem, R.L., Wenzel, M., Koch, J., 2018. Demand-side strategy and business models: putting value creation for consumers center stage. Long. Range Plan. 51, 22–31.
Rietveld, J., 2018. Creating and capturing value from freemium business models: a demand-side perspective. Strateg. Entrep. J. 12, 171–193.
Rumelt, R.P., 1982. Diversification strategy and profitability. Strat. Manag. J. 3, 359–369.
Sabatier, V., Mangematin, V., Rousselle, T., 2010. From recipe to dinner: business model portfolios in the European biopharmaceutical industry. Long. Range Plan. 43,
431–447.
Shaheer, N.A., Li, S., 2020. The CAGE around cyberspace? How digital innovations internationalize in a virtual world. J. Bus. Ventur. 35, 1058–1092.
Shaheer, N., Li, S., Priem, R., 2020. Revisiting location in a digital age: how can lead markets accelerate the internationalization of mobile apps? J. Int. Market. 28,
21–40.
Silverman, B.S., 1999. Technological resources and the direction of corporate diversification: toward an integration of the resource-based view and transaction cost
economics. Manag. Sci. 45, 1109–1124.
Snihur, Y., Tarzijan, J., 2018. Managing complexity in a multi-business-model organization. Long. Range Plan. 51, 50–63.
Snihur, Y., Thomas, L.D., Burgelman, R.A., 2018. An ecosystem-level process model of business model disruption: the disruptor’s gambit. J. Manag. Stud. 55,
1278–1316.
Sohl, T., Vroom, G., McCann, B.T., 2020. Business model diversification and firm performance: a demand-side perspective. Strateg. Entrep. J. 14, 198–223.
Teece, D.J., 1982. Towards an economic theory of the multiproduct firm. J. Econ. Behav. Organ. 3, 39–63.
Teece, D.J., 2010. Business models, business strategy and innovation. Long. Range Plan. 43, 172–194.
Uzunca, B., 2018. A competence-based view of industry evolution: the impact of submarket convergence on incumbent-entrant dynamics. Acad. Manag. J. 61,
738–768.
Vinokurova, N., 2019. Reshaping demand landscapes: how firms change customer preferences to better products. Strat. Manag. J. 40, 2107–2137.
Visnjic, I., Wiengarten, F., Neely, A., 2016. Only the brave: product innovation, service business model innovation, and their impact on performance. J. Prod. Innovat.
Manag. 33, 36–52.
Wang, T., Aggarwal, V.A., Wu, B., 2020. Capability interactions and adaptation to demand-side change. Strat. Manag. J. 41, 1595–1627.
Wu, B., 2013. Opportunity costs, industry dynamics, and corporate diversification: evidence from the cardiovascular medical device industry, 1976–2004. Strat.
Manag. J. 34, 1265–1287.
Ye, G., Priem, R.L., Alshwer, A.A., 2012. Achieving demand-side synergy from strategic diversification: how combining mundane assets can leverage consumer
utilities. Organ. Sci. 23, 207–224.
Zanella, P., Cillo, P., Verona, G., 2021. Whatever you want, whatever you like: how incumbents respond to changes in market information regimes. Strat. Manag. J. (in
press).
Zott, C., Amit, R., 2008. The fit between product market strategy and business model: implications for firm performance. Strat. Manag. J. 29, 1–26.
Zott, C., Amit, R., 2010. Designing your future business model: an activity system perspective. Long. Range Plan. 43, 216–226.
Zott, C., Amit, R., Massa, L., 2011. The business model: recent developments and future research. J. Manag. 37, 1019–1042.

Timo Sohl is an Assistant Professor of Strategic Management at Pompeu Fabra University and Affiliated Professor at UPF Barcelona School of Management. Timo
received his Ph.D. from the University of St. Gallen, Switzerland. His research interests include corporate strategy and business models. Timo’s work has been published
in leading journals such as Strategic Management Journal, Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal, and Academy of Management Discoveries, and has been awarded several prizes
from the international research community, including the Corporate Strategy IG Best Paper Award from the Strategic Management Society and the Distinguished Paper
Award from the Academy of Management.

Brian T. McCann is the David K. Wilson Professor of Management at Owen Graduate School of Management, Vanderbilt University. He received his Ph.D. from Purdue
University. Professor McCann’s research interests span strategic management and entrepreneurship. His work has appeared in such leading journals as the Strategic
Management Journal, Organization Science, Academy of Management Journal, Journal of Business Venturing, Journal of Management Studies, and the Journal of Management.

Govert Vroom is a Professor of Strategic Management at IESE Business School. Govert received his Ph.D. from INSEAD. His doctoral dissertation received the Blackwell
Outstanding Dissertation Award for the best doctoral dissertation in the Business Policy and Strategy division of the Academy of Management in 2006. Govert’s research

19
T. Sohl et al. Long Range Planning 55 (2022) 102215

interests include competitive strategy, corporate diversification, strategy in the networked economy, and entrepreneurship. His work has been published in leading
scholarly journals such as Academy of Management Journal, Management Science, Strategic Management Journal, and Organization Science.

20

You might also like