National Defence - Defence Strategic Review - Autralia (Avril2023)
National Defence - Defence Strategic Review - Autralia (Avril2023)
National Defence - Defence Strategic Review - Autralia (Avril2023)
DEFENCE
DEFENCE
STRATEGIC
REVIEW
20
23
Defence acknowledges the Traditional Custodians of Country throughout Australia.
Defence recognises their continuing connection to traditional lands and waters and
would like to pay respect to their Elders both past and present.
Defence would also like to pay respect to the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander
people who have contributed to the defence of Australia in times of peace and war.
ISBN: 978-1-925890-66-2
This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968
(Cwth), no part may be reproduced by any process without prior written permission
from the Department of Defence.
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Contents
National Defence Statement 2023.............................................5
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The Government is grateful to His Excellency, the Hon Stephen Smith, and Air Chief
Marshal Sir Angus Houston AK AFC (Ret’d) for leading this timely and consequential
work. It is the most ambitious review of Defence’s posture and structure since the
Second World War.
The Government supports the strategic direction and key findings set out in the
Review, which will inform all aspects of Australia’s defence policy, planning and
resourcing over the coming decades.
At the same time, the effects of climate change across the region are amplifying our
challenges, while other actions that fall short of kinetic conflict, including economic
coercion, are encroaching on the ability of countries to exercise their own agency and
decide their own destinies.
Since the 1980s, globalisation and the opening of the Australian economy have
given rise to decades of growth and increased prosperity for the Australian people.
Australia’s economy has become more interconnected with the Indo-Pacific and
the world. In turn, this means Australia has a fundamental interest in protecting our
connection to the world and in the global rules-based order upon which international
trade depends.
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In this environment, we must sharpen our focus on what our interests are, and how to
uphold them. Our focus needs to be on: how we ensure our fate is not determined by
others; how we ensure our decisions are our own; and how we protect our way of life,
our prosperity, our institutions and our economy.
These interests demand we deploy all elements of our national power in statecraft
seeking to shape a region that is open, stable and prosperous: a predictable region,
operating by agreed rules, standards and laws, where sovereignty is respected. That
statecraft includes deepening diplomatic engagement with the many other countries
facing similar circumstances.
It also requires strong defence capabilities of our own and working with partners
investing in their own capabilities. We aim to change the calculus so no potential
aggressor can ever conclude that the benefits of conflict outweigh the risks.
This is how Australia contributes to the strategic balance of power that keeps the
peace in our region, making it harder for countries to be coerced against their
interests.
The defence of Australia’s national interests lies in the protection of our economic
connection with the world and the maintenance of the global rules-based order.
Accordingly, the Australian Defence Force (ADF) must have the capacity to:
As most of these objectives lie well beyond our borders, the ADF must have the
capacity to engage in impactful projection across the full spectrum of proportionate
response. The ADF must be able to hold an adversary at risk further from our shores.
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The Government deeply appreciates those who serve in the ADF and is committed
to ensuring our people have the capabilities and resources they need. Delivering the
Government’s vision and implementing the findings of the Review will require a more
holistic approach to defence planning and strategy.
Australia must have a fully integrated and more capable ADF operating across five
domains which work seamlessly together on joint operations to deliver enhanced and
joined-up combat power.
Navy must have enhanced lethality – including through its surface fleet and
conventionally-armed, nuclear-powered submarines – underpinned by a continuous
naval shipbuilding program.
Army must be optimised for littoral operations in our northern land and maritime
spaces and provide a long-range strike capability.
Air Force must provide the air support for joint operations in our north by conducting
surveillance, air defence, strike and air transport.
Defence must also continue to develop its cyber and space capabilities.
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Defence must have the funding it needs to deliver this enhanced capability. To this
end, Defence funding will increase over the next decade above its current trajectory
to implement the Review, including the delivery of the conventionally-armed,
nuclear-powered submarine program through AUKUS.
The Government is also committed to fiscal discipline and will make the hard decisions
to cancel or reprioritise Defence projects or activities that are no longer suited to
our strategic circumstances as outlined in the Review. This will involve reprioritising
planned investments while maintaining the overall level of Defence funding over the
forward estimates.
Indeed, the recommendations of the Review work in concert with other Government
policy priorities which enhance our security and build our economic resilience. These
include:
our efforts to recruit, train and skill more Australians for jobs in defence and
related industries;
our investments in research and development, manufacturing, and supply
chains; and
our commitments to increasing output of domestically produced renewable
energy, improving our domestic fuel reserves, and establishing a civil maritime
strategic fleet.
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A stable relationship between Australia and China is in the interests of both countries
and the broader region. Australia will continue to cooperate with China where we can,
disagree where we must, manage our differences wisely, and, above all else, engage in
and vigorously pursue our own national interest.
These actions will set the course for the defence of Australia over the coming decades
in a manner that promotes peace and stability, and helps keep Australians safe.
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National Defence –
Defence Strategic Review
Foreword
On 3 August 2022, we were asked to conduct a Defence Strategic Review (the Review),
with wide-ranging terms of reference and to report to the Government in time for
consideration by March 2023. We reported to the Government on 14 February 2023.
The short period we had for the Review is in contrast to the traditional time afforded
for such comprehensive assessments of force posture, force structure and capability,
namely 12–18 months. In the context of our current strategic circumstances, which
have further deteriorated from those outlined in the 2020 Defence Strategic Update,
the short timetable helped our task. In particular it provides an example of the
strong sense of urgency that is needed in the response required from Defence, the
Government and the nation to address our strategic challenges.
Our aim for the Review was twofold: to provide a strategic assessment and a
far-reaching strategy for the nation and the Government, as well as a roadmap for
Defence to implement our recommendations.
This is the public version of the Review. It is necessarily qualitatively different from
our 14 February 2023 version. It is less detailed, as many of the judgements and
recommendations in the Review are sensitive and classified.
The full classified Review is also strategic in nature, and will require significant effort
and commitment to implement. Many of these challenges will require a whole-of-
government and whole-of-nation effort.
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Introduction
An Australian Defence Force Posture Review was last undertaken in 2012 in strategic
circumstances far different to those facing the Australian nation today. The conduct of a new
Defence Strategic Review (‘The Review’) that considers both force posture and force structure
is now required to ensure that Defence has the right capabilities that are postured to meet the
growing strategic challenges that Australia and its partner countries will face in the world in
coming years.
The Review is to be a holistic consideration of Australia’s Defence force structure and posture
by including force disposition, preparedness, strategy and associated investments, including all
elements of Defence’s Integrated Investment Program.
Background
The 2020 Defence Strategic Update and 2020 Force Structure Plan recognised the trends
identified in the 2016 Defence White Paper were accelerating at a rate faster than anticipated.
The world is undergoing significant strategic realignment. Military modernisation, technological
disruption and the risk of state-on-state conflict are complicating Australia’s strategic
circumstances. These strategic changes demand the Australian Government re-assess the
capabilities and posture of the Australian Defence Force and broader Department of Defence.
Purpose
The purpose of the Review is to consider the priority of investment in Defence capabilities
and assess the Australian Defence Force’s structure, posture and preparedness in order to
optimise Defence capability and posture to meet the nation’s security challenges over the
period 2023-24 to 2032-33 and beyond.
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The Review will take into account the capability investment, force posture and preparedness
implications of Defence policy and plans, cognisant of relationships with partners and allies.
The Review may be informed by other information the Independent Leads deem significant.
Task
The Independent Leads are to prepare a Review in time for National Security Committee of
Cabinet consideration no later than March 2023.
The Review must outline the future strategic challenges facing Australia, which may require
an Australian Defence Force operational response.
The Review must identify and prioritise the estate, infrastructure, disposition, logistics and
security investments required to provide Australia with the Defence force posture required
by 2032-33.
The Review must consider all elements of the Integrated Investment Program and provide
recommendations for the Program’s reprioritisation, particularly in light of recently
announced large-scale projects, to provide Australia with the force structure required by
2032-33.
The Review must outline the investments required to support Defence preparedness, and
mobilisation needs to 2032-33.
The Review must outline funding needs to 2032-33 to ensure longer-term strategic
investments are progressed.
Recommendations
The Review will make recommendations in relation to Defence force structure, force
posture, and preparedness over the period 2023-24 to 2032-33 and beyond; and on any
other matters which are deemed appropriate to the Review’s outcomes.
Interim Report
An interim report will be provided after the Independent Leads have completed their initial
analysis.
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Acknowledgements
We thank and acknowledge the many people who enabled the completion of the
Review within 28 weeks. Our particular thanks are extended to the Defence Strategic
Review Secretariat which provided support throughout the Review. We thank those
who provided their time and thoughts to the Review through their public submissions
and/or interviews by us. The Secretary and the Chief of the Defence Force were
unwavering in their cooperation, providing us with open access to Defence. The
enthusiastic response from Defence to our requests for information or support was
greatly appreciated. We thank the Consul-General Honolulu, staff at the Australian
Embassy in Washington, D.C., and staff at the Australian High Commission in London
for their assistance with our consultations in Hawaii, Washington, D.C., and London.
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Executive Summary
Defence policy and strategy serve to secure peace and prosperity. In addressing the
Terms of Reference provided by the Government, our objective has been the provision
of recommendations that seek to maintain our nation’s sovereignty, security and
prosperity.
Our approach for this Review is to chart a pathway for the Government to urgently
advance our nation’s security and our National Defence in these challenging times.
The platform for reform is strong. Australia has a strong and deep Alliance with
the United States, a professional defence force and defence organisation, and an
enviable international reputation as a capable country in military, peacekeeping, and
humanitarian assistance and disaster relief operations.
During this period, Australia has faced significant security risks, but our current
strategic circumstances are now radically different.
Our Alliance partner, the United States, is no longer the unipolar leader of the
Indo-Pacific. The region has seen the return of major power strategic competition,
the intensity of which should be seen as the defining feature of our region and time.
Strategically, we may have already entered a decisive period for the Indo-Pacific. As a
result, our ability to address the reduced strategic warning time identified in the
2020 Defence Strategic Update has come into sharper relief.
Climate change will increase the challenges for Defence and Australia, including
increased humanitarian assistance and disaster relief tasks at home and abroad.
The strategic risks we face require the implementation of a new approach to defence
planning, force posture, force structure, capability development and acquisition.
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This approach is no longer fit for purpose. As a result, this Review has outlined a
new strategic conceptual approach to Australia’s defence planning and strategy –
National Defence.
National Defence is focused on the defence of Australia in the face of potential threats
in our region. Our nation and its leaders must take a much more whole-of-government
and whole-of-nation approach to security.
This approach requires much more active Australian statecraft that works to support
the maintenance of a regional balance of power in the Indo-Pacific. This requires
deepening diplomatic engagement and stronger defence capabilities to help deter
coercion and lower the risk of conflict.
Australia also needs to continue to expand its relationships and practical cooperation
with key powers, including Japan and India, and invest in regional architecture.
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The ADF needs a much more focused force that can respond to the risks we face. It
should be informed by net assessment and able to effect a strategy of denial.
To maximise the deterrence, denial and response options for the Government, the
ADF must evolve into a genuine Integrated Force which harnesses effects across all
five domains: maritime, land, air, space and cyber.
The ADF’s operational success will depend on the ability of the Integrated Force to
apply the following critical capabilities:
The Defence Science and Technology Group and the new Advanced Strategic
Capabilities Accelerator must enable our research and industry sectors to focus
their work on the development of advanced and asymmetric capabilities in key
technological areas.
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The Integrated Force also requires effective joint enablers. Theatre-level logistics need
to be optimised to enable operations and sustainment of the force. The immediate
focus should be on consolidating ADF guided weapons and explosive ordnance
(GWEO) needs.
Workforce
Defence faces significant workforce challenges. This demands an innovative and bold
approach to recruitment and retention.
Both the ADF and Australian Public Service (APS) workforces are understrength,
while the contractor workforce has become the largest single component workforce
element in Defence.
Defence must look to new markets and make further major changes to risk and
policy settings to increase retention and the speed of recruitment. Pay and service
conditions as well as workplace culture for both the APS and ADF should be highly
competitive in the labour market.
Defence must move away from processes based around project management risk
rather than strategic risk management. It must be based on minimum viable capability
in the shortest possible time.
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More funding will be required. Defence spending must reflect the strategic
circumstances our nation faces.
Defence policy development must move away from intermittent white papers to a
biennial National Defence Strategy. This will allow for Defence policy development to
keep pace with a rapidly evolving strategic environment and ensure consistency across
government.
The risks we face are profound and the roadmap we have provided in the Review is
far-reaching. We believe the Review is the most substantial and ambitious approach
to Defence reform recommended to any Australian Government since the Second
World War.
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1.2 At times, the strategic risks faced by Australia have been significant. In the early
post-Second World War period, the onset of the Cold War, the risk of a third
world war and the threat of nuclear armageddon were real prospects. Australia,
however, was geographically remote from the strategic centre of gravity in
Europe and the Northern Hemisphere. Regional conflicts in the 1950s, 1960s
and 1970s posed a threat in the near region, but no power in the (now called)
Indo-Pacific could contest the United States or fundamentally challenge or
change the United States-led post-war order.
1.3 In the latter Cold War period, Australia faced no direct military threat. The
post-Cold War era that followed the collapse of the Soviet Union featured the
emergence of the United States-led unipolar order. The Global War on Terror
era, although politically and militarily very significant, did not pose an existential
threat to Australia, nor to the United States-led regional strategic order.
1.4 Australia’s strategic circumstances and the risks we face are now radically
different. No longer is our Alliance partner, the United States, the unipolar leader
of the Indo-Pacific. Intense China-United States competition is the defining
feature of our region and our time. Major power competition in our region has
the potential to threaten our interests, including the potential for conflict. The
nature of conflict and threats have also changed.
1.5 Regional countries continue to modernise their military forces. China’s military
build-up is now the largest and most ambitious of any country since the end
of the Second World War. This has occurred alongside significant economic
development, benefiting many countries in the Indo-Pacific, including Australia.
This build-up is occurring without transparency or reassurance to the Indo-Pacific
region of China’s strategic intent. China’s assertion of sovereignty over the
South China Sea threatens the global rules-based order in the Indo-Pacific in a
way that adversely impacts Australia’s national interests. China is also engaged in
strategic competition in Australia’s near neighbourhood.
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1.7 As a result of this new strategic reality, our view is that this is not ‘just another
Defence review’ that will shuffle available resources, or tweak the balance of the
ADF. This Review, in conjunction with the acquisition of conventionally-armed,
nuclear-powered submarines, will reshape the force structure, posture and
capability of Defence for coming decades – and necessarily so.
1.8 The strategic risks we face require the implementation of a new approach to
planning, force posture, force structure, capability development and acquisition.
1.10 As a consequence of the risk that Australia now faces, our nation and its leaders
must take a much more whole-of-government and whole-of-nation approach to
security. Defence must take a much more integrated approach.
1.13 In the post-Second World War period, Australia was protected by its geography
and the limited ability of other nations in the region to project power. Defence
and the nation had a 10-year warning time as the foundation for planning,
capability development and preparedness for conflict.
1.14 In the contemporary strategic era, we cannot rely on geography or warning time.
Regional military modernisation, underpinned by economic development, has
meant that more countries are able to project combat power across greater
ranges in all five domains: maritime, land, air, space and cyber. Emerging and
disruptive technologies are being rapidly translated into military capability.
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1.15 While there is at present only a remote possibility of any power contemplating
an invasion of our continent, the threat of the use of military force or coercion
against Australia does not require invasion. More countries are able to project
combat power across greater ranges, including against our trade and supply
routes, which are vital for Australia’s economic prosperity. Cyber warfare is not
bound by geography. The rise of the ‘missile age’ in modern warfare, crystallised
by the proliferation of long-range precision strike weapons, has radically reduced
Australia’s geographic benefits, the comfort of distance and our qualitative
regional capability edge.
1.16 The 2020 Defence Strategic Update ended the long-standing assumption in
Defence planning that Australia would have a 10-year warning time.
1.17 Ending warning time has major repercussions for Australia’s management of
strategic risk. It necessitates an urgent call to action, including higher levels of
military preparedness and accelerated capability development.
1.18 These activities require increased Defence spending and a move away from
a business-as-usual approach to policy development, risk management and
Defence preparedness.
1.19 Instead of a 10-year warning time, the Review has identified three distinct time
periods for Defence planning:
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2.2 The adoption of the Indo-Pacific strategic framework was a deeply significant
change to the basis of Australian defence planning.
2.3 The Indo-Pacific is the most important geostrategic region in the world. It
is a region whose stability and global integration has ushered in decades of
prosperity and enabled the incredible growth of regional economies, including
China.
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2.6 For military planning, in terms of our strategic geography, the primary area
of military interest for Australia’s National Defence is the immediate region
encompassing the north-eastern Indian Ocean through maritime Southeast Asia
into the Pacific. This region includes our northern approaches.
Recommendation:
• Australia’s immediate region encompassing the north-eastern
Indian Ocean through maritime Southeast Asia into the Pacific,
including our northern approaches, should be the primary area
of military interest for Australia’s National Defence.
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3 National Defence –
A Whole-of-Government Approach
National Defence
3.1 The circumstances described in the 2020 Defence Strategic Update and subsequent
comprehensive assessments of our regional security environment require a
coherent national strategic response.
3.2 These are not strategic circumstances for Defence to grapple with alone. We need
both a unifying national strategic approach and a new approach to our nation’s
defence.
3.4 The 1976 Defence White Paper focused formally for the first time on this strategic
concept. The independent review of Defence capabilities, the 1986 Dibb Review,
embedded that concept into defence planning doctrine and it became the basis for
the 1987 Defence White Paper.
3.5 After terrorist attacks on the United States on 11 September 2001, Australia’s focus
turned sharply to the Global War on Terror and Middle East expeditionary force
operations until the mid-2010s.
3.6 Throughout this period the Defence of Australia doctrine remained in place, limited
to low-level regional-based threats. However, from 2001, operational pressures
from Australia’s commitments to these conflicts shifted the focus to capability and
operational design suited to the Middle East. This had a major adverse impact on
capability development for the Defence of Australia concept.
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3.11 Adopting the National Defence concept will be the most substantial and
ambitious approach to Defence recommended to any Australian Government
since the Second World War.
A whole-of-government approach
3.13 Government must engage with National Defence in a joined-up
whole-of-government manner. Strategic coordination and execution across
government is essential to implement a national strategy and to ensure
Defence’s alignment with this strategic approach. A vital element to ensure this
approach is followed through is Government commitment, will and persistence,
and clear direction to Defence and other government entities.
Statecraft
3.15 National Defence must be anchored in a broader national strategy. This strategy
should harness all elements of national power to protect Australia’s strategic
interests, and contribute to the maintenance of a regional balance of power in
the Indo-Pacific that is favourable to our interests.
3.16 Our approach to statecraft must include measures internal and external to
Australia and build on actions already underway. Internal measures have
included: increased defence and national security spending; the reorganisation
of elements of the national intelligence and national security community;
substantial investments in cyber security; changes to foreign investment laws;
and measures to resist foreign interference and protect critical infrastructure.
3.17 External approaches have included measures such as: the adoption of the
strategic framework of the Indo-Pacific; expanding regional strategic multilateral,
trilateral and bilateral partnerships, including the reinstatement of the Quad
partnership with Japan, India and the United States; enhancing United States
Alliance force posture arrangements in Australia; capability development
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3.19 Statecraft also requires the utilisation of all elements of national power, the
alignment of all supporting government policy, economic resilience and a
consistent strategic narrative.
3.21 Statecraft must be driven and directed by a clear sense of national strategy and
be coordinated across government through a clear and holistic national strategic
approach.
3.22 Defence’s role in this whole-of-nation strategy is critical. Military power enables
pursuit of a wide range of Australian interests in peacetime and is fundamental
to deterring conflict, defending Australia, and denying an adversary in the event
of armed conflict.
Recommendations:
• National Defence should be adopted as the strategic approach
for defence planning.
• A whole-of-government and whole-of-nation approach to our
strategic environment should be adopted.
• The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) should be
appropriately resourced to lead a nationally determined and
strategically directed whole-of-government statecraft effort in
the Indo-Pacific.
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4.2 Deterrence can be achieved through raising the costs or reducing the benefits to
an adversary through denial, dissuasion or punishment.
4.3 Deterrence exists in an adversary only as a ‘state of mind’. This makes credibility
in deterrence especially important, while also making the success of deterrence
posture and effects very difficult to assess.
4.4 Deterrence strategy and practice is evolving. In military terms it now spans five
domains: maritime, land, air, space and cyber.
4.5 This requires new ways of thinking about the holistic deployment of Australian
national power to ensure the perceived costs and risks to an adversary remain
greater than the perceived benefit.
4.6 Current Australian defence policy is based on deterrence through denial. This
military application of deterrence theory is based on the concept of establishing
effective defence capabilities relative to the threat.
4.8 However, Australia does not have effective defence capabilities relative to
higher threat levels. In the present strategic circumstances, this can only be
achieved by Australia working with the United States and other key partners
in the maintenance of a favourable regional environment. Australia also needs
to develop the capability to unilaterally deter any state from offensive military
action against Australian forces or territory.
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4.10 In our current strategic circumstances, the risk of nuclear escalation must be
regarded as real. Our best protection against the risk of nuclear escalation is the
United States’ extended nuclear deterrence, and the pursuit of new avenues of
arms control.
4.12 Resilience requires the ability to withstand, endure and recover from disruption.
Resilience makes Australia a harder target and less susceptible to coercion.
Critical requirements include:
an informed public;
national unity and cohesion;
democratic assuredness;
robust cyber security, data networks and space capabilities;
supply chain diversity;
economic security;
environmental security;
fuel and energy security;
enhanced military preparedness;
advanced munitions manufacturing (especially in long-range
guided weapons);
robust national logistics; and
a national industrial base with a capacity to scale.
4.13 A high level of resilience would signal to an adversary the extent of Australia’s
resolve to defend itself. This would contribute to deterrence.
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5.2 Climate change holds a number of significant implications for Defence. The
acceleration of major climate events risks overwhelming the Government’s
capacity to respond effectively and detracting from Defence’s primary objective
of defending Australia. Climate events already place concurrency pressures on
the ADF and this has negatively affected force preparedness, readiness and
combat effectiveness.
5.4 State and local governments, in partnership with the Commonwealth, must have
in place the necessary plans, resources and capabilities to deal with all but the
most extreme domestic disaster operations.
5.5 Defence must be the force of last resort for domestic aid to the civil community.
This is critical given the urgent geostrategic risks that the nation faces and the
need for the ADF to be in a position to respond to regional contingencies.
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Recommendations:
• The Commonwealth should work with the states and territories
to develop national resilience and response measures for
adverse climate change at the local level without the need of
ADF support, except in the most extreme emergencies.
• Defence should be the force of last resort for domestic aid to
the civil community, except in extreme circumstances.
• Defence should accelerate its transition to clean energy to
increase our national resilience, with a plan to be presented to
the Government by 2025.
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6 Defence Partnerships
6.1 To protect Australia’s strategic interests, we must contribute to the maintenance
of a regional balance of power in the Indo-Pacific that is favourable to our
interests.
6.3 Contrary to some public analysis, our Alliance with the United States is becoming
even more important to Australia. This will increasingly include working
more closely with the United States and other partners. Recent advances in
the United States-Japan Alliance and the Australia-Japan Special Strategic
Partnership, as well as the Australia-United States-Japan trilateral relationship,
are key indicators of the deepening relationships between the United States and
its allies in the Indo-Pacific.
6.4 The Australia-United States Alliance, enabled through the ANZUS Treaty, will
continue to grow and adapt. In the context of the Alliance and the deteriorating
strategic environment, Australia must be more self-reliant so we are able to
contribute more to regional stability.
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6.7 Southeast Asia is one of the key areas of strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific.
Investing in partnerships in this region will be critical to maintaining the regional
strategic balance.
6.8 The Pacific is critical to the security of Australia and the region. Australia’s
positive work in development assistance, disaster response and multilateralism
remains essential. New Zealand is a key partner for Australia in the Pacific.
6.9 Australia is a significant Indian Ocean state with the longest Indian Ocean
coastline and the region’s largest search and rescue area.
6.10 Australia must continue to expand its relationships and practical cooperation
with key powers, including Japan and India.
6.12 We must also enhance minilateral cooperation and trilateral partnerships, as well
as engagements with the EU, its member countries and NATO, centred on their
Indo-Pacific strategies.
6.13 Engagement with the United Kingdom in the Indo-Pacific must be enhanced,
including through AUKUS.
6.14 To maximise efforts, Australia must take a more focused and strategic approach.
This means greater coordination between DFAT, Defence and other key
government entities.
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6.16 In the Pacific and Southeast Asia, the Defence Cooperation Program brand is
considered an exemplar of defence diplomacy. The assistance provided through
the program is also a key pillar of our broader bilateral relationships in the region;
deepening cultural ties and developing enduring people-to-people links.
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Defence strategy
7.1 Based on the Review’s assessment of our current strategic environment, we
recommend the Government directs Defence to adopt a strategy of denial.
Strategy of denial
A strategy of denial is a defensive approach designed to stop an
adversary from succeeding in its goal to coerce states through force,
or the threatened use of force, to achieve dominance.
Denial is associated with the ability and intent to defend against, and
defeat, an act of aggression.
7.2 For Australia, this strategy of denial must be focused on our primary area of
military interest. The key is the presence of a robust ADF. The strategy of denial
must also recognise the importance of non-geographic security threats, including
cyber, space and long-range missile capabilities.
7.3 A strategy of denial for the ADF must focus on the development of anti-access/
area denial capabilities (A2AD). Anti-access capabilities are usually long-range
and designed to detect an adversary and prevent an advancing adversary from
entering an operational area. Area-denial capabilities are shorter range and
designed to limit an adversary’s freedom of action within a defined operational
area. A2AD is often synonymous with long-range strike capability, undersea
warfare and surface-to-air missiles.
7.4 The development of a strategy of denial for the ADF is key in our ability to deny
an adversary freedom of action to militarily coerce Australia and to operate
against Australia without being held at risk.
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7.8 The Defence planning framework must also assess different potential levels of
conflict, as the core strategic risks in each are different. This is critical to ensure
Defence priorities are developed on the basis of the levels of conflict that are
credible now and for the foreseeable future, and the time available to develop
military capability to respond.
Force design
7.9 The key focus of the proposed Defence planning framework is the process to
translate strategic policy into a proposed future force structure that can be
realised within the available resources and timeframes.
7.10 Defence’s force design processes must be reformed to more effectively operate
as the design driver of the ADF, and ensure single-service priorities support
integrated capability effects. Defence’s force design must also address the
current bias towards platforms. A platform that cannot be crewed, or does not
have weapons to fire at a range to achieve the desired operational or strategic
effect, will not serve us well in the current strategic environment.
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7.11 The adoption of this approach will necessarily lead to a very different force
structure and posture to what the ADF has today. More attention and resources
must be devoted to crucial future-focused joint capabilities such as information
warfare, cyber capabilities, electronic warfare, and guided weapons and
explosive ordnance. Force design must also embrace changes to mindsets and
technologies to deliver competitive advantage.
Recommendation:
• Force structure planning should be based on the Review.
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8.2 The ADF’s current force structure is not fit for purpose for our current strategic
circumstances.
Balanced Force
A balanced force is designed to be able to respond to a range of
contingences when the strategic situation remains uncertain. This
force design required that the ADF respond to low-level threats
related to continental defence, regional operations in support of
Australian interests and global support to our Alliance partner, the
United States.
8.4 The force structure of the ADF must now be framed around the concept of
a focused force, based on the assumptions in the Review, and the critical
capabilities required as a consequence.
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Focused Force
This conceptual approach to force structure planning will lead to a
force designed to address the nation’s most significant military risks.
8.6 The current joint force, namely the combined effect of Navy, Army and Air Force
working together, does not appropriately reflect the growth of domains. The
evolution to five domains – maritime, land, air, space and cyber – demands a
new approach.
8.7 The ADF must rapidly evolve into a genuine Integrated Force, which harnesses
effects across all of the five domains. The Integrated Force must be optimised for
National Defence.
8.8 In effecting our strategy of denial in Australia’s northern approaches, the ADF’s
operational success will depend on the ability of the Integrated Force to apply
the following critical capabilities:
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8.10 Given the strategic circumstances and limited resource base we face, investing
in the critical capabilities will require divesting, delaying, or re-scoping other
activities that do not advance the attributes of the Integrated Force.
8.11 Changes in the Integrated Investment Program (IIP) to realise the Integrated
Force will require immediate decisions to realise time, resource (both workforce
and financial) and cultural change.
8.12 This will include rescheduling delivery, reducing in scale, or divesting programs
and previously envisaged core projects not suited for the strategic circumstances
outlined in the Review.
8.15 Defence must further reprioritise the IIP in line with the force structure priorities,
force design guidance and the strategic assessments in the Review.
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Recommendations:
• Projects should be immediately delayed or cancelled to enable
funds and workforce in the forward estimates and planning
decade to be reallocated to higher priority capabilities.
• The Integrated Investment Program (IIP) should be rebuilt in
line with the force structure design priorities outlined in the
Review.
8.17 It must be able to provide a network of fully enabled northern operational bases,
a series of bases in depth to support the Defence enterprise and identification of
relevant civil infrastructure for Defence needs.
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8.23 Such a fleet should consist of Tier 1 and Tier 2 surface combatants in order to
provide for increased strike, air defence, presence operations and anti-submarine
warfare.
8.24 Enhancing Navy’s capability in long-range strike (maritime and land), air defence
and anti-submarine warfare requires the acquisition of a contemporary optimal
mix of Tier 1 and Tier 2 surface combatants, consistent with a strategy of a larger
number of smaller surface vessels.
8.25 This would significantly increase Navy’s capability through a greater number
of lethal vessels with enhanced long-range strike (maritime and land) and
air defence capabilities, together with the ability to provide presence in our
northern maritime approaches.
8.27 Navy faces the most significant workforce challenges of the three services.
Assuring an adequate workforce to sustainably meet enterprise priorities and
transformation, government-directed tasking, readiness for future contingencies,
and transitioning new and technologically advanced capabilities into service is
Navy’s biggest challenge.
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Recommendations:
• An independent analysis of Navy’s surface combatant fleet
capability should be conducted in Q3 2023 to ensure its
size, structure and composition complement the capabilities
provided by the forthcoming conventionally-armed, nuclear-
powered submarines. The analysis must assess: the capability
requirements to meet our current strategic circumstances as
outlined in the Review, as well as the cost, schedule, risks and
the continuous shipbuilding potential of each option.
• The acquisition of a conventionally-armed, nuclear-powered
submarine capability in the shortest possible timeframe should
be prioritised as part of AUKUS Pillar I.
8.30 Enhanced domestic security and response Army Reserve brigades will be
required to provide area security to the northern base network and other critical
infrastructure, as well as providing an expansion base and follow-on forces.
8.31 The land domain force structure design priorities must result in significant
changes to Army force posture and structure. Army’s combat brigades must be
re-roled and select capabilities postured in northern Australia.
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8.34 We strongly support the decision to acquire the High Mobility Artillery Rocket
System (HIMARS) and its associated missiles. We further recommend the
acquisition of additional HIMARS and strongly support the ongoing
co-development and rapid acquisition of the Precision Strike Missile in all its
forms.
8.35 Meeting the most demanding land combat tasks will require new infantry
fighting vehicles. Our assessment is that the LAND 400 Phase 3 – Land Combat
Vehicle System (Infantry Fighting Vehicle) acquisition must be reduced from
450 to 129 vehicles. This will provide one mechanised battalion in particular for
littoral manoeuvre, including training, repair and attrition stock.
8.37 Army must cancel LAND 8116 Phase 2 – Protected Mobile Fires (the second
regiment of self-propelled howitzers). These systems do not provide the required
range or lethality. The cancellation of this program, in addition to savings from
the reduction of LAND 400 Phase 3, will help enable the acceleration and the
acquisition of additional HIMARS and a land-based maritime strike capability.
8.38 The acquisition of the UH-60M Black Hawk and AH-64E Apache provides the
opportunity to posture the majority of Defence’s battlefield aviation in Townsville
to enable a robust air-mobile capability. This includes basing the AH-64E Apache
capability in Townsville.
8.39 The battlefield aviation capability will be supported by two industry nodes
centred on: Townsville (Boeing Australia servicing the AH-64E Apache and
CH-47 Chinook) and Sydney/Nowra/Southeast Queensland (Sikorsky Australia
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servicing UH-60M Black Hawk and Navy’s MH-60R Sea Hawk). This has been a
recommendation of several reviews into the management and employment of
Defence’s battlefield aviation capability. We strongly support this approach.
Recommendations:
• Army should be structured and postured in accordance with
the land domain force structure design priorities outlined in
the Review.
• LAND 8710 Phases 1-2 – Army Littoral Manoeuvre Vessels
(Landing Craft Medium and Heavy) should be accelerated and
expanded.
• LAND 8113 Phases 2-4 – Long-Range Fires (HIMARS) and
LAND 4100 Phase 2 – Land-Based Maritime Strike should be
accelerated and expanded.
• LAND 400 Phase 3 – Land Combat Vehicle System (Infantry
Fighting Vehicle) acquisition should be reduced to 129 vehicles
to provide one mechanised battalion.
• LAND 8116 Phase 2 – Protected Mobile Fires (second regiment
of Army self-propelled howitzers) should be immediately
cancelled.
• The delivery of landing craft, long-range fires, and infantry
fighting vehicles should be synchronised.
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8.42 Air Force must increase the numbers of critical positions and implement a
scalable aircrew training system to meet aircrew requirements across the force,
commensurate with operational requirements.
8.43 Air combat crewing requires a new approach which is consistent with our
strategic circumstances. Air Force must develop a plan to increase aircrew
numbers to ensure that air combat and P-8 maritime squadrons have the
crewing to operate all available aircraft at high tempo. This will substantially
increase preparedness in the mid to long-term.
8.45 MQ-28A Ghost Bat is a sovereign autonomous air vehicle designed to operate as
part of an integrated system of crewed and uncrewed aircraft and space-based
capabilities. MQ-28A is intended to be an attritable platform, which costs less
than a crewed platform, and can be replaced rapidly. This program should be a
priority for collaborative development with the United States.
8.46 The Review has undertaken detailed discussions in Australia and the United
States in relation to the B-21 Raider as a potential capability option for Australia.
In light of our strategic circumstances and the approach to Defence strategy and
capability development outlined in this Review, we do not consider the B-21 to
be a suitable option for consideration for acquisition.
Recommendations:
• Long-Range Anti-Ship Missile should be integrated onto the
F-35A and the F/A-18F platforms. Joint Strike Missile should
also be integrated onto the F-35A.
• Options should be developed for collaboration and technology
sharing with the United States in the development of MQ-28A
Ghost Bat.
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Space
8.47 Defence’s space capability must be optimised for capability assurance and
communications provision.
8.49 As Australia’s civil and military space capabilities progress, Defence must
consider the level of sovereign capability needs. This must be offset by the cost
requirements of such capabilities against opportunities to collaborate with the
United States and other partners.
8.52 At this stage there is no need to generate a separate Space Force. However, it is
essential that Space Command becomes a command within the Joint Capabilities
Group and the Chief of Joint Capabilities be given a dedicated funding line, with
appropriate authorities to manage it.
8.53 Space Command has the requisite funding for large projects allocated in the IIP but
it is not phased correctly. Space Command also requires additional investment for
smaller, rapid acquisition projects. Given the speed of technological developments
in space, the current capability life-cycle process is too slow. Defence must adopt
an approach that emphasises speed of capability acquisition including off-the-shelf
(commercial and military) capabilities.
Recommendations:
• Space Command should be moved into Joint Capabilities Group
from 1 July 2023.
• A centralised space domain capability development and
management function should be established.
• A method should be established for building and sustaining a
trained Defence space workforce, including a defined career
path for space professionals.
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C4 and architectures
C4 consists of the information systems, networks, computers and
other tools required to support command across the spectrum
of Defence operations. C4 is the critical backbone for providing
connectivity of trusted and relevant information and data exchange.
8.55 Defence must adopt an open architecture approach in both hardware and
software. In doing so, Defence will reduce integration complexity and costs, and
break down barriers for Australian industry participation.
Recommendation:
• An open architecture approach should be adopted by Defence
in both hardware and software.
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8.58 Defence must enhance its cyber domain capabilities to deliver the required
responsiveness and breadth of capability to support ADF operations. This must
focus on: integrating the defence and management of Defence’s C4 networks
and architectures; delivering a coherent and, where possible, centralised
cyber domain capability development and management function; and building
and sustaining a trained Defence cyber workforce.
8.59 To meet the demands of the deteriorating security environment, Defence must
invest in the targeting systems and processes required to support the use of
advanced and long-range weapons, undersea warfare, and integrated air and
missile defence. Existing plans should be accelerated including development
of key supporting systems and processing, exploitation and dissemination of
intelligence.
Recommendations:
• A comprehensive framework should be developed for
managing operations in the cyber domain that is consistent
with the other domains.
• Defence’s cyber domain capabilities should be strengthened
to deliver the required breadth of capability with appropriate
responsiveness to support ADF operations.
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Theatre logistics
8.60 The Defence logistics and health networks must deliver persistent support and
sustainment for operations. An optimal Defence logistics network must be
resilient through disaggregated and dispersed mutually supporting nodes that
enhance redundancy and survivability.
8.61 Logistics and health networks must be integrated into national and global
networks to deliver the full range of logistics and health effects required by
Defence. Ongoing engagement with industry and partners is required to ensure
additional maintenance, manufacturing, storage and load capacity can be drawn
upon to meet increases in demand.
8.62 Theatre-level logistics must enable capability generation and support from
Australia’s southern regions to the network of northern bases, with sufficient
capacity to service force-flow, as well as providing requisite storage and
distribution means. This requires a robust national road, rail, maritime and air
distribution system.
Recommendation:
• Commander Joint Logistics and Commander Joint Health
should be adequately resourced to deliver Defence logistics
and health networks that are able to deliver persistent support
and sustainment for operations.
Capability timeframes
8.63 To provide focus and coherence for force structure priorities, we recommend
changes to force structure occur over three periods:
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Enhanced Force-In-Being
Force-In-Being refers to the ADF that exists today. The Enhanced
Force-In-Being refers to the extant force with enhancements
that can be achieved in the period 2023-2025 based on the
recommendations in the Review.
8.66 The Future Integrated Force is the long-term design of the Integrated Force
from 2031 and beyond. It will provide an objective aim point for all domains and
enablers to achieve an Integrated Force that is fit for the strategic circumstances
and in line with the Defence planning framework.
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8.69 Defence must review and update the National Naval Shipbuilding Enterprise
Strategy and supporting Naval Shipbuilding and Sustainment Plan. These
must include all the necessary upgrades to fleet units, maintenance and build
requirements. The synchronisation of these key activities will be critical to enable
capability delivery. This plan must balance the need for capability aimed at our
strategic circumstances with the maintenance of the National Naval Shipbuilding
Enterprise.
Recommendation:
• The Government should confirm its commitment to continuous
naval shipbuilding through an updated National Naval
Shipbuilding Enterprise Strategy and updated supporting Naval
Shipbuilding and Sustainment Plan.
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8.71 The realisation of the GWEO Enterprise is central to achieving this objective.
8.72 The GWEO Enterprise lacks available financial resources over this decade
and lacks the required workforce. It is yet to produce a strategy. While the
establishment of the GWEO Enterprise is appropriate, the manner in which it was
established has inhibited its ability to achieve the stated goals of Government.
8.73 The lack of clarity around roles and responsibilities, the lack of a senior officer
with a singular focus on the GWEO Enterprise and the lack of risk acceptance has
resulted in little material gain two years after its establishment.
8.74 The GWEO Enterprise requires an authority whose singular role is to direct
strategy, capability development, acquisition and domestic production across
all of Defence’s GWEO needs. This requires a model that mirrors the
Nuclear-Powered Submarine Taskforce. It is our strong recommendation that
a senior officer or official be appointed whose sole responsibility is to lead the
GWEO Enterprise with an appropriate underpinning organisational structure.
8.75 The immediate focus must be on consolidating ADF GWEO needs, the
establishment of a domestic manufacturing capability and the acceleration of
foreign military and commercial sales.
Recommendation:
• A senior officer or official with the sole responsibility for
leading the Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordnance
(GWEO) Enterprise should be appointed, with an appropriate
underpinning organisational structure.
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8.77 A short-range IAMD capability exists through Navy’s Air Warfare Destroyers and
Army’s enhanced National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System.
8.81 The Chief of Air Force is the appropriate senior officer lead for this capability and
has the appropriate underpinning organisational structure for its delivery and
ongoing sustainment. Defence must reprioritise the delivery of a layered IAMD
capability, allocating sufficient resources to the Chief of Air Force to deliver the
initial capability in a timely way and subsequently further develop the mature
capability.
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Asymmetric advantage
9.1 Technology has a significant impact on the character of warfare and deterrence,
and will shape the changing balance of power.
9.2 Since the 1960s, Defence’s strategic approach has included a focus on
maintaining a regional technological capability edge. The key enabler of this
capability edge has been Australia’s Alliance relationship with the United States.
This ensured that, while small in size, the ADF was highly capable and could
outmatch potential regional opponents in critical areas of technology, planning
and operations. This helped to provide deterrence in low-level contingencies
through military technology and capability overmatch.
9.3 However, military modernisation in the region, and the implications of strategic
competition, mean it is no longer feasible to maintain a broad-based regional
capability edge. To respond, Defence needs to focus on asymmetric advantages
and ensure that we maintain parity or a qualitative advantage in critical military
technology areas.
Asymmetric advantage
Asymmetric warfare refers to military actions that pit strength
against weakness, at times in a non-traditional and unconventional
manner, against which an adversary may have no effective response.
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9.5 The success of AUKUS is essential for Australia in acquiring asymmetric capability.
AUKUS Pillar II Advanced Capabilities will contribute to strengthening the AUKUS
partners’ industrial bases, eliminating barriers to information sharing, and
technological cooperation. It will develop and deliver advanced capabilities in
areas such as artificial intelligence, hypersonics and maritime domain awareness.
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Recommendations:
• Defence Science and Technology Group funding and resources
should be aligned with the priorities identified in the Review.
• The development of selected critical technology areas as part
of AUKUS Pillar II Advanced Capabilities should be prioritised in
the shortest possible time.
• A senior official or officer with sole responsibility and a singular
focus on AUKUS Pillar II Advanced Capabilities implementation
should be appointed to enable expedited focus on capability
outcomes.
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10
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10.2 The key line of forward deployment for the ADF stretches across Australia’s
northern maritime approaches. Integral to this sovereign Australian posture is
the network of bases, ports and barracks stretching in Australian territory from
Cocos (Keeling) Islands in the northwest, through RAAF bases Learmonth, Curtin,
Darwin, Tindal, Scherger and Townsville.
10.5 Defence must have robust internal lines of communication to take advantage of
Australia’s natural geographic advantages.
Basing
10.7 Government adopted a series of recommendations in the 2012 Force Posture
Review and 2013 Defence White Paper and allocated resources to improve the
network of bases, ports and barracks.
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10.8 Most of those recommendations relating to the northern bases have not been
implemented.
10.9 Irrespective of this history, it is now imperative that our network of northern
bases is urgently and comprehensively remediated.
10.10 The priority for this network is the series of critical air bases. This series of
northern airbases must now be viewed as a holistic capability system and
managed as such by the Chief of Air Force.
10.11 There must be immediate and comprehensive work on these air bases
undertaken in the following areas:
hardening and dispersal;
runway and apron capacity;
fuel storage and supply;
aviation fuel supply and storage;
GWEO storage;
connectivity required to enable essential mission planning activities;
accommodation and life support; and
security.
10.12 To achieve dispersal, redundancy and resilience in our defence posture there
are clear opportunities in leveraging the capabilities offered by civil minerals
and petroleum resources infrastructure, including those being considered for
decommission by the parent company/organisation.
Recommendations:
• Upgrades and development of our northern network of bases,
ports and barracks should commence immediately.
• Options should be developed to leverage the capabilities
offered by local and state governments as well as civil minerals
and petroleum resources industry infrastructure in northern
and central Australia.
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Fuel
10.13 Fuel distribution in the north and northwest must be more effective and less
vulnerable by introducing a more productive and predictable supply approach.
Deep Defence engagement with the fuel industry is vital in our strategic
circumstances.
10.14 Defence must be cognisant of the capabilities of the fuel industry and what
it can deliver in a range of circumstances. The fuel industry must understand
Defence requirements in a range of contingencies concurrent with civil demands,
including:
10.15 A whole-of-government and industry Fuel Council should progress these critical
issues.
10.16 Addressing vulnerabilities, particularly where there are single points of failure
and inadequate capacity in key domestic distribution routes, is essential.
A variety of alternative supply and storage back-up options needs to be
developed to provide a more robust fuel posture.
Recommendation:
• A whole-of-government Fuel Council should be established
as soon as possible with representatives from relevant
departments and industry to deliver resilient national fuel
supply, distribution and storage.
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10.18 This will involve a staged approach to building Australia’s capability and capacity
to sustain nuclear-powered submarines. The first step involves an increased
frequency of visits of United Kingdom and United States submarines to
HMAS Stirling, followed by longer rotations of Royal Navy and United States Navy
submarines at HMAS Stirling, with Australians embedded in their crews.
10.21 To deliver these facilities in the timeframes required, and noting local
construction industry constraints, there will need to be clear prioritisation
of these works with pre-existing planned works. Defence will need to work
closely with the Western Australian Government, relevant local authorities
and communities to ensure this initiative proceeds in a manner that takes into
account local impacts and requirements.
Shipyard reform
10.22 Australia must have the industrial capability and capacity to maintain, sustain
and upgrade our naval vessels and capabilities, including nuclear-powered
submarines. Creating and sustaining this industrial capability, including the
underpinning workforce, is a critical component of self-reliance in
National Defence. In building naval vessels in Australia, we will need to develop
the critical understanding of the platforms required to support sustainment,
maintenance and upgrade activities.
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10.23 To meet the requirements for our maritime and littoral fleets, we must increase
the size of our supporting industrial base. Most importantly, we must grow the
size of our naval shipbuilding workforce.
10.24 This national endeavour requires active Government leadership. There are
currently two major shipbuilding hubs in Australia (Osborne and Henderson).
There is a need for active Government engagement across both naval
shipbuilding sites. This is essential to ensure the successful delivery of both
existing and forthcoming surface ship projects and the nuclear-powered
submarine program.
10.26 Henderson shipyard, near HMAS Stirling, faces some significant challenges to
give it the requisite critical mass for shipbuilding. Under current plans there
is simply not enough work to sustain the number of shipbuilders located at
Henderson.
10.27 Henderson currently plays a crucial role with regard to naval sustainment,
maintenance and upgrade of our naval vessels, as well as the construction of
smaller surface vessels. The completion of a Henderson-based large vessel
dry-dock is a critical enabler for the construction and sustainment of our
naval vessels. Henderson’s critical role in Australia’s naval shipbuilding and
maintenance needs to continue, but Government intervention is required to
consolidate activities.
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Recommendations:
• Infrastructure development should commence immediately
at the Osborne shipyard to enable the Nuclear-Powered
Submarine Pathway.
• Infrastructure development should commence immediately
at HMAS Stirling to enable the support and maintenance of
conventionally-armed, nuclear-powered submarine operations.
• Industry consolidation options for the Henderson shipyard
should be examined as a matter of urgency.
• An east coast facility should be established for Australia’s future
submarine capability.
10.31 We believe that the ADF needs to conduct many more of these types of activities
as they have both a positive preparedness and deterrent effect.
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10.33 Increased levels of preparedness will require additional investment from the
Government and much more relevant priority setting by Defence. The most
tangible enhancement to our warfighting capability and to self-reliance in
National Defence will come from undertaking Accelerated Preparedness.
10.34 Current levels of ADF preparedness have been based on a 10-year warning time
for major conflict. The end of a 10-year strategic warning time requires Defence
to increase preparedness.
10.35 Accelerated Preparedness should occur in three stages in line with the priority
periods outlined in the Review.
10.37 To deliver the required capability, there is a clear need to have the correct
infrastructure and logistics support in the right locations to project and sustain
power.
10.38 The reshaping and growth of the national and Defence logistic and health
workforces is a key priority to develop self-reliance, and sovereign supply chains,
and to improve national resilience.
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Recommendations:
• Options for the increase of guided weapons and explosive
ordnance stocks, including the rapid establishment of
domestic manufacturing, should be provided to the
Government by Q2 2024.
• A national logistics support concept that considers strategic
and industrial policy needs, and civilian, local and state
government and military logistics capabilities, should be
developed by 2025.
• A National Support Division should be established within
Defence by 2024 to develop concepts and conduct
engagement to harness the nation’s economic, industrial and
societal strength.
10.41 The major initial workforce limitation in this area is the limited number of senior
staff, resulting in issues of scale and delivery needs. This is evidenced by project
slippage and value loss to industry integrators.
10.42 For one of the most complex ICT networks in Australia, Chief Information
Officer Group (CIOG) has a smaller leadership team than Services Australia or
the Australian Tax Office, which have much smaller ICT footprints and classified
network architecture.
10.43 CIOG has become too reliant on individual contractors and is already heavily
outsourced. There are insufficient ADF and APS staff to manage these contractors
and providers and this must be rebalanced.
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Recommendations:
• A dedicated senior official for Chief Information Officer Group
(CIOG) capability management leadership and a dedicated
senior official accountable for the secret network should be
appointed, and the CIOG workforce should be rebalanced to a
60:40 APS- and ADF-to-contractor ratio.
• Defence’s cyber security arrangements should be enhanced in
close collaboration with the Australian Signals Directorate.
• Defence’s cyber security operations capability in Chief
Information Officer Group should be increased and legacy
systems and platforms should be decommissioned.
10.46 Once this audit is complete, investment must be made in the estate. Priority
investments should be focused on the northern Australian bases in the first
instance.
Recommendation:
• An enterprise-wide audit to baseline Defence estate and
infrastructure, including protective security, should be
completed no later than the end of 2023.
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Security
10.47 Protecting Australian-developed capabilities, and ensuring continued access to
sensitive partner technologies, requires a robust security system. This includes
physical security, ICT security and effective security vetting arrangements for
personnel.
Recommendation:
• The transfer of Defence’s Positive Vetting (PV) vetting
authorities to the Top Secret Privileged Access (TSPA) Authority
should be accelerated.
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11
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11 Workforce
11.1 Defence is facing significant workforce challenges. This was a recurring theme
across all areas of the ADF, APS and defence industry in the Review. This is an
acute issue for Defence and is reflective of broader national challenges.
11.2 To secure the Defence APS and ADF workforce requires an innovative and bold
approach to recruitment and retention. Without creative and flexible responses,
the workforce situation in Defence will continue to deteriorate. Policy, process,
risk appetite and approaches to recruitment must change to increase the speed
of recruitment from application to enlistment and recruitment. Recruitment time
must be achieved in days, not months.
11.3 Defence must bring together the end-to-end people system for the ADF with the
aim of increasing the effectiveness, efficiency, coordination and cohesiveness of
the force. Personnel management of the ADF must be optimised to realise
and sustain the long-term workforce requirements and to ensure that the
Integrated Force can be realised. ADF personnel management should be
centralised into a single integrated system incorporating the five domains, headed
by a Chief of Personnel reporting directly to the Chief of the Defence Force.
11.5 The transition to the Total Workforce Model has significantly improved the
utilisation of the reserve workforce. The ADF Reserves must not just complement
the total Defence workforce but also provide the expansion base for the ADF in
times of crisis. In order to achieve such an effect, Defence needs to investigate
innovative ways to adapt the structure, shape and role of the Reserves, as well as
reconsider past programs, specifically the Ready Reserve Scheme.
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Recommendations:
• Options should be developed to change Defence’s recruitment
framework to improve the eligibility pool of potential
applications and to align service recruitment requirements to
military employment, especially in key technical and specialist
trades (cyber, engineering, space, etc.).
• Options should be developed to change the policy and risk
settings to improve the achievement of recruitment targets by
2024.
• ADF personnel management should be centralised into a
single integrated system that is headed by a Chief of Personnel
reporting directly to Chief of the Defence Force.
• A comprehensive strategic review of the ADF Reserves,
including consideration of the reintroduction of a Ready
Reserve Scheme, should be conducted by 2025.
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12
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Capability acquisition
12.1 Timely and strategically relevant capability acquisition is critical in the coming
period. Defence’s current approach to capability acquisition is not suitable
given our strategic circumstances, and there is a clear need for a more efficient
acquisition process. The increasing volume and complexity of capability projects
is overwhelming Defence’s capability system, its limited workforce and its
resource base.
12.3 Once projects have entered the IIP, capability managers have too much latitude
to make design changes, tinker with capability outcomes, and indulge in the
quest for perfectionism. These behaviours result in delay and strategically
significant capability outcomes not being achieved in a timely manner, or at all.
12.4 Clear direction from the Government and clear expectations placed on Defence
for acquisition and delivery are critical to resolving this issue. To achieve this,
in the first instance a threshold judgement must be made at the joint senior
level, and agreed to by the Government, on what minimum viable capability is
required and what is readily available.
12.6 In our new strategic circumstances the focus must be on the capabilities of the
Enhanced Force-In-Being, with an emphasis on incremental upgrades through
the life of a capability rather than pursuing longer-term solutions. This does not
mean that Defence can lose sight of the future force’s requirements, but rather it
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12.8 Australian industry content and domestic production must be balanced against
timely capability acquisition. Previous government direction to meet mandated
Australian industry content skewed the capability acquisition process so that
capability outcomes were secondary to creating opportunities for Australian
industry – even when a clear rationale was lacking.
12.10 Defence must consider Australian industry content when it makes sense
and delivers capability outcomes on time. It is essential to ensure Australian
sovereign defence industry capability is supported where it makes strategic
sense.
12.11 A key part of setting projects up for success is ensuring that project teams
and managers have the appropriate skills to effectively deliver these major
projects. This includes experience in project delivery and commercial and
industry expertise. The erosion of the APS workforce in Capability Acquisition and
Sustainment Group (CASG) has significantly degraded these skills.
12.12 Across CASG, and CIOG, we have seen evidence of contractors managing
contractors through several layers of a project’s governance structure with
inadequate Commonwealth oversight. As a priority, Defence must move away
from its current dependence on external service providers for roles that should
be done by ADF or APS personnel.
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12.14 In the past, Governments have successfully engaged with and accepted risk
during periods of conflict and crisis, and previous reform efforts have highlighted
the need for streamlined, risk-based and accountable decision-making.
Accordingly, to manage the risks inherent in the escalated strategic environment
there must be reconceptualisation of risk across government.
Recommendations:
• Options should be developed as soon as possible to change
Defence’s capability acquisition system so that it meets
requirements and is reflective of our current strategic
circumstances.
• Australian industry content and domestic production should be
balanced against timely capability acquisition.
• Options should be developed as soon as possible to streamline
and accelerate the capability acquisition process for projects
designated as strategically urgent or of low complexity.
• A new simplified programmatic approach should be developed
to replace the current Capability Program Architecture by 2024.
• The delivery of capability within the required time, together
with value for money, is the priority in our current strategic
circumstances and should be enabled by appropriate risk-
based behaviours.
• Government procurement and Budget Process Operational
Rules should be amended to ensure consistency with the
urgency required and the strategic risk involved.
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13
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13.2 At the commencement of the Review (as at 3 August 2022), Defence’s Budget
across the forward estimates was over-programmed by 24 per cent for capability
acquisitions, 4 per cent above the recommended level in the 2016 Defence
White Paper.
13.3 Since the 2016 Defence White Paper, Defence funding over the planning decade
from 2022-2023 to 2031-2032 was reduced. This includes:
13.4 Between the 2020 Defence Strategic Update and 2020 Force Structure Plan and
the establishment of the Review, measures were announced which resulted
in excess of $42 billion in additional Defence spending over the planning
decade to 2032-2033, without the provision of any additional allocation in the
Commonwealth Budget. This includes:
13.5 New capability requirements coupled with sustainment demand for existing
capabilities and the need to address severe workforce pressures will require
difficult decisions and trade-offs to manage the Defence Budget over the
immediate period.
13.6 Defence planning is about managing strategic risk. Defence spending must be a
reflection of the strategic circumstances our nation faces.
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13.7 The full cost of the Review recommendations will not be able to be fully
quantified until Defence has analysed the capability recommendations in the
Review and costed them.
Recommendations:
• Defence funding should be increased to meet our strategic
circumstances.
• Lower-priority projects and programs should be stopped or
suspended to free essential resources which can be allocated
to projects and programs that align with the priorities in the
Review.
• Funding should be released through the rebuild and
reprioritisation of the Integrated Investment Program (IIP)
and reinvested into priority Defence projects, programs and
activities consistent with the Review.
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14
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14.2 Defence policy development should move away from intermittent white papers
to a biennial National Defence Strategy to ensure strategic consistency and
coordination of national policy implementation.
14.3 This would allow for Defence policy to keep pace with the rapidly evolving
strategic environment, to respond effectively to the Government’s priorities, and
to provide clarity of process and approach to Defence and defence industry.
Recommendation:
• Defence should move away from white papers to produce a
National Defence Strategy on a biennial basis. The first National
Defence Strategy should be delivered no later than Q2 2024.
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Recommendation:
• A three-tier system should be adopted to oversee and lead the
implementation of the Review recommendations.
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Land Domain
Army should be structured and postured in accordance with
the land domain force structure design priorities outlined in the Agreed
Review.
LAND 8710 Phases 1-2 – Army Littoral Manoeuvre Vessels
(Landing Craft Medium and Heavy) should be accelerated and Agreed
expanded.
LAND 8113 Phases 2-4 – Long-Range Fires (HIMARS) and
LAND 4100 Phase 2 – Land-Based Maritime Strike should be Agreed
accelerated and expanded.
LAND 400 Phase 3 – Land Combat Vehicle System (Infantry
Fighting Vehicle) acquisition should be reduced to 129 vehicles to Agreed
provide one mechanised battalion.
LAND 8116 Phase 2 – Protected Mobile Fires (second regiment of
Agreed
Army self-propelled howitzers) should be immediately cancelled.
The delivery of landing craft, long-range fires, and infantry
Agreed
fighting vehicles should be synchronised.
Air Domain
Long-Range Anti-Ship Missile should be integrated onto the
Agreed
F-35A and the F/A-18F platforms. Joint Strike Missile should also
in-principle
be integrated onto the F-35A.
Options should be developed for collaboration and technology
sharing with the United States in the development of MQ-28A Agreed
Ghost Bat.
Space Domain
Space Command should be moved into Joint Capabilities Group
Agreed
from 1 July 2023.
A centralised space domain capability development and Agreed
management function should be established. in-principle
A method should be established for building and sustaining a
Agreed
trained Defence space workforce, including a defined career path
in-principle
for space professionals.
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Cyber Domain
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CGMAR006-23