Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

Alpha City's Projections

Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 22

Years MC POP Growth Rate LPA Growth Rate

1971 537000 - 575457 -


1981 829327 54.44% 884775 53.75%
1991 1109000 33.72% 1189797 34.47%
2001 1626297 46.65% 1759532 47.89%
2011 1994397 22.63% 2163258 23%
2013 2034285 2.00%
2018 2195274 10.07%
No. Of
Ward_Name Households Total Population
Sirpur 4348 27393
Chandan nagar 4677 29464
sukhdev nagar 4161 26216
raj nagar 4604 29005
malharganj 4495 28321
Jnata colony 4203 26477
junarisala 4580 28855
vrindavan 4146 26119
banganga 4378 27579
bhagirathpura 4048 25503
govind Colny 4070 25639
sangam Nagar 4441 27979
ashok nagar 4357 27446
Bijasan 4606 29019
nandbagh 4612 29058
kushwah nagar 4692 29557
sant kabir 4649 29288
vishwa karma 4242 26724
gauri nagar 4511 28421
shyam nagar 3514 22139
Ganesh 3748 23615
pt. dendayal 3540
upadhyay 22305
lt. rajesh joshi 3833 24146
sant balijinath 4296
maharaj 27067
nanda nagar #VALUE! -
jeen mata 3500 22051
pashupati nath 3912 24645
maa tulija bhawani 3910 24630
dr. shyama prasad 3783
mukharji 23832
sant ravidas 4120 25953
maharaj chhatrasal 3623 22824
atal bihari bajpai 3485 21957
sukhliya 3591 22621
shaheed bhagat 3501
singh 22058
lasudiya mori 3527 22220
nipaniya 4511 28422
sai krupa 3733 23517
haji colony 4579 28846
nahar shah wali 4681 29492
kailassh puri 3995 25171
swami vivekanand 3553 22382
shree nagar 3525 22210
hig 3834 24157
dr. bhimrao 3707
ambedkar 23356
somnath 3602 22694
sardar vallabh bhai 4197 26441
geeta bhawan 3524 22201
tilak nagar 3869 24374
brajeshwari 5968 37600
bhagwati nagar 4175 26300
musakhedi 3707 23356
de. Molana azad 4620
nagar 29108
residency 4407 27762
south tukoganj 3519 22167
snehlataganj 4606 29018
devi ahilyabai 4410 27782
netaji subhas 3962
chandra bose 24963
Ranipura 3813 24025
harsiddhi 3563 22444
tatya sarvate 3487 21965
raoji bazaar 3590 22619
navlakha 3593 22638
chitawad 4028 25378
sant kawar ram 4028 25378
shaheed hemu 4109
kalani 25886
maharaja holkar 3563 22447
bambai bazzar 3501 22058
jawahar marg 4063 25596
loknayak nagar 4096 25805
dravid nagar 3745 23592
lokmanya nagar 3607 22726
laxman singh 3716
chouhan 23411
vishnipuri 4649 29290
palda 4474 28185
bicholi 3954 24913
bilawali 4270 26902
choithram 4580 28853
sukh niwas 4709 29664
dr. rajendar prasad 4677
29465
annapurna 4601 28984
sudama nagar 4672 29436
gusmastha nagar 4705 29642
dwarkapuri 4351 27412
prajapat nagar 4709 29669
Total 2149828
Years MC POP
1971 38161
1981 56748 49%
1991 85315 50%
2001 135855 59%
2011 167592 23%
2020 206138 23%
Final

Geomatric Method

Years MC POP Growth Rate


1971 38161 -
1981 56748 48.71%
1991 85315 50.34%
2001 135855 59.24%
2011 167592 23.36%
2020 206138 23.00%
Avg growth rate 2025 41%
2030 43%
2035 45%
2040 48%

Pop Projection (Avg GR-36)


Year Population
2025 244714
2030 292635
2035 352380
2040 428688
Arthematic Method

Years MC POP Change


1971 38161
1981 56748 18587
1991 85315 28567
2001 135855 50540
2011 167592 31737
2020 206138 38546
33595

Pop Projection (Avg GR-36)


Year Population
2025 222936
2030 239733
2035 256531
2040 273329
Jind Rashtar ki Pop
Projection
i Population
ction
Years LPA LA LB
1971 38457 -
1981 55448 16991
1991 80797 25349 8358
2001 133235 52438 27089
2011 225769 92534 40096
2018 299769 74000 -18534 base year-2018=299769
Final 72395 46267

Geometric Method
Years LPA Growth Rate
1971 38457 -
1981 55448 44.18%
1991 80797 45.72%
2001 133235 64.90%
2011 225769 69.45%
2018 299769 32.78%
Avg growth rate 45%

Pop Projection (Avg GR-45%)


Year Population Population(inc phasing)%
2023 360970 50 367141
2028 434665 55 457086
2033 523406 58 574549
2038 630264 60 726753
Formula 2023 2028
Geometric 367141 457086
Arithmetic 325900 352031
Incremental 382234 464698
Average 358425 424605
base year-2018=299769

Arthematic Method

Years LPA Growth Rate change


1971 38457 - -
1981 55448 44.18% 16991
1991 80797 45.72% 25349
2001 133235 64.90% 52438
2011 225769 69.45% 92534
2018 299769 32.78% 74000
Average growth rate 45% 52262

Pop Projection (Avg GR-45%)


Year Population
2023 325900
2028 352031
2033 378163
2038 404294
M.C.
Populatio
Year
n LA
1971 MC
POP -
1981 537000 16991
1991 829327 25349
2001 1109000 52438
2011 1626297 92534
2018 1994397 29276
Total 2195274 72395
URBANISABLE AR
Increase
Populatio in
Year
n populatio
n
2011 13007 -
2018 14110 1103
Total 1103
2033 2038
574549 726753
378163 404294
547163 606494
499958 579180

Incrimental Inc. Method

Years LPA Growth Rate


1971 38457 -
1981 55448 44.18%
1991 80797 45.72%
2001 133235 64.90%
2011 225769 69.45%
2018 299769 32.78%

Pop Projection (Avg GR-50%)


Year Population
2023 382234
2028 464698
2033 547163
2038 606494
M.C.
Year Projected population
LB
2028 1994397+1*(72395+
- 46267)=419974
- 2038 0
8358
27089
40096
-63258
46267
BANISABLE AREAS (LPA)

Increment
on Year Projected population
increase
14110+1*(1103+110
- 2028
3)=16316
14110+2*(1103+110
1103 2038
3)=18522 for
The proposed population
1103 LPAproposed
The for year population
2028= 16316for
LPA for year 2038= 18522
Years LPA LA LB Constant value
1971 575457 -
1981 884775 309318
1991 1189797 305022 4296
2001 1759532 569735 264713
2011 2220166 460634 109101
2018 2588673 368507 92127
Final 2013216 470237.00
Incremental average 117559

Geomatric Method _Pn=P(1+I/100)n


Years Gross pop. Growth Rate
1971 575457 -
1981 884775 53.75
1991 1189797 34.47
2001 1759532 47.89
2011 2220166 26.18
2018 2588673 16.60
Avg growth rate 35.78

Assumed growth rate 40%

Pop Projection (Avg GR-40)


Year Population population(inc phasing)%
2023 3062959 35.78 3106407
2028 3624142 40 3675550
2033 4288143 42 4379924
2038 5073799 40 5182396
Formula 2023 2028
Geometric 3106407 3675550
Arithmetic 2789994 2991316
Incremental 2848793 3050095
avg 2915065 3238987

base year-2018=2588673

Arthematic Method _Pn=P+n.C

Years Gross pop. change


1971 575457 -
1981 884775 309318
1991 1189797 305022
2001 1759532 569735
2011 2220166 460634
2018 2588673 368507
402643

Pop Projection(Constant+40%)
Year Population
2023 2789995
2028 2991316
2033 3192638
2038 3393959
2033 2038
4379924 5182396
3192637 33939559
3251416 3452738
3607992 14191564

Incremental Inc. Method_Pn= P+n(Ia+Ic)

Years Gross pop. Inremental Increase


1971 575457 -
1981 884775
1991 1189797 4296
2001 1759532 264713
2011 2220166 109101
2018 2588673 92127
470237
Incremental average 117559

Pop Projection (Incremental Method)


Year Population
2023 2848793
2028 3050095
2033 3251416
2038 3452738
Incremental 4065518 5542363 7019208
8260935

You might also like