Energy Storage: 4 - 7 October 2022
Energy Storage: 4 - 7 October 2022
Energy Storage: 4 - 7 October 2022
4 - 7 October 2022
Infocus International
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Session 1:
Battery Storage
An example global growth forecast…
Forecast total of 358GW / 1,028GWh by 2030 (vs. 17GW / 34GWh, end 2020)
▪ Just over 50% will be to provide energy shifting of solar and wind generation
▪ About 25% will be at residential and commercial & industrial (C&I) scale
▪ LFP likely to have overtaken NMC for stationary storage for the first time in 2021
(and was ~30% cheaper)
Home systems:
Industrial systems:
e.g. Germany: deceleration (business model?)
Large systems:
▪ From 2016 to 2019, systems were built almost exclusively for the provision of FCR
▪ During this time, FCR prices dropped significantly, due to the increasing saturation of
the market volume by battery storage
▪ After some technologically versatile installations from 2017 to 2019, lithium-ion LSS
have now been installed exclusively for the second year in a row
Defining Storage “Capacity”
Energy
Capacity
Power
Capacity
Duration
Storage types & depths
Behind-the-meter, to
Distributed support or shape a Usually < 4 hours
customer’s own load
Aggregated (VPP)
Co-ordinated distributed Usually < 4 hours
installations, including V2G
Covering renewable
Deep / long-duration ‘droughts’ or seasonal Days to weeks / months
smoothing
Battery Types include…
Other, e.g.:
• High-temperature sodium (NaS)
• Lead-acid
• Iron-air
• Zinc-air
• …
Images: Let’s Talk Science, International Flow Battery Forum, NGK Insulators
Battery prices: big falls, but levelling off?
(volume-weighted average
pack and cell price splits)
Li-ion battery cost breakdown
Cathode chemistry:
• LFP offer greater thermal stability and safety but lower energy density (energy per kg) relative to NMC
• NMC batteries have greater energy density (high nickel content) and higher power
• Early thermal runaway has been overcome by the addition of cobalt to the cathode
Example comparison of Li-ion chemistries
Modules
Battery
Management
(A/C, fire etc.)
+
Ancillaries
Bidirectional
inverter
‘Offtake’
Containerised batteries: what’s inside?
Images:
Leclanché, Fluence
Containerised storage:
• Cells (few 10s of Wh) Modules (few kWh)
Racks (few 10s of kWh)
• 3 – 6 MWh in a typical 40’ shipping
container (li-ion)
Total Energy Storage Costs
There are many…
(This was drawn for batteries, but equally applicable to any energy storage project)
“Grid-scale energy storage systems are unlikely to see any price declines until 2024,
when manufacturing of lithium-ion batteries scales up to meet the increase in
demand from automakers”
Example storage costs… (US)
2021 U.S. utility-scale LIB storage costs for durations of 2–10 hours (60 MWDC) in $/kWh
Example storage costs… (US)
2021 U.S. utility-scale LIB storage costs for durations of 2–10 hours (60 MWDC) in $/kW
BoS, Duration and Capex Metrics
Whereas power plants are capacity designed, batteries are both capacity and
duration designed.
- so a battery with the same power but longer duration costs more!
Reduced
Replace?
Battery capacity (& cost) Service?
Oversizing
Augment / replace
Contracted
capability
Reduced service
Time
Contract
length
Degradation curves & battery warranties
▪ Storage manufacturers leverage lab test results to inform their warranty terms
▪ Differences in cycling, rest time, state of charge (SOC), temperature and other metrics all impact
the performance and degradation of battery cells
▪ There is no industry standard and degradation curves vary widely across lithium ion cell types
▪ Some warranties are becoming more restrictive to enable longer warranty terms (20 to 25 years)
▪ Some BESS providers offer more flexible warranty terms that put control and economic trade-offs
in the hands of the project owner or operator
▪ Flexible warranty terms typically include formulas instead of a fixed table of values that use
operational metrics as inputs (to derive degradation curves)
Source:
www.dnv.com/article/energy-storage-capacity-
warranties-beyond-the-fine-print-200339
Typical battery warranty conditions
▪ What’s covered?
▪ continuous operation level
▪ insurance against malfunction
▪ repair or replacement costs
▪ problems in workmanship
▪ manufacturer’s potential insolvency
Key disadvantages:
• Lower efficiency
• Small-scale (and low growth)
• Technology & supplier risk
Flow battery: still small scale?
▪ Clean Power Alliance, a “community choice aggregator” is one of the biggest buyers of
renewable energy and battery storage output in the United States
▪ It has banned forced labour, child labour, slavery and other human rights abuses in 3
long-term PPAs
▪ Two contracts are 15-year, one is 20-year
▪ The contracts add up to 206.5 MW of solar PV and 163 MW/652 MWh of battery
storage
▪ Due online from late 2023
▪ An expanded supply chain code in the contracts includes abuses in the mining,
processing and procurement of materials used in the production of both batteries
and solar panels
93.5 MW solar + and 71 MW/284 MWh: Arica facility in Riverside County, Calif. (15 yr)
65 MW solar + 52 MW / 208 MWh: from the Daggett Solar Project in San Bernardino County, Calif (15 yr)
48 MW solar + 40 MW/160 MWh: Resurgence Solar II project, in San Bernardino County, Calif. (20 yr)
EU battery regulations (2020)
“It could take 15 years or more for old batteries to eventually arrive at recycling plants,
and in some cases as long as 25 years”
“While the industry waits for early models of EVs to hit junk yards in big numbers… by
2025 there may be three times more recycling factory space than scrap to run the plants”
“In 2025, 78% of the available scrap supply will be coming from manufacturing waste,
while end-of-life batteries will account for 22%, according to new research by Benchmark
Mineral Intelligence”
An Example ‘RFP’ for Battery Storage
e.g.
Session 2:
‘Utility’-scale energy storage
Balancing the grid
System inflexibility markers
aka the Tesla “Big Battery” (but owned by French developer Neoen)
▪ In H1 2018*:
▪ Earned $A2m from the government contract
▪ Earned $A10.8m from market revenues
▪ Most market revenue ($A7.1m) came from the FCAS market.
▪ Helped Neoen reduce its own FCAS costs from wind farm operations
▪ i.e. potential to earn >A$25 million in revenues in its first calendar year.
▪ In Q1 2020:
▪ Neoen’s total storage revenue was A$ 36.3m (almost all from HPR)
Grid-following Grid-forming
Nov 2021:
▪ $180 million Torrens Island battery, South Australia
▪ Owner AGL, battery provider Wärtsilä
▪ Potential expansion to four-hour duration in the future (1000 MWh)
▪ Operational early 2023, initially in grid-following mode
▪ Will use >100 inverters supplied by SMA
▪ Will become grid-forming “once Australia has finalized the regulatory landscape”
Also:
Pre-fault Dynamic Regulation (DR) and Dynamic Moderation (DM) services launched in 2022:
▪ DM respond within one second, sustain response for at least 30 mins
▪ DR respond within ten seconds, sustain response for at least 60 mins
Solar + Battery for Grid services (and more)
Clayhill
▪ UK’s first “subsidy-free solar farm” (built 2017)
▪ 10 MW solar PV, 6 MW / 6 MWh battery (5 x 1.2 MW)
▪ Built by Anesco
▪ Added to a ‘VPP’ operated by Limejump (2018)
▪ used for dynamic frequency response & balancing market revenues
▪ Industry-first “floor price” agreement with EDF Energy and Upside Energy (2019)
▪ Using their trading platform for Capacity and Firm Frequency Response (FFR) markets, plus
wholesale market arbitrage
The solar farm wouldn’t have been built without the battery,
which adds grid services revenue to the solar energy sales
Batteries & Frequency Control Prices
Large-scale storage systems by application:
(Example: Germany)
http://reneweconomy.com.au/tesla-big-battery-moves-from-show-boating-to-money-making-93955/
Peak Shaving & the 3-4 hour “rule”
▪ Big scale:
▪ lowers component costs
▪ allows spare capacity for other revenues: CAISO markets (energy, grid services)
▪ Sites: Tesla system on PG&E land, Vistra in existing turbine building
▪ Vistra system uses existing interconnection (from old gas plants)
Solar + storage: a growing trend
Source: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=49756
Maximising output: avoiding ‘clipping’
▪ Addresses “duck curve” & electricity during peak demand hours: early evening (3-8pm).
▪ "We don't want midday energy. Sometimes it creates bigger operational problems than it solves."
▪ Due online in 2021 with a 15-year PPA
▪ PV plant charge the battery during the day and deliver power until sunset, allowing the
whole project to qualify for the ITC (30%)
▪ During peak, APS has full use of the 50-MW battery (maximize capacity until discharged).
Awarded PPAs:
Over-supply relief:
e.g. Terna, Italy
▪ ~500 GWh of curtailed wind energy in
2010 in the Campania region.
▪ Terna installed three NaS batteries with
total capacity 34.8 MW/250 MWh.
▪ Investment: €160m (in 2014)
▪ Stored energy transported whenever
transmission lines not congested.
▪ Batteries also used to provide primary
and secondary frequency regulation.
(Sept 2021)
Consumers Prosumers
Efficiency
DSR
Decentralisation Generation (PV)
Storage
Microgrids
Smart meters
Smart sensors
EVs
Smart appliances
Chargers & V2G
Heat pumps
Electrification Digitisation IoT
SCADA
Smart heaters
Aggregation (AI, ML)
• In California, SCE has also used a portfolio of storage instead of a 262 MW gas peaker
• The portfolio include a big battery (100MW) but also 14MW of aggregated domestic
systems (from Swell Energy).
Evolution of residential BTM models
Managed service
Driver: convenience of having utilities manage customers’ import/export and
bundling into a flat-rate “cloud” service
Accessing new revenue streams
Driver: lowering flat-rate pricing through new revenue streams (grid services)
by managing multiple customers’ import/exports (aggregation)
The role of Smart Tariffs
Example:
Image: Kubli & Canzi (Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2021)
New England: ‘ConnectedSolutions’
Operating objectives:
▪ In ‘solar shifting’ mode, the battery consumes surplus PV (maximise self-consumption)
▪ The battery tries to avoid grid import outside solar times (by discharging to the home)
▪ Where necessary, the battery will pre-charge from the grid:
▪ to optimise for Time-of-Use tariffs
▪ to manage state-of-charge for VPP dispatch
June 2022:
▪ “The largest distributed battery in the world”:
▪ There are ~50,000 Powerwalls that could be eligible, adding up to 500 MWh of energy capacity
▪ Opt-in to the Tesla Virtual Power Plant (VPP) with PG&E and your Powerwall will be dispatched
when the grid needs emergency support
▪ Through the Emergency Load Reduction Program (ELRP) pilot, participants receive $2 per kWh
delivered during an event
▪ Depending on the events and the number of Powerwalls homeowners have, they could earn
“anywhere from $10 to $60 per event”
▪ Customers can adjust their contribution, while maintaining backup energy for outages
VPPs for ancillary services (US)
▪ Jan 2021: VPP contract approved by the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission
▪ $25 million contract for capacity and fast frequency response grid services
across Oahu, Maui and Hawaii Island
▪ Swell will aggregate ~6,000 mostly residential solar-powered batteries
Germany: EVs dominate battery capacity
Stationary + mobile
battery storage
EV growth
EV Charging terminology
V2X EV as a source of power to other electrical appliances (e.g. off-grid, camping etc.2)
VGI EV more closely integrated into the grid and its operations
1 Onestudy has shown that a 32 kWh EV can provide 300 hours of continuous backup
household supply when combined with solar generation
2 In effect, EVs can be used to transport energy to locations which lack electricity access
Vehicle-to-…
Source: electrical-installation.org
Ford F-150 (V2H as supply resilience)
e.g. UK:
▪ The world’s largest residential V2G trial
▪ Over three years, with more than 320 chargers
▪ Trial found that V2G could earn consumers GBP 340 per yr through tariff
optimisation, compared with GBP 120 when using one-way smart charging
▪ Also provided firm frequency response (FFR) and dynamic containment(DC):
▪ Annual revenues rose to GBP 513 with FFR and GBP 725 with DC
e.g. Germany
▪ A pilot project showed EVs could address transmission grid congestion
▪ Wind power in northern Germany was used by EVs in that region
▪ Electricity from charged EV batteries was fed back into the southern and
western grids, replacing fossil fuel-based power
C&I: no “typical” BTM storage case…
http://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/sustainability-and-resource-productivity/our-insights/the-new-economics-of-energy-storage (2016)
…But the Key Elements are Common
Maximise usage & value
Energy Usage of onsite generation
• Fixed, $/kWh
• Variable, $/kWh (varying with times and/or tiers)
Shift energy to avoid
+ peak time imports
“Bandwidth” Requirement
• Demand charge, $/kW (based on maximum kW) Shift energy to
minimise peak demand
+
Source: https://solartechonline.com/commercial-energy-storage/
Reduced peak-
rate energy costs
Demand Charge Reduction
Utilities’ revenue from C&I electricity sales in the US is composed of:
• ~3% from fixed customer charges
• 25% from demand charges
• 72% from energy charges.
The split varies moderately by region but significantly by customer.
(Demand charges >50% of a monthly bill are common).
The impact of PV depends on timing! (Full-year Load & Weather data is needed)
Q: What are the pros & cons (from supplier & client sides?)
Commercial V2G example
‘Overload’ events • Battery discharges if demand at the transformer > upper setting
&
Peak Shaving • Batter charges if demand < base setting
power
energy
Most
extreme i.e. 4-hour
event battery
Energy (kWh)
Power (kW)
Most events fully mitigated,
more unusual events partially mitigated
Image source: NREL (2020) for USAID/Gov of India
Solar & BTM Storage
Using BTM aggregated storage to address reverse power flows & peak-shaving
Example DNO-led trial (Northern Powergrid, UK):
▪ 40 domestic scale Moixa battery systems in 36 households
▪ 27 also had PV installed
▪ The trial ran from 2017-2019
Seasonal considerations:
▪ Summer: low evening demand meant SoC did not drop significantly (not enough capacity to store
excess solar energy the next day)
▪ Winter: low levels of PV (not enough battery charge to shave the evening peak)
Solar & storage on local networks
• Network topology?
• How much PV?
• How much local load?
• Grid capacity?
• …
With & without PV: With PV, with & without storage:
overvoltage
Community Energy Storage
Peak demand
Intra-day <10 hrs
(capacity planning & cost)
Overcapacity
Seasonal <1,000 hrs?
(capacity planning)
Renewables & ‘Variability’ (hours & days)
“Dunkelflaute” (‘Dunkelheit’ (darkness) & ‘Windflaute’ (little to no wind)
Demand:
Supply (solar):
GW
Wind x 5, Solar x 2:
• Excess Energy = 1,130 GWh
• Max Excess Power = 20.9 GW
Rising demand for ‘dispatchable resource’
▪ Widely deployable
▪ e.g. retrofits (gas storage to CAES, coal plant to TES)
▪ Scalable, e.g.:
▪ Few geographical requirements
▪ Modular
▪ Not dependent on rare materials
Lifetime:
Total $
Energy
($/MWh) MWht (discharged)
If this is higher,
discharged energy
must be more valuable
Modelled outcomes
Power:
▪ Solar PV and onshore win: nearly twice as installed capacity as 2020
▪ Offshore wind power: a tenfold increase
▪ Storage discharging power capacity is mostly hydrogen-fired CCGT
▪ Installed CCGT capacity average load
▪ Total discharging capacity can supply 77% of the peak load
▪ Storage charging power capacity is about three-quarters of discharging capacity
▪ Up to 161 GW of renewable generation is curtailed (cheaper than building more storage)
Energy:
▪ Most storage energy capacity is hydrogen
▪ Storage energy capacity is about 7% of annual load (24 days of average load)
▪ 23 days for hydrogen, 6 days for pumped hydro, 6 hours for batteries
▪ The total primary supply from renewables is roughly 130% of annual load
▪ 65% of primary energy directly serves load, 23% is charged into storage, 12% is curtailed
▪ Storage discharge accounts for 17% of load
Pumped storage growth
New pumped storage in China
The 3.6GW Fengning Pumped Storage Power Station
▪ Commissioned at the start of 2022, by the State Grid Corporation of China
▪ Located in China’s Hebei province
▪ 425m head height
▪ 12 reversible pump/generating sets of 300MW each
▪ “Designed annual power generation will be 3.4 TWh”
▪ 75% round-trip efficiency
▪ $1.87 billion project,
▪ Two 1.8GW phases, started in 2014
▪ To operate as a peaking power plant to balance power supply from large wind
and solar parks located in northern Hebei and Inner Mongolia
▪ First pumped-hydro storage plant in China connected to a DC network
▪ China is targeting 62GW of operational pumped-hydro facilities by 2025,
120GW by 2030
▪ Currently, China has 30.3GW
New, “Brownfield site” Utility-scale PS
“As coal is phased out, communities face uncertain employment & economic
futures. Projects like Lewis Ridge create new jobs and economic activity”
Compressed Air (CAES)
Not a new technology!
▪ 1991: Alabama Electric Cooperative started operating a 110 MW CAES plant in McIntosh
▪ Project had a 26-hour storage duration
▪ Served to smooth demand between the low weekday loads and high weekend peaks
▪ Acquired by Siemens in 2015
▪ Still the only operational utility-scale CAES plant in the US!
▪ The Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP), is evaluating proposals for new CAES deployments, amongst others
Characteristics:
• Early examples burned natural gas to avoid cooling
on expansion
• New designs store compression heat and re-use it
(“adiabatic”):
• Lower emissions
• Better round-trip efficiency (up to 70% vs. around 50%)
• Charge/discharge response similar to
pumped hydro
CAES in China
May 2022
▪ Changzhou, east China's Jiangsu Province
▪ Operated by Huaneng Group
▪ The salt cavern is about 1,000 meters underground
▪ Energy storage capacity is 300MWh
▪ Power capacity 60MW
▪ 60% round trip efficiency
Other CAES examples
Example: HydroStor
▪ Rosamond, California, USA
▪ Capacity/Energy: 500 MW and up to 12 hours
▪ In-service by 2024
▪ Applications: “renewables integration, replacement of fossil fuel
generation, transmission optimization”
▪ “No chemicals or contaminants, no disposal liabilities, no fire risks”
▪ “Smaller land and water footprint compared to pumped hydro”
▪ “50-year lifespan, unlimited cycling, no performance degradation”
Example: Storelectric:
▪ Proposing retro-fit approach (to CCGT):
▪ “reducing emissions by a third and adding storage-related services”
▪ “a minor modification”
▪ Scales from 20MW to multi-GW, durations of 4+ hours.
▪ “Cheaper per MWh than both batteries and pumped hydro”
▪ “Able to be installed closer to both supply and demand than hydro”
▪ “Enough geological capacity in the UK to provide two weeks of back-up”
Other “Gravity” Storage Innovation?
e.g. Energy Vault
• A 120-meter tall, six-armed crane stands in the middle.
• In the discharged state, concrete blocks weighing 35 tonnes
each are stacked around the crane far below the crane arms.
• To ‘charge’ crane arms locate concrete blocks and power is
used to drive a motor and lift them off the ground.
• The system is “fully charged” when the crane has created a
tower of concrete blocks around it.
• To discharge, blocks are lowered, driving the motor in reverse
to generate power.
Status?
• In August 2019, SoftBank’s Vision Fund agreed to invest $110 million.
• Aim is for 4-8 MW of continuous power for 8-16 hrs and 80-90% efficiency.
• Design life of 30+ years, no degradation.
Status:
• “£1m” 250kW energy storage demonstrator in Scotland
• Trials begin February 2021
• 15-metre high rig, two 25-tonne weights
• 4MW scale-up project due “later in 2021”
Claimed characteristics:
• Full power (in <1s) by dropping both weights
• Output smoothing by using single weights over longer time periods
• Efficiency claimed >85%
• High c-rate possible (8+)
• Small surface footprint: 30m x 30m for 8MW
• No degradation, DoD limits etc.
Thermal Storage (hot)
Status:
▪ 30MW pilot plant in Hamburg, Germany
▪ Can store 130MWh for 1 week
▪ Site is a decommissioned power plant
▪ 80% of components are off-the-shelf & re-used
▪ System ‘up to 500MWh’ due by 2022
Characteristics:
▪ Converts electricity into hot air using a resistance heater
▪ Heats 1,000 tonnes of volcanic rock to 750°C
▪ Conversion back to electricity uses a steam turbine
▪ Good insulation means heat can be stored for 1 week+
▪ Claimed LCOS of €40 ($48) per MWh
▪ The inventor, Henrik Stiesdal is developing a modular version
for use at wind and solar farms (Stiesdal AS)
Liquid air energy storage (LAES) – cold!
Jan 2022:
▪ Partnership between Sumitomo SHI FW (Japan) and the
Shanghai Power Equipment Research Institute
▪ To study the use of LAES (developed by Highview Power),
in 4 and 8-hour configurations
▪ Both systems with power capacity of 50MW Pilsworth demonstration plant, operating since 2018 (UK)
Power-to-’X’ (H2)
▪ The biggest values now may not be the biggest ones in future!
▪ Past policies and markets were built around generators or users: storage is both!
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