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ADAS Impacts

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Impact of Advanced Driver

Assistance Systems (ADAS)


January 17, 2019
Contents
• Scope:
– What is ADAS
– Market penetration and spread
– Regulation
• Impact:
– Frequency impact
– Severity impact
– Trend and projection
What is ADAS
• ADAS = Advanced Driver Assistance Systems
– Blind Spot Monitoring (BSM)
– Forward Collision Warning (FCW)
– Lane Keeping Assist (LKA)/ Lane Departure Warning
(LDW)
– Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB)
– Rear-cross Traffic Alert (RCTA)
– Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC)
– Fatigue warning systems
– Curve-adaptive headlights
Not a comprehensive list
Automation Levels

Advanced Driver Automated Driving


Assistance System System (ADS)
(ADAS)
ADAS availability

Source: HLDI Bulletin: Vol. 34, No. 28


Regulation
• Electronic Stability Control (ESC): As of the 2012 model
year, the federal government requires ESC in all cars, SUVs,
pickups and minivans. Most new truck tractors are required
to have ESC as of Aug. 1, 2017. The remaining types have
until 2019.
• Other ADAS features: While there is no regulatory
requirement for advanced features, 20 major automakers,
representing 99 percent of U.S. light vehicle sales, have
entered into a voluntary agreement with the National
Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and IIHS to
make front crash prevention systems standard on virtually
all models by September 2022
Source: www.IIHS.org
ADAS impact on safety
• The potential safety impact if ALL vehicles were
equipped with ADAS is estimated to be substantial –
up to a 40% reduction in crashes and 29% reduction
in fatalities

Source: Benson, A., Tefft, B.C., Svancara, Austin M. & Horrey, W. (2018). Potential Reduction in Crashes,
Injuries and Deaths from Large-Scale Deployment of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems. AAA
Foundation for Traffic Safety.
ADAS impact on Frequency
In one recent report, mid-sized cars with crash avoidance systems had 14 percent fewer
claims than identical vehicles without ADAS

Source: HLDI and IIHS study on the effects of crash avoidance features comparing rates of police-reported
crashes and insurance claims for vehicles with and without the technologies. (May 2018)
ADAS impact on frequency (continued)
• As the number and % of vehicles with ADAS
increases, it is expected to reduce the
frequency of accidents
Potential decline in number of vehicles in accidents as
ADAS feature adoption grows
ADAS impact on severity
• Some ADAS features can lead to higher repair costs in the crashes that do
happen. That’s because sensors and other components are often located on
the vehicle’s exterior.
• Repair procedures and parts: These have become more complex and hence
more expensive e.g. in the case of forward collision warning (FCW) without
autobrake, average payment for damage to the insured vehicle goes up by
$109* .
• Scanning: Many manufacturers mandate/recommend pre and post repair
scans for ADAS equipped vehicles.
– These procedures to the cost of repair although the average cost has gone down from $149 to
$90**.
– They can also increase cycle time - not all shops have scanning equipment and need to get the
scan done at dealers’ locations.
*Source: IIHS/HLDI – “Benefits of crash avoidance technologies”
**Source:
ADAS impact on severity
• Some ADAS features can lead to higher repair costs in the crashes that do happen. That’s because sensors
and other components are often located on the vehicle’s exterior.
• Repair procedures and parts: These have become more complex and hence more expensive e.g. in the
case of forward collision warning (FCW) without autobrake, average payment for damage to the insured
vehicle goes up by $109
• Scanning: Many manufacturers mandate/recommend pre and post repair scans for ADAS equipped
vehicles.
– These procedures to the cost of repair although the average cost has gone down from $140 to $90*.
– They can also increase cycle time - not all shops have scanning equipment and need to get the scan done at dealers’ locations.
Combined impact
• The combined impact of lower frequency and higher severity is expected to be positive. In
other words the reduction in claims will more than make up for the increased cost of repair.
• Data shows ADAS such as automatic emergency braking (AEB) is helping to reduce certain
types of accidents such as front impact collision losses. And, when the accident is not
prevented, ADAS systems help slow the vehicle before impact and mitigate the damage and
subsequent cost of repair.
• In other cases, such as a rear impact collision loss (either the driver backing up into
something or filing a rear-end hit to his vehicle with his own insurer), greater electronic
content and more part components are leading to higher repair costs for ADAS-equipped
vehicles.
• Clearly the technology will change the mix of claims and repairs in the future, but with fewer
front end collisions, and accidents overall, carriers should see a decline in losses
• These effects will accelerate as ADAS features become more widely available
• Caveats:
– Driver behavior may change with greater faith in ADAS features. There is a danger of greater distracted driving due to
over-reliance on ADAS. (See ‘Vehicle Owners’ Experiences with and Reactions to Advanced Driver Assistance Systems’
report from AAA foundation)
– Vehicles equipped with effective collision avoidance features could also allow vehicles to persist longer in the vehicle
fleet, slowing fleet turnover. This could lead to a slowdown in the change of the fleet from one with few collision
avoidance features to one with more features.
Impact on Insurance Carriers
• Rate: Some of the benefits of ADAS features will have to be passed on to
the policy holders in the form of discounts.
• Product: As ADAS features evolve, liability and coverage models may
change. Advanced features such as automatic cruise control will lead to
questions about driver versus manufacturer responsibility. Coverage may
have to be split between the insurer and manufacturer.
• Claims:

Organization Process Technology


 Fewer accidents,
 More complex vehicles
Workforce Desk Adjustment Data handling
 Abundance of data from
vehicle sensors Training Field Adjustment Integration
 Different datasets from
different vehicles
 complicated negligence DRP Adjustment

Subrogation
Complexity

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