WhitepaperVISA
WhitepaperVISA
WhitepaperVISA
lity
June 2021
Nichaphat Surawattananon, Tipprapa Reancharoen, Warittha Prajongkarn, Suchanan Chunanantatham
Yotsanan Simakorn, Pattakarn Gultawatvichai
Table of contents
Foreword 3
Executive summary 5
Defining “New Normal”:
Global tourism trends in the post-pandemic world
What are the demand evolutions? 7
Discovering Thailand:
Competitiveness in transition
What are our competitive edge and areas for improvement? 10
Emerging stronger:
Building a more sustainable footing in the post-pandemic world
Old path vs New positioning? 13
Implementing structural changes:
Re-design Thailand’s tourism ecosystem
How to transform tourism ecosystem to reap benefit from new opportunities? 21
Conclusion of a paradigm shift 25
Foreword by Bank of Thailand
Tourism sector has been one of the key engines of Thai economy. In 2019,
nearly 40 million foreign tourists visited Thailand which helped generate
revenue of about 2 trillion Baht (11% of GDP) and employed more than 7 million
persons (20% of total employment).
Due to its nature and magnitude, the COVID-19 pandemic has caused tremendous
setbacks to the Thai economy, particularly tourism industry, unlike any other
shocks seen in this globalisation era. The prolonged near-zero-tourist arrival
phenomenon has turned tourism spots around the country from lively to lonely,
forcing businesses to shut down and lay off their workers. Yet, awaiting
challenges to the Thai tourism industry are not only from attempting to survive
through this difficult time but also from the changing tourism nature after the
pandemic. Behaviours and preferences of tourists could abruptly change, and
will inevitably affect the tourism businesses. The crucial questions for all of us
are “What would tourism sector look like after we emerge from the shock?”
and “How can we well survive in such new normal?” The cards are now in our
hands to design the tourism sector that will be sustained and resilient.
Chayawadee Chai-Anant
Senior Director
Economic and Policy Department
Bank of Thailand
3
Foreword by Visa
Tourism is one of the primary engines driving Thailand’s economy. In 2019,
tourism sector accounted for 11% of the country's gross domestic product.
The Kingdom’s wealth of natural resources, rich culture, and the welcoming
nature of the Thai people have made the country one of the world’s most
popular tourist destinations for decades.
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected virtually all aspects of our lives and we
have adapted quickly to cope with the changes. We are now working from home,
shopping online and socialise virtually. Tourism can learn from all of us. It needs
to adapt, to remain relevant, and to be revitalised.
Visa, the world’s leader in digital payments, has been an integral part of Thailand’s
cashless society evolution for more than four decades. We take responsibility in
ensuring Thailand remains at the forefront of payments evolution, leveraging our
payment data and analysis, so that businesses and consumers can adopt and
thrive. Therefore, we have developed “Revitalising Thailand’s Tourism Sector –
In search of enablers for future sustainability” (the “Study”) in collaboration with
the Bank of Thailand and analysed the data to develop a strategy for Thailand to
utilise revitalise the country’s tourism sector.
Using our payments data, the Study offers unique insights into international
tourists behaviours and spending trends. The information we are presenting here
could serve as a vital piece in the jigsaw to help unlock the potential that will
benefit local tourism operators, the overall tourism industry in Thailand as well as
stakeholders in the payment ecosystem.
The Study is also part of Visa’s continued commitment to helping industry players,
our clients and partners in their pursuit of growth in the global travel and tourism
industry, for both the near-term as the international travels resume and for the
longer term as consumers and businesses settle into their new normal.
We hope you will find this Study as useful and informative as we do.
Suripong Tantiyanon
Country Manager
Visa Thailand
4
Executive summary
The tourism sector is Thailand’s key economic engine, accounting for
11% of the country's GDP. The COVID-19 pandemic has not only disrupted
global travel and left a more serious scar on Thailand's tourism sector than any
previous incidents, but it has also altered the global tourism landscape. Hence,
it is essential for stakeholders, including policymakers, to understand the
evolution of visitors’ demand and Thailand's competitiveness in order to revitalise
the tourism sector and prepare the ecosystem to enable the sustainable transition.
Looking ahead in the post-pandemic era, global tourism trends will change.
A rising of health and hygiene concerns will transform tourists’ preferences
towards closer-to-home trips and will shift from mass to niche segment,
including medical and wellness, community-based tourism, responsible tourism.
Besides, the technology adoption has accelerated across tourism supply-chain
to enable seamless, contactless and harmless travel.
5
4) Induce more efficient resource distribution and increase country’s
productivity: The need for investment upgrades to match new tourism
trends, such as investment in attractions and technologies, will not only
allow the re-allocation of labours to other service sectors, which have
growing demand in the future, such as healthcare and wellness, but also
provide opportunities to increase capital intensity in the tourism sector
which will, in turn, improve country’s productivity.
6
Defining “New Normal”
Global tourism trends in the post-pandemic world
76
What are the demand evolutions?
COVID-19 has changed the travel landscape globally as health and hygiene have become the crucial
consideration for travelling. As international travel gradually resumes, tourists will shift towards familiar,
predictable and trusted travel styles. In the new normal, tourism demand is expected to evolve in
three aspects:
1 Niche travel : As tourists are shifting from mass to niche travel, they will prefer smaller groups and
being free independent travellers (FITs), which will allow them to avoid contacting large groups of people
and customise their trip easily. Green, responsible and community-based tourism are also global tourism
megatrends that will become more popular. In addition, demand for health and wellness tourism will evolve
as people place greater emphasis on their health.
2 Safety-first travel : With safety-first travel in mind, travellers will also show preferences for travelling
closer to home and taking domestic or regional trips. As they seek to avoid crowded attractions,
travellers will also want to explore lesser-known outdoor destinations. They are also willing to pay more
for premium services that provide greater safety and quality.
3 Digitalisation trends : Digitalisation will play a significant role in enabling seamless, contactless
and harmless travel throughout the tourists’ journey such as virtual travel, online queuing system and
contactless payment. The pandemic will also accelerate the adoption of technology across the tourism
supply chain.
Niche travel
Safety-first travel
Health & hygiene
awareness
Digitalisation
8
Survey of tourist’s holiday planning after COVID-19 (pre-COVID = 100)
The survey data shows that tourists’ demands evolve towards niche,
safety-first and digitalisation.
Use contactless/
Use mostly cash 60 127 digital payments
Reserve restaurants
Don’t plan in advance 81 117 in advance
Big groups/
71 115 FIT/smaller groups
packaged tours
If score >100 : tourists are willing to do each activity in post-COVID more than pre-COVID
Note: *Green Shoot Radar Research conducted quantitative survey augmented by social and search data during the period of October to
November 2020 across 14 countries in Asia Pacific (China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia,
Philippines, Vietnam, India, Australia and New Zealand). The purpose of the survey was to better understand consumers’ changing
attitudes and behaviours.
9
Discovering Thailand
Competitiveness in transition
10
9
What are our competitive edge and areas for
improvement?
Competitive edge
Thailand’s health and hygiene standards have been Digital connectivity is another positive for Thailand’s
recognised worldwide, and in 2019 the country was tourism sector. Contactless payment systems, both
ranked 6th in the Global Health Securities Index (GHS developed in Thailand and overseas, including QR
index) out of 195 countries. The Thai government has code payments, PromptPay, which is currently linked
also established the Safety and Health Administration to Singapore's PayNow, and foreign applications,
(SHA) standard to ensure high-quality service such as WeChat, can facilitate tourists’ spending
standards that prevent the spread of COVID-19, activities in Thailand. Moreover, the government’s
which will increase tourists’ confidence. MorChana and Thailand Plus applications have
enhanced the country’s capability in upgrading its
tracking and tracing system that has effectively helped
curb the spike in the virus spreading in Thailand.
For infrastructure connectivity, various infrastructure Thailand’s international openness policy to attract
mega-projects are in progress. For example, the 873 foreign direct investment (Eastern Economic Corridor:
-kilometer China-Thailand high-speed railway project, ECC) and the smart visa initiated by the Board of
which is expected to operate in 2026, will attract Investment (BOI) is helping attract more multinational
Chinese and ASEAN tourists. The Eastern Economic corporations, high-skilled manpower and investors.
Corridor’s (EEC) high speed rail, which links three This will provide new opportunities for businesses
international airports - Don Mueang, Suvarnabhumi in the tourism sector to tap into such as business
and U-Tapao - and provides a connection between events and family segments.
Bangkok and the eastern region of Thailand.
There is currently an urgent need for Thailand to Political uncertainty and tourist scams have
improve its environmental sustainability. The undermined sentiment for over a decade, hindered
country was ranked 130th out of 140 countries rated Thailand's tourism sector to reach its full potential.
by the World Economic Forum in 2019, as some
popular tourist spots have suffered environmental
degradation due to overtourism.
11
Thailand tourism competitiveness in transition
Competitive edge
International openness
• BOI's smart visa policy
• EEC as an FDI hub
Soft infrastructure
• Digital platform
• Contactless payment
• Track & trace system
e.g. MorChana Hard Infrastructure
• High-speed train connection
to be operated in 2026
(China-Laos-Thailand)
• High-speed train connected Don Mueang,
Suvannabhumi and U-Tapao airports
Environment
• Pollution e.g. PM2.5
improvement
11
12
Emerging stronger
Building a more sustainable footing
in the post-pandemic world
Instead of pursuing the old path, Thailand’s best
policy approach is to adapt to the new global tourism
demand while also enhancing the country’s existing
competitive edge and creating new values that lead
to a more resilient economic engine.
12
13
Old path vs New positioning?
In light of the changing landscape, adhering to the old tourism model in the post COVID-19 era could put
Thailand’s tourism sector at risk because it relies heavily on mass tourism. So, in order to create a more
sustainable future, the best policy option is to adapt to the new landscape by enhancing the country’s
existing competitive edge while creating new values that are in harmony with global demand,
leveraging our tourism competitiveness.
In a post-COVID-19 world, Thailand’s tourism sector should be repositioned to target higher spending tourists
to compensate for a lower number of actual visitors. Through this “new positioning”, Thailand should
ensure it not only maintains FITs and customised tour groups visiting the country’s natural and
cultural attractions who were a major part of the old legacy, but also attract more premium/business
travellers, especially in following segments: (1) health and wellness, (2) green and communty-based,
(3) business meetings such as investors and professionals, due to the Thailand’s international openness
policy and (4) domestic tourists. These target groups could provide not only a stable source of income but
also improve income distribution and reduce the problem of overtourism in Thailand going forward.
The tourism sector should be repositioned, in response to the new tourism demand
and Thailand’s competitiveness landscape.
Policy Options
Features Travellers’ Types Destinations People & Businesses at the crossroads
Tourist & business patterns against the new trends
• In-door activities • Businesses targeting Pursuing
group tours old path
• Crowded areas • Mass/cheap tours • 1st-tier cities &
• Labour-intensive with lower
• Crime-prone areas • Low-income travellers iconic attractions only
industry demand
• Close contacts
Old legacy
• Low-skilled labours
14
Old legacy represents long-term risks
The old legacy of Thailand’s tourism sector will add more fragilities to the tourism sector and has
been suppressed by three main issues including quantity-driven growth, concentration risks, and
survival risks for businesses in the new world.
1 Quantity-driven growth
Before COVID-19, travel receipts had been increasing. While this was driven by a higher number of
tourists, spending per trip has been declining since 2018 across almost categories. This is partly
because 85% of foreign tourists are from low to medium income ranges.
Total receipt
10
-5
2016 2017 2018 2019
12.7
>60,000 USD
7.3 7.5 7.3 8.1
No income*
7.8 7.2 7.5 7.3
5.8
Note: *including students and elderly persons who do not receive regular income
Source: Ministry of Tourism and Sports
15
2 Concentration risks
• Sources of revenue: Two-thirds of tourism revenue is from foreign tourists, although 75% is from
short-haul tourists, mostly Chinese.
• Destinations: 80% of foreign tourists visit only 1st-tier provinces such as Bangkok, Phuket, Chonburi,
Surat Thani and Chiang Mai. At the same time, tourists who visited just a single province account for
61% of total tourists (predominantly top-tier destinations) while another 39% of total tourists who visited
more than one province still travelled in top-tier provinces and nearby areas. This is partly because
of the lack of convenient logistic linkages between 1st-tier and other cities and within 2nd-tier cities.
• Travelling seasons: In Thailand, there are peak seasons and low seasons as international tourists
mostly visit during the first and fourth quarters, particularly long-haul tourists. This poses another
concentration risk to Thailand’s tourism sector.
Concentration risks
Note: *Visa conducted the tourist destination network study to explore inbound trip patterns and identify preferred routes across different
cardholder profiles. The connecting cities were derived based on number of co-visitors.
Sources: Ministry of Tourism and Sports and Visa
16
3 Survival risks for business in the new world
Against this backdrop, some businesses need to adapt in order to survive in a post-COVID-19
landscape, especially those severely impacted by the pandemic, and likely to diverge from the
new trends. According to a survey conducted by the Tourism Council of Thailand, tour operators,
revenue from man-made attractions and night clubs in the first quarter of 2021 recovered by just 20%
compared to their pre-COVID levels. In terms of geographical impact, the situation deteriorated more
severely in southern Thailand, which relies heavily on inbound tourists. At the end of 2020, active
terminals data revealed that less than 50% of travel-related businesses were still operating when
comparing to 2019.
Based on survey of firms' revenue recovery and regional active terminal data,
some businesses are among the hardest hit from COVID
and need to adapt in order to survive in the post-pandemic.
%share
of firms
100
%revenue comparing to pre-COVID
90
80 1-20% 21-60% >60%
70
60
50
40
30
20 Note: *Survey conducted by Tourism
10 Council of Thailand between February
0 and March 2021 (730 firms)
ors ns s el on Spa s
rant
s
erat ctio club Hot rtati hop
r op attra ight spo ail s Restau
Tou de N T ra n Ret
-ma
Man
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
BKK
Central
North
North East
South
5 Jan 2 Feb 1 Mar 29 Mar 3 May 3 Jun 31 Jul 2 Aug 30 Sep 4 Oct 1 Nov 29 Dec
Note: *Travel-related businesses include accommodation, airlines & travel services, transportation, vehicle rental, restaurant & quick-service
restaurants, and supermarket
Source: Visa
17
New positioning towards a sustainable landscape
The new tourism model aims to transform the sector to become a more resilient economic driver in
4 main dimensions.
41.0
Spending by activities (Baht)
3.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.2 1.2 0.9
ism Golf a diving tlife ai e ge ling ties ark ites ism ces
tour Nigh y th dventur assa Snorke ctivi heme p orical s tour xperien
ical Scu
b Mua A &m ch a t Eco
Med Spa B e a T His
Loc
a l e
Source: Ministry of Tourism and Sports Note: *Seasonality index = Avg. tourist arrivals of month X/Avg.
tourist arrivals in 2016 - 2019
Source: Ministry of Tourism and Sports, calculated by authors
18
2 Improve income distribution:
• Improve income distribution: In the post-COVID era, tourists might avoid crowded areas and shift
to visiting 2nd-tier provinces more than ever. As a result, the proportion of tourists visiting 2nd-tier
cities, which was only 20% in 2019, would increase, thereby helping improving income distribution.
• Increase value-added tourism: As the world emerges from COVID-19, tourists will increasingly
engage in various activities tourism, which would generate higher value-added income for
domestic businesses compared to popular activities in the pre-COVID era.
• Local Alike is a good example of community-based tourism that helps income distribution as it has
helped create around 2,000 jobs and partnered with 100 communities in 46 provinces, which
consequently attracted 32,000 tourists during 2011-2018.
f
uris
m
l site
s ts m
trea otouris me pa
rk rts
Spo l activit
ies Gol mestay venture ances assage ightlife
dical to istorica ness re E c The ra Ho Ad rm
erfo Spa & m
N
Me H Wel
l Culu lural p
Cu
Source: Ministry of Ttourism and Sports
3.46
Eco-Nature Volunteer Art & Culture
*The higher score, Conservation Travel Travel Preservation
the better environmental sustainability Sources : World Economic Forum Travel and Tourism Competitiveness
Report 2019, World Travel & Tourism, 7 Greens by Tourism Authority
2015 2017 2019 of Thailand
19
4 Induce more efficient resource distribution and increase country’s productivity:
Before the pandemic, the tourism sector was labour-intensive with 20% of the country’s entire
workforce employed in the tourism sector (more than 7 million people) whereas capital investment
is relatively low compared to other popular tourist destinations. The impact of COVID has resulted
in more than 100,000 people in the tourism sector losing their jobs, with a further 300,000 employees
having to accept fewer working hours. With the situation unlikely to be resolved soon, further job
losses are expected. The new tourism model should help re-adjust resource distribution in the tourism
sector by reducing the dependency on labour, thus reallocating labours to other service sectors,
which have growing demand in the future, while increasing capital investment. For example,
(i) investments for businesses to transform so they can meet the needs of the new tourism trends,
including upgrades to existing attractions for premium, health and safety purposes, and (ii) investment
to develop technology, including automation and smart devices for contactless tourism, tourism platforms
and virtual tourism.
Labours at risk
?
Hotel excess Unregistered
capacity hotel
(pre-COVID)
Business owners & self-employed
Low skilled Businesses’ (5.2 million)
labours revenue <20%
%
30
20
10
0
in
Spa Malays
ia Italy ippines mbodia Aus
tria ilan
d
Phil Ca Tha
20
Implementing
structural changes
Re-designing Thailand’s tourism
ecosystem
Priorities need to be put on re-designing the
conducive ecosystem (people & businesses,
attractions, and infrastructure) to enable the
transformation to a new position in response to
increased demand at the macro and firm levels.
21
20
How to transform tourism ecosystem
to reap benefit from new opportunities?
Redesigning Thailand’s tourism ecosystem
Digital
infrastructure
Policy tool
Financial options
supports,
regulations, Tourism
platform
upskill-reskill
programme
Inter-provinces
connections
People &
Travellers businesses
21
22
Transformation is needed across five main areas. For Thailand to reap the benefits from these
new opportunities, the country must act on the following:
Attractions
Create premium products and marketing campaigns to attract new targets and
increase spending among tourists
• Create and promote new destinations, experiences and products that will deliver higher
return e.g. medical tourism, golf tours, scuba diving tours, business meetings and
international events
• Use tourism platforms to market both travel experiences and goods
Infrastructure
Improve infrastructure for seamless and safer travel
Digital infrastructure Non-digital infrastructure
• Apply contactless platforms for • Build safe, well-connected and
the tourism supply chain inter-provincial connections
• Implement a robust track and • Increase flight connections and
trace system to give tourists well-connected local transport,
confidence that Thailand is safe especially in 2nd-tier provinces
This is where a long-term policy for sustainable tourism is crucial. Demand and supply must be balanced out,
factoring in quality growth, inclusion and stability. It is important that the Thai government accelerates
restructuring policies at the national, local and business levels to ensure the approach taken today will yield
sustainable growth over the long term.
23
Enabling the new tourism ecosystem
Data is the key to unlock Thailand’s future success. In this regard, a tourism platform could potentially be
one of the key solutions to successfully reposition the tourism sector as it can be used as a marketing channel
to promote new premium tourism products especially 2nd-tier destinations and high-value activities. In addition,
a tourism platform could offer a track and trace function as well as provide a contactless solution for safe and
seamless travel, thus enhancing health confidence across the tourist journey. More importantly, data sharing
between platforms should make it a comprehensive tourism database for policy development.
This study has reviewed existing applications and platforms in the tourism sector that are available in the
market. One interesting tourism application is TAGTHAI, Thailand’s comprehensive official digital platform.
Currently, TAGTHAI offers services such as providing information for destinations/attractions and planning and
booking hotels. The current infrastructure can be strengthened to make it a comprehensive one-stop services
for seamless and safe travel by adding additional features to the platform, including:
1 Pre-departure:
Besides providing travel information which helps tourists plan their trip, the advertising of lesser-known
destinations should be added to motivate tourists to visit 2nd-tier provinces along with the ability to
book accommodation and apply for an e-visa. This will transform the platform into a one-stop service
for tourists before they travel to Thailand.
2 In Thailand:
To provide tourists with seamless and convenient travel, the application should offer a QR code for
fast-track immigration, advanced local transportation bookings, a QR code for hotel check-in, and
a pop-up function offering suggestions for nearby attractions and destinations. Moreover, a track
and trace function which allows tourists to know in real-time the density of certain areas will help
enhance their confidence around their health.
3 Post-trip:
Satisfaction surveys and a virtual marketplace should also be added to the platform to monitor tourists’
satisfaction and also stimulate tourists to buy Thai products even after they leave the country.
Intended outcomes
Increase spending
Enhance health Database for
and improve income
distribution confidence policy analysis
Post-trip
satisfaction
Upon departure
& promotion
24
Conclusion of a paradigm shift
The tourism sector is one of the biggest engines of growth for the Thai economy, accounting for 20% of
GDP direct and indirectly. The pandemic has prompted a change in travel trends as well as scarring tourism
businesses, with an expected slow return of number of tourists to pre-COVID levels. By rethinking tourism
strategies towards a more sustainable new normal, all stakeholders must work together to revitalise and
transform the tourism sector to become an engine for more economic resiliency.
One of the key success measures for new tourism strategies will be its ability to promote more stable revenue.
In particular, with the “new positioning”, the same level of travel receipts can be achieved (1.9 trillion Baht)
by boosting spending per trip to 60,000 Baht even though the number of inbound tourists are lower (from
40 million to 32 million persons). In this regard, the new positioning offers the Thai economy and businesses
with a cushion should there be other disruptions in the future. This benefit, together with better income
distribution, environmental sustainability, and efficient resource distribution, will ultimately be the key elements
in creating a roadmap to future economic sustainability.
25