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Wyckoff Expands Analysis

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34 HOW LEGENDARY TRADERS MADE MILLIONS

however, a start to some new exciting technological developments: the radio


would be introduced as the new communication medium. The year 1920 also
experienced an economy that was slowing down, as a recession began to set
in while construction and crop prices were falling, which back then were vital
industries to the American economic landscape. Because the market reflected
an outlook of slowing conditions, many leading stocks, as they do when the
market experiences heavier selling rather than buying power, pulled back and
fell with the market. A few of these were American Woolen closing the year at
$601⁄2, which was off from a high of $165; Baldwin Locomotive, which closed
1920 at $86, which was off from a high of $1181⁄2; and Crucible Steel, which
fell from a high of $278 in April to $75 by year-end, or a fall of 73%. This lat-
ter decline shows how the prior steel leader was caught in an industry rota-
tion that was just beginning. Early 1920 also witnessed a time when many
racial riots were beginning to unfold in many major cities throughout the
country. It would be a tumultuous beginning to a decade that was about to
witness both historical highs and lows for the stock market.

Wyckoff Expands His Analysis

Richard Wyckoff, during his continued study of the markets, remarked in


1920 that the market was changing. He noticed how, after the war had ended,
that there were many more industries vying for the lead in the market. This
was in contrast to the preceding decade when really only a handful of indus-
tries seemed to lead most market upward cycles. There also were more stocks
to follow currently as diversity began to increase. As we will see he was correct
in his thinking as more consumer-related industries began to crop up in
addition to the existing industrial industries. Through his observation he
concluded that he needed more than just pure market action to discover the
real standout leaders for the future. Since the economy seemed to be in an
early stage of expansion from a widening-out position and with recently
enacted organized structures in place that had exertive powers such as the
Federal Reserve, Wyckoff thought he needed to correlate many economic fac-
tors into this study as well. He thought that money and credit issues should
be considered for their impact on the overall economy and how they directly
affected profitable operation environments for organizations. With this new

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