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Mark Minervini Stage 2 Uptrend and Trend Template

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CHAPTER 5 TRADING WITH THE TREND 79

How to Pinpoint Stage 2


As I’ve stated, history clearly shows that virtually every superperformance
stock was in a definite uptrend before experiencing its big advances. In fact,
99 percent of superperformance stocks traded above their 200-day moving
averages before their huge advance, and 96 percent traded above their 50-day
moving averages.
I apply the Trend Template criteria (see below) to every single stock I’m
considering. The Trend Template is a qualifier. If a stock doesn’t meet the
Trend Template criteria, I don’t consider it. Even if the fundamentals are
compelling, the stock must be in a long-term uptrend—as defined by the
Trend Template—for me to consider it as a candidate. Without identifying a
stock’s trend, investors are at risk of going long when a stock is in a danger-
ous downtrend, going short during an explosive uptrend, or tying up capital
in a stock lost in a sideways neglect phase. It’s important to point out that a
stock must meet all eight of the Trend Template criteria to be considered in
a confirmed stage 2 uptrend.

Trend Template
1. The current stock price is above both the 150-day (30-week) and the 200-day
(40-week) moving average price lines.
2. The 150-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average.
3. The 200-day moving average line is trending up for at least 1 month (preferably
4–5 months minimum in most cases).
4. The 50-day (10-week) moving average is above both the 150-day and 200-day
moving averages.
5. The current stock price is trading above the 50-day moving average.
6. The current stock price is at least 30 percent above its 52-week low. (Many of
the best selections will be 100 percent, 300 percent, or greater above their
52-week low before they emerge from a solid consolidation period and mount
a large scale advance.)
7. The current stock price is within at least 25 percent of its 52-week high (the
closer to a new high the better).
8. The relative strength ranking (as reported in Investor’s Business Daily) is no
less than 70, and preferably in the 80s or 90s, which will generally be the case
with the better selections.

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