Studying Open Interest For Stock Direction - OptionTiger
Studying Open Interest For Stock Direction - OptionTiger
Studying Open Interest For Stock Direction - OptionTiger
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Studying Open Interest for stock direction
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" By Hari Swaminathan & Leave a comment
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Volume and Open Interest (OI) are widely used to assess the liquidity of an Option. High OI and / or
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Volume in Options usually means good liquidity, and consequently, once can expect decent Bid-Ask
spreads. But
Pastvery few traders tend to use OI as a tool to determine market (stock) direction. There are
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good reasons for this – you have to track OI for all the stocks you follow, and then for specific options
at specificTestimonials
strike prices. Generally, this is not a practical approach.
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But let’s
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youWEBINARS
were interested in a stock one particular morning. There’s pre-market chatter and you
know that the stock is going to be hyper-active today. In this case, you’ve decided to focus your
attention to this stock at least for the day. When a stock is in this state, it can give you multiple trading
opportunities in one day itself – there’ll be an initial burst when the market opens, and then a cool-off
period, and perhaps another big run or two late in the day. These moves can provide for an exciting
day. So, how can you take advantage of this kind of a situation ?
This is a cutting-edge method (if I may say so myself ) using Open Interest, that can provide you with
high-probability entry or exit signals. Truth be told, I’ve not heard anyone else using this method as an
indicator, so at this moment, I’m going to claim that this method is mine. And I’ve become more
convinced over the years because it has worked quite well. What you’d want to do is note down the At-
the-money Open Interest of the Calls and Puts before trading begins for 2 or 3 strikes. And then see
what happens at 9:30 am ET.
There are four different combinations possible (assuming flat or sideways action is not among them) –
Whenever I’ve used Open Interest for determining market direction, it has resulted in a high-probability
trade most of the time. So in my opinion, this definitely works. But the problem is it’s not practical to
watch this for more than one stock at a time. So unless you’re focused on taking advantage of a big
move in one stock for that day, this method is not scalable. The second problem is – it will only work on
active stocks whose Options are also active. There are some stocks which will be very active in the
stock market, but not quite so in the Options markets, even when there is fundamental news events
around it. It won’t work there, because you need to be able to see some quick changes in numbers in
the Open Interest column.
But if your goal is to make a killing on a day-trade on one active stock, by all means, knock yourself
out..Let me know if you liked this method..and if you try it, would love to hear your experience.
! " + $ !
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