8-Day and Daily Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature Estimation via Machine Learning Method on a Climate Zone to Global Scale
<p>Spatial distribution of the meteorological stations used in this study.</p> "> Figure 2
<p>The framework design of this study.</p> "> Figure 3
<p>Estimation accuracy, i.e., R<sup>2</sup> and RMSE, of 8-day (<b>a</b>,<b>c</b>) and daily (<b>b</b>,<b>d</b>) Tmax and Tmin in both spatial and temporal experiments on a continental scale: Asia (AS), North America (NA), Europe (EU), Africa (AF), South America (SA), Oceania (OA).</p> "> Figure 4
<p>Estimation accuracy, i.e., R<sup>2</sup> and RMSE, of 8-day (<b>a</b>,<b>c</b>) and daily (<b>b</b>,<b>d</b>) Tmax and Tmin in both spatial and temporal experiments on a climate zone scale.</p> "> Figure 5
<p>The averaged cross-validated estimation accuracy of 8-day (<b>a</b>,<b>c</b>) and daily (<b>b</b>,<b>d</b>) Ta in spatial experiments using the models trained at global and continental scale (<b>a</b>,<b>b</b>) or global and climate zone scale. Global/Continental/Climate -8 day/daily-Tmax/Tmin means using the model for 8-day/daily Tmax/Tmin estimation trained on a global, continental and climate zone scale (corresponding continents or climate zone), respectively.</p> "> Figure 6
<p>Spatial patterns of the 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin estimation model performance at the different spatial patterns in spatial experiments.</p> "> Figure 7
<p>Variable importance (%) of 8-day (<b>a</b>) and daily (<b>b</b>) Tmax and Tmin in spatial experiments on a global scale.</p> "> Figure 8
<p>Variable importance (%) of 8-day tmax (<b>a</b>), 8-day Tmin (<b>b</b>), daily Tmax (<b>c</b>), and daily Tmin (<b>d</b>) estimation in spatial experiments at a continental scale.</p> "> Figure 9
<p>Variable importance (%) of 8-day tmax (<b>a</b>), 8-day Tmin (<b>b</b>), daily Tmax (<b>c</b>), and daily Tmin (<b>d</b>) in spatial experiments on a climate zone scale.</p> "> Figure 10
<p>The spatial pattern of the variable importance comparison of LSTday (LSTday_VI) and LSTnight (LSTnight_VI) in 8-day Tmax (<b>a</b>) and daily Tmax estimation (<b>b</b>) based on the results on a climate zone scale. The color shows the variations of the ratio of LSTday_VI and LSTnight_VI.</p> ">
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- The first type is the index-base method such as Temperature-Vegetation Index (TVX) first proposed by Nemani and running [14], which assumes that dense vegetation canopy temperature approximates Ta [15,16]. This method is easily applied with no auxiliary data. It is widely used in the estimation of regional near-surface Ta [5,16,17]. However, the TVX method is based on dense vegetation canopy temperature and the negative relationship between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and LST. Accordingly, its application is limited and conditional. For example, Vancutsem et al. [17] showed that the TVX method did not adapt to different ecosystems over Africa due to the non-significant relationship between Ts and NDVI in their study.
- The second category is the physically-based method based on surface energy balance. For example, Sun et al. [18] and Zhu et al. [19] proposed surface energy balance theory-based methodologies to build a quantitative relationship between LST and Ta. However physically-based models are complex and these methods require large amounts of information that are usually unavailable from remote sensing observations (e.g., wind speed) [12,20]. The complexity and difficulty for application limited its extensive applications in previous studies.
- The final class of methods estimates Ta from the local statistical relationship between Ta and other variables, e.g., LST, NDVI, retrieved by remote sensing. Statistical methods are the most commonly used methods [21,22,23], including regression method [21], hierarchical Bayesian model [24], and machine learning (ML) methods, such as random forest (RF) method, support vector machine (SVM) method, deep belief network (DBN) method, and neural networks (NN) method [10,25,26,27,28,29]. In general, these statistical methods perform well within the spatial and time frame in which they were developed, but the accuracy might decrease when extended in time and space [16].
2. Materials and Method
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Data Collection and Processing
2.2.1. Meteorological Observation Data
2.2.2. Satellite-Derived Observation Data
2.2.3. Auxiliary Data
2.2.4. Data Processing
2.3. Method
2.3.1. Variable Selection Based on Physical Relationship between Ta and LST
2.3.2. Ta Estimation Based on the RF Method
2.3.3. Model Evaluation and Validation
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Model Performance When Trained and Validated on Global, Continental and Climate Zone Scales
3.2. Model Performance When Trained and Cross-Validated on Global, Continental and Climate Zone Scales
3.3. Spatial Patterns of Model Performance
3.4. Variable Importance Analysis
3.5. Limitations and Future Studies
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
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Abbreviation | Data Description | Data Source | Estimation |
---|---|---|---|
LSTday | Daytime LST | MODIS LST products | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
LSTnight | Nighttime LST | MODIS LST products | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
LSTday1 | Daytime LST observed on 1 day before estimation | MODIS LST products | daily Tmax and Tmin |
LSTday2 | Daytime LST observed on 2 days before estimation | MODIS LST products | daily Tmax and Tmin |
LSTday3 | Daytime LST observed on 3 days before estimation | MODIS LST products | daily Tmax and Tmin |
LSTnight1 | Nighttime LST observed on 1 day before estimation | MODIS LST products | daily Tmax and Tmin |
LSTnight2 | Nighttime LST observed on 2 days before estimation | MODIS LST products | daily Tmax and Tmin |
LSTnight3 | Nighttime LST observed on 3 days before estimation | MODIS LST products | daily Tmax and Tmin |
Elevation | Elevation | SRTM global elevation data | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
NR | Net radiation | NASA Langley Research Center | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
DSR | Downward Shortwave Radiation | GLASS Downward Shortwave Radiation product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
SC | Snow cover | MODIS snow cover product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
OLD | Distance from the ocean | Calculated from Haversine formulation | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
LU | Land-use type | MODIS Land cover product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
Season | Day of year for daily estimation; Sequence number of 8-day within the year (1–46) | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin | |
NDVI | Normalized difference vegetation index | MODIS surface reflectance product for daily estimation and vegetation indices products for 8-day estimation | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
Climate | Climate zone | Köppen-Geiger climate classification | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
WSA_vis | White-sky Albedo in Visible albedo | GLASS Albedo Product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
BSA_vis | Black-sky albedo in Near-Infrared band | GLASS Albedo Product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
WSA_shortwave | White-sky albedo in shortwave band | GLASS Albedo Product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
BSA_shortwave | Black-sky albedo in shortwave band | GLASS Albedo Product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
WSA_nir | White-sky albedo in Near-Infrared band | GLASS Albedo Product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
BSA_nir | Black-sky albedo in Visible band | GLASS Albedo Product | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
Day_view_ time | Local solar time of daytime LST observation | MODIS LST products | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
Night_view_ time | Local solar time of nighttime LST observation | MODIS LST products | 8-day and daily Tmax and Tmin |
8-Day Tmax | 8-Day Tmin | Daily Tmax | Daily Tmin | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 | RMSE | R2 | RMSE | R2 | RMSE | R2 | RMSE | |
S | 0.96 | 1.84 | 0.94 | 1.96 | 0.95 | 2.55 | 0.95 | 2.55 |
T | 0.97 | 1.65 | 0.96 | 1.75 | 0.96 | 2.31 | 0.96 | 2.31 |
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Zeng, L.; Hu, Y.; Wang, R.; Zhang, X.; Peng, G.; Huang, Z.; Zhou, G.; Xiang, D.; Meng, R.; Wu, W.; et al. 8-Day and Daily Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature Estimation via Machine Learning Method on a Climate Zone to Global Scale. Remote Sens. 2021, 13, 2355. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13122355
Zeng L, Hu Y, Wang R, Zhang X, Peng G, Huang Z, Zhou G, Xiang D, Meng R, Wu W, et al. 8-Day and Daily Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature Estimation via Machine Learning Method on a Climate Zone to Global Scale. Remote Sensing. 2021; 13(12):2355. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13122355
Chicago/Turabian StyleZeng, Linglin, Yuchao Hu, Rui Wang, Xiang Zhang, Guozhang Peng, Zhenyu Huang, Guoqing Zhou, Daxiang Xiang, Ran Meng, Weixiong Wu, and et al. 2021. "8-Day and Daily Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature Estimation via Machine Learning Method on a Climate Zone to Global Scale" Remote Sensing 13, no. 12: 2355. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13122355
APA StyleZeng, L., Hu, Y., Wang, R., Zhang, X., Peng, G., Huang, Z., Zhou, G., Xiang, D., Meng, R., Wu, W., & Hu, S. (2021). 8-Day and Daily Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature Estimation via Machine Learning Method on a Climate Zone to Global Scale. Remote Sensing, 13(12), 2355. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13122355