<p>The study area. Panel (<b>a</b>) illustrates the geographical location of Ukraine and its neighboring countries. Panel (<b>b</b>) displays the distribution of cropland in Ukraine based on the ESA WorldCover 2020 dataset. Panel (<b>c</b>) depicts Ukraine’s 27 state-level administrations and the controlled regions of both sides during the conflict. Panel (<b>d</b>) illustrates the temporal changes in areas under the control of both parties. In the figure, the red color indicates areas occupied by Russia, while the blue color represents regions recaptured by Ukraine.</p> Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Evaluation framework.</p> Full article ">Figure 3
<p>The spatial distribution of abandoned cropland. Panel (<b>a</b>) depicts the spatial distribution of abandoned cropland patches, where the red portions indicate abandoned cultivated areas. Panel (<b>b</b>) displays the spatial distribution of the proportion of abandoned cropland area within each grid.</p> Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Calibrated results based on the SPAM grid dataset. Panel (<b>a</b>) represents the proportion of harvested area for each crop relative to the total harvested area. Panel (<b>b</b>) depicts the proportion of each crop’s production to the total production. The X-axis in the figure sequentially represents the original SPAM grid data, actual agricultural statistics data from the past five years, and the calibrated SPAM grid data. In the bar chart, blue represents wheat, red represents maize, gray represents barley, and orange represents sunflower.</p> Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Spatial distribution of crop production losses. Panels (<b>a</b>–<b>d</b>) represent the spatial distribution of production loss for wheat, maize, barley, and sunflower, respectively. Darker red colors indicate higher crop production losses.</p> Full article ">Figure 6
<p>The relationship between grid-level abandonment rate and crop production. Panels (<b>a</b>–<b>d</b>) depict the spatial clustering patterns of wheat, maize, barley, and sunflower production with the abandonment rate of cropland. In the figure, “H-H” represents high production and high abandonment rate, “L-L” indicates low production and low abandonment rate, “L-H” stands for low production and high abandonment rate, and “H-L” signifies high production and low abandonment rate. Gray grids denote marginal spatial clustering between the two variables.</p> Full article ">Figure 7
<p>The distribution of displaced populations across various states in Ukraine.</p> Full article ">