The Evolution of Integral Futures
A Status Update
By Terry Collins and Andy Hines
INTERIOR
EXTERIOR
INDIVIDUAL
Figure 1.
Wilber’s Four Quadrant Model
UPPER LEFT
I
Intentional
(subjective)
UPPER RIGHT
IT
Behavioral
(objective)
COLLECTIVE
Integral Futures is an approach to futures
studies that adapted Ken Wilber’s Integral Theory
to futures practice. Integral Theory is not exclusively the domain of Wilber, but he is its leading
exponent and was central in popularizing the
idea. The domain is expanding with new voices
and ideas increasingly contributing to the conversation. A key concept underlying Integral
Theory is to include as many perspectives, styles,
and methodologies as possible when exploring a
topic.1 There are several excellent overviews of
Integral Theory for those new to the topic. But
for our purposes here, a brief characterization will
suffice.2
Integral Theory suggests that four irreducible perspectives (subjective, intersubjective, objective, and interobjective) should be consulted
when attempting to fully understand any topic or
aspect of reality.”3 These four perspectives are represented in a four-quadrant model.
The four perspectives embodied in each
quadrant are summarized briefly below:
• The upper left Intentional (subjective) is the
individual’s interior world, which can only be accessed via interpretation. The concerns are indi-
WE
Cultural
(intersubjective)
LOWER LEFT
ITS
Social
(interobjective)
LOWER RIGHT
Source: Esbjorn-Hargens, 2009, P. 3, available at
http://integrallife.com/node/37539
vidual motivation, changes in people’s values, perceptions, and goals, and the meaning of life.
• The upper right Behavioral (objective) is the
individual’s exterior world, in which individual
behavior can be observed. The concerns are
changes in the ways people act externally; e.g.,
Terry Collins is a Houston-based futures consultant who did research for “The Current State of Scenario
Development: An Overview of Techniques” (Bishop, Hines, & Collins). He has a BA in philosophy and a MT in
futures studies from the University of Houston. E-mail IntegralFutures@aol.com.
Andy Hines is lecturer and executive-in-residence at the University of Houston’s Graduate Program in Futures
Studies. He co-founded and is currently on the Board of the Association of Professional Futurists, and has
co-authored three books: Thinking About the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight (Social Technologies, 2007),
2025: Science and Technology Reshapes US and Global Society (Oak Hill, 1997), and Managing Your Future as an
Association (ASAE, 1994). E-mail ahines@uh.edu.
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June-July 2010
5
voting patterns, consumer behavior, reproductive
practices, etc.
• The lower right Social (interobjective) is the
collective exterior world, often referred to as the
physical world, or the world of systems and infrastructure. The concerns are objectively measurable changes in natural and constructed external
environments.
• The lower left Cultural (intersubjective) is
the collective interior world of the shared meaning of groups, as expressed in the culture. The
concerns are shared collective structures, such as
changes in languages, cultures, and institutions.
While there is a great deal more to Integral
Theory, the four-quadrant model is at its core.
What distinguishes an Integral approach is that it
considers the subjective experience and integrates
it along with the objective, intersubjective, and
the interobjective. Effects in one quadrant influence the others. The theory suggests that solutions that include a balanced consideration of all
four quadrants will typically lead to more successful outcomes. It gives practitioners a meta- or
high-level framework that avoids reductionism—
i.e., collapsing the interior experience of individuals and cultures into the tangible and measurable exterior realm. It also guides practitioners to
take the broadest possible range of perspectives
into consideration.
Integral Theory has been applied to many
disciplines besides futures. Its origins in futures
can be traced to Richard Slaughter’s 1998 article
“Transcending Flatland,” though integrally informed work may have been taking place earlier.4
In its just-over-a-decade existence, Integral
Futures ideas have gained sufficient attention to
engage the thinking of a significant part of the
field. Some practitioners and academics today are
raising questions or taking issue with some claims
falling under the Integral Futures rubric. A small
survey (summary appended)—conducted as part
of the Master’s Project upon which this paper
builds—found that about half of the practitioners
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surveyed have attempted to apply Integral Theory
in their futures practice to some degree. It is likely,
however, that this percentage skewed high, as
those with an interest in Integral are more likely
to have responded than those not using it.
The primary benefit of Integral Futures so
far has been to provide a perspective or framework for comparing various futures theories, approaches, or methods. Applying the integral
model to futures thinking helps encourage a holistic approach that incorporates multiple points
of view.
The Integral Futures model holds a second
benefit: It is a source of methodological innovation for practitioners. There is currently debate
about whether its strength is greater as a perspective or a methodology. Some commentators suggest that it may not be a method at all. Peter
Hayward (2008) says, “The integral approach is,
at its essence, perspectival rather than methodological. That is to say that method alone will not
evoke the integral perspective but rather that integrality in methods is enabled by taking integral
perspectives.”5
These potential benefits and debate are at the
core of the evolution of Integral Futures. Three
phases of its evolution are identified and explored:
1. The Perspective Phase: Focus on the theory
and initial applications
2. The Methods Phase: Attempts to apply
Integral Theory to futures practice in the form of
methods
3. The Sense-Making Phase: Debate and
some controversy
Figure 2 expands on these three phases by
noting key milestones in each.
1. The Perspective Phase (circa 1998
to 2004)
The Perspective Phase involved introducing
Integral Theory and exploring ideas for how it
might be applied to futures studies. The piece that
Figure 2. Timeline of Integral Futures
Phase
Perspective
Phase
Year
Author
1998
Richard Slaughter
Transcending Flatland
Foundational Theory
2001
Joseph Voros
Reframing Environmental
Scanning: An Integral Approach
Refreshes Environmental
Scanning
2003
Andy Hines
Applying Integral Futures to
Environmental Scanning
Four-Step Integral Scanning
Framework
2004
Richard Slaughter
Futures Beyond Dystopia
Questions for Applying the
Integral Perspective
2005
Mark Edwards
The Integral Holon: A Holonomic
Approach to Organizational
Change and Transformation
Organizational
Development
2005
Mark Edwards
and Ron
Cacioppe
Seeking the Holy Grail of
Organizational Development:
A Synthesis of Integral Theory,
Spiral Dynamics, Corporate
Transformation and Action Inquiry
Organizational
Development
2005
Nancy Landrum and
Carolyn Gardner
Using Integral Theory to Effect
Strategic Change
Strategic Change
2005
Peter Hayward
Resolving the Moral Impediments
to Foresight Action
Individual Development
and Ethics
2008
Mark Edwards
Every Today Was a Tomorrow:
An Integral Method for Indexing
the Social Mediation of Preferred
Futures
Framework for Global
Social Development
2008
Chris Stewart
Integral Scenarios: Reframing
Theory, Building from Practice
Deeper and Richer
Scenarios
2008
Peter Hayward
Pathways to Integral
Perspectives
Awakening Individual
Capacities Through
Development
2008
Joseph Voros
Integral Futures: An Approach
to Futures Inquiry
Development of Paradigms
for Inquiry
2008
Josh Floyd
Towards an Integral Renewal of
Systems Methodology for Futures
Studies
Integral Futures in Systems
2008
Chris Riedy
An Integral Extension of Causal
Layered Analysis
Assessing Futures Tools
2008
Richard Slaughter
Integral Futures Methodologies
How Integral Can Be Used
to Enhance Futures
2008
Josh Floyd, Alex
Burns, and Jose
Ramos
A Challenging Conversation on
Integral Futures: Embodied
Foresight & Trialogues
Individual Practitioner
Development
2010
Various
“Response” Special Issue,
Futures (42) 2010
Response to Integral
Futures “Special Issue”
2010
Sohail Inayatullah
Epistemological Pluralism in
Futures Studies: The CLA–
Integral Debates
Response to Chris Riedy
critique
Methods
Phase
SenseMaking
Phase
Publication
Contribution to Futures
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7
“began it all” was Richard Slaughter’s 1998 “Transcending Flatland.”6 It suggested how the ideas of
Ken Wilber (1996), as detailed in his seminal work
“Sex, Ecology, and Spirituality,”7 could be useful
to futures studies. After introducing the idea,
Slaughter continued his exploration and provided
the intellectual leadership that fueled the spread
of the ideas. He felt that Integral Theory provided
an opportunity to move beyond what he saw as
an over-reliance on empirical thinking, particularly in American futures studies. He suggested
that futures studies had emerged out of a generally reductionist framework with “dogmas” of economic growth, nature as a resource, and cultural
hegemony. He sees this framework leading to an
unsustainable future, and is hopeful that Integral
Futures thinking can help futures studies get outside the reductionist problem and bring in other
perspectives, worldviews, and alternative methods that will enable it to contribute more holistic
and workable solutions.
He suggested the following questions as a
means for applying the Integral perspective:8
• Which worlds (quadrants) are germane to
the study, and what are their key features?
• Do we fully understand the distinctions
between the frames of reference they represent?
• Do we understand the different “ways of
knowing” that apply in different quadrants?
• Have we balanced inner/outer and individual/collective, or are there omissions and biases in our coverage?
• Do we have access to adequate sources of
information in non-empirical areas?
• Do we have a sense of “what we don’t
know,” and hence what needs to be looked at more
carefully?
The perspectival emphasis in this phase saw
the Integral perspectives applied across existing
futures methods. It also suggested a model for improving the practitioner’s personal practice development. Its first applications were in environmental scanning, which make sense given that
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scanning is perhaps the most personal aspect of
futures work.
Voros and Hines with Environmental
Scanning
Joseph Voros and Andy Hines helped move
Integral Futures from philosophical theory into
application by describing how it could be used in
environmental scanning. Voros, then one of
Slaughter’s graduate students at the Australian
Foresight Institute, published an article on applying an integral approach to environmental scanning. He gave a foundational look at Integral
Theory, covering the four quadrants, along with
an in-depth look at Spiral Dynamics and how it
fits in with Integral Theory. He also introduced
the notion of cross-level analysis (how developments in each quadrant relate to one another) and
how the practitioner’s worldview is itself a factor
that influences what is identified as worth reporting as a scan hit.9
Hines, then an organizational futurist with
The Dow Chemical Corporation, was intrigued
by Slaughter’s work and graciously accepted an
invitation to visit the Australia Foresight Institute
and get a first-hand look at how that program was
using Integral Theory. It inspired him to publish
a couple of articles on Integral Futures and helped
spread the ideas among the U.S. futures community. In a 2003 article, he described how he applied Integral Theory in the environmental scanning phase of a corporate foresight project. He
developed a four-step (FAFA) Integral Scanning
framework that utilized the integral perspective
throughout:10
• Find: where and how to look for scanning
hits.
• Analyze: use cross-level analysis (as well
as causal-layered analysis) to expand the interpretation of the resulting scanning hits.
• Frame: create a framework for organizing
insights from the scanning hits.
• Apply: use the insights to inform the sub-
sequent phases of the project.
His experience was that the integral approach
enabled a broader range of scanning hits and that
it expanded the depth of insights in analysis and
interpretation. It was also a useful way to challenge his own and the team’s assumptions about
changes in the external environment, and it ultimately helped to communicate the resulting insights in a manner that acknowledged and spoke
to the perspective of the corporate audience.11
On a parallel path, Spiral Dynamics guru
Don Beck, long associated with the futures field,
had also been following Ken Wilber’s work, and
in 1999 he started collaborating with Wilber to
update the Spiral Dynamics model. Beck launched
Spiral Dynamic Integral12 in 2002 with the intention of providing a more comprehensive model
for integrating his Spiral Dynamics model into
organizations. He and futurist John Petersen collaborated at several conferences on large-scale
transformational change guided by an Integral
perspective.13
It is important to emphasize the strong academic roots of Integral Futures in the Australian
Foresight Institute (AFI), as it became something
of a breeding ground for Integral Futurists. AFI’s
Master’s Degree in Strategic Foresight is organized
around Integral Futures. It encourages the use of
Integral Theory as a perspective to be applied
across all futures thinking and methods, and includes a strong emphasis applying the theory to
the students’ own development and practices. The
students are challenged to adopt the Integral
Futures perspective in their own practice as a way
to become better futurists.
2. The Methods Phase: Attempts to
Apply Integral Theory to Futures
Practice in the Form of Methods
(2005 through 2008)
Starting around 2005, the literature about
Integral Futures expanded to include discussion
of ideas around methodological application, par-
ticularly in organizational development. Several
application areas were discussed. Key developments are briefly noted below:
• Organizational development
• Strategic change
• Individual development and ethics
• Framework for global social development
• Deeper and richer scenarios
• Uncovering worldviews
• Awakening individual capacities through
development
• Development of paradigms for inquiry
• Integral futures in systems
• Assessing futures tools, e.g., CLA
Organizational development. Mark Edwards
applied Integral Theory to organizations using
the holon14 construct of Arthur Koestler and the
AQAL integral framework15 of Ken Wilber to facilitate the development of new insights by introducing multiple paradigms and perspectives to
aid organizational development.16 The holon concept holds that any entity is both a whole and a
part. A molecule is a molecule as well as being
part of a cell. A cell is a cell as well as part of a tissue, and so on. Progressively more complex holons transcend (are more complex) but also include their predecessors. Edwards asserted that
the Integral holonic perspective offered organizations a framework to integrate and contribute
ideas across the diverse and multiple levels, domains, and activities, in essence helping to address the perennial problem of “If Xerox (or any
organization) only knew what Xerox knew.”
He created a tool that overlays the organizational “holon” on top of the four quadrants and
drew a graph of the Integral profile of the organization. Within the quadrants, the tool maps lines
of development, which are a full range of “developmental potentials” of an organization in areas
such as internal culture, customer and community relations, ethics and corporate morals, marketing, governance, and leadership.”17 By using
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tioners have a way to assess the health of an organization by evaluating the lines of development
in each quadrant for improvement, intervention,
and balance.
Edwards joined Ron Cacioppe to aid organizational transformation through the framework
of Integral Theory and Spiral Dynamics. They reported on the value of Integral Theory in facilitating an organization in its quest for healthy
growth and transformation by giving it a framework and model. They found—as Edwards had
earlier—that Integral Theory is a good fit with organizational development because it is inclusive
of all perspectives. It uses the natural and social
sciences, Eastern and Western philosophies, and
crosses all cultures to access the development of
both the personal and the collective. It can be applied to the personal, team or group, or even the
system level of development.18
Strategic change. Nancy E. Landrum and
Carolyn L. Gardner applied Integral Futures to
strategic change. They used it to create change as
well as to support individual employee development—mind, body, and spirit. As Edwards did,
they introduced the holon concept in relating to
organizations. They also added the application of
pre-modern, modern, and post-modern characteristics to organizations, suggesting that organizations can be viewed as a four-quadrant holon.
Again, this facilitates the appreciation of all perspectives, a common theme in Integral Futures.
They cite The Body Shop, Patagonia, and Ben &
Jerry’s as incorporating perspective across multiple quadrants and thus being good examples of
applying Integral principles. They suggest this approach improves their success in the relating the
organization to individuals and to the environment as well as building a sustainable competitive advantage.19
Individual development and ethics. Peter
Hayward continued the stream of emphasis on
practitioner development by highlighting the
need to consider ethics in foresight, in particular
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the moral obstructions that accompany individual members’ psychological development. Thus,
individuals in organizations are encouraged to
move forward in their own ethical development
in order to benefit the larger entity. What happens
in one individual or quadrant affects the whole.
Leadership by individuals can affect the collective in a healthy way: What affects one quadrant
cascades into all.20
A landmark in the development of Integral
Futures took place when the well-respected journal Futures devoted a special issue to it in 2008.
Slaughter coordinated the issue and suggested
why Integral Futures is relevant to futures inquiry
and application. He pointed out that the offerings
covered in the issue included theory, practice,
training, and development. Thus, Integral Futures
can be beneficial in that it can refresh old and
birth new methods, and also add dimensions of
complexity to the individual practitioner’s interior
development. Several application areas were identified in the special issue:21
• Framework for global social development
• Deeper and richer scenarios
• Uncovering worldviews
• Awakening individual capacities through
development
• Development of paradigms for inquiry
• Integral futures in systems
• Assessing futures tools, e.g., CLA
Framework for global social development.
Edwards used the Integral lenses to analyze worldviews and their corresponding pathological reductionism. He named and organized the various
lenses and related pathologies, and suggested that
in order to change and do an intervention on an
organizational behavior, it first has to be recognized. He applied this thinking in the mediations
area.22
Deeper and richer scenarios. Chris Stewart
applied Integral Theory to scenario planning. He
suggested that the two most important criteria for
scenarios are relevance and diversity of world-
views to provide appropriate depth and breadth.
He proposed a generic scenario method using
Integral and provided case study examples. His
article provided the foundation for the four quadrant model along with principle of practice (POP)
for incorporating them into a generic scenario
method model.
Uncovering worldviews. Stewart also noted
the value of Integral Theory in uncovering worldviews as part of his scenario approach. This is in
keeping with the spirit of Integral’s emphasis on
breadth and depth with the value-add of including the strengths but avoiding the weakness of
other worldview methods and being relevant to
the context and purpose. 23 The article offered insight into the history and development of worldviews, and provided options on which worldview
methods might be appropriate for a particular situation. The practitioner no longer has to “reinvent
the wheel” so to speak—Integral Theory gives a
“heads up” on the strengths and weaknesses of
various existing methods.
Awakening individual capacities through development. Hayward claimed that the integral approach in futures methodology can waken integral
capacities in both practitioners and clients. Depending on the psychological development of the
individuals involved, the possible futures are under the influence of the developmental positions
of the parties involved. In other words, the greater
the capacities of the practitioner and team, the
greater the potential solution set for better results.
His two years of research on why students chose
MBAs over MSs in strategic foresight found that
many were attracted to the latter, but reluctant to
commit to that less orthodox path. He suggested
some areas of attention in methodology, to allure
Integral possibilities in both practitioners and
others, such as consciously challenging traditional
world assumptions.24
Development of paradigms for inquiry. Joseph
Voros provided a synopsis of the philosophy underlying an Integral research method. He saw that
Integral Theory’s foundational paradigmatic suppositions could generate methods, techniques,
tools and practices. He showed the shift in the
paradigms and their positions from a dualistic
subject, distinctly distant from the object, to more
of a confluence of the two. This thinking has now
been put into the Integral framework so that other
futures practitioners can build on it, perhaps constructing a model or an application that is waiting to emerge into reality.
The five inquiry paradigms show the development of these paradigms through time starting
with positivism and developing through participatory approaches. Each development became more
inclusive of perspectives in relationship to ontology (being), epistemology (knowledge), methodology, and axiology (value). This groundwork on
which paradigms and assumptions best address
specific futures methods suggests that some longaccepted models may no longer be relevant.25
Integral Futures in Systems. Josh Floyd described using the four quadrant model internally
in projects, but in the background rather than
overtly with clients. His advice to practitioners
was to apply Integral Futures in one’s daily life and
collaborate with others who say the development
of the practitioner is most important.26 Richard
Slaughter said this about Floyd’s contribution:
This is an immensely clarifying
paper with many implications for futures
thinking and practice. For example, by
becoming familiar with the uses and
limitations of systems-related tools and
approaches, futures practitioners can enhance their capacity to integrate methodologies that explore systems from the
perspectives of communicative and
emancipator interests (as well as oftendominant technical interests) subsequent practices, decisions and actions
will more effectively contribute toward
preferred futures.27
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Assessing futures tools, e.g., CLA. In Assessing
Futures Tools, e.g., CLA., Chris Riedy showed how
Integral Theory can be used to assess other methods for the “Integral-ness.” He analyzed Causal
Layer Analysis (CLA) from this perspective. He
suggested that while CLA is clearly a beneficial
method in any Integral Futures instrument kit, its
greatest effectiveness lies in the Lower Left Cultural Quadrant. Integral Theory insists that in order to be comprehensive, all quadrants must be
represented for full perspective. Thus, CLA is said
to be inadequate in terms of being called Integral
because it focuses on depth in the cultural quadrant with no way of deepening in the other quadrants, particularly in cases where participants are
not developmentally prepared to do so.28
Slaughter calls to mind that the four quadrants do not exist in the real world. They take time
and effort to take in and put into practice. Considering that it is neutral in its framework, it can
bring clarity and fullness to almost any undertaking that involves individuals or groups for the
simple and complex processes in life. Most practitioners tend to focus on the exterior aspects, but
the Integral approach reminds one to include the
interior as well, providing the benefits of:29
• Balancing inner and outer perspectives.
• Providing multiple and yet systematic
views of our species’ history and development.
• Accessing the dynamics of social construction, innovation and “deep design.”
• Accessing aspects of the “deep structures”
of this and more advanced civilizations.
• Providing a new focus on the whole spectrum of development options for practitioners
and others (not merely their cognitive abilities).
• Enabling new and renewed methodologies
and approaches.
Slaughter also imparts an observation of how
Integral Theory has enhanced the futurists’ techniques for scenarios, environmental scanning, the
T-cycle, and causal layered analysis. For scenarios and scenario planning, he states:
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In summary, the integral approach
allows us to take scenario planning to a
new and more capable stage of development. It means that we can go a long way
beyond simple, pragmatic “mental models” and the “generic business idea” (themselves innovations in their time) to framing perceptions and the developmental
capacities that underlie them. It also
means that researchers and scenario planners can be more aware of the multitude
of ways in which their own enculturation
and interior development directly and
profoundly affect everything they do.30
3. Sense-Making: Debate and Some
Controversy (2009-Present)
The Integral Futures “Special Issue” in Futures
generated several responses that were captured in
a follow-up special issue. The articles took on
Integral theory and its proponents, some in a casual tone and others in a more serious academic
style. Much as Ken Wilber has been the leader
and lightning rod for Integral Philosophy, so has
Richard Slaughter been for Integral Futures.
Slaughter has become an impassioned supporter
of Integral Futures, and as suggested above, he
sees it playing a vital role in addressing serious
civilization issues that he (and many others) see
on the horizon. It may be that his mixing of the
Integral perspective with a particular point of
view on the future (heading toward disaster) has
made acceptance of Integral Futures a bit more
difficult for practitioners who do not share his
point of view.
The debate about Integral Futures clearly
gained focus with the 2008 Special Issue. As practitioners were exposed to this collection of ideas,
they raised questions about them. For instance,
is Integral Futures guilty of some of the errors it
purports to address? A perception arose that
Integral Futures has the potential to become a new
orthodoxy to which other methods must con-
form. This was driven by what has been perceived
by some as an evangelical fervor among its more
enthusiastic proponents, who consider Integral
methods part of the new wave of futures studies
at a more advanced or “higher” level than existing futures methods.
The practice of assessing whether other
methods are Integral or not has particularly fueled
this objection. Perhaps the most controversial exchange was one around Causal Layered Analysis
(CLA). Sohail Inayatullah, the originator of CLA,
defended his method against what he felt were
misrepresentations and the placing of existing
methods within an Integral box. He felt that rather
than encouraging a flourishing of perspectives,
Integral Futures could stifle growth by creating
the perception that only Integral methods are adequate. He suggested that “The beauty of futures
studies is that all these doors are possible. There
are many alternative entrances and exits—and
many ways to create openings and closings.”31
Integral Futures will continue to develop as
its place in the larger practitioner community of
futures practitioners is debated. Its use as a perspective approach is at the core of the debate. A
second stream focusing on practitioner development continues to gain emphasis as well. For instance, in several places it has been suggested that
the most important application of Integral Futures
is to practitioners themselves. AFI graduates
Floyd, Burns, and Ramos assert that not only is
the practitioner’s own development an equal
factor with the tools used, but it “is the primary
factor in realizing the benefits of Integral Futures
methodologies.”32 Their view is that incorporating Anticipatory Action Research33 can help translate Integral self-reflection into practical impacts
in real world circumstances.
Some of those who have tried to apply
Integral Futures in their work with organizations
are challenged by individuals who do not adequately understand or appreciate the Integral perspective. Yet progress has been asserted on this
front. For instance, Holacracy34 is put forth as an
emerging integral practice that organizations may
adopt. It includes being fully present, learning
from experiences, taking responsibility for individual actions and their resulting impacts, and
empowering self-organizing teams. “Holacracy
aligns the explicit structure of an organization
with its more organic natural form, replacing artificial hierarchy with a fractal “holarchy” of self
organizing teams (“circles”). Marriott Corporation and GlaxoSmithKline are using this method
and the Holacracy organization is offering certification and training.35
Still, even proponents acknowledge that there
is still a long way to go in terms of successfully
applying Integral Futures to organizational development.
Conclusion
The authors see evidence that Integral Futures
has value as a perspective that can lead to broader
and deeper futures thinking. They also see evidence, albeit anecdotal, that it can improve the
practice of individual futurists. The extent of its
impact on methodology, particular the development of new methods, is less clear at present.
There is evidence of a positive impact on revitalizing existing tools. But the support is still quite
thin for the development of new methods and applications. It is probably unreasonable to expect
much more at such an early stage of evolution, so
it would be inappropriate to draw firm conclusions at this point.
Integral Futures has now reached an exciting
time in its evolution. It has gotten the attention
of the futures community and is now being put
to the test of peer review. Critiques are to be expected and are a healthy part of the development
of any major piece of new thinking. The hope is
that the criticism will be constructive and presented in a way that proponents can incorporate
and learn from. The all-too-plausible alternative is
a more emotional debate with hardened positions
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13
that could divide the field. Let us hope that an
Integral perspective informs the Integral debate.
Appendix A. Summary of Survey and
Interview Results
The survey questions below were sent to
practitioners and educators globally in the Futures
social networks at Shaping Tomorrow, the APF
listserv, LinkedIn, and Houston Futures. Given
that Integral Futures had its roots in Australia, it
was to be expected that the majority of respondents were Australian, and were generally in the
category of supporters or leaders in developing
applications.
Of the 21 respondents, less than half use
Integral Theory in their futures practice to varying degrees. Thus far, it has primarily been used
for environmental scanning and scenario development. The survey confirmed the emphasis on
the perspective or theoretical framework area
found in the literature, with the caveat that firm
conclusions should not be drawn given the small
sample size. The survey and quotes from followup interviews took place between September and
December 2008.
Q 1. Do you use Integral Theory in your futures
practice?
Of the 21 respondents of the survey, six said
that they use Integral Theory in more than 50%
of their futures practice. One who said yes to more
than 50%, however, was quick to say, “It is not
readily quantifiable.” Another five said that they
use Integral Theory in less than 50% of their practice. One noted that it was not practical enough
but with the qualifier that “Integral is a framework and not a method or practice.” Five said they
did not know enough about it to use it. One said
that “I don’t use it deliberately, but it does pop up
as a frame of reference occasionally.” An educator notes that he used it a little in teaching but not
in professional practice.
Q 2. Do you use Integral Theory in your environmental scanning?
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The responses here were similar to Q1 above.
One respondent added that “as one of many approaches, it certainly justifies my reading about
things that interest me that I would not have considered part of scanning before.”
Q3. Do you think Integral Theory can be useful for transformation of organizations?
Ten respondents agree that analyzing an organization through the lens of the four quadrants
can provide useful insights. One of those 10
strongly agreed; another one agreed but admittedly
did not know of “anyone, or any organization that
has successfully done this.” Two said that this is
not how they use the theory, and another two said
they did not know enough about it to use it. One
noted that “AQAL is far larger than the 4Q!” Another said they would prefer to use Spiral Dynamics. Finally, another suggested that “I wouldn’t call
it a tool for transformation, but I think insights
gained from approaching work through this perspective can enable/influence/shape a process of
transformation.”
Q4. Do you find it best to only practice it internally within your own organization?
Two practitioners say that they find it best to
practice Integral Futures only internally, usually because of time. One noted it is more useful “as a potential frame of reference… beyond that, its utility
diminishes greatly.” Four have found a way to practice it both internally and with clients. One described
it the best: “As you would expect with an AQAL informed practice, you notice that different clients will
need different engagement styles based on both
where ‘they are at’ and what the situation is.” Three
had variations on this theme of appropriateness of
the situation. Another noted that “I think Integral
Theory is most powerful when it is not seen as a tool
but a perspective. Use of this perspective can be
made explicit, or be used implicitly.”
Q5. In what other ways do you use Integral
Futures in your practice?
After environmental scanning, scenarios
were the next most-popular application. Three
said they used it in this capacity and one claimed
to have tried it but said that the attempt was unsuccessful. This open-ended question generated
other rich replies:
“I use Integral Theory with my doctoral students to understand post-structuralism, epistemology, and alternative practices of organizational change. This is at the theory level, not the
tool level. The strength of Integral Theory is that
is offers one grid to draw upon each of these epistemological research traditions.”
“I tend to use it from a project design point
of view—every project begins with me thinking
about what I need to do in each of the four quadrants. After I’ve been involved in the project for
a while, I map the state of the organisation using
the four quadrants. And I try and make sure that
there are some recommendations that address
each quadrant (if applicable) in the final report.
I tend not to move much below the quadrant level
because that scares most people!”
“It is my lens on the world, personally, for organizational analysis as well as solution building
and report writing. However, it would be rare for
me to make Integral Theory explicit in a report.”
4. Richard Slaughter, “Transcending Flatland: Implications of Ken Wilber’s Meta-Narrative for Futures Studies,” Futures 30 (1998): pp. 6, 519-533.
5. Peter Hayward, “Pathways to Integral Perspectives,”
Futures 40 (2008): pp. 2, 109.
6. Richard Slaughter, “Transcending Flatland: Implications of Ken Wilber’s Meta-Narrative for Futures Studies,” Futures 30 (1998): pp. 6, 519-533.
7. Ken Wilber, Sex, Ecology, Spirituality: The Spirit of Evolution (Boston: Shambhala, 1995).
8. Richard Slaughter, “Transcending Flatland: Implications of Ken Wilber’s Meta-Narrative for Futures Studies,” Futures 30 (1998): pp. 6, 519-533.
9. Joseph Voros, “Reframing Environmental Scanning:
An Integral Approach,” foresight 3 (2001): pp. 6, 534549.
10. Andy Hines, “Applying Integral Futures to Environmental Scanning,” Futures Research Quarterly 19
(2003): pp. 4, 62.
11. Spiral Dynamics Integral, www.spiraldynamics.net.
12. John Petersen, personal communication, August 12,
2010.
13. Matt Rentschler, “AQAL Glossary” AQAL Journal of
Integral Theory and Practice 13, http://integralecology.
org/integralresearchcenter/sites/default/files/
Rentschler_AQAL_Glossary_Final.pdf.
Notes
1. Sean Esbjorn-Hargens, “An Overview of Integral
14. “Introduction to Integral Theory and Practice,” Integral
Naked, pp. 23-29, http://www.integralnaked.org.
Theory: An All-Inclusive Framework for the 21st Cen-
15. Mark Edwards, “The Integral Holon: A Holonomic
tury,” Integral Institute, Resource Paper No. 1 (March
Approach to Organizational Change and Transforma-
2009): p. 1.
tion,” Journal of Organizational Change Management
2. For example, see Sean Esbjorn-Hargens, “An Overview
18 (2005): pp. 3, 270.
of Integral Theory: An All-Inclusive Framework for
16. Mark Edwards and Ron Cacioppe, “Seeking the Holy
the 21st Century,” Integral Institute, Resource Paper
Grail of Organizational Development: A Synthesis of
No. 1 (March 2009); “Introduction to Integral Theory
Integral Theory, Spiral Dynamics, Corporate Trans-
and Practice,” Integral Naked, www.integralnaked.org;
formation and Action Inquiry,” Leadership & Organi-
Richard Slaughter, Integral Futures—A New Model for
Futures Enquiry and Practice, www.foresightinternational.com.au/resources/Integral_Futures.pdf.
zation Development Journal 26 (2005): p. 90.
17. Mark Edwards and Ron Cacioppe, “Seeking the Holy
Grail of Organizational Development: A Synthesis of
3. Sean Esbjorn-Hargens, “An Overview of Integral
Integral Theory, Spiral Dynamics, Corporate Trans-
Theory: An All-Inclusive Framework for the 21st Cen-
formation and Action Inquiry,” Leadership & Organi-
tury,” Integral Institute, Resource Paper No. 1 (March
zation Development Journal 26 (2005): p. 88.
2009): p. 2.
18. Carolyn Gardner and Nancy Landrum, “Using Integral
World Future Review
June-July 2010
15
Theory to Effect Strategic Change,” Journal of Organi-
Introducing Holacracy,” May 2007, p. 7. http://www
zational Change Management 18 (2005): pp. 3, 247-
.holacracy.org.
250, 256.
19. Peter Hayward, “Resolving the Moral Impediments to
Foresight Action,” in Richard Slaughter (ed.), The
Knowledge Base of Futures Studies (Foresight International, 2005).
20. Richard Slaughter, “Integral Futures Methodologies,”
Futures 40 (2008): pp. 2, 107.
21. Mark Edwards, ‘‘Every Today Was a Tomorrow: An
Integral Method for Indexing the Social Mediation of
Preferred Futures,” Futures 40 (2008): pp. 2, 173-189.
22. Chris Stewart, “Integral Scenarios: Reframing Theory,
Building from Practice,” Futures 40 (2008): pp. 2, 160165.
23. P. Hayward, “Pathways to Integral Perspectives,” Futures
40 (2008): pp. 3, 118.
24. Joseph Voros, “Integral Futures: An Approach to
Futures Inquiry,” Futures 40 (2008): pp. 2, 198.
25. Personal communication, March 2009.
26. Josh Floyd, “Towards an Integral Renewal of Systems
Methodology for Futures Studies,” Futures 40 (2008):
pp. 2, 138-149.
27. Richard Slaughter, “Integral Futures Methodologies,”
Futures 40 (2008): pp. 2, 105.
28. Chris Riedy, “An Integral Extension of Causal Layered
Analysis,” Futures 40 (2008) : pp. 2, 150-159.
29. Richard Slaughter, “What Difference Does ‘Integral’
Make,” Futures 40 (2008): pp. 2, 123.
30. Richard Slaughter, “What Difference Does ‘Integral’
Make,” Futures 40 (2008): pp. 2, 127.
31. Sohail Inayatullah, “Epistemological Pluralism in
Futures Studies: The CLA–Integral Debates,” Futures
42 (2010): p. 102.
32. Josh Floyd, Alex Burns, and Jose Ramos, “A Challenging Conversation on Integral Futures: Embodied Foresight and Trialogues,” Journal of Futures Studies 13
(2008): pp. 2, 69.
33. Tony Stevenson, “Anticipatory Action Learning: Conversations about the Future,” Futures 34 (2010): pp. 5,
417-425.
34. See Holacracy.org http://www.holacracy.org.
35. Brian Robertson, “Organization at the Leading Edge:
16
World Future Review
June-July 2010