MLB Props and Pick'em

Buehler has stumbled through an injury-riddled and ineffective season. He got a late start to the year and then missed two months in the middle of the season with a hip issue. Since returning, he's posted a 4.93 ERA with an 18.8% K% and a 10.2% BB% over 8 starts. The walk rate is particularly concerning, as it had been just 6% prior to the hip injury.

No team struck out less against righties than San Diego this year. Their 17.8% K% vs. RHP was easily the lowest in baseball, and only two other teams were even below 20%. Kyle Higashioka will likely be the only strikeout-prone bat in the lineup, and he'll be hitting last. Buehler might only face him once.

Workload could be a bigger concern. Buehler's outs prop is at just 14.5, and even that feels high. He's pitched beyond the 5th inning just twice since returning from the IL. This is obviously a crucial game for LA after San Diego evened the series on Sunday, so the leash will be short. Landon Knack hasn't appeared in either game of this series, so he could tag-team this start with Buehler. Knack is also a candidate to start Game 4, but LA will likely prioritize winning this game before they worry about the next one.

Buehler faced this lineup in his final start of the regular season and managed just 1 strikeout over 5 IP.

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