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Labor Rigidity and the Dynamics of the Value Premium

Author

Listed:
  • Roberto Marfè

    (Colegio Carlo Alberto)

Abstract
This paper documents that (i) the labor-share is a strong predictor of both the value and duration premia, (ii) these premia are highly correlated, and (iii) the labor-share does not forecast the component of the value premium orthogonal to the duration premium. A simple equilibrium model with labor rigidity and heterogeneity in cash-flow durations rationalizes these stylized facts. The economic channel is a term-structure effect: labor rigidity boosts short-run dividend risk because wages are more responsive to permanent than transitory shocks. This leads to downward-sloping equity risk and to a cross-sectional duration premium. In turn, value firms earn a compensation over growth firms which is predicted by labor-share variation.

Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Marfè, 2017. "Labor Rigidity and the Dynamics of the Value Premium," 2017 Meeting Papers 466, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed017:466
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Matthijs Breugem & Stefano Colonello & Roberto Marfè & Francesca Zucchi, 2020. "Dynamic Equity Slope," Working Papers 2020:21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    2. Roberto Marfè, 2016. "Corporate Fraction and the Equilibrium Term Structure of Equity Risk," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 20(2), pages 855-905.
    3. Luis García‐Feijóo & Benjamin A. Jansen, 2023. "International evidence on the association of leverage with stock returns and the value premium," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(2), pages 315-341, May.
    4. Hasler, Michael & Khapko, Mariana & Marfè, Roberto, 2019. "Should investors learn about the timing of equity risk?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 182-204.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D51 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Exchange and Production Economies
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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