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Factores asociados a la migración neta cero entre México y Estados Unidos, 2005-2015
[Factors Associated with Net Zero Migration Between Mexico and the United States, 2005-2015]

Author

Listed:
  • Calvillo Preciado, David Alejandro
  • Lara Lara, Jaime
  • Martínez Elizondo, Arnoldo
  • Pequeño Morán, Eliseo Samuel
  • Velarde Villasana, Victor Manuel
Abstract
This paper examines explanatory factors for the drop in the net migratory flow between Mexico and the United States to zero in the period 2005-2015. To do this, we used a pseudo-maximum likelihood Poisson gravitational model, estimating the state-to-state migration from Mexico to the United States with data from EMIF-North. The change with the greatest quantitative impact on migratory flows was the increase in the presence of the border patrol and the deportation policies for long-stay migrants, which decreased emigration and increased return. The drop in economic activity during the 2008 crisis diminished the attractiveness of destination economies, but also increased incentives to migrate at source. Other factors such as migratory networks, distance and population increase are also significant in explaining the migratory flows between the states of the two countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Calvillo Preciado, David Alejandro & Lara Lara, Jaime & Martínez Elizondo, Arnoldo & Pequeño Morán, Eliseo Samuel & Velarde Villasana, Victor Manuel, 2023. "Factores asociados a la migración neta cero entre México y Estados Unidos, 2005-2015 [Factors Associated with Net Zero Migration Between Mexico and the United States, 2005-2015]," MPRA Paper 119985, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:119985
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/120064/9/MPRA_paper_120064.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    migration; return migration; deportations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • K37 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Immigration Law

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