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Tourism and insecurity in the world

Author

Listed:
  • Asongu, Simplice
  • Uduji, Joseph
  • Okolo-Obasi, Elda
Abstract
The study assesses the role of forces of law and order in modulating the insecurity-tourism nexus in 163 countries for the period 2010 to 2015. Policy syndromes or insecurity dynamics include: violent crime, access to weapons, political instability and perception of criminality while the policy variables of forces of law and order are captured with “security officers & police” and “armed service personnel”. The empirical evidence is based on Negative Binomial regressions. The findings show that the policy variables can be effectively used to crowd-out the negative incidence of policy syndromes on tourist arrivals. The results are contingent on net effects (from conditional and unconditional effects), insecurity dynamics and thresholds. A threshold is an inflexion point at which the unfavorable unconditional effect from a policy syndrome of insecurity on tourist arrivals is completely neutralized by policy variables of forces of law and order. Policy implications are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Asongu, Simplice & Uduji, Joseph & Okolo-Obasi, Elda, 2019. "Tourism and insecurity in the world," MPRA Paper 101096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:101096
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Simplice A. Asongu & Joseph I. Uduji & Elda N. Okolo‐Obasi, 2020. "Drivers and Persistence of Death in Conflicts: Global Evidence," World Affairs, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 183(4), pages 389-429, December.
    2. S. Nyasha & N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Determinants of Tourism Development: Empirical Evidence from Three Developing Countries," Working Papers AESRI-2021-19, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jan 2021.
    3. Uduji, Joseph Ikechukwu & Okolo-Obasi, Elda Nduka & Asongu, Simplice A., 2021. "Oil extraction in Nigeria's Ogoniland: The role of corporate social responsibility in averting a resurgence of violence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    4. Joseph I. Uduji & Elda Nduka Okolo-Obasi & Simplice Anutechia Asongu, 2021. "Analysis of farmers’ food price volatility and Nigeria’s growth enhancement support scheme," African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 463-478, June.
    5. Asongu, Simplice A & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2023. "Military Expenditure, Policy Syndromes and Tourism in the World," Working Papers 30041, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    6. Nyasha, Sheilla & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2021. "Determinants of Tourism Development: Empirical Evidence from Three Developing Countries," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 74(3), pages 335-368.
    7. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "The sustainability of tourism: global comparative evidence," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 19/094, African Governance and Development Institute..
    8. Nyasha, Sheilla & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2021. "Determinants of Tourism Development: Empirical Evidence from Three Developing Countries," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 74(3), pages 335-368.
    9. Uduji, Joseph & Okolo-Obasi, Elda & Asongu, Simplice, 2020. "Women’s Participation in the Offshore and Inshore Fisheries Entrepreneurship: the Role of CSR in Nigeria’s Oil Coastal Communities," MPRA Paper 103141, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Joseph I. Uduji & Elda N. Okolo-Obasi & Simplice A. Asongu, 2019. "Electronic wallet technology and the enabling environment of smallholder farmers in Nigeria," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 19/041, African Governance and Development Institute..
    11. Muhammad Zubair Chishti & Daniel Balsalobre Lorente & Umit Bulut, 2024. "Exploring the Nexus Between Information And Communication Technologies, Globalization, Terrorism, and Tourism for South Asian Economies," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 1318-1343, March.
    12. Uduji, Joseph & Okolo-Obasi, Elda & Asongu, Simplice, 2020. "Sustainable Peace building and Development in Nigeria’s Post-Amnesty Programme: the Role of Corporate Social Responsibility in Oil Host Communities," MPRA Paper 103228, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Song, Jacques Simon & Yamben, Michel Freddy Harry & Atanga, Donald Ferdinand Okere, 2024. "Security fragility in developing countries: Do ICT matter?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 259-280.
    14. Uduji, Joseph & Okolo-Obasi, Elda & Asongu, Simplice, 2021. "Does Corporate Social Responsibility Initiative Dissuade the Increasing Electoral Violence in sub-Saharan Africa? Evidence from Nigeria’s Oil Producing Region," MPRA Paper 110756, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Odhiambo, Nicholas M & Saungweme, Talknice, 2021. "Does international tourism spur international trade in SSA countries? A dynamic panel data analysis," Working Papers 28345, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    16. Choudhary, Sheraz Ahmad & Khan, Muhammad Azhar & Sheikh, Abdullah Zafar & Jabor, Mohd Khata & Nordin, Mohd Safarin bin & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Alotaibi, Saad M. & Abro, Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi & V, 2020. "Role of information and communication technologies on the war against terrorism and on the development of tourism: Evidence from a panel of 28 countries," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Insecurity; Peace; Tourism;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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