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Endogenous growth and environmental policy: are the processes of growth and tertiarization in developed economies reversible?

Author

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  • Benoît Desmarchelier

    (CLERSÉ - Centre Lillois d’Études et de Recherches Sociologiques et Économiques - UMR 8019 - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Faïz Gallouj

    (CLERSÉ - Centre Lillois d’Études et de Recherches Sociologiques et Économiques - UMR 8019 - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract
The starting point for this article is the idea put forward by Gadrey (2008 [21]; 2010 [22]) that environmental problems and a policy of addressing them by introducing an environmental tax could trigger economic contraction and downscaling and a shrinking of the service sector in developed economies. The purpose of this article is to test these hypotheses using an evolutionary simulation model. To this end, we use a model of endogenous growth and structural change into which an environmental dimension is incorporated. The results of our simulations certainly reveal structural change within service industries but no change in the distribution of employment between services and manufacturing. Furthermore, we show that the environmentally desirable stagnation of labor productivity in the capital goods sector is compatible with a largely positive growth trend in the economy as a whole, with the development of knowledge-intensive business services apparently able partially to offset the stagnation of productivity in the capital goods sector. We conclude by emphasizing the need for environmental innovation in service activities and cast doubt on the long-term effectiveness of an environmental tax in the fight against pollution.

Suggested Citation

  • Benoît Desmarchelier & Faïz Gallouj, 2013. "Endogenous growth and environmental policy: are the processes of growth and tertiarization in developed economies reversible?," Post-Print halshs-01133852, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01133852
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01133852
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Gallouj, Faïz & Weber, K. Matthias & Stare, Metka & Rubalcaba, Luis, 2015. "The futures of the service economy in Europe: A foresight analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 80-96.
    3. Luca Ferrucci & Antonio Picciotti, 2017. "From economic dualism to local variety: The development of service industries in Italian regions," Local Economy, London South Bank University, vol. 32(1), pages 14-33, February.
    4. Sylvie Geisendorf & Christian Klippert, 2022. "Integrated sustainability policy assessment – an agent-based ecological-economic model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 1017-1048, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    endogeneous growth; environmental policy; tertiarization; simulation; Knowledge Intensive Business Services;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • L80 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - General

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