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Les effets à rebours de l'âge de la retraite sur le taux d'emploi des seniors

Author

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  • Jean-Olivier Hairault

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, IUF - Institut universitaire de France - M.E.N.E.S.R. - Ministère de l'Education nationale, de l’Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche)

  • François Langot

    (PJSE - Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CEPREMAP - Centre pour la recherche économique et ses applications - ECO ENS-PSL - Département d'économie de l'ENS-PSL - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, GAINS - ARGUMANS - Atelier De Recherche En Gestion De L'université Du Mans - GAINS - Groupe d'Analyse des Itinéraires et des Niveaux Salariaux - UM - Le Mans Université)

  • Thepthida Sopraseuth

    (PJSE - Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CEPREMAP - Centre pour la recherche économique et ses applications - ECO ENS-PSL - Département d'économie de l'ENS-PSL - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, EPEE - Centre d'Etudes des Politiques Economiques - UEVE - Université d'Évry-Val-d'Essonne)

Abstract
Comment assurer la pérennité de notre système de retraite par l'allongement de la vie active lorsque moins d'un salarié sur deux parvient aujourd'hui à prendre sa retraite sans passer préalablement par l'inactivité ou le chômage ? Nous montrons dans cet article qu'une partie du problème de l'inactivité des travailleurs âgés avant 60 ans se trouve au contraire dans la faible incitation à travailler au-delà de l'âge normal de la retraite déterminé par l'âge du "taux plein". L'âge de la retraite introduit une fin de cycle de vie active qui modifie fondamentalement les comportements de recherche d'emploi lorsque les agents se rapprochent de cet horizon, mais également le comportement des entreprises dans leur stratégie de recrutements et de licenciements. Au niveau international, le taux d'emploi des 55-59 ans semble ainsi positivement corrélé avec l'âge de retraite effectif. Sur données individuelles, la probabilité d'être en emploi apparaît liée à la distance par rapport à l'âge du taux plein de la retraite. Les particularités des systèmes de retraite, en particulier l'ampleur de leur écart à la neutralité actuarielle, peuvent ainsi affecter le taux d'emploi bien avant l'âge de la retraite.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Olivier Hairault & François Langot & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2007. "Les effets à rebours de l'âge de la retraite sur le taux d'emploi des seniors," Post-Print halshs-00178447, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00178447
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00178447
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mortensen, Dale & Pissarides, Christopher, 2011. "Job Creation and Job Destruction in the Theory of Unemployment," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 1, pages 1-19.
    2. Jean-Olivier Hairault & François Langot & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2006. "Le double dividende des politiques incitatives à l'allongement de la durée de vie active," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 57(3), pages 449-460.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/6144 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Henri Sterdyniak, 2009. "Retraites : à la recherche de solutions miracles..," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(2), pages 109-140.
    3. Sandrine Levasseur, 2008. "Progrès technologique et employabilité des seniors," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 155-184.
    4. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/6144 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Marion Bachelet & Magali Beffy & Didier Blanchet, 2011. "Projeter l’impact des réformes des retraites sur l’activité des 55 ans et plus : une comparaison de trois modèles," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 441(1), pages 123-143.
    6. Didier Blanchet & Antoine Bozio & Corinne Prost & Muriel Roger, 2018. "Explaining the Reversal in the Trend of Older Workers’ Employment Rates: The Case of France," NBER Chapters, in: Social Security Programs and Retirement around the World: Working Longer, pages 87-115, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Sophie Buffeteau & Emmanuelle Crenner & Sylvie Le Minez & Didier Blanchet, 2011. "Le modèle de microsimulation Destinie 2 : principales caractéristiques et premiers résultats," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 441(1), pages 101-121.
    8. Jean-Olivier Hairault & François Langot & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2009. "Le faible taux d'emploi des seniors. Distance à l'entrée dans la vie active ou distance à la retraite ?," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(2), pages 63-84.
    9. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5l6uh8ogmqildh09h85pkh442 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5l6uh8ogmqildh09h85pkh442 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    retraite; emploi des seniors;

    JEL classification:

    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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