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Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy: A Local Labor Market Approach

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  • ÅžimÅŸek, Alp
  • Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel
  • Nenov, Plamen T.
Abstract
We provide evidence of the stock market wealth effect on consumption by using a local labor market analysis and regional heterogeneity in stock market wealth. An increase in local stock wealth driven by aggregate stock prices increases local employment and payroll in nontradable industries and in total, while having no effect on employment in tradable industries. In a model with consumption wealth effects and geographic heterogeneity, these responses imply a marginal propensity to consume out of a dollar of stock wealth of 3.2 cents per year. We also use the model to quantify the aggregate effects of a stock market wealth shock when monetary policy is passive. A 20% increase in stock valuations, unless countered by monetary policy, increases the aggregate labor bill by at least 1.7% and aggregate hours by at least 0.75% two years after the shock.

Suggested Citation

  • ÅžimÅŸek, Alp & Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel & Nenov, Plamen T., 2019. "Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy: A Local Labor Market Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 13856, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13856
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock prices; Consumption wealth effect; Marginal propensity to consume; Employment; Wages; Regional heterogeneity; Time-varying risk premium; Nominal rigidities; Monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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