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The causal effect of credit guarantees for SMEs: evidence from Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Alessio D'Ignazio

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Carlo Menon
Abstract
We evaluate the effectiveness of a partial credit guarantee program implemented in a large Italian region using unique microdata from a broad set of firms. Our results show that the policy was effective to the extent that it resulted in an improved financial condition for the beneficiary firms. While the total amount of bank debt was unaffected, firms showed a significant increase in the long-term component. Furthermore, targeted firms benefited from a substantial decrease in interest rates. On the other hand, there is some evidence that the probability of default increases as a consequence of the treatment, although the effect is only marginally significant. There are, instead, no effects on the real outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessio D'Ignazio & Carlo Menon, 2013. "The causal effect of credit guarantees for SMEs: evidence from Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 900, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_900_13
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. Allan Riding & Judith Madill & George Haines, 2007. "Incrementality of SME Loan Guarantees," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 47-61, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aparicio, Gabriela & Bobicì, Vida & De Olloqui, Fernando & Fernández Díez, María Carmen & Gerardino, María Paula & Mitnik, Oscar A. & Vargas, Sebastián, 2021. "Liquidity or Capital?: The Impacts of Easing Credit Constraints in Rural Mexico," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 11332, Inter-American Development Bank.
    2. Bing Xu & Jingwen Yang & Sonia Dasí-Rodríguez, 0. "Determinants of credit availability for high-tech start-ups," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-19.
    3. Concetta Rondinelli & Roberta Zizza, 2020. "Spend today or spend tomorrow? The role of inflation expectations in consumer behaviour," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1276, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Chiara Bocci & Annalisa Caloffi & Marco Mariani & Alessandro Sterlacchini, 2023. "Evaluating Public Support to the Investment Activities of Business Firms: A Multilevel Meta-Regression Analysis of Italian Studies," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 9(1), pages 1-34, March.
    5. Pierfederico Asdrubali & Simone Signore, 2015. "The Economic Impact of EU Guarantees on Credit to SMEs Evidence from CESEE Countries," European Economy - Discussion Papers 002, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    6. Boschi, Melisso & Girardi, Alessandro & Ventura, Marco, 2014. "Partial credit guarantees and SMEs financing," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 182-194.
    7. Sebastian Schich, 2018. "To What Extent Do Public Authorities Verify the Cost-Effectiveness of Guarantees for Credit to SMEs?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(1), pages 69-86, March.
    8. Rodrigo Martín-García & Jorge Morán Santor, 2021. "Public guarantees: a countercyclical instrument for SME growth. Evidence from the Spanish Region of Madrid," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 427-449, January.
    9. Bing Xu & Jingwen Yang & Sonia Dasí-Rodríguez, 2020. "Determinants of credit availability for high-tech start-ups," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 1483-1501, December.
    10. Thomas Url, 2018. "Die Folgen staatlicher Wechselbürgschaften und Beteiligungsgarantien für Inlandsbeschäftigung und Leistungsbilanz," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 61057, April.
    11. Lorenzo Gai & Federica Ielasi, 2014. "Operational drivers affecting credit risk of mutual guarantee institutions," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 15(3), pages 275-293, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial subsidies; credit constraints; banking;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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