Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/anp/en2005/056.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Um Modelo Macrodinâmico Pós-Keynesiano De Simulação Com Progresso Técnico Endógeno

Author

Listed:
  • José Luís Oreiro
  • Breno Pascualote Lemos
Abstract
The objective of this article is to present the structure and the first computational simulations of a one-sector macrodynamic model that imbed some elements of the post- keynesian theoretical framework. The theoretical elements embed in the model are: i) determination of the level of output by the principle of effective demand; (ii) differentiated savings propensities of capitalists and workers; iii) mark-up pricing; iv) investment decision based on Minsky´s two price theory; v) importance of firms´s capital structure over the level of aggregate investment; (vi) inflation based on distributive conflict between capitalists and workers; (vii) endogenous money and (ix) endogenous technical progress. The computational simulations of the model reproduce some important features of capitalist dynamics as "cyclical growth" - i. e.; irregular but bounded fluctuations of the growth rate of real GDP -; the occurrence of a single Great Depression over the entire simulation period, what resembles the "rare" nature of great crises in the history of capitalism. The computational simulation also shows that a big reduction in inflation rate in a short period spam will be accompanied by a great financial fragility of productive firms, which, sooner or latter, will generate a great depression. As a corollary of these results follows that the Central Bank should conduct monetary policy in a way to avoid very rapid reduction in inflation rate.

Suggested Citation

  • José Luís Oreiro & Breno Pascualote Lemos, 2005. "Um Modelo Macrodinâmico Pós-Keynesiano De Simulação Com Progresso Técnico Endógeno," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 056, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:056
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/encontro2005/artigos/A05A056.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:056. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Rodrigo Zadra Armond (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/anpecea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.