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Long Run Variance Estimation Using Steep Origin Kernels Without Truncation

Author

Listed:
  • Peter C.B. Phillips

    (Yale University, Cowles Foundation)

  • Sainan Jin

    (Yale University, Faculty of Arts & Sciences, Department of Economics (Box 8268))

  • Yixiao Sun

    (University of California, San Diego, Division of Social Sciences, Department of Economics)

Abstract
A new class of kernel estimates is proposed for long run variance (LRV) and heteroskedastic autocorrelation consistent (HAC) estimation. The kernels are called steep origin kernels and are related to a class of sharp origin kernels explored by the authors (2003) in other work. They are constructed by exponentiating a mother kernel (a conventional lag kernel that is smooth at the origin) and they can be used without truncation or bandwidth parameters. When the exponent is passed to infinity with the sample size, these kernels produce consistent LRV/HAC estimates. The new estimates are shown to have limit normal distributions, and formulae for the asymptotic bias and variance are derived. With steep origin kernel estimation, bandwidth selection is replaced by exponent selection and data-based selection is possible. Rules for exponent selection based on minimum mean squared error (MSE)\ criteria are developed. Optimal rates for steep origin kernels that are based on exponentiating quadratic kernels are shown to be faster than those based on exponentiating the Bartlett kernel, which produces the sharp origin kernel. It is further shown that, unlike conventional kernel estimation where an optimal choice of kernel is possible in terms of MSE\ criteria (Priestley, 1962; Andrews, 1991), steep origin kernels are asymptotically MSE equivalent, so that choice of mother kernel does not matter asymptotically. The approach is extended to spectral estimation at frequencies \omega \neq 0. Some simulation evidence is reported detailing the finite sample performance of steep kernel methods in LRV/HAC estimation and robust regression testing in comparison with sharp kernel and conventional (truncated) kernel methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter C.B. Phillips & Sainan Jin & Yixiao Sun, 2004. "Long Run Variance Estimation Using Steep Origin Kernels Without Truncation," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm427, Yale School of Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:ysm:somwrk:ysm427
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    Cited by:

    1. Masayuki Hirukawa, 2006. "A Modified Nonparametric Prewhitened Covariance Estimator," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 441-476, May.
    2. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Designing Realized Kernels to Measure the ex post Variation of Equity Prices in the Presence of Noise," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(6), pages 1481-1536, November.
    3. Peter C.B. Phillips & Yixiao Sun & Sainan Jin, 2005. "Improved HAR Inference," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1513, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    4. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Designing Realized Kernels to Measure the ex post Variation of Equity Prices in the Presence of Noise," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(6), pages 1481-1536, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exponentiated kernel; lag kernel; long run variance; optimal exponent; spectral window; spectrum;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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