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Armington Elasticities: Estimates for Uruguayan Manufacturing Sectors

Author

Listed:
  • Manuel Flores

    (Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales, Universidad de la República)

  • Adriana Cassoni

    (Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales, Universidad de la República)

Abstract
Armington elasticities of substitution – AEs – are a crucial set of parameters that allows CGEMs applied to trade to be operational. In the case of Uruguay, no estimated values for these parameters have been available until now, forcing researchers to impose them arbitrarily. We here start filling this gap by providing estimated AEs for 32 Uruguayan 4-digit manufacturing industries belonging to the Food, Beverages and Tobacco; Chemical Products; and Textiles economic sectors, using monthly and quarterly data along 1989-2001. The specification of the models follows the simplified benchmark proposed by Armington (1969) that has been used in most of the existing applied research. The resulting estimated AEs are in line with those reported by the international literature and hence of a smaller size than expected by CGEM modellers. Our econometric analyses also show that the low values of the estimated elasticities are not due to the characteristics of the available data and/or the methodology used. Instead, a plausible explanation suggested by our results relates to the theoretical models used being misspecified, particularly due to the omission of relevant variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Flores & Adriana Cassoni, 2010. "Armington Elasticities: Estimates for Uruguayan Manufacturing Sectors," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0710, Department of Economics - dECON.
    • Handle: RePEc:ude:wpaper:0710
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/2159
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Foster, James & Greer, Joel & Thorbecke, Erik, 1984. "A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 761-766, May.
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    3. Terra, Maria Ines & Bucheli, Marisa & Laens, Silvia & Estrades, Carmen, 2005. "The Effects of Increasing Openness and Integration to the MERCOSUR on the Uruguayan Labour Market: A CGE Modeling Analysis," Conference papers 331318, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Almeida dos Reis, Jose Guilherme & Paes de Barros, Ricardo, 1991. "Wage inequality and the distribution of education : A study of the evolution of regional differences in inequality in metropolitan Brazil," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 117-143, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cecilia Llambi & Silvia Laens & Marcelo Perera & Mery Ferrando, 2011. "Assessing the Impact of the 2007 Tax Reform on Povert and Inequality in Uruguay," Working Papers PMMA 2011-14, PEP-PMMA.
    2. Cecilia Llambi & Silvia Laens & Marcelo Perera, 2016. "Assessing the Impacts of a Major Tax Reform: a CGE-microsimulation analysis for Uruguay," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 9(1), pages 134-166.
    3. Bajzik, Jozef & Havranek, Tomas & Irsova, Zuzana & Schwarz, Jiri, 2019. "The Elasticity of Substitution between Domestic and Foreign Goods: A Quantitative Survey," EconStor Preprints 200207, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    4. Carmen Estrades & Cecilia Llambí, 2013. "Lessons from the 2008 Financial Crisis: Policy Responses to External Shocks in Uruguay," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 51(3), pages 233-259, September.
    5. Estrades, Carmen & Llambí, Cecilia & Perera, Marcelo & Rovira, Flavia, 2016. "Large-scale mining in a small developing country: Macroeconomic impacts of revenue allocation policies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 433-443.
    6. Bajzik, Josef & Havranek, Tomas & Irsova, Zuzana & Schwarz, Jiri, 2020. "Estimating the Armington elasticity: The importance of study design and publication bias," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Armington elasticity; Substitutability; Computable General Equilibrium Model.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J14 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

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