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Does Crime Lower Growth?

Author

Listed:
  • Mauricio Cárdenas
  • Sandra Rozo
Abstract
Many analysts consider that lack of security is a major obstacle to growth in Colombia. This paper identifies a structural downturn in economic growth-of nearly two percentage points per year-as a result of the increase in illicit crops and crime rates after 1980. A decline in total factor productivity has been the key channel linking crime and economic growth. Political upheavals and high levels of inequality and poverty motivated the adoption of a new constitution in 1991. The constitution mandated additional fiscal expenditures to curb social tensions. Major progress has been made in terms of public safety and, to a lesser extent, in the provision of health and education. However, long?run growth will continue to be constrained by inadequate transport infrastructure and low international trade volumes.

Suggested Citation

  • Mauricio Cárdenas & Sandra Rozo, 2008. "Does Crime Lower Growth?," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 28005.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbpubs:28005
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    File URL: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/28005/577290NWP0Box353766B01PUBLIC10gcwp030web.pdf?sequence=1
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    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kyriakos C. Neanidis & Maria Paola Rana & Keith Blackburn, 2017. "An empirical analysis of organized crime, corruption and economic growth," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 273-298, August.
    2. Rosetta Lombardo & Marianna Falcone, 2011. "Crime And Economic Performance. A Cluster Analysis Of Panel Data On Italy'S Nuts 3 Regions," Working Papers 201112, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF.
    3. René Cabral & André Varella Mollick & Eduardo Saucedo, 2016. "Violence in Mexico and its effects on labor productivity," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(2), pages 317-339, March.
    4. Nabi, Ijaz & Malik, Abdul & Hattari, Rabin & Husain, Turab & Shafqat, Adeel & Anwaar, Sana & Rashid, Ammar, 2010. "Economic growth and structural change in South Asia: miracle or mirage?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 36389, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Keith Blackburn & Kyriakos C. Neanidis & Maria Paola Rana, 2015. "Organized Crime, Corruption and Growth: Theory and Evidence," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 210, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    6. Neanidis, Kyriakos C. & Papadopoulou, Vea, 2013. "Crime, fertility, and economic growth: Theory and evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 101-121.
    7. Luisa Blanco & Isabel Ruiz, 2013. "The Impact of Crime and Insecurity on Trust in Democracy and Institutions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 284-288, May.
    8. Claudio Detotto & Manuela Pulina, 2013. "Does more crime mean fewer jobs and less economic growth?," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 183-207, August.
    9. Cabral Torres René & Mollick André V. & Saucedo Eduardo, 2018. "The Impact of Crime and Other Economic Forces on Mexico's Foreign Direct Investment Inflows," Working Papers 2018-24, Banco de México.

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