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The ‘other half’ of the public debt–economic growth relationship: a note on Reinhart and Rogoff

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  • Yannis Dafermos

    (University of the West of England, UK)

Abstract
Reinhart/Rogoff (2010) and Reinhart et al. (2012) document a negative relationship between public debt and economic growth. However, by classifying the observations of their data set into public debt categories and identifying public debt overhang episodes, they focus only on ‘one half’ of the public debt–economic growth relationship: the growth-reducing effects of high public debt. This note classifies the observations of their data set into economic growth categories and identifies low-growth episodes. In so doing, it presents the ‘other half’ of the public debt–economic growth relationship: the debt-increasing effects of low growth. It is argued that the presentation of ‘both halves’ is essential for a more fruitful research agenda and policy debate.

Suggested Citation

  • Yannis Dafermos, 2015. "The ‘other half’ of the public debt–economic growth relationship: a note on Reinhart and Rogoff," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 12(1), pages 20-28, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:elg:ejeepi:v:12:y:2015:i:1:p20-28
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Mariusz Maziarz, 2017. "Przyczynowosc w ekonomii. Najnowsze badania i nierozwiązane problemy / Causation in Economics. The Most Recent Analyses and the Unsolved Problems," Annales. Ethics in Economic Life, University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, vol. 20(1), pages 63-81, February.
    3. Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha, Abbas Mirakhor, Hossein Askari, 2015. "Risk Sharing in Corporate and Public Finance: The Contribution of Islamic Finance," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 68(274), pages 187-213.
    4. Kummer-Noormamode, Sabina, 2018. "The Relationship between Public Debt and Economic Growth: Nonlinearity and Country-Specificity," MPRA Paper 98075, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    public debt; economic growth;

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General

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    1. The ‘other half’ of the public debt–economic growth relationship: a note on Reinhart and Rogoff (European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention 2015) in ReplicationWiki

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