Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v634y2024ics0378437123009755.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fear of missing out and market stability: A networked minority game approach

Author

Listed:
  • Park, Daehyeon
  • Ryu, Doojin
  • Webb, Robert I.
Abstract
This study examines the influence of the fear of missing out (FOMO), which spreads through social networks, on financial market stability. We extend the networked evolutionary minority game model, a widely used methodology in econophysics, by incorporating the asymmetric reward structure and investors’ FOMO. The agent-based simulation results reveal that the asymmetric reward structure significantly improves the stability of the system. In contrast, the FOMO significantly reduces market stability. FOMO-induced irrational behavior disrupts the market’s normal functioning, leading to decreased stability. However, as agents become more interconnected and actively adapt their strategies, the adverse effects of FOMO on the system diminish.

Suggested Citation

  • Park, Daehyeon & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2024. "Fear of missing out and market stability: A networked minority game approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 634(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:634:y:2024:i:c:s0378437123009755
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.129420
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437123009755
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2023.129420?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brock, William A. & Hommes, Cars H., 1998. "Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(8-9), pages 1235-1274, August.
    2. Ryu, Doojin, 2013. "What types of investors generate the two-phase phenomenon?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5939-5946.
    3. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Sentiment changes and the Monday effect," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    4. William A. Brock & Cars H. Hommes, 2001. "A Rational Route to Randomness," Chapters, in: W. D. Dechert (ed.), Growth Theory, Nonlinear Dynamics and Economic Modelling, chapter 16, pages 402-438, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Chen, Jiale & Quan, Hongjun, 2009. "Effect of imitation in evolutionary minority game on small-world networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(6), pages 945-952.
    6. Lingyun Chen, 2020. "Complex Network Minority Game Model for the Financial Market Modeling and Simulation," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-11, November.
    7. Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I. & Yu, Jinyoung, 2022. "Foreign institutions and the behavior of liquidity following macroeconomic announcements," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    8. Challet, Damien & Zhang, Yi-Cheng, 1998. "On the minority game: Analytical and numerical studies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 256(3), pages 514-532.
    9. Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2021. "Informed options trading around holidays," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 658-685, May.
    10. Giorgio Fagiolo & Marco Valente, 2005. "Minority Games, Local Interactions, and Endogenous Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 25(1), pages 41-57, February.
    11. Doojin Ryu & Doowon Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2021. "The impact of net buying pressure on index options prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 27-45, January.
    12. LeBaron, Blake & Arthur, W. Brian & Palmer, Richard, 1999. "Time series properties of an artificial stock market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 23(9-10), pages 1487-1516, September.
    13. Hee‐Joon Ahn & Jangkoo Kang & Doojin Ryu, 2008. "Informed trading in the index option market: The case of KOSPI 200 options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(12), pages 1118-1146, December.
    14. Metzler, Richard & Horn, Christian, 2003. "Evolutionary minority games: the benefits of imitation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 329(3), pages 484-498.
    15. Shang, Lihui & Wang, Xiao Fan, 2007. "Evolutionary minority game on complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 377(2), pages 616-624.
    16. Kang, Bo Soo & Ryu, Doojin & Ryu, Doowon, 2014. "Phase-shifting behaviour revisited: An alternative measure," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 401(C), pages 167-173.
    17. Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2022. "Sentiment‐dependent impact of funding liquidity shocks on futures market liquidity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 61-76, January.
    18. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2021. "Stock Market’s responses to intraday investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    19. G. Bianconi & A. De Martino & F. F. Ferreira & M. Marsili, 2008. "Multi-asset minority games," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 225-231.
    20. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin & Yu, Jinyoung, 2021. "Do sentiment trades explain investor overconfidence around analyst recommendation revisions?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    21. David Hirshleifer, 2001. "Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1533-1597, August.
    22. Lee, Jaeram & Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2021. "Does vega-neutral options trading contain information?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 294-314.
    23. Quan, Hongjun & Deng, Gang, 2007. "Effect of imitation in a competing and evolving population in different situations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 377(2), pages 625-632.
    24. Thomas Lux, 2022. "Bayesian Estimation of Agent-Based Models via Adaptive Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(2), pages 451-477, August.
    25. Ryu, Doojin & Ryu, Doowon & Yang, Heejin, 2023. "Whose sentiment explains implied volatility change and smile?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    26. Taehyun Ko & Jaeram Lee & Daehyeon Park & Doojin Ryu, 2023. "Supply chain transparency as a signal of ethical production," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 1565-1573, April.
    27. William A. Brock & Cars H. Hommes, 1997. "A Rational Route to Randomness," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(5), pages 1059-1096, September.
    28. D. Challet & A. Chessa & M. Marsili & Y-C. Zhang, 2001. "From Minority Games to real markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 168-176.
    29. Kang, Bo Soo & Park, Chanhi & Ryu, Doojin & Song, Wonho, 2015. "Phase transition phenomenon: A compound measure analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 428(C), pages 383-395.
    30. Kirley, Michael, 2006. "Evolutionary minority games with small-world interactions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 365(2), pages 521-528.
    31. Challet, D. & Zhang, Y.-C., 1997. "Emergence of cooperation and organization in an evolutionary game," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 246(3), pages 407-418.
    32. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2021. "Information uncertainty, investor sentiment, and analyst reports," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    33. Shilpi Gupta & Monica Shrivastava, 2021. "Herding and loss aversion in stock markets: mediating role of fear of missing out (FOMO) in retail investors," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 17(7), pages 1720-1737, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2024. "Dual effects of investor sentiment and uncertainty in financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 300-315.
    2. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Daehyeon PARK & Doojin RYU, 2021. "Forecasting Stock Market Dynamics using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-34, June.
    4. Brock, William A. & Hommes, Cars H. & Wagener, Florian O. O., 2005. "Evolutionary dynamics in markets with many trader types," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1-2), pages 7-42, February.
    5. Roberto Savona & Maxence Soumare & Jørgen Vitting Andersen, 2015. "Financial Symmetry and Moods in the Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(4), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Min Zheng & Duo Wang & Xue-Zhong He, 2009. "Asymmetry of technical analysis and market price volatility," Published Paper Series 2009-6, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    7. Cars Hommes & Florian Wagener, 2008. "Complex Evolutionary Systems in Behavioral Finance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-054/1, Tinbergen Institute.
    8. Thomas Holtfort, 2019. "From standard to evolutionary finance: a literature survey," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 207-232, June.
    9. Troy Tassier, 2013. "Handbook of Research on Complexity, by J. Barkley Rosser, Jr. and Edward Elgar," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 132-133.
    10. Pietro Dindo & Jan Tuinstra, 2006. "A Behavioral Model for Participation Games with Negative Feedback," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-073/1, Tinbergen Institute.
    11. Detlef Seese & Christof Weinhardt & Frank Schlottmann (ed.), 2008. "Handbook on Information Technology in Finance," International Handbooks on Information Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-49487-4, November.
    12. Zhang, Wei & Sun, Yuxin & Feng, Xu & Xiong, Xiong, 2015. "Evolutionary Minority Game with searching behavior," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 436(C), pages 694-706.
    13. Antonio Doria, Francisco, 2011. "J.B. Rosser Jr. , Handbook of Research on Complexity, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK--Northampton, MA, USA (2009) 436 + viii pp., index, ISBN 978 1 84542 089 5 (cased)," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(1-2), pages 196-204, April.
    14. Andrea Gaunersdorfer & Cars Hommes, 2007. "A Nonlinear Structural Model for Volatility Clustering," Springer Books, in: Gilles Teyssière & Alan P. Kirman (ed.), Long Memory in Economics, pages 265-288, Springer.
    15. Ham, Hyuna & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2022. "The effects of overnight events on daytime trading sessions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    16. Frank H. Westerhoff, 2009. "Exchange Rate Dynamics: A Nonlinear Survey," Chapters, in: J. Barkley Rosser Jr. (ed.), Handbook of Research on Complexity, chapter 11, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    17. Xin-Jie Zhang & Yong Tang & Jason Xiong & Wei-Jia Wang & Yi-Cheng Zhang, 2018. "Dynamics of Cooperation in Minority Games in Alliance Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-17, December.
    18. Roberto Savona & Maxence Soumare & Jørgen Vitting Andersen, 2014. "Financial Symmetry and Moods in the Market," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00983008, HAL.
    19. Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin & Yu, Jinyoung, 2022. "Insider trading and information asymmetry: Evidence from the Korea Exchange," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PA).
    20. Bohm, Volker & Wenzelburger, Jan, 2005. "On the performance of efficient portfolios," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 721-740, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agent-based simulation; Econophysics; Fear of missing out (FOMO); Market stability; Networked evolutionary minority game;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • D85 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Network Formation
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • D85 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Network Formation
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:634:y:2024:i:c:s0378437123009755. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.