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Do volatility spillover and hedging among GCC stock markets and global factors vary from normal to turbulent periods? Evidence from the global financial crisis and Covid-19 pandemic crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Yousaf, Imran
  • Beljid, Makram
  • Chaibi, Anis
  • Ajlouni, Ahmed AL
Abstract
In this paper, we use a bivariate VAR-asymmetric-BEKK-GARCH model to examine returns, asymmetric volatility spillovers, and time-varying correlations among GCC stock markets (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman, and Bahrain) and five global factors (Islamic stocks, oil, gold, bonds, and real estate) from July 5, 2004, to March 31, 2021. To take into account the effects of the global financial crisis (GFC) and recent COVID-19 pandemic, we divide the sample period into four sub-periods: the full sample without COVID-19, pre-GFC, post-GFC, and the COVID-19 crisis. The empirical results indicate significant return and volatility spillovers between the GCC stock markets and global factors. Moreover, these spillovers between GCC stock markets and global factors increase in both the return and variance during turbulent periods (post-GFC and COVID-19 crisis periods). The time-varying correlations reveal that gold serves as a hedge and safe haven against most of the GCC stock markets in all sample periods, whereas the results vary across markets and sample periods for bonds, oil, Islamic stocks, and real estate assets against the GCC stocks. Our findings provide useful insights for investors and portfolio managers formulating trading strategies, determining asset allocation, and assembling optimal portfolios, since they persistently pursue challenging investment ideas and alternative asset classes, especially at times of financial crisis and global recession.

Suggested Citation

  • Yousaf, Imran & Beljid, Makram & Chaibi, Anis & Ajlouni, Ahmed AL, 2022. "Do volatility spillover and hedging among GCC stock markets and global factors vary from normal to turbulent periods? Evidence from the global financial crisis and Covid-19 pandemic crisis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:73:y:2022:i:c:s0927538x22000592
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2022.101764
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    1. Miklesh Yadav & Sabia Tabassum & Anas Ali AlQudah & Manaf Al-Okaily & Myriam Aloulou & Nikola Stakic & Marcos Santos, 2024. "Does COVID-19 Outbreak Push Saudi Crude Oil to Connect with Selected GCC Equity Market? Insight of Time Varying Linkage," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 1047-1070, March.
    2. Kapar, Burcu & Billah, Syed Mabruk & Rana, Faisal & Balli, Faruk, 2024. "An investigation of the frequency dynamics of spillovers and connectedness among GCC sectoral indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1442-1467.
    3. Khan, Muhammad Asif & Khan, Farhad & Sharif, Arshian & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir, 2023. "Dynamic linkages between Islamic equity indices, oil prices, gold prices, and news-based uncertainty: New insights from partial and multiple wavelet coherence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Al-Fayoumi, Nedal & Bouri, Elie & Abuzayed, Bana, 2023. "Decomposed oil price shocks and GCC stock market sector returns and volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    5. Jawaria Zahid & Atif Khan Jadoon & Bisma Hamza & Muhammad Ali, 2024. "Macroeconomics Determinants of Fiscal Sustainability in the Asian Countries," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(1), pages 193-201.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    GCC markets; Global factors; Returns and volatility spillovers; Time-varying correlations; Hedging; Portfolio diversification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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