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Does the exchange rate regime make a difference in inflation performance in developing and emerging countries?: The role of inflation targeting

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  • Yamada, Hiroyuki
Abstract
We apply propensity score matching estimators with multiple outcomes to evaluate the impacts of exchange rate regimes (fixed, intermediate, and flexible without inflation targeting) and inflation targeting on inflation rates in emerging and developing countries. An inflation-targeting regime does better than or at least as good work as a fixed regime in lowering inflation rates when compared with intermediate or flexible regimes. We do not observe a clear difference in inflation rates between fixed and inflation-targeting regimes in recent years (2000–2007). Intermediate and flexible regimes provide higher inflation than fixed or inflation-targeting regimes in most cases.

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  • Yamada, Hiroyuki, 2013. "Does the exchange rate regime make a difference in inflation performance in developing and emerging countries?: The role of inflation targeting," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 968-989.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:32:y:2013:i:c:p:968-989
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.08.003
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    3. Borivoje Krušković, 2020. "Exchange Rate Targeting Versus Inflation Targeting: Empirical Analysis of the Impact on Employment and Economic Growth," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(2), pages 67-85.
    4. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271122, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Antonia Lopez Villavicencio & Marc Pourroy, 2019. "Does Inflation Targeting Always Matter for the ERPT? A robust approach," Working Papers hal-02082568, HAL.
    6. Balima, Hippolyte W. & Kilama, Eric G. & Tapsoba, René, 2020. "Inflation targeting: Genuine effects or publication selection bias?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    7. Hiroyuki Yamada & Gerwin Bell, 2012. "Why Did Southeastern European Countries Experience Low Inflation Rates in the Beginning of This Century?," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 9(2), pages 229-246, August.
    8. Stojanovikj, Martin & Petrevski, Goran, 2024. "The choice of monetary regimes in emerging market economies: Inflation targeting versus its alternatives," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 237-260.
    9. Choi, Jae Hoon & Limnios, Christopher, 2022. "Choice of foreign exchange intervention and inflation targeting commitment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    10. Khan, Najib, 2022. "How Do Middle-Income Countries Fare Under an Inflation Targeting Regime," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, vol. 47(4), pages 79-98, December.
    11. Philip Kofi Adom & William Bekoe & George Quartey & Kwaku Amakye & Charles Barnor, 2016. "Impact of Market-based Policies and External Fiscal Discipline on Ghana's Inflation," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(4), pages 794-816, November.
    12. López-Villavicencio, Antonia & Pourroy, Marc, 2019. "Does inflation targeting always matter for the ERPT? A robust approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 360-377.
    13. Sánchez, Elmer, 2013. "Grado de inversión y flujos de inversión directa extranjera a economías emergentes," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 26, pages 61-79.
    14. Harsha Paranavithana & Rod Tyers & Leandro Magnusson & Florian Schiffmann, 2022. "Monetary policy regimes: A global assessment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(6), pages 1737-1772, June.
    15. Hippolyte W. BALIMA & Eric Gabin KILAMA & René TAPSOBA, 2017. "Settling the Inflation Targeting Debate: Lights from a Meta-Regression Analysis," Working Papers 4080, FERDI.
    16. Mohamed Ilyes Gritli, 2021. "Price inflation and exchange rate pass‐through in Tunisia," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(4), pages 715-728, December.
    17. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Determinants of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271121, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    18. Harsha Paranavithana & Leandro Magnusson & Rod Tyers, 2020. "Transitions to inflation targeting: panel evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(59), pages 6468-6481, December.
    19. Renée A. Fry-McKibbin & Chen Wang, 2014. "Does Inflation Targeting Outperform Alternative Policies during Global Downturns?," CAMA Working Papers 2014-64, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    20. Harsha Paranavithana & Leandro Magnusson & Rod Tyers, 2021. "Monetary Policy Regimes in Small Open Economies: The Case of Sri Lanka," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 35(4), pages 434-462, December.
    21. Nassar S. Al-Nassar & Abdulrahman A. Albahouth, 2023. "Inflation Spillovers among Advanced and Emerging Economies: Evidence from the G20 Group," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-25, April.
    22. Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2019. "Macroeconomic Institutions: Lessons from World Experience for MENA Countries," Working Papers 1311, Economic Research Forum, revised 21 Aug 2019.
    23. Arsić, Milojko & Mladenović, Zorica & Nojković, Aleksandra, 2022. "Macroeconomic performance of inflation targeting in European and Asian emerging economies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 675-700.
    24. International Monetary Fund, 2010. "Albania: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2010/206, International Monetary Fund.
    25. Abdullahi, Idris & Chua, Soo & Mohd, Saidatulakmal, 2020. "Investigation of optimal inflation targets for 15 major oil exporting Sub-Saharan African countries: A panel threshold estimation," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 25(49), pages 45-60.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Exchange rate regime; Inflation targeting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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