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Financial crises and innovation

Author

Listed:
  • Hardy, Bryan
  • Sever, Can
Abstract
Financial crises are accompanied by permanent drops in economic growth and output. Technological progress and innovation are important drivers of economic growth. Using cross-country panel data on patenting at the industry-level, we connect these facts and show that financial crises have large and long-lasting impacts on innovation (measured by patenting) for sectors dependent on external finance. This effect is driven by banking crises, which have both immediate and long lasting impacts — upwards of 8 years. This is consistent with firms both losing funding for new projects (reducing patents in the long-term) and needing to liquidate existing projects to meet immediate financing pressures (reducing patents in the near-term). This compares to stock market crashes, which see an immediate decline followed by a compensating increase, consistent with projects being “shelved” and redeployed later. Banking crises are thus unique in their impact on innovation, providing a link between them and the observed patterns of persistently lower long-term growth. The effects are larger if the banking crisis was preceded by weak or leveraged banks. We do not observe a decline in patent quality during banking crises. This financial channel of innovation is not operative for currency crises, but we do find evidence for a trade channel, whereby higher exporting industries increase their patenting following the accompanying terms of trade improvement.

Suggested Citation

  • Hardy, Bryan & Sever, Can, 2021. "Financial crises and innovation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:138:y:2021:i:c:s0014292121001847
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103856
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    3. Shakib, Mohammed & Sohag, Kazi & Hassan, M. Kabir & Vasilyeva, Rogneda, 2023. "Finance and export diversifications Nexus in Russian regions: Role of trade globalization and regional potential," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    4. Eliana Lauretta & Sajid M. Chaudhry & Daniel Santamaria, 2023. "Unveiling the black swan of the finance‐growth Nexus: Assumptions and preliminary evidence of virtuous and unvirtuous cycles," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3749-3773, October.
    5. Thanh Cong Nguyen & Trung Hieu Le, 2024. "Financial crises and the national logistics performance: Evidence from emerging and developing countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1834-1855, April.
    6. Pu Liu & Yingying Shao, 2022. "Innovation and new business formation: the role of innovative large firms," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 691-720, August.
    7. Xun Wang, 2023. "Stock market, credit market, and heterogeneous innovations," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 103-129, March.
    8. Jiaji An & He Di, 2024. "How Can Financial Innovation Curb Carbon Emissions in China? Exploring the Mediating Role of Industrial Structure Upgrading from a Spatial Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-20, May.
    9. Dinger, Valeriya & Erman, Lisardo & te Kaat, Daniel Marcel, 2022. "Bank bailouts and economic growth: Evidence from cross-country, cross-industry data," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    10. Ferdy F. F. Nuus & Petra C. M. Neessen & Cosmina L. Voinea & Marjolein C. J. Caniëls, 2022. "Sustainable Innovation in the Financial Sector during the Corona Crisis: How Discontinuity Affects Sustainable Innovation, Sustainable Entrepreneurial Orientation, and Absorptive Capacity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-15, May.
    11. Filippo Mezzanotti & Timothy Simcoe, 2023. "Research and/or Development? Financial Frictions and Innovation Investment," Working Papers 23-39, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    12. Bryan Hardy & Can Sever, 2023. "Innovation convergence," BIS Working Papers 1108, Bank for International Settlements.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Innovation; Financial crises; Banking crises; Patents; Growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives

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