Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecolec/v180y2021ics0921800920321996.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Informing groundwater policies in semi-arid agricultural production regions under stochastic climate scenario impacts

Author

Listed:
  • Mitter, Hermine
  • Schmid, Erwin
Abstract
Region-specific groundwater policies are required to regulate groundwater extraction for agricultural irrigation and reduce climate change adaption externalities. We examine the semi-arid Seewinkel region in Austria and explore interactions between climatic, agronomic, hydrological, and socio-economic conditions and processes to provide policy advice. The assessment is conducted with a spatially explicit integrated modeling framework to analyze impacts on land and irrigation water use, land management, and net benefits of agricultural production. The model results show that with imposed groundwater restrictions for irrigation, land use shifts from irrigated vineyards to mostly rainfed cropland with declining regional net benefits of agricultural production. The direction of change is similar for a DRY, SIMILAR, and WET climate scenario, while the magnitude differs. We estimate that an increase of the marginal value of groundwater extraction for irrigation by 0.1 €/m3 results in an average decrease in groundwater extraction volumes by 17.2 Mm3 in DRY, 6.3 Mm3 in SIMILAR, and 6.4 Mm3 in WET. Furthermore, regional net benefits of agricultural production decrease by 3.4 M€ in DRY and SIMILAR, and by 1.6 M€ in WET, on average. Our assessment highlights that efficient groundwater policies can help to sustain groundwater availability in semi-arid regions, particularly under climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Mitter, Hermine & Schmid, Erwin, 2021. "Informing groundwater policies in semi-arid agricultural production regions under stochastic climate scenario impacts," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:180:y:2021:i:c:s0921800920321996
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106908
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800920321996
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106908?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert, Marion & Bergez, Jacques-Eric & Thomas, Alban, 2018. "A stochastic dynamic programming approach to analyze adaptation to climate change – Application to groundwater irrigation in India," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(3), pages 1033-1045.
    2. Kahil, Mohamed Taher & Connor, Jeffery D. & Albiac, Jose, 2015. "Efficient water management policies for irrigation adaptation to climate change in Southern Europe," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 226-233.
    3. Hayri Önal & Bruce A. McCarl, 1991. "Exact Aggregation in Mathematical Programming Sector Models," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 39(2), pages 319-334, July.
    4. Balkovič, Juraj & van der Velde, Marijn & Schmid, Erwin & Skalský, Rastislav & Khabarov, Nikolay & Obersteiner, Michael & Stürmer, Bernhard & Xiong, Wei, 2013. "Pan-European crop modelling with EPIC: Implementation, up-scaling and regional crop yield validation," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 61-75.
    5. Nathaniel H Merrill & Todd Guilfoos, 2018. "Optimal Groundwater Extraction under Uncertainty and a Spatial Stock Externality," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(1), pages 220-238.
    6. Phoebe Koundouri, 2004. "Current Issues in the Economics of Groundwater Resource Management," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(5), pages 703-740, December.
    7. Iglesias, Ana & Garrote, Luis, 2015. "Adaptation strategies for agricultural water management under climate change in Europe," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 113-124.
    8. Richard E. Howitt, 1995. "Positive Mathematical Programming," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 77(2), pages 329-342.
    9. Brozovic, Nicholas & Sunding, David L. & Zilberman, David, 2010. "On the spatial nature of the groundwater pumping externality," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 154-164, April.
    10. Dolores Rey & Carlos Dionisio Pérez-Blanco & Alvar Escriva-Bou & Corentin Girard & Ted I. E. Veldkamp, 2019. "Role of economic instruments in water allocation reform: lessons from Europe," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 206-239, March.
    11. Bazilian, Morgan & Rogner, Holger & Howells, Mark & Hermann, Sebastian & Arent, Douglas & Gielen, Dolf & Steduto, Pasquale & Mueller, Alexander & Komor, Paul & Tol, Richard S.J. & Yumkella, Kandeh K., 2011. "Considering the energy, water and food nexus: Towards an integrated modelling approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(12), pages 7896-7906.
    12. Xiang, Zaichen & Bailey, Ryan T. & Nozari, Soheil & Husain, Zainab & Kisekka, Isaya & Sharda, Vaishali & Gowda, Prasanna, 2020. "DSSAT-MODFLOW: A new modeling framework for exploring groundwater conservation strategies in irrigated areas," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    13. Martina Flörke & Christof Schneider & Robert I. McDonald, 2018. "Water competition between cities and agriculture driven by climate change and urban growth," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(1), pages 51-58, January.
    14. Deines, Jillian M. & Schipanski, Meagan E. & Golden, Bill & Zipper, Samuel C. & Nozari, Soheil & Rottler, Caitlin & Guerrero, Bridget & Sharda, Vaishali, 2020. "Transitions from irrigated to dryland agriculture in the Ogallala Aquifer: Land use suitability and regional economic impacts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    15. Pfeiffer, Lisa & Lin, C.-Y. Cynthia, 2012. "Groundwater pumping and spatial externalities in agriculture," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 16-30.
    16. Erik Lichtenberg & James Shortle & James Wilen & David Zilberman, 2010. "Natural Resource Economics and Conservation: Contributions of Agricultural Economics and Agricultural Economists," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(2), pages 469-486.
    17. Paolo D’Odorico & Davide Danilo Chiarelli & Lorenzo Rosa & Alfredo Bini & David Zilberman & Maria Cristina Rulli, 2020. "The global value of water in agriculture," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117(36), pages 21985-21993, September.
    18. Richard G. Taylor & Bridget Scanlon & Petra Döll & Matt Rodell & Rens van Beek & Yoshihide Wada & Laurent Longuevergne & Marc Leblanc & James S. Famiglietti & Mike Edmunds & Leonard Konikow & Timothy , 2013. "Ground water and climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 322-329, April.
    19. Christine Heumesser & Sabine Fuss & Jana Szolgayová & Franziska Strauss & Erwin Schmid, 2012. "Investment in Irrigation Systems under Precipitation Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(11), pages 3113-3137, September.
    20. Stockle, Claudio O. & Williams, Jimmy R. & Rosenberg, Norman J. & Jones, C. Allan, 1992. "A method for estimating the direct and climatic effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide on growth and yield of crops: Part I--Modification of the EPIC model for climate change analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 225-238.
    21. Mitter, Hermine & Schmid, Erwin, 2019. "Computing the economic value of climate information for water stress management exemplified by crop production in Austria," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 430-448.
    22. Peter Kreins & Martin Henseler & Jano Anter & Frank Herrmann & Frank Wendland, 2015. "Quantification of Climate Change Impact on Regional Agricultural Irrigation and Groundwater Demand," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3585-3600, August.
    23. Richard H. Day, 1963. "On Aggregating Linear Programming Models of Production," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 45(4), pages 797-813.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Karner, Katrin & Schmid, Erwin & Schneider, Uwe A. & Mitter, Hermine, 2021. "Computing stochastic Pareto frontiers between economic and environmental goals for a semi-arid agricultural production region in Austria," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    2. Tudose, Nicu Constantin & Cheval, Sorin & Ungurean, Cezar & Broekman, Annelies & Sanchez-Plaza, Anabel & Cremades, Roger & Mitter, Hermine & Kropf, Bernadette & Davidescu, Serban Octavian & Dinca, Luc, 2022. "Climate services for sustainable resource management: The water—energy—land nexus in the Tărlung river basin (Romania)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    3. Falkner, Katharina & Schmid, Erwin & Mitter, Hermine, 2021. "Integrated modelling of cost-effective policies to regulate Western Corn Rootworm under climate scenarios in Austria," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    4. Kalli, Rajesh & Jena, Pradyot Ranjan & Timilsina, Raja Rajendra & Rahut, Dil Bahadur & Sonobe, Tetsushi, 2024. "Effect of irrigation on farm efficiency in tribal villages of Eastern India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Reinelt, Peter, 2020. "Spatial-dynamic seawater intrusion and pumping cost externalities in a confined aquifer," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    2. Guilfoos, Todd & Pape, Andreas D. & Khanna, Neha & Salvage, Karen, 2013. "Groundwater management: The effect of water flows on welfare gains," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 31-40.
    3. Smith, Steven M., 2018. "Economic incentives and conservation: Crowding-in social norms in a groundwater commons," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 147-174.
    4. Ellen M. Bruno & Richard J. Sexton, 2020. "The Gains from Agricultural Groundwater Trade and the Potential for Market Power: Theory and Application," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 884-910, May.
    5. Kahil, Mohamed Taher & Connor, Jeffery D. & Albiac, Jose, 2015. "Efficient water management policies for irrigation adaptation to climate change in Southern Europe," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 226-233.
    6. Najafi Alamdarlo, Hamed & Pourmozafar, Hosein & Vakilpoor, Mohamad Hasan, 2019. "Improving demand technology and internalizing external effects in groundwater market framework, case study: Qazvin plain in Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 164-173.
    7. Stahn, Hubert & Tomini, Agnes, 2021. "Externality and common-pool resources: The case of artesian aquifers," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    8. Mitter, Hermine & Schmid, Erwin, 2019. "Computing the economic value of climate information for water stress management exemplified by crop production in Austria," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 430-448.
    9. Collie, Samuel, 2015. "Accounting for well capacity in the economic decision making of groundwater users," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205783, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Schmid, Erwin & Sinabell, Franz, 2005. "Using the Positive Mathematical Programming Method to Calibrate Linear Programming Models," Discussion Papers DP-10-2005, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development.
    11. Eric C. Edwards & Todd Guilfoos, 2021. "The Economics of Groundwater Governance Institutions across the Globe," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(4), pages 1571-1594, December.
    12. Roberto D. Ponce Oliva & Esteban Arias Montevechio & Francisco Fernández Jorquera & Felipe Vásquez-Lavin & Alejandra Stehr, 2021. "Water Use and Climate Stressors in a Multiuser River Basin Setting: Who Benefits from Adaptation?," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(3), pages 897-915, February.
    13. Sayre, Susan Stratton & Taraz, Vis, 2019. "Groundwater depletion in India: Social losses from costly well deepening," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 85-100.
    14. Kahil, Mohamed Taher & Albiac, José, 2013. "Greenhouse gases mitigation policies in the agriculture of Aragon, Spain," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 2(1), pages 1-24, April.
    15. Kooten, G. Cornelis van, 2013. "Modeling Forest Trade in Logs and Lumber: Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis," Working Papers 149182, University of Victoria, Resource Economics and Policy.
    16. Rouhi Rad, Mani & Haacker, Erin M.K. & Sharda, Vaishali & Nozari, Soheil & Xiang, Zaichen & Araya, A. & Uddameri, Venkatesh & Suter, Jordan F. & Gowda, Prasanna, 2020. "MOD$$AT: A hydro-economic modeling framework for aquifer management in irrigated agricultural regions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    17. James Roumasset & Christopher Wada, 2012. "The Economics of Groundwater," Working Papers 201211, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    18. Amine Chekireb & Julio Goncalves & Hubert Stahn & Agnes Tomini, 2021. "Private exploitation of the North-Western Sahara Aquifer System," Working Papers halshs-03457972, HAL.
    19. Sampson, Gabriel S. & Hendricks, Nathan P. & Taylor, Mykel R., 2019. "Land market valuation of groundwater," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    20. Wang, Zhiqiang & Ye, Li & Jiang, Jingyi & Fan, Yida & Zhang, Xiaoran, 2022. "Review of application of EPIC crop growth model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 467(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:180:y:2021:i:c:s0921800920321996. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolecon .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.