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Precautionary saving in mean-variance models and different sources of risk

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  • Vergara, Marcos
  • Bonilla, Claudio A.
Abstract
We study the effects of first- and second-order risk increases on precautionary saving in a mean-variance model. In doing so, we reduce the gap between the theory of saving, which mainly stems from the expected utility model, and empirical estimations of the theory that are based on different measures of dispersion; these are atheoretical concepts that do not arise from optimal agent behavior. We then analyze what effects different risk sources have on saving and show that our results, derived in the mean-variance space, can easily be translated to conditions in the expected utility space. We argue that our contribution establishes a more solid ground for analyzing policies in highly risky environments, such as the COVID-19 pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Vergara, Marcos & Bonilla, Claudio A., 2021. "Precautionary saving in mean-variance models and different sources of risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 280-289.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:98:y:2021:i:c:p:280-289
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.11.017
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    Cited by:

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    2. Claudio A. Bonilla & Marcos Vergara & Richard Watt, 2022. "Changes in risk and entrepreneurship," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(4), pages 367-385, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Precautionary saving; μ; σ-preferences; Elasticity of risk aversion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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